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Does the CMHC actually own all the mortgage right now or are they just an insurance company that will buy them if people default?
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# ? Apr 23, 2017 20:18 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 03:09 |
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http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/drowning-in-debt-is-the-new-normal-in-canada/ There are some throwaway examples of how much debt Canadians are pickled in, but holy poo poo: quote:Let me share a scenario of someone who is self employed, as it highlights how a debt problem can spiral out of control quickly. I met recently with a woman in her 50s who owns her own company that furnishes and decorates high-end businesses, like big law firms. Or at least it did. With big firms shrinking to meet reduced market demands and trimming costs, her business had dried up. Canada is so hosed. I know that's just an example of an extreme situation, but this stat from earlier in the article is the scariest part for me: quote:The normalization of excessive debt is reflected in the data that Statistics Canada regularly releases. The household debt-to-income ratio now stands at 169.4, up 23 per cent from a decade ago, and on par with what the U.S. saw at the peak of its housing bubble. Of course, such figures are averages. According to the Bank of Canada, close to half of all high-ratio mortgages originated in Toronto were to borrowers with loan-to-income ratios in excess of 450 per cent. 450 percent. If my math isn't poo poo, that's like 30% GDS, just shy of the 32% "limit". Add in a few car payments and pretend these people don't have lines of credit or student loans or credit cards and you're looking at 37% TDS. People are borrowing to the loving hilt. Cold on a Cob fucked around with this message at 14:49 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 14:47 |
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Femtosecond posted:I'd love to know the equivalent Metro Vancouver numbers. A small correction combined with their indebtedness and burn rates will catalyze a crash and recession. cowofwar fucked around with this message at 15:11 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 14:52 |
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Cold on a Cob posted:http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/drowning-in-debt-is-the-new-normal-in-canada/ quote:Here is just a sample of recent files that have crossed our desks: A staff accountant with multiple lines of credit, several maxed-out credit cards, a big mortgage, a significant home-equity line of credit (HELOC) and two leased luxury cars; a TTC driver with two mortgages and $100,000 in unsecured lines of credit; a teacher with eight payday loans and a senior financial analyst at a chartered bank with seven credit cards, all carrying high balances. I could go on and on. quote:According to the Bank of Canada, close to half of all high-ratio mortgages originated in Toronto were to borrowers with loan-to-income ratios in excess of 450 per cent. Risky Bisquick fucked around with this message at 15:07 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:04 |
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cowofwar posted:Between the personal indebtedness and this graph showing speculation on second homes that pretty much explains the bubble. People are addicted to housing and buying as much as they can with the expectation of appreciation and financing their debt off the appreciation. It's awful to hope for this kind of misery but we're so beyond overdue for a correction. All chickens come home to roost eventually. We need it to happen so our national psyche can move beyond this housing obsession.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:07 |
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When the chickens come home to roost everybody will be living in their coops.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:11 |
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PK loving SUBBAN posted:It's awful to hope for this kind of misery but we're so beyond overdue for a correction. Some desperation in Vancouver. Listings are basically in the shitter and that's what's now fueling bidding wars and price increases. Home owners are afraid that if they sell they wont get back in and miss out. Meanwhile the amount of units under construction is incredible. Is Trump weighing in on NAFTA what's going to precipitate a drop in confidence? Or maybe an NDP win in BC? cowofwar fucked around with this message at 15:15 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:13 |
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I was planning on going to go down to 0% Canadian equities later this year... maybe I should accelerate my plan.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:18 |
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What I'm getting out of these debt articles is that most of the economic growth experienced these days seems to be financed by debt rather than jobs/salaries. I can see why the BOC is delaying any interest hike. Nobody wants to be held responsible for tanking the entire economy and causing another crisis.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:20 |
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This is basically a profile on how my sister manages debt. At one point in the last 2 years she defaulted on her mortgage because she couldn't afford it anymore and she had to declare bankruptcy. I added up her minimum payments on just debt she had and it came out to like 80% of her income, I guess she was giving false income records to a payday loan place and had like 8-9 of them active at one time.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:21 |
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Cold on a Cob posted:People are borrowing to the loving hilt. And banks keep feeding it, I imagine. Just a couple weeks ago Scotiabank threw a $20K line of credit at me. I've never done any business with them other than a Scene Visa and I've never been remotely close to having that much debt except for student loans years ago.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:27 |
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Cold on a Cob posted:http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/drowning-in-debt-is-the-new-normal-in-canada/ Jesus gently caress. I make more money than that, and I am so not considering purchasing a property anytime soon. That right there makes me so glad I'm not.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:29 |
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Risky Bisquick posted:I was planning on going to go down to 0% Canadian equities later this year... maybe I should accelerate my plan. Same. I knew things were bad but this is on another level. Kraftwerk posted:What I'm getting out of these debt articles is that most of the economic growth experienced these days seems to be financed by debt rather than jobs/salaries. 100% agreed. Canada would already be knee deep in a recession if not for all the debt propping us up.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:30 |
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DariusLikewise posted:This is basically a profile on how my sister manages debt. At one point in the last 2 years she defaulted on her mortgage because she couldn't afford it anymore and she had to declare bankruptcy. I added up her minimum payments on just debt she had and it came out to like 80% of her income, I guess she was giving false income records to a payday loan place and had like 8-9 of them active at one time. I have the same issue where I am concerned for some family of my own. I don't have direct insight into their numbers, but from napkin math and some casual statement... At least my parents have been sorted. As an example, they were paying $50 / m for a POTS line to Bell for years until recently.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:31 |
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mojo1701a posted:Jesus gently caress. I make more money than that, and I am so not considering purchasing a property anytime soon. Yeah you may make more money and have far less debt, but you don't have the pride of Small Business ownership, the economic engine of Canada.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:47 |
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We're moving to Vancouver in July, hurry up and tank, market.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:48 |
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leftist heap posted:Yeah you may make more money and have far less debt, but you don't have the pride of Small Business ownership, the economic engine of Canada. I'm also an accountant that understands how money and person finance works. (Though I've semi-jokingly considered the idea of starting a YouTube video business as a tax dodge).
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 15:53 |
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The BoC is releasing babby's first economy video getting everyone ready for a bail-in. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rR8TqaHIOu4
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:04 |
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mojo1701a posted:I'm also an accountant that understands how money and person finance works. (Though I've semi-jokingly considered the idea of starting a YouTube video business as a tax dodge). Youtube businesses are the most serious business. Just think of all the expenses you can claim both on the tech side and then standard business ones
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:04 |
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I don't understand why she wouldn't have legally insulated her business from the rest of her finances.Risky Bisquick posted:I have the same issue where I am concerned for some family of my own. I don't have direct insight into their numbers, but from napkin math and some casual statement... My parents are extremely well-off and always bail her out and that's part of the problem. I've offered my help to her and tried to deal with both her and my parents with anger and neither worked so I just moved to the other side of the province instead.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:04 |
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cowofwar posted:The BoC is releasing babby's first economy video getting everyone ready for a bail-in. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rR8TqaHIOu4 I'm so filled with rage and bitterness over a potential bail-in. gently caress me for being fiscally responsible and not putting 2/3 or more of my wife and my take-home pay towards a mortgage payment.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:11 |
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Aww yiss buying a house and not investing is going to so loving pay off. Maybe we'll get hyperinflation that'd be super awesome. Can't wait until the balance of my mortgage is lighter than a car loan. EDIT: I should max out our available credit and buy some consumer goods before prices go up, too. EDIT2: the sad thing is when we all look back at this low effort poo poo post 5 years from now we may end up regretting not actually doing this. EvilJoven fucked around with this message at 16:31 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:16 |
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Risky Bisquick posted:Youtube businesses are the most serious business. Just think of all the expenses you can claim both on the tech side and then standard business ones Basically poo poo out a 10-minute video every month, collect a few bucks of ad revenue (and Patreon users), and declare 10% of house expenses as home office, and depreciation on equipment as a baseline? I can't lose! Only problem is I got nothing to do a video about.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:36 |
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gently caress that's brilliant. Time to buy a gopro and make lovely cycling and aviation videos. Gonna claim bike gear and plane rentals, too.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:38 |
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EvilJoven posted:gently caress that's brilliant. Time to buy a gopro and make lovely cycling and aviation videos. This was always a possibility mojo1701a posted:Basically poo poo out a 10-minute video every month, collect a few bucks of ad revenue (and Patreon users), and declare 10% of house expenses as home office, and depreciation on equipment as a baseline? I can't lose! Don't forget to have the business charge you personally for your taxation services rendered
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:39 |
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Can't you only deduct up to the amount of the income from the activity? Or was I doing it all wrong for years?
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:43 |
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I'm gonna have to find an accountant to discuss setting this up because for serious I'm funding some pretty expensive hobbies on a median income and if I can do this all on small business tax credits why the gently caress not. EDIT: hrm "Some accountant from Toronto posted:There are no hard and fast rules for determining whether your hobby is actually a business by definition. The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) defines a business as something done in the pursuit of profit. The difficulty in distinguishing a hobby from a business arises because of the essential personal element involved in hobbies. In other words, hobbies are not always an activity that you do for profit. This might be kinda hard to pull off, I have a lovely poker face and the last thing I need is for a CRA auditor to ask me if I ever expected Camping Shooting Flying and Biking With EvilJoven LLC to make a profit. EvilJoven fucked around with this message at 16:51 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:44 |
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Subjunctive posted:Can't you only deduct up to the amount of the income from the activity? Or was I doing it all wrong for years? e: Kinda beaten. Doopliss fucked around with this message at 16:53 on Apr 24, 2017 |
# ? Apr 24, 2017 16:49 |
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Yeah it's a tricky thing. That's why I was only half-serious about it. If it's a minimal amount, they probably won't care, but if you're declaring $10,000 losses year after year after year, they'll clamp down. Had a teacher also say the same thing about the reverse. Say you go to the casino and win money playing poker regularly: CRA might declare that as a business. At least then you can declare expenses.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 17:09 |
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Risky Bisquick posted:I have the same issue where I am concerned for some family of my own. I don't have direct insight into their numbers, but from napkin math and some casual statement... I'm pretty sure my dad is getting close to bankruptcy. He just bought a house for ~320k in Red Deer (despite it being bought 1.5 years ago for ~$290k and real estate in that poo poo city being flat or declining since). He's taken out $60k worth of HELOC between the deposit, down payment, and fixing up his rental townhouse (that he's been losing money on for probably a decade) and his current house to sell. Once he takes possession in 10 days he'll have 3 mortgages to pay and it'll basically be a ticking clock of the other houses selling before he runs out of money/HELOC. Oh also his new dream home is a 1940s 680 sqft shitbox with ancient leaky windows and crap insulation and pipes he has to replace and the bank won't even amortize it for 25 years because it's too old so he has to pay more a month for an accelerated mortgage. ("But the garage is so nice!") If the bubble bursts this summer he'll probably end underwater on all three houses. I've at least convinced him not to raid his RRSP for anything related to this nonsense. Thank God Alberta has non-recourse mortgages. For the life of me I could not convince him of the terribleness of this idea. Luckily he's a public sector worker so he has a pension to cushion his terrible mistakes. Oh also he wants to retire next year lol. I cannot believe someone could look at the poo poo show hassle, expense, and stress that goes with trying to buy/sell a house and still think residential real estate is a good investment. Especially someone who lived through the 80s real estate crash in Alberta.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 17:28 |
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Surrey resident calls for tougher home inspection rules to protect homebuyersquote:Frank Loughrey purchased his new townhouse in Surrey’s Clayton Heights when it was partially built only to discover after he took possession there was a long list of problems, including an improperly laid foundation that leaks.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 18:56 |
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Except, don't most home inspectors put in the fine print that "we can't see through ground and walls so don't hold us responsible for foundations and bad wiring."
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 19:25 |
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I was FORCED to buy without a home inspection. If I didn't buy, I would have MISSED OUT, so really i had no choice.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 19:26 |
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quote:“As it turned out the foundation had honeycombing and so we discovered a leak we figured the builder didn’t vibrate the concrete well enough, we also discovered later the dimple wrap they put on the outside of the foundation wasn’t installed property, there was no tar layer behind.” If you may recall I posted about basically the entirety of the new subdivision to the southwest of Winnipeg suffering the same concrete problems. Lazy developers are going to be a goldmine for companies that do foundation repairs.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 19:30 |
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That's how you create the good jobs and prosperity for generations to come!
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 19:49 |
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Home inspection is kind of worthless unless you never tour the house or are blind. They really can't do a proper inspection and can only point out things that visually indicate a possible problem, or not. And if there actually was a problem despite the inspection they aren't liable for anything.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 20:25 |
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cowofwar posted:Home inspection is kind of worthless unless you never tour the house or are blind. They really can't do a proper inspection and can only point out things that visually indicate a possible problem, or not. To which they have you sign a disclaimer stating anything they do miss is not their problem.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 20:27 |
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Home inspections make sense if you're actually willing to walk away from the purchase if you don't like what they find. Most people aren't.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 20:33 |
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That is the only reason I'd suggest to include that clause.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 20:34 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 03:09 |
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Jordan7hm posted:Home inspections make sense if you're actually willing to walk away from the purchase if you don't like what they find. Most people aren't. My buddy ended up walking away from a suspiciously good deal upon inspection, because it turns out the condo had asbestos.
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# ? Apr 24, 2017 20:42 |