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serious gaylord
Sep 16, 2007

what.

ukle posted:

Currently Tories have gained 138 seats and the first Metro Mayor (Bristol etc), Labour has lost 121 and UKIP have lost every seat so far. LD's are also lost 20 odd seats.

Expect Labour to go into melt down.

The GE is going to be a massacre.

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ephex
Nov 4, 2007





PHWOAR CRIMINAL
Just read that Prince Philip will go on pension with 96.
Probably gonna be the norm for everybody post-brexit.

learnincurve
May 15, 2014

Smoosh
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/9df67e0e-cf05-4eaa-91ce-0f5527e97d14/derbyshire-county-council

If this falls to the Tories then we will know labour are truly hosed. It would take some form of catastrophic gently caress up for People who live in houses built by the coal board to vote Tory.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

spectralent posted:

Said woman provided the answer here, too: "You watch all these programs like benefit street..."

In short, yeah, these cases are astonishingly rare, but they're always the example cases that're showcased in national media and TV programs, so they're the cases everyone thinks of as "the typical benefits case".


I'd fully agree but I was doing the admin stuff for my runner.
It's all nonsense anyway. Under the Tories anyone with kids faces a ~70% marginal tax rate on all their income between £50 and £60k due to the way the child-benefit taper works. And because it's done per person rather than per household, a family made up of two people earning £50k each gets to keep child benefit while a good old nuclear family of strivers, in which pater is pulling down 100k while mother stays at home looking after the kids doesn't.

It's a classic tax trap and although most people don't earn that much it still applies to more people than the benefits nonsense does. But none of the temporarily-embarrassed rich people who vote Theresa May Party give a poo poo

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

serious gaylord posted:

The GE is going to be a massacre.
We knew this, though. The Theresa May Party will crush all saboteurs. All hail the Great Brexit Helmswoman

Paul.Power
Feb 7, 2009

The three roles of APCs:
Transports.
Supply trucks.
Distractions.

Skarsnik posted:

Well Cardiff seems to have come off ok at least, phew

I don't remember seeing such a huge blanket of red on signs and windows in a long time which is promising
Ironically, Labour increased their majority in Swansea despite losing a seat (because the Lib Dems, who were the largest opposition party, collapsed from 12 seats to 7. Less good is the Tories going from 4 seats to 8 though. Labour went from 49 to 48, indies went from 7 to 9).

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

TACD posted:

The Graun had an article with basically the same conclusion; pointing out that while people are starting to reject global capitalism, only the far right is claiming to offer an alternative. The left (other than Corbyn who of course is just a silly jam man) are now just promising to sustain the status quo instead of seizing on the rare opportunity to offer positive change.
I'm not totally convinced by this. The status quo that the left is defending* is Britain's membership of a big trading bloc that imposes tariffs on those outside the bloc and has strong protections for workers inside it. The right, in its penetrating critique of global capitalism, wants to blow all that up and turn Britain into a rainier Somalia, because this will make us all rich.


*Except it isn't because even Labour is pro-Brexit now

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Namtab posted:

Hope is real, like anime
But, also like anime, it's a terrible idea

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
The centre-left is dead (and has been since the 80s, they just committed the longest, slowest suicide ever since). it's just a question of what we can replace it with.

Praseodymi
Aug 26, 2010

Pesmerga posted:

The centre-left is dead (and has been since the 80s, they just committed the longest, slowest suicide ever since). it's just a question of what we can replace it with.

Look in your heart, you already know the answer to that.

Fascism

Namtab
Feb 22, 2010

Corbyn is left of centre

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

serious gaylord posted:

The GE is going to be a massacre.

Almost certainly but I really hope people actually turn up to the GE. It looks like in the locals basically only tories did. Turnout is low even on top of the usual lowness of locals.

We're proper hosed if the proportion of swing is roughly the same in people who didn't show up though but I doubt it.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

Namtab posted:

Corbyn is left of centre

Corbyn is finished. Regardless of my personal feelings about him, between this and the general election, this will be used as an indictment of any policy further left than Thatcherism. We will end up with a Macron-esque leader of the Labour Party (lol, as if there's anyone that charismatic, and I say that as someone who intensely dislikes Macron), and the cycle will repeat.

ukle
Nov 28, 2005

spectralent posted:

Almost certainly but I really hope people actually turn up to the GE. It looks like in the locals basically only tories did. Turnout is low even on top of the usual lowness of locals.

We're proper hosed if the proportion of swing is roughly the same in people who didn't show up though but I doubt it.

Turnout is up about 5% on 2013.

Turnout is only low in the mayoral elections.

Serotonin
Jul 14, 2001

The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of *blank*
Violent revolution is the only solution

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

Serotonin posted:

Violent revolution is the only solution

Because your ideology/policies are not supported by a majority of the population?

Praseodymi
Aug 26, 2010

gently caress off, Nazi.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:
My vote was not enough to push UKIP out of second, but all the turncoat Tories were enough to take them down elsewhere. Every cloud also has another cloud behind it.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


GaussianCopula posted:

Because your ideology/policies are not supported by a majority of the population?

You Nazi oval office. gently caress off


Tried putting on the results program but can't manage to give a shite until we start getting Scottish results in. Sorry England and Wales, your election results are too depressing to watch.

Paul.Power
Feb 7, 2009

The three roles of APCs:
Transports.
Supply trucks.
Distractions.

forkboy84 posted:

You Nazi oval office. gently caress off


Tried putting on the results program but can't manage to give a shite until we start getting Scottish results in. Sorry England and Wales, your election results are too depressing to watch.
I'm not going to call them great, but the Wales results could have been a whole lot worse.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:
If you think the Tories have done well now, imagine what another month of STRONG AND STABLE will do for them !!

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

ukle posted:

Turnout is up about 5% on 2013.

Turnout is only low in the mayoral elections.

At this point it's a silver lining that Labour voters are staying home rather than actively defecting. For all the doom and gloom in the thread, Labour can still start winning any time it decides it wants to win.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Paul.Power posted:

I'm not going to call them great, but the Wales results could have been a whole lot worse.

At this point 3 Welsh Labour councillors will be judged as "could have been worse".

Obviously there are problems much deeper than the leader, but if these results are repeated in June then we're going to have another leadership election and the Tories will get on with loving everyone poorer than them.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:

Alchenar posted:

At this point it's a silver lining that Labour voters are staying home rather than actively defecting. For all the doom and gloom in the thread, Labour can still start winning any time it decides it wants to win.

Cheers Tony.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

forkboy84 posted:

At this point 3 Welsh Labour councillors will be judged as "could have been worse".

Obviously there are problems much deeper than the leader, but if these results are repeated in June then we're going to have another leadership election and the Tories will get on with loving everyone poorer than them.

Yvette cooper is definitely going to get people voting labour

AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer
https://twitter.com/JasonGroves1/status/860391216608890880

https://twitter.com/NickCohen4/status/860376035157737472

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

Did he get 40 glasses of jam from the neoliberal cabal to destroy Labour?

AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/860413994322075648

I'm sure this will help.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Jose posted:

Yvette cooper is definitely going to get people voting labour
I voted for Corbyn on the basis that he'd reform the Labour Party to ensure the membership have a bigger say. He's not delivered. Not sure how long we can afford to wait and see if he'll finally get round to it.

Yvette Cooper would have been a poor leader who'd refuse to tackle the Tories but we'd not be set for annual leadership elections and Labour wouldn't have a leader with next to no PLP support. Which is a thing that matters unfortunately.

peanut-
Feb 17, 2004
Fun Shoe

Jose posted:

Yvette cooper is definitely going to get people voting labour

Yes, she will definitely get more people voting Labour than Jeremy Corbyn can.

DesperateDan
Dec 10, 2005

Where's my cow?

Is that my cow?

No it isn't, but it still tramples my bloody lavender.

Serotonin posted:

Violent revolution is the only solution

This, pretty much.

The system that exists in the UK will not allow anything approaching actual competition. It ensures this largely through media control. Corbyn could be replaced by the fantastic super leftie no-one seems to be able to find, given the best of PR teams and it wouldn't make a difference in real terms at all. The media that is owned by the corporations will not suddenly start reporting favourably on socialist policies- the nationalisation of businesses privatised and pimped out by their masters, for example- not even if it's presented in snappy soundbites by a gormless smile in a suit. The only way for favourable coverage is for the policies proffered to be favourable to those providing and orchestrating the coverage- but even when you attempt centrist plp populism like renowned heart breaker "red ed" milliband did, the policies will still be called "sixth form socialist nonsense" and "too left wing"- even after they had those racist mugs for sale and promised at least a moderate round up of foreigns. The system favours ever more control, and the tools of fascism- skillfully woven hatred and lies- gives them that in droves over this overwhelmingly and increasingly thick, racist nation. The tories offer the further exploitation of such fertile grounds. Expecting such tools to be of use in our salvation is pointless. It all has to go.


No idea how though, and of course organising such thoughts and efforts becomes quickly problematic what with rapidly getting arrested for plotting the violent overthrow of the state, but I'm keen, mind.

DesperateDan fucked around with this message at 09:59 on May 5, 2017

Doctor_Fruitbat
Jun 2, 2013


This feels like the inevitable end result of a nation with an empire-shaped stick still wedged three feet up its arsehole. Where America has temporarily embarrassed millionaires, we have temporarily embarrassed lords, who frustratedly expect things to be done by someone else as if by magic and only want to engage in politics as much as necessary to shout down anyone making life difficult with things like nuance, compromise and collective responsibility.

No wonder 'strong and stable' has gotten such a foothold, what with Labour eating itself.

Doctor_Fruitbat fucked around with this message at 10:00 on May 5, 2017

Kurtofan
Feb 16, 2011

hon hon hon

the English don't like when their language supremacy is threatened

PoshAlligator
Jan 9, 2012

When SEO just isn't enough.
What a truly terrible country.

Ewan
Sep 29, 2008

Ewan is tired of his reputation as a serious Simon. I'm more of a jokester than you people think. My real name isn't even Ewan, that was a joke it's actually MARTIN! LOL fooled you again, it really is Ewan! Look at that monkey with a big nose, Ewan is so random! XD
It's ok the saviour is here

https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/860180941385461760

Killed By Death
Jun 29, 2013


peanut- posted:

Yes, she will definitely get more people voting Labour than Jeremy Corbyn can.
Genuinely doubt it

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Serotonin posted:

Violent revolution is the only solution

Agreed. Well, doesn't have to be totally violent, but it's certainly a useful weapon to have in the back pocket. Don't rule out the power of a strike. We should do more to make syndicalism a thing again in the 21st century.

GaussianCopula posted:

Did he get 40 glasses of jam from the neoliberal cabal to destroy Labour?

gently caress off Nazi.

Doctor_Fruitbat posted:

This feels like the inevitable end result of a nation with an empire-shaped stick still wedged three feet up its arsehole. Where America has temporarily embarrassed millionaires, we have temporarily embarrassed lords, who frustratedly expect things to be done by someone else as if by magic and only want to engage in politics as much as necessary to shout down anyone making life difficult with things like nuance, compromise and collective responsibility.

No wonder 'strong and stable' has gotten such a foothold, what with Labour eating itself.

Nah, this is a misreading of the country. It's not that they are temporarily embarrassed lords, it's that they are just terrified of change. Any change, even change for the good is bad because change is dirty word to a majority of this country right now. It's not that they think they will one day be part of the aristocracy so much as just the peasants recognising their place.

DesperateDan posted:

No idea how though, and of course organising such thoughts and efforts becomes quickly problematic what with rapidly getting arrested for plotting the violent overthrow of the state, but I'm keen, mind.

Well, there's pre-existing organisations which have large memberships but often don't have great turnout at internal elections. Trade unions. You don't start with a violent revolution. You start with a strike. Which becomes an illegal general strike. And then you go from there.

(Hi GCHQ)

Brian, mate. Having one of your songs used in a party political broadcast doesn't actually qualify you for leadership.

TACD
Oct 27, 2000

Zephro posted:

I'm not totally convinced by this. The status quo that the left is defending* is Britain's membership of a big trading bloc that imposes tariffs on those outside the bloc and has strong protections for workers inside it. The right, in its penetrating critique of global capitalism, wants to blow all that up and turn Britain into a rainier Somalia, because this will make us all rich.
Being a member of the EU is part of the status quo, and it's a part that's certainly beneficial, but how many on the left have been seriously calling for actual positive reforms (of the EU or just in general)? The status quo is toxic right now and if the only choice is between 'status quo' and 'burn it all down' then people have nowhere to go.

Take immigration. We keep getting upset that this country is stupid and racist but the only narratives on offer appear to be 'immigration needs to be brought under control' and 'immigrants all need to be deported immediately'. If none of the major parties is offering a positive message on immigration then it's hardy surprising that people don't write that narrative for themselves.

Pesmerga posted:

Corbyn is finished. Regardless of my personal feelings about him, between this and the general election, this will be used as an indictment of any policy further left than Thatcherism.
Corbyn's policies have always been popular, it's his character that gets attacked. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people don't really know what his policies are.

Serotonin
Jul 14, 2001

The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of *blank*

DesperateDan posted:

This, pretty much.

The system that exists in the UK will not allow anything approaching actual competition. It ensures this largely through media control. Corbyn could be replaced by the fantastic super leftie no-one seems to be able to find, given the best of PR teams and it wouldn't make a difference in real terms at all. The media that is owned by the corporations will not suddenly start reporting favourably on socialist policies- the nationalisation of businesses privatised and pimped out by their masters, for example- not even if it's presented in snappy soundbites by a gormless smile in a suit. The only way for favourable coverage is for the policies proffered to be favourable to those providing and orchestrating the coverage- but even when you attempt centrist plp populism like renowned heart breaker "red ed" milliband did, the policies will still be called "sixth form socialist nonsense" and "too left wing"- even after they had those racist mugs for sale and promised at least a moderate round up of foreigns. The system favours ever more control, and the tools of fascism- skillfully woven hatred and lies- gives them that in droves over this overwhelmingly and increasingly thick, racist nation. The tories offer the further exploitation of such fertile grounds. Expecting such tools to be of use in our salvation is pointless. It all has to go.


No idea how though, and of course organising such thoughts and efforts becomes quickly problematic what with rapidly getting arrested for plotting the violent overthrow of the state, but I'm keen, mind.


Bang on. The system is rigged in capitals favour. Engaging with the system is not how socialism wins.

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forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


TACD posted:

Corbyn's policies have always been popular, it's his character that gets attacked. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people don't really know what his policies are.

Policies don't matter when it comes to winning elections though. Or rather they do but only if they can be turned into a overly simplistic soundbite to be repeated on the telly news for the rest of the day. People are obsessed with the idea of a strong leader.

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