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endlessmonotony
Nov 4, 2009

by Fritz the Horse

Ligur posted:

Work in the private sector for a while and you'll notice that in the current age of globalism (and automagization) 10% increase in costs is the death knell of your loving business.

The margins are insanely small.


You are certainly struggling to think, or you are a student, or an idealogue (who has a public sector job), but you cannot be someone who knows about how business works these days.

A single company taking the 10% without its competitors doing so, certainly.

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Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
In a couple decades or so, assuming we haven't all starved to death from our arable land all drying out, the only political question will be who gets to own the robots that do all the work for us: the rich, or everyone.

Of course by then we'll already have fully automated luxury capitalist robot armies to quell any uprisings so I think I know the answer to this one.

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


GaussianCopula posted:

What's the breakdown between public sector (including state owned companies) and private sector job on that number?

Mostly private sector jobs, since public sector jobs kept on growing at a similar rate as they had over the past two decades.

Lord of the Llamas
Jul 9, 2002

EULER'VE TO SEE IT VENN SOMEONE CALLS IT THE WRONG THING AND PROVOKES MY WRATH

GaussianCopula posted:

The first public healthcare system in the world was introduced by noted leftist Otto von Bismarck in 1883.

So what?

The Wikipedias posted:

A master of complex politics at home, Bismarck created the first welfare state in the modern world, with the goal of gaining working class support that might otherwise go to his Socialist enemies.

So basically he implemented a socialist policy out of political expediency. It's still a socialist policy you moron.

Edit: Forgot to call you a nazi oval office as is UKMT tradition.

Lord of the Llamas fucked around with this message at 22:33 on May 11, 2017

Geriatric Pirate
Apr 25, 2008

by Nyc_Tattoo
Oh great, another circlejerk about shorter workdays by permastudents who transform into business experts when this issue comes up (10% increase in labor costs? No biggie, I saw an income statement once!). I loved when the media was reporting on Sweden apparently moving to a 6 hour work day, which ended up meaning one experiment at a hospital (that turned out to be too costly: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/b...e-a7508581.html) and some plants. Maybe there'll be a day when 6 hours is the most efficient work day, but it's clearly not today.

Even if business "could" absorb a x% increase in labor costs without job losses (which, with many industries teetering on the edge of profitability seems unlikely), it seems completely insane to think they would and wouldn't just automate or outsource. Which is partly where the unions' anti-foreigner attitudes come in.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

TheRat posted:

I would refer you to GO gently caress YOURSELF YOU NAZI oval office. Why are you so loving desperate to kill poor people in other countries?

that guy sucks and i can't wait until the day he finally breaks and starts posting about phrenology to purge him from the forum forever but please do not do this

Pluskut Tukker
May 20, 2012

Flowers For Algeria posted:

It was done in 2000 in France and created 350 000 jobs for an extremely low cost overall.
At least, an extremely low cost when compared to the recent tax credits that were supposed to make French companies' competitivity so much better.

France was still in the growth phase of the economic cycle by then so it's not at all clear that the shorter work week did indeed lead to less unemployment; in any event, the effect of the shorter working week is certainly gone by now if you look at the unemployment rate, and there's no guarantee that making it even shorter will help; more likely, it will make sure noone entering the labour market gets a CDI anymore.

Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine

Fiction posted:

In a couple decades or so, assuming we haven't all starved to death from our arable land all drying out, the only political question will be who gets to own the robots that do all the work for us: the rich, or everyone.

Of course by then we'll already have fully automated luxury capitalist robot armies to quell any uprisings so I think I know the answer to this one.

I have some confidence that European countries will be smart enough to introduce laws gradually reducing the work week and/or implement a UBI to a level where huge amounts of the population aren't completely economically dispossessed. Possibly misplaced confidence, but still, some confidence. There are still enough socialists / social democrats, strong unions etc to at least make it a decent possibility.

The US though, with the overriding 'gently caress YOU GOT MINE' attitude that permeates their society top to bottom....thats definitely going to be a dystopian capitalist controlled hellscape. To an even greater degree than it already is.

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Geriatric Pirate posted:

Even if business "could" absorb a x% increase in labor costs without job losses (which, with many industries teetering on the edge of profitability seems unlikely), it seems completely insane to think they would and wouldn't just automate or outsource. Which is partly where the unions' anti-foreigner attitudes come in.

Teetering on the edge of profitability...? As someone working in finance this attitude just baffles me. Any business which can't survive an unexpected 2-4% one-time hike in operating costs is not a business long for this world. When operating margins (that is costs before taxes and interest even factor in) are that low your industry is either undergoing vast technological change (hello half of retailing today) or market saturation has created a consumer-friendly market (hello steel and brent oil) and as the market gods decree someone is going to have to go bankrupt to restore order.

Most sectors in the west which can be outsourced have already been outsourced. Furthermore, if a job paying a decent wage tips the scale in favor of automatizing that job then yeah that means that job probably should go away. I'm going to be controversial here and say that productivity gains are actually a good thing.

Antifa Poltergeist
Jun 3, 2004

"We're not laughing with you, we're laughing at you"



Geriatric Pirate posted:

Oh great, another circlejerk about shorter workdays by permastudents who transform into business experts when this issue comes up (10% increase in labor costs? No biggie, I saw an income statement once!). I loved when the media was reporting on Sweden apparently moving to a 6 hour work day, which ended up meaning one experiment at a hospital (that turned out to be too costly: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/b...e-a7508581.html) and some plants. Maybe there'll be a day when 6 hours is the most efficient work day, but it's clearly not today.

Even if business "could" absorb a x% increase in labor costs without job losses (which, with many industries teetering on the edge of profitability seems unlikely), it seems completely insane to think they would and wouldn't just automate or outsource. Which is partly where the unions' anti-foreigner attitudes come in.

Dude and we were having a nice discussion about union support or lack of there off To immigrants.the only sectors that could not readily absorb the cost would be retail and food,and the extra expenditure would be partly compensated by a reduction in vat rates and labour taxes,which impact those industries in a big way.because you would have a increase in employment you would get 1) less government expenditure on social welfare 2) increased tax base 3) a fairer vat which is one of the most regressive taxes. I'm phoneposting now but there's a ton of literature about this and also its what happened in France in the 2000s like FFA said.
The key to reducing the service impact to specific sectors like healthcare , police and other essential services is not reduction to 35 hours, its cutting it to 32,keeping the 8 hour work day and getting one extra off day. Automation is coming anyway,and its not because there's a 30,40,50 hour week.outsourcing already exist and its not because of a 30,40,50 hour week.
Real talk here this is a thing that needs to happen in the near future because 50% youth unemployment is not a thing sustainable forever if you want to keep a functioning society.
Here's the thing few people on the right and the left are willing to admit: you pay taxes so that a mob of hungry desperate people won't kill you.
There's a big chunk of society that seems to chose to forget this fact throughout history and when they relearn it they relearn it the hard way.

Edit:there's a bunch of stuff linked to this like capping pensions and wages to multipliers of the minimum wage that ill dig up when I get home,of course it means a major restructure of the current system so lol of course it will never happen. So for what its worth when I'm in a roving mad cannibalistic mob I hope I don't kill and eat any of you.

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

ChainsawCharlie posted:

Here's the thing few people on the right and the left are willing to admit: you pay taxes so that a mob of hungry desperate people won't kill you.

This by the way, for those of you who don't know, was an idea coined by noted leftist and grandfather of loving capitalism Adam Smith way back in 1776 in The Wealth of Nations.

Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine

ChainsawCharlie posted:

Here's the thing few people on the right and the left are willing to admit: you pay taxes so that a mob of hungry desperate people won't kill you.

Every time I've gotten into a debate with a right winger who hates the idea of welfare about the subject I never try to appeal to their humanitarian side any more (because it doesn't exist). Instead I ask what they think that 5-10% of the population that is currently living on welfare would do if they couldn't afford food? Would they just let their children starve, or would they resort to violence to prevent this? And who would they immediately start violently robbing?

Bringing up the examples of South American countries or South Africa where theres extreme income inequality, and a sky high violent crime rate as a result, usually makes right wing people at least admit the cost of some decent level of welfare is worth it to keep themselves and their property safe.

rgocs
Nov 9, 2011

Blut posted:

Every time I've gotten into a debate with a right winger who hates the idea of welfare about the subject I never try to appeal to their humanitarian side any more (because it doesn't exist). Instead I ask what they think that 5-10% of the population that is currently living on welfare would do if they couldn't afford food? Would they just let their children starve, or would they resort to violence to prevent this? And who would they immediately start violently robbing?

They know this though. It's why they keep bringing up immigrants as the cause of their misfortune, that way they can focus their rage against immigrants instead of the rich.

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead
https://twitter.com/spignal/status/862692376673832960

Well, that's quite something.

MatchaZed
Feb 14, 2010

We Can Do It!



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eeLpkCZkWfc This guy? I mean, I respect him, but do you really want someone who seriously wears cravats these days?

Toplowtech
Aug 31, 2004

WilliamAnderson posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eeLpkCZkWfc This guy? I mean, I respect him, but do you really want someone who seriously wears cravats these days?
But what if he wears the right shirt for it?

Goa Tse-tung
Feb 11, 2008

;3

Yams Fan

WilliamAnderson posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eeLpkCZkWfc This guy? I mean, I respect him, but do you really want someone who seriously wears cravats these days?

holy poo poo that dude owns

9-Volt Assault
Jan 27, 2007

Beter twee tetten in de hand dan tien op de vlucht.

Geriatric Pirate posted:

Oh great, another circlejerk about shorter workdays by permastudents who transform into business experts when this issue comes up (10% increase in labor costs? No biggie, I saw an income statement once!). I loved when the media was reporting on Sweden apparently moving to a 6 hour work day, which ended up meaning one experiment at a hospital (that turned out to be too costly: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/b...e-a7508581.html) and some plants. Maybe there'll be a day when 6 hours is the most efficient work day, but it's clearly not today.

Even if business "could" absorb a x% increase in labor costs without job losses (which, with many industries teetering on the edge of profitability seems unlikely), it seems completely insane to think they would and wouldn't just automate or outsource. Which is partly where the unions' anti-foreigner attitudes come in.

Hmm yes, that study that showed nurses that worked 6 hours a day were happier, healthier and just as productive. It just costs a bit more in the short term, but if it were to run longer it most likely recouped it costs because of lower healthcare costs, as reported by noted anti-capitalist site Bloomberg.

But welp, it benefits workers so of course you present the version of events that suit your worldview where nothing that is good for workers is possible.

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!
I gotta be honest and say a 35 hour workweek isn't a great idea.

Since the introduction of the 40 hour workweek we've had massive productivity gains through huge increases of average education level, the introduction of computers and the internet and robotics.

A demand for a 20 hour workweek is much more reasonable.

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


Villani is an okay guy and his style owns. But from what little I've heard of his political ideas, they're... I dunno, not very developed?

Shibawanko
Feb 13, 2013

I honestly don't give a poo poo about how businesses do as long as public services function and there's healthcare and food.

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

9-Volt Assault posted:

Hmm yes, that study that showed nurses that worked 6 hours a day were happier, healthier and just as productive. It just costs a bit more in the short term, but if it were to run longer it most likely recouped it costs because of lower healthcare costs, as reported by noted anti-capitalist site Bloomberg.

But welp, it benefits workers so of course you present the version of events that suit your worldview where nothing that is good for workers is possible.

But if they are more productive, wouldn't that mean jobs would actually be lost be reducing the workday? It's also important to keep in mind that nurses have a particularly physically demanding job, so the benefits in other sectors are probably a lot smaller. Additionally the report you cited did not state that the productivity gain would be enough to offset a 25% reduction in worktime.

Not to mention that certain western countries are already running into labor shortages, a situation that would be markedly worse if they reduced worktime.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

Shibawanko posted:

I honestly don't give a poo poo about how businesses do as long as public services function and there's healthcare and food.

This. The economy exists to support the general population, not the other way around. Therefore, we should siphon as much money out of businesses into the pockets of people (or into investments in infrastructure and education and stuff) as is reasonably practical without totally breaking the economy, i.e. we should treat them like any other resource we want to exploit sustainably.

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



Six hour workdays might not be the best idea, but there's no point in working more than eight hours even from a productivity standpoint. I approve of governments cracking down on the scourge of unpaid overtime.

Shibawanko
Feb 13, 2013

I'd accept big macroeconomic losses if it means good hospitals, trains, affordable housing, food and a sufficient basic income for all, even if it leaves no room for excesses like electronics and personal cars..

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

blowfish posted:

This. The economy exists to support the general population, not the other way around. Therefore, we should siphon as much money out of businesses into the pockets of people (or into investments in infrastructure and education and stuff) as is reasonably practical without totally breaking the economy, i.e. we should treat them like any other resource we want to exploit sustainably.

You are aware that businesses are not autonomous and are owned by people, who you would siphon money away from?

Shibawanko posted:

I'd accept big macroeconomic losses if it means good hospitals, trains, affordable housing, food and a sufficient basic income for all, even if it leaves no room for excesses like electronics and personal cars..


So basically Germany in 2017?

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy

GaussianCopula posted:

You are aware that businesses are not autonomous and are owned by people, who you would siphon money away from?

Corporations aren't people, no matter how hard those libertarians want them to be.

Pizdec
Dec 10, 2012

Wild Horses posted:

i can see shortened working days being real good in a healthcare setting, they tried it already
https://www.vardfokus.se/tidningen/2015/nr-11-2015-11/gabriele-jobbar/
sorry it's in swedish but its about productivity and wellbeing going UP after they switched to 6 hour days
The hell?

Why would you test the 6-hour working day in the healthcare sector of all places, where labour spend is the largest chunk of operating expenses (50%+ compared to 10-30% elsewhere), where there are severe labour shortages, and where long working hours are dictated by factors other than profit (i.e. information continuity)? If anything, healthcare would be a significant argument against a 30-hour workweek, any reform towards it would probably have to provide for some large-scale exceptions for the sector.

Test it in retail for example, and then see what happens. I mean you Swedes even have a government-owned chain of stores ripe for experimentation ffs
That's very technocratic of Macron, but mathematicians tend to have completely bonkers opinions outside their field of study. Is he one of those?

GaussianCopula posted:

Well, I would refer you to a certain Macron, who is president-elect and former Minister of Economy of France, whose analysis, shared by much of the mainstream press and academia points towards the fact that the French indeed do not get enough for their taxes.
Am I seeing this right? Is your chief argument actually "a politican believes it!"? :laffo:

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy

Pizdec posted:

The hell?

Why would you test the 6-hour working day in the healthcare sector of all places

because tired doctors kill people

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


GaussianCopula posted:

But if they are more productive, wouldn't that mean jobs would actually be lost be reducing the workday? It's also important to keep in mind that nurses have a particularly physically demanding job, so the benefits in other sectors are probably a lot smaller. Additionally the report you cited did not state that the productivity gain would be enough to offset a 25% reduction in worktime.

Not to mention that certain western countries are already running into labor shortages, a situation that would be markedly worse if they reduced worktime.

Then all they have to do is remove those silly barriers to immigration and tada problem solved

Immigration is good: it can help make a 25 hour workweek possible.

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

Truga posted:

Corporations aren't people, no matter how hard those libertarians want them to be.

Corporations are owned by people and you would take away the money from those people.

Flowers For Algeria posted:

Then all they have to do is remove those silly barriers to immigration and tada problem solved

Immigration is good: it can help make a 25 hour workweek possible.


There are no legal limits on immigration in the EU, still certain countries have very high unemployment while others have labor shortages - why is that?

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

GaussianCopula posted:

You are aware that businesses are not autonomous and are owned by people, who you would siphon money away from?

Anywhere you find that money accumulates without being spent on vaguely useful things in a reasonable timeframe. E.g. any profits that go straight into executive compensation packages or just sit in the bank instead of being reinvested into the company.

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

GaussianCopula posted:

Corporations are owned by people and you would take away the money from those people.

Absolute monarchies were basically countries owned by people yet nobody reasonable had much qualms taking their poo poo away.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

Orange Devil posted:

Absolute monarchies were basically countries owned by people yet nobody reasonable had much qualms taking their poo poo away.

Marginal value: a concept so hard, no temporarily embarrassed millionaire could possibly understand it.

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


GaussianCopula posted:

Corporations are owned by people and you would take away the money from those people.



There are no legal limits on immigration in the EU, still certain countries have very high unemployment while others have labor shortages - why is that?

Because instead of investing money on education for immigrants and subsidizing their access to the workforce and spending to drive public demand up, states tend to spend money on impoverishing immigrants, chasing them out, and so on?

GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

blowfish posted:

Anywhere you find that money accumulates without being spent on vaguely useful things in a reasonable timeframe. E.g. any profits that go straight into executive compensation packages or just sit in the bank instead of being reinvested into the company.

There is very little money that just sits around and does nothing (the exception being oversea profits of companies like Apple, which for tax reasons can't be repatriated - that would be an area where something needs to be done) - rather the money is reinvested either by the company itself or by the private individual who got it as compensation for their services.

I really don't get why people always focus on redistributing wealth instead of simply creating more of it. The economy is not a zero sum game.

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


GaussianCopula posted:

There is very little money that just sits around and does nothing (the exception being oversea profits of companies like Apple, which for tax reasons can't be repatriated - that would be an area where something needs to be done) - rather the money is reinvested either by the company itself or by the private individual who got it as compensation for their services.

I really don't get why people always focus on redistributing wealth instead of simply creating more of it. The economy is not a zero sum game.

Because being insanely rich like the 1% while people die in the streets is fundamentally immoral

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



A well-functioning market economy is what will allow you to sustain the former. I don't know how some people still haven't learned this lesson in the 21st century, after the complete failure of any sort of communist system ever attempted. The latest attempt in Venezuela is failing spectacularly right now.

'Wealth' is not a static given or manna floating in the air that you can just go siphon off and redistribute however you please without it having any effect. It's something intangible continually produced through the interaction of countless actors and institutions, motivated by specific attitudes, within the cultural and technological context of a specific society. Private property and a capitalist economy play an important role in that process, the government's role is to set the limits and to make sure the created wealth benefits society as a whole.

e: that was in reply to Shibawanko, goddamn this thread is moving fast

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy

GaussianCopula posted:

There is very little money that just sits around and does nothing

This is true, most money needs to keep moving around the loving world a lot before it ends up in some large corp's or a CEO's account in a tax haven.

The fix is still guillotine.

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GaussianCopula
Jun 5, 2011
Jews fleeing the Holocaust are not in any way comparable to North Africans, who don't flee genocide but want to enjoy the social welfare systems of Northern Europe.

Flowers For Algeria posted:

Because being insanely rich like the 1% while people die in the streets is fundamentally immoral

Where exactly do "people die in the streets" in the EU? I must have missed that.

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