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I think I read in NYT that apparently usually over half of Montana votes early. So if Gianforte had a good lead, him losing votes today might not be enough.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:08 |
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# ? May 13, 2024 11:24 |
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Smol posted:I think I read in NYT that apparently usually over half of Montana votes early. So if Gianforte had a good lead, him losing votes today might not be enough. except this race was going to be close before the criminal assault. If this was a typical hellhole with a good GOP candidate and a typical dem it may be lost, but we already had a terrific dem, a horrible republican, and a race that was going to be close. The election day voters are going to be strongly tilted towards quist and they wont have much ground to make up because it was supposed to be close anyway
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:15 |
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I saw hundreds and hundreds of new posts, wondering what stupid or awful thing Trump did today. And it wasn't even Trump this time!
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:17 |
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Break out that banjo! edit: holy poo poo, he can even play a flute. What can't Quist do? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzPaI5bTP48 Rigel fucked around with this message at 07:20 on May 25, 2017 |
# ? May 25, 2017 07:17 |
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The most amazing this about this is how close they brought it to flesh tone. There's barely a noticeable border between the top of his head and the background. I suddenly feel like fish tacos.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:20 |
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Caros posted:The final vote count was 217-213 with one absent who would have voted yes. We know that in the initial round (before things were changed) the total got as high at 223, though two of those were democrats who... I dunno, had a seizure or something. That means the republicans likely had, at minimum, 222 of the 216 votes that they needed. So no, one vote does not in fact matter. Democrats are unlikely to flip six house seats before 2016, so it really doesn't seem likely to matter in the grand scheme of things from a legislative sense. Oh my bad I thought it was closer than that. Although you can't really conclude anything definite from intermediate vote-counts, like you said there were even two Democratic yes votes for a little while. House members play games with their vote during the window or sometimes just make a mistake. When you've already got Republicans touting their opposition to taking away health care from millions of people, and a bill coming back with changes that could alienate part of the Freedom Causus, these 3 House elections could very well make the difference. Sure I'd prefer an unambiguous loss on Health Care to a bodyslam-based loss too. On the other hand, I'd still prefer a bodyslam-based loss to a narrow Republican win on the AHCA. The next two elections can still put the fear into the moderates: if GA-06 and whatever Mulvaney's SC district is go down, Republicans won't be able to tell themselves Montana was just a fluke.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:23 |
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VitalSigns posted:And there are two more house special elections coming up in June. Where is the non-Georgia election?
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:24 |
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Hyrax Attack! posted:He has $300 million? Why would he want to be in Congress? I'd buy a house in Kauai and go to weekly luaus. They always want more, it's an addiction. Someone else's yacht is always bigger than yours.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:24 |
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I don't see why the focus on "scaring Republicans" since if they gave a poo poo in the first place, then they're probably already "scared" (and if they don't see the writing on the wall already, then a special election isn't going to make a big difference). And, a lot of them probably aren't too concerned with losing their seats anyway. The Democratic party is the craven politician's guild - the GOP is there to push through the more heinous components of the ruling class's agenda, and the smarter rank-and-file already know that. Losing their seat in the line of duty just means richer rewards later on for them. For the rest, a scared GOP just means more voter suppression and propaganda and whatever other underhanded poo poo they can dream up. It's not going to change the agenda - that's locked in.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:25 |
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paperwind posted:I saw hundreds and hundreds of new posts, wondering what stupid or awful thing Trump did today. Trump told Duterte that Duterte is doing a great job with the drug problem and also divulged we have two "nuclear submarines" off the coast of North Korea. Trump noted we totally don't want to use them. It is unclear if Trump meant nuclear powered or nuclear armed, since he likely does not understand the distinction. Also his hotels aren't disclosing payments from foreign powers, abrogating his promise to do so.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:25 |
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Furnaceface posted:Trump is going to claim the tape is a fake and say he has the real one then accidentally give the media the pee tape. Trump has no idea how to make a tape or what a tape even looks like.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:26 |
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FizFashizzle posted:the bbq To be honest, the BBQ is probably the main victim here.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:27 |
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RZApublican posted:Where is the non-Georgia election? South Carolina's 5th congressional district special election Mick Mulvaney's former district.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:27 |
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Really should go a step further and compare apples to apples: that's 72 deaths caused by foreign terrorists per year compared to a conservative estimate of 44,000 additional deaths per year likely to be caused by the AHCA.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:28 |
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The Lord of Hats posted:Everyone knows that the true measure of geographical worth is miles of freshwater shoreline, which is why Minnesota is the best state in the nation. Alaska is obviously superior.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:28 |
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mango sentinel posted:Trump told Duterte that Duterte is doing a great job with the drug problem and also divulged we have two "nuclear submarines" off the coast of North Korea. Trump noted we totally don't want to use them. It is unclear if Trump meant nuclear powered or nuclear armed, since he likely does not understand the distinction. That certainly puts an interesting spin on his promise to solve the opioid crisis.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:28 |
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RZApublican posted:Where is the non-Georgia election? California, Xavier Becerra's old seat. But it's not super interesting because due to California's Jungle Primary system, both candidates are Democrats
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:28 |
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mango sentinel posted:Trump told Duterte that Duterte is doing a great job with the drug problem and also divulged we have two "nuclear submarines" off the coast of North Korea. Trump noted we totally don't want to use them. It is unclear if Trump meant nuclear powered or nuclear armed, since he likely does not understand the distinction. But yeah, he probably doesn't understand the distinction.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:28 |
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South Carolina to replace Mulvaney. Don't get your hopes up.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:29 |
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glowing-fish posted:The highest point in Arkansas is 2700 feet. "Montana is all a flat prairie." - glowing-fish if he lived in Nepal.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:29 |
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FourLeaf posted:Rich white businessmen can get away with anything If he faces consequences because of this, it'll only be because he's a politician under heavy public scrutiny already. "He's a pillar of the community and this is a first time offense..." (because we never convicted him of the other offenses because he was a pillar of the community [rich] and it was a first time offense [every time]).
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:30 |
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Smol posted:I think I read in NYT that apparently usually over half of Montana votes early. So if Gianforte had a good lead, him losing votes today might not be enough. Billings Gazette, the paper that withdrew the endorsement, said it was only 37%. So it should be interesting. Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:Truth. Also: And another one. He's going to have to update his website soon! http://helenair.com/news/local/inde...aign=user-share
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:31 |
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mango sentinel posted:Trump told Duterte that Duterte is doing a great job with the drug problem and also divulged we have two "nuclear submarines" off the coast of North Korea. Trump noted we totally don't want to use them. It is unclear if Trump meant nuclear powered or nuclear armed, since he likely does not understand the distinction. Probably armed since North Korea has been playing with nukes and missiles for a while. Or maybe they just shoot down missiles and thats why every missile NC fires ends up a failure... That would actually make a ton of sense, I don't think its that hard to build a basic missile.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:31 |
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Kilroy posted:I don't see why the focus on "scaring Republicans" since if they gave a poo poo in the first place, then they're probably already "scared" (and if they don't see the writing on the wall already, then a special election isn't going to make a big difference). And, a lot of them probably aren't too concerned with losing their seats anyway. The Democratic party is the craven politician's guild - the GOP is there to push through the more heinous components of the ruling class's agenda, and the smarter rank-and-file already know that. Losing their seat in the line of duty just means richer rewards later on for them. For the rest, a scared GOP just means more voter suppression and propaganda and whatever other underhanded poo poo they can dream up. It's not going to change the agenda - that's locked in. While I basically agree that an overconfident GOP would be easier to beat in some ways, even Democrats like winning. The more the GOP seems beatable, the more likely it is that the masses of Covoks will actually get off their "nothing matters" despair sofas and vote in 2018.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:31 |
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RZApublican posted:Where is the non-Georgia election? South Carolina. My district. I'm knocking on doors in this one as soon as it stops loving raining all of the time.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:34 |
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Erostratus posted:Billings Gazette, the paper that withdrew the endorsement, said it was only 37%. So it should be interesting. That's 37% of the electorate, which probably is more than 50% of the people who will actually end up voting. Looks like the average is around 75% is a presidential year, which this isn't. Even for a hyped special election, you're never going to get 75% in an off year.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:34 |
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The best part about this is that state Republicans kiboshed an effort to do the whole election by mail because doing so (and saving a bunch of money) would benefit Democrats. That's not my leftist interpretation of what happened, its theirs. MT GOP Chair Jeff Essman posted:Dear Republican Friends, If we make it convenient for people to vote we won't win Man wouldn't it be a shame if all the ballots were either counted or in the mail tonight? Chef Boyardeez Nuts fucked around with this message at 07:40 on May 25, 2017 |
# ? May 25, 2017 07:36 |
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Rigel posted:Break out that banjo! Win the election, probably
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:36 |
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Mountain chat: my cousin's partner came out west to visit the family a couple years ago and we took her to Mount Ranier. She's been to the Ozarks, been to the Appalachians, etc but once we got up to Lake Tipsoo, even she was saying that anything east of the Rockies were just hills.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:37 |
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Stickman posted:While I basically agree that an overconfident GOP would be easier to beat in some ways, even Democrats like winning. The more the GOP seems beatable, the more likely it is that the masses of Covoks will actually get off their "nothing matters" despair sofas and vote in 2018. The best thing the Democrats can do to win elections is show why they're better than the Republicans. Part of that is making GBS threads on Republicans, but mostly it is about providing a clear alternative, articulating why it's better, convincing voters of that, then acting on your platform once elected and doing everything you can to accomplish as much as you can. Democrats mostly don't do any of that poo poo and they need to start.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:38 |
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farraday posted:South Carolina to replace Mulvaney. Don't get your hopes up. Didn't plan to, I live in SC. It would be less of a long shot if the black people in our state weren't gerrymandered to hell and back. zetamind2000 fucked around with this message at 07:42 on May 25, 2017 |
# ? May 25, 2017 07:38 |
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AShamefulDisplay posted:Mountain chat: my cousin's partner came out west to visit the family a couple years ago and we took her to Mount Ranier. She's been to the Ozarks, been to the Appalachians, etc but once we got up to Lake Tipsoo, even she was saying that anything east of the Rockies were just hills. i'm very impressed that your cousin's partner was able to recognize the relative difference in height across different types of mountains. thank you for sharing, this was very brave
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:39 |
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spunkshui posted:Probably armed since North Korea has been playing with nukes and missiles for a while. Kerbal Space Program would like to have a word with you. Even though it's a gamey simulation, it goes to show you that it's actually pretty difficult to build a rocket that you want to do something other than go up. We're not even talking about getting the thing to hit a target on another land mass relatively unseen, that's like a whole other ballgame altogether. Even Space X forgot to do their staging in the correct order, the common noob mistake in Kerbal.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:40 |
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farraday posted:South Carolina to replace Mulvaney. Don't get your hopes up. Whatever, haters. Can't fly if you don't try.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:40 |
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Oh? You've never seen or set foot on Mauna Kea? Your ideas of mountains must be so quaint.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:43 |
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Young Freud posted:Kerbal Space Program would like to have a word with you. Even though it's a gamey simulation, it goes to show you that it's actually pretty difficult to build a rocket that you want to do something other than go up. We're not even talking about getting the thing to hit a target on another land mass relatively unseen, that's like a whole other ballgame altogether. You would think they would manage to shoot something up into space at least. (not into proper orbit even) Thats what I would try first, but then again I'm not a crazy motherfucker.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:43 |
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boner confessor posted:i'm very impressed that your cousin's partner was able to recognize the relative difference in height across different types of mountains. thank you for sharing, this was very brave Yeah just saying this particular debate isn't relegated to spergs on a dying gay Internet forum
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:44 |
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So, I didn't know anything about Quist before reading about the Montana special election, but reading about him on Wikipedia (I know, not the best source) outside of his music background, he actually seems like he has a very decent set of positions on a lot of issues. Mind you, as he really has only been in politics for about 6 months, it's hard to know much more about him. Does anyone closer to this have more information about him?
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:45 |
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spunkshui posted:Probably armed since North Korea has been playing with nukes and missiles for a while. 1) SSBN subs don't need to be close to their prospective targets, they're basically armed with ICBMs. 2) Being near NK suggests they're probably regular subs with cruise missiles, though as I said Trump probably doesn't understand the difference. 3) Telling anyone where our SSBNs are is tantamount to treason, so I feel we would have had a little more grousing from the military if that's what is was. 4) It's literally rocket science. It's not happenstance that's a byword for an incredibly complicated and demanding task.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:46 |
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# ? May 13, 2024 11:24 |
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Ice Phisherman posted:Whatever, haters. Can't fly if you don't try. Do your best, I'd love to win back Frank Underwood's seat.
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# ? May 25, 2017 07:46 |