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Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later?
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May 26, 2017 03:34
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Covok posted:The precincts that did report were the ones he needed to win and win big. It's pretty much over. A man who assaulted journalists the day before the election won. Democracy in America is a failed experiment, mate. When you learn what a precinct is, you will understand how stupid your post is.
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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Khisanth Magus posted:1/3 of all registered voters in the state mailed in ballots, this needed to happen sooner. Yeah, that's why I said earlier that the amount of early voting made the body slam not matter what's so ever. It's just over for the Dems here, really. Koyaanisgoatse posted:Dude's probably gonna lose but what's important is the amount he loses by. A single-digit loss is still bad news for GOP Yeah, keep running on that one, mate. Maybe one day it will be true.
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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GreyjoyBastard posted:Did Nate Silver estimate a reasonable probability of Trump victory in 2016?
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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QuoProQuid posted:I don't see how Quist wins without a massive Election Day swing in his direction I think Quist was an okay candidate I think the issue is there are probably a fair number of Gianfonte early voters who would've not voted/voted Quist after the assault who can't change their votes. In hopeful news, Quist does appear to be outrunning Hilldawg by a ton. https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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It's going to be hilarious for conservatives to label this a big win when it should have barely registered as a fight in the first place.
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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Missing Donut posted:When you learn what a precinct is, you will understand how stupid your post is. The rest left are the heavily rural ones. It's over.
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? Exactly, Covok's making GBS threads up the thread notwithstanding
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May 26, 2017 03:35
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? Yes. I mean a Dem win would've been great but yes.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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yep, its now pretty clear that Quist needs a massive election-day swing. The early mail-in votes do not point to victory.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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GreyjoyBastard posted:Did Nate Silver estimate a reasonable probability of Trump victory in 2016? ... yes. Yes he did. He was in fact the one dude who did so.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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in 2018 Jeb! will run and bodyslam a reporter to increase his chances of winning
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? Yes, but we can't let that get in the way of good old "everything sucks" freakout.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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Covok posted:It's likely going to go 60-40, R at this point if the rural counties aren't in. Considering Trump's rhetroic, i'm not suprised 9% of people voted R because he assaulted journalists. We just aren't living in a sane nation anymore. That's why the solution is to escalate and have Dems stop pretending we are. We should be hitting back first and slapping or hitting other candidates in debates.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? Precisely.
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May 26, 2017 03:36
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? Sure but have Republicans been listening to warnings lately? They only understand defeat. Trimp will view any victory as endorsement. That said don't cry till it's actually over.
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May 26, 2017 03:37
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Supremezero posted:... yes. Yes he did. He was in fact the one dude who did so. Was joke. Emoticon and specific choice of source may not have properly conveyed joke.
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May 26, 2017 03:37
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Khisanth Magus posted:1/3 of all registered voters in the state mailed in ballots, this needed to happen sooner. Okay, the man who is running in the same political party that voted for AHCA and Donald Trump won.
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May 26, 2017 03:37
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Typo posted:in 2018 Jeb! will run and bodyslam a reporter to increase his chances of winning Please slam.
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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Nothus posted:Yes, but we can't let that get in the way of good old "everything sucks" freakout. I mean, if Quist loses it's deeply disappointing because in a universe where Ben Jacobs gets bodyslammed last week or 2 weeks ago Quist wins easy probably
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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business hammocks posted:Isn't the issue with this race that it shouldn't be remotely close, to the point where +10 for a republican there is a warning sign for tight races later? If I was a GOPer and I didn't win by 20+ I'd be making GBS threads myself right now. EDIT: Then I'd suplex Robert Costa.
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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ISeeCuckedPeople posted:That's why the solution is to escalate and have Dems stop pretending we are. I try not to be hyperbolic, but this is one of the most stupid and insane proposals I have ever read in this thread. E: The idea that the heartland somehow likes assaulting journalists is incredibly patronizing.
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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fsif posted:Okay, the man who is running in the same political party that voted for AHCA and Donald Trump won. Trump won Montana by 20 points what don't you get. The number of people who voted for him hasn't dropped in Montana by 20 points. He would still win in this state if he ran loving today against Hillary. This is a GOP stronghold. One loving governor or senator doesn't change that fact.
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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Covok posted:The precincts that did report were the ones he needed to win and win big. It's pretty much over. A man who assaulted journalists the day before the election won. Democracy in America is a failed experiment, mate. If your constitution is too weak to do what's necessary, have one of your slaves do it for you. As a piece of furniture, it still counts as by your own hand and your dignatas and virtus will remain intact.
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May 26, 2017 03:38
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two outcomes kinda neato dem wins gop has to deal with man who just assaulted a reporter i don't see how any of us lose here
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May 26, 2017 03:39
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Montana is a deep red state that because of Trump's toxicity is having an election that makes it purple. Which means that states that are already purple are going to be trending blue. That's the point of this whole thing.
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May 26, 2017 03:39
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QuoProQuid posted:I try not to be hyperbolic, but this is one of the most stupid and insane proposals I have ever read in this thread. You realize how weak you sound and how much your enemies bask in your weakness? Do you think Hitler got stopped by saying "oh he's killing some jews lets give up"
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May 26, 2017 03:39
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Montana is a deep red state that because of Trump's toxicity is having an election that makes it purple. Which means that states that are already purple are going to be trending blue. i think you'll find that republicans will always win, forever
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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i dont know how any of you read this thread without having covok on ignore. even when he isn't wetting the bed, his posts are the stupidest garbage in the thread.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:That's not the point. Montana is supposed to be dominated by the Republican candidate. So if a Dem can make a good showing and be competitive that bodes ill for the GOP on the national level. This. Holy poo poo, this race is neck and neck and it's in MONTANA. If people are this pissed at the Republican party in a deep red state that's a good sign, Democrats need to start putting money into swing state elections ASAP.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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Guys It's loving Montana. I don't think a loss here signals the final death of the Democratic Party.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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Trump is irrelevant to the legislature. The actual reps up next year have to care about this because soon it will be them getting this heat. Compared to Ossoff, the democratic party ignored this race entirely because it couldn't have been made competitive. Yet it's nearly a dead heat.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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ISeeCuckedPeople posted:You realize how weak you sound and how much your enemies bask in your weakness? oh wait. you're just a troll nm
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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skylined! posted:two outcomes No but see DEMOCRACY IS OVER
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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Koyaanisgoatse posted:Exactly, Covok's making GBS threads up the thread notwithstanding No, he's making GBS threads up the thread BECAUSE of it. Because he's a troll and not a good faith poster. He wouldn't be here posting if Quist was winning. He's here for the loss.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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axeil posted:I mean, if Quist loses it's deeply disappointing because in a universe where Ben Jacobs gets bodyslammed last week or 2 weeks ago Quist wins easy probably Yes, which is why anyone who tells you that America sucks because the Ben Jacobs punchup didn't affect an election in which 60% of the votes were mailed in early is an idiot.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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BRISTOL PALINS BABY posted:i dont know how any of you read this thread without having covok on ignore. even when he isn't wetting the bed, his posts are the stupidest garbage in the thread. Counterpoint: McMagic
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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For those who arent looking at it, the decision desk maps are useful, they have maps where the counties are resized by population so that you can just look at the map and see how its going without doing math and looking at cities.
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May 26, 2017 03:40
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ISeeCuckedPeople posted:You realize how weak you sound and how much your enemies bask in your weakness? I agree, America should be invaded.
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May 26, 2017 03:41
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Koyaanisgoatse posted:The best BBQ sauce is eastern NC-style (fight me, Asheville guy) Western style go die heretic
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May 26, 2017 03:41
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