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ISeeCuckedPeople posted:You realize how weak you sound and how much your enemies bask in your weakness? If only someone had slapped Hitler in a debate, that would have stopped him.
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May 26, 2017 03:41
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TARDISman posted:If I was a GOPer and I didn't win by 20+ I'd be making GBS threads myself right now. Their dude just choke slammed a reporter and the GOP has endured pretty much nothing but negative news cycles since Trump took office. Maybe Republicans in blueish areas could sweat, but the majority of them can probably exhale right about now.
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May 26, 2017 03:42
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Space Cadet Omoly posted:This. Holy poo poo, this race is neck and neck and it's in MONTANA. If people are this pissed the the Republican party in a deep red state that's a good sign, Democrats need to start putting money into swing state elections ASAP. Also this is a dead heat with 60% of the votes cast BEFORE THE ASSAULT. And people were trying to switch their votes.
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May 26, 2017 03:42
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Space Cadet Omoly posted:This. Holy poo poo, this race is neck and neck and it's in MONTANA. If people are this pissed the the Republican party in a deep red state that's a good sign, Democrats need to start putting money into swing state elections ASAP. Ossoff winning in a shocking landslide will be the final thing we've been building to since KS-03.
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May 26, 2017 03:42
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Montana is a deep red state that because of Trump's toxicity is having an election that makes it purple. Which means that states that are already purple are going to be trending blue.
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May 26, 2017 03:42
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The "compared to 2016 house" map on ddhq is nice and blue
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May 26, 2017 03:42
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fsif posted:Their dude just choke slammed a reporter and the GOP has endured pretty much nothing but negative news cycles since Trump took office. Maybe Republicans in blueish areas could sweat, but the majority of them can probably exhale right about now. The chokeslam happened yesterday and a majority of Montana's electorate voted early.
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May 26, 2017 03:43
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The whole point of trump choosing a oval office from that district for an appointment is that there was no danger for a democrat to take the seat. But now there was a lot of danger. Also will the new oval office go to jail for suplexing a guy on tape? Can he vote from jail?
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May 26, 2017 03:43
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According to Nate Silver it looks like Gianfote is going to end up winning the early vote by 5-9 points. Which is, as he says, a moral victory for the Dems. One can only imagine how much smaller that would be if those votes were post Body-slam
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May 26, 2017 03:43
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I've been out. Doing stuff. This is all pretty promising though
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May 26, 2017 03:43
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Silverbow (Butte) and Flathead (Kalispell) are the big tickets yet to show.
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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nachos posted:The "compared to 2016 house" map on ddhq is nice and blue Except the GOP won the 2016 house race by like 20 points. The 2016 Gubernatorial race is the one to look at, cuz the Dems won that one.
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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theflyingorc posted:Western style go die heretic Nice wrong opinion  Also my GF's parents would never talk to me again if I preferred western-style
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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nachos posted:The "compared to 2016 house" map on ddhq is nice and blue and for the compared to governor map, the dem won by 4. So, that map doesnt need to be blue, but it does need to be at least the lightest shade of pink.
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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Koyaanisgoatse posted:Dude's probably gonna lose but what's important is the amount he loses by. A single-digit loss is still bad news for GOP The GOP has almost 18 months to gut voting rights nationwide for the midterms and as long as they can look even half-competent for 1-2 weeks before the election they'll probably save countless races. It's nice to think "well these races were close" but the 10+ point swing needs to exist in 18 months and even 18 days is a long time for people who don't closely follow politics. STAC Goat posted:No, he's making GBS threads up the thread BECAUSE of it. Because he's a troll and not a good faith poster. He wouldn't be here posting if Quist was winning. He's here for the loss. So report his stupid bullshit and maybe the mods will eventually ban him after he keeps eating probations?
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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fsif posted:Their dude just choke slammed a reporter and the GOP has endured pretty much nothing but negative news cycles since Trump took office. Maybe Republicans in blueish areas could sweat, but the majority of them can probably exhale right about now. Do you realize how many districts are less red than this? It's not true for this Senate cycle but the House? Uh yeah.
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May 26, 2017 03:44
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:According to Nate Silver it looks like Gianfote is going to end up winning the early vote by 5-9 points. If quist wins or this ends up being within 2 points, then the assault mattered.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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nachos posted:The "compared to 2016 house" map on ddhq is nice and blue That's the one we lost. The one compared to governor's race is all red, which pretty much shows it's not going well.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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Ragnar Homsar posted:...a majority of Montana's electorate voted early. Of course - voting by absentee ballot is the only way they can't read your mind in the voting booth, and so long as you wear powderless gloves, they can't get your fingerprints off your ballot and envelope. Every Montanan knows that! 
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/867933954929639424 I know people are getting sick of moral victories but a 20+ point win down to 5 points is an enormous, back breaking swing in the Dems favor. What I still don't get is how the state elects Dem Senators by slim margins and GOP House members by huge margins. The electorate is identical.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:Silverbow (Butte) and Flathead (Kalispell) are the big tickets yet to show. I'd be floored if either went for Quist. The change in Kalispell could be interesting.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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Rigel posted:and for the compared to governor map, the dem won by 4. So, that map doesnt need to be blue, but it does need to be at least the lightest shade of pink. The result of this race won't be known until at least the morning. Decision desk is saying Gianforte is doing 4-5% better.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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QuoProQuid posted:oh wait. No i'm not. But a bunch of reporters quotes around this thread got posted where they went and asked some gas attendent "What do you think of gianforte assaulting a newreporter" and they said "Thats kind of my politician." And I loving agree. Because honestly I hate the press after what they did in the last election. Don't give them a loving pass because they're exposing trump. Put them in the exact same situation and they'd do the exact same loving thing. So honestly. I would loving deck a reporter to if he pissed me off and was from Breitbart, or some news soruce I disliked. And I wouldn't give a gently caress if I'm a Democrat. I'd say. The news are a bunch of liars. They lie about me. and they've lied to the american people. They enabled the election of a sychophant psychotic retard to the presiency and I'm not going to take their bullshit. Vote for me if you want the truth exposed on these pathetic little wanknuts. Because. I believe in thngs and I act on them. I don't sit around sipping lattes or waiting for my friends to be deported. Or to be killed. I do things. If you don't get that notion, fine. If you want to keep doing what you're doing be my guest. But it isnt' working so far.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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Propaganda Hour posted:I sent Don Young an email about the AHCA the first time around and he sent me back a solid page about tort reform. I kind of figured emailing Young was a waste of time, but I did send both Sullivan and Murkowski emails. Only Murkowski replied though.
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May 26, 2017 03:45
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David Wasserman (dude on 538) is predicting a 4-8 point Gianforte victory.
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May 26, 2017 03:46
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So what happens if Gianforte is immediately expelled by the House? Another special election? Does Quist run again?
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May 26, 2017 03:46
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:David Wasserman (dude on 538) is predicting a 4-8 point Gianforte victory.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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So this is basically Kansas again right? Bad guy still wins but doesn't win by anywhere near what he normally would have?
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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Get in GOP, get in because America is going to rip the wheel out of your fetid corrupt hands and we're going to make all your heroes powerless. We're coming for your internet Nazis, we're coming for your Becks and Hannities. We're going to control the gears of government from the ground up and also make your life easier. We're coming to get you, we're mad and we're not going to sit back and let you pretend you stand on equal footing with us anymore, because you're the snowflakes who can't win an argument without a punch. Run run run, because we're coming to get you. This is only the beginning! 
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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Nemo2342 posted:I kind of figured emailing Young was a waste of time, but I did send both Sullivan and Murkowski emails. Only Murkowski replied though. Murkowski is really great about replying. I seem to always get something back from her whenever I contact her office.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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This is actually kind of a good argument against early voting. There's got to be a better way to make voting accessible. Gianforte could have shot Ben and still be winning due to early voting.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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1-800-DOCTORB posted:So what happens if Gianforte is immediately expelled by the House? Another special election? Does Quist run again? yes, and probably not
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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axeil posted:https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/867933954929639424 Not to sound ~Covokian~ here, but voters come 2018 won't care or care to remember what happened in another state, so using this as a benchmark for the ~growing tide of progressivism~ is *also* a bit premature.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:David Wasserman (dude on 538) is predicting a 4-8 point Gianforte victory. Lol once the Trump honeymoon is over and people start defecting, and all the garbage GOP policies go in effect, I look forward to the Democrat bloodbath in a couple years.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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as of this writing cnn has quist ahead w 44% reporting. http://www.cnn.com/2017/05/25/politics/montana-special-election-results/index.html edit: no mas
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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Al Borland Corp. posted:This is actually kind of a good argument against early voting. There's got to be a better way to make voting accessible. Gianforte could have shot Ben and still be winning due to early voting. To be fair, there are states that let you change your early vote. Only 3 of them, though.
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Not to sound ~Covokian~ here, but voters come 2018 won't care or care to remember what happened in another state, so using this as a benchmark for the ~growing tide of progressivism~ is *also* a bit premature.
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May 26, 2017 03:48
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ISeeCuckedPeople posted:No i'm not. But a bunch of reporters quotes around this thread got posted where they went and asked some gas attendent "What do you think of gianforte assaulting a newreporter" and they said "Thats kind of my politician." But how is punching a reporter "doing" something? It's not going to make them better reporters, if that's what you're after.
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May 26, 2017 03:48
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Not to sound ~Covokian~ here, but voters come 2018 won't care or care to remember what happened in another state, so using this as a benchmark for the ~growing tide of progressivism~ is *also* a bit premature. Er, the voters aren't the problem here. The congressmen are. They're the ones who will freak out, not the voters about "Oh that guy almost won in Montana".
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May 26, 2017 03:48
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Even if he wins he's still facing a criminal conviction. I'm looking forward to that and the resulting lawsuit.
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May 26, 2017 03:49
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