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VOTE YES ON 69 posted:honestly my true hope is that gianforte wins, and that the rest of congress musters enough balls and wherewithal to kick him out or do whatever kind of poo poo they can  is probably too big for a smiley
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May 26, 2017 03:46
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VOTE YES ON 69 posted:nate silver is dumb qtiyd nate silver is the only one who said trump might win so actually in fact he is smart
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May 26, 2017 03:46
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billings is.... bad?
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May 26, 2017 03:47
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axeil posted:nate silver is the only one who said trump might win so actually in fact he is smart nate silver's statistical models are smart nate silver himself can be dumb since during the primaries he didn't listen to his own statistics and was in massive denial that trump could win
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May 26, 2017 03:52
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Bodyslam guy will most likely win but the fact this race is this close is a bad sign for Republicans. My guess is Dems pull off big wins in 2018, maybe take the house. Then they run some Jabroni like Corey Booker and Trump or Pence beats them and we get 4 more years of death.
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May 26, 2017 03:52
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Discendo Vox posted:I hope this isn't the part where I get proven right about the risks of early voting systems.
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May 26, 2017 03:59
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https://twitter.com/KyungLahCNN/status/867770692313460736 https://twitter.com/KyungLahCNN/status/867773978546511872 A CNN reporter will be killed in a right-wing terrorist attack. I wouldn't be surprised if they bombed CNN HQ.
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May 26, 2017 04:02
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Montasque posted:Bodyslam guy will most likely win but the fact this race is this close is a bad sign for Republicans. race might not be close, we will see. gianforte is slowly pulling away and there are plenty of 500-10 rural counties yet to come
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May 26, 2017 04:07
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Super analyst Shinjobi weighs in: Quist
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May 26, 2017 04:08
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Vox Nihili posted:race might not be close, we will see. gianforte is slowly pulling away and there are plenty of 500-10 rural counties yet to come Maybe body slamming a liberal reporter was what sealed his victory.
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May 26, 2017 04:10
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Super-analyst Harry Enten weighs in on how a middling loss could actually be good news for demcoin: "There are 120 Republican-held seats that lean more Democratic on the presidential level than Montana’s."
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May 26, 2017 04:11
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Vox Nihili posted:Super-analyst Harry Enten weighs in on how a middling loss could actually be good news for demcoin: "There are 120 Republican-held seats that lean more Democratic on the presidential level than Montana’s." Harry "Trump has -10% chance of winning the nom" Enten.
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May 26, 2017 04:14
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Montasque posted:Harry "Trump has -10% chance of winning the nom" Enten. The very same.
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May 26, 2017 04:17
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has harry hosed yet?
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May 26, 2017 04:17
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Zas posted:has harry hosed yet? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSVw6djRhzk
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May 26, 2017 04:18
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"Another bad omen for Quist is that we still have zero votes in from Flathead County (Kalispell), the state’s most Republican-leaning large county. The votes there are likely to push Gianforte’s lead into the range of 5 to 10 percentage points." DRINKING TIME, LATER
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May 26, 2017 04:21
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Quist-San.....
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May 26, 2017 04:34
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So now that Quist has lost, how much are we going to hear from the Democrats about how, despite the fact that they still can't win seats anywhere, they're totally beating the spread?
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May 26, 2017 04:39
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Xenoveritas posted:So now that Quist has lost, how much are we going to hear from the Democrats about how, despite the fact that they still can't win seats anywhere, they're totally beating the spread? MORAL VICTORIES *drowns in piss*
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May 26, 2017 04:42
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seeing how the failed neoliberal extreme centrist ossoff and the ultra progressive quist both lost, it's time for the democraps to find a new ideology may i suggest extreme nihilism
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May 26, 2017 04:45
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beating the spread is important because the special elections are happening in districts vacated by an appointee moving into trump's cabinet. there hasn't been a single election in a swing district yet
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May 26, 2017 04:46
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Venuz Patrol posted:beating the spread is important because the special elections are happening in districts vacated by an appointee moving into trump's cabinet. there hasn't been a single election in a swing district yet Good show Quist, hope he's back in 2018. ALso I didn't realize Montana had over a million.
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May 26, 2017 05:17
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logikv9 posted:may i suggest extreme nihilism
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May 26, 2017 05:42
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no one really thought quist had any chance until the bodyslam dont know why people are acting like this is some big deal edit: oh i thought this was trumpthread
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May 26, 2017 05:48
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Zokari posted:no one really thought quist had any chance until the bodyslam hope is a hell of a fuckin drug man
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May 26, 2017 06:07
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"drat i knew we shouldnt have called our voters quistlings. talk about yer mixed messaging!"
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May 26, 2017 06:10
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Just one more unhinged billionaire in a position of political power.
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May 26, 2017 06:13
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LOL, he's not even going to beat the spread. Basically the exact same results as would be expected any other year. Good job, DNC, maybe someday you'll learn the only people less popular than Trump are Democrats.
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May 26, 2017 06:18
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ossoff for montana rep
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May 26, 2017 06:22
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Xenoveritas posted:LOL, he's not even going to beat the spread. Basically the exact same results as would be expected any other year. Good job, DNC, maybe someday you'll learn the only people less popular than Trump are Democrats. He's going to lose by around 7 points. Last race for this seat was a 15 point loss. Clinton lost by 30. So he beats the spread by ~8, which is slightly better than the generic congressional ballot results.
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May 26, 2017 06:23
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2018: The year that physically assaulting the press becomes a campaign strategy
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May 26, 2017 06:29
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Montasque posted:https://twitter.com/KyungLahCNN/status/867770692313460736 Politicians starring fights with reporters makes a journalism degree more attractive to me
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May 26, 2017 07:38
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call me the dccc because i have given up
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May 26, 2017 08:12
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so at what point do we get to start roughing up politicians since they can attack any of us without consequence?
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May 26, 2017 08:17
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Vox Nihili posted:He's going to lose by around 7 points. Last race for this seat was a 15 point loss. Clinton lost by 30. i realize that state-level races aren't congressional races, but here in New York, there was a special election held in a part of Long Island that went big for Trump and has never been held by a Democrat. two days ago the Dem who ran- backed by labor and unions, a Bernie delegate, and a 25-year veteran public school teacher- not only won, but won by 15 points. she got help and funding from the Working Families Party, who were the entire reason she was the Dem's candidate to begin with honestly, i don't think more funding or volunteering for quist would have pushed him over the top. people don't show up for special elections and especially not in "safe" districts. but as wayne gretzky once said (or was purported to have once said), you miss 100% of the shots you don't take. who knows, if you shoot, you might just score. so some more interest would have sent a better message than "we don't care" even in a loss Condiv posted:so at what point do we get to start roughing up politicians since they can attack any of us without consequence?
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May 26, 2017 08:25
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Gianforte still has that court date.
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May 26, 2017 08:56
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get that OUT of my face posted:who gives a poo poo? being close is for horseshoes and hand grenades, and nothing else The point isn't that it was close, the point is that Dems have been consistently improving their margins by +10 points in every election and there are a lot of districts where a GOP incumbent can't surmount that sudden rise in turnout, enough to retake the house. None of the special elections have taken place in those districts so far because surprise, no one appoints cabinet members from swing districts That NY district is completely different from Montana and much closer to Ossoff's district. The most likely seat flips will be coming from wealthy suburban areas like those
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May 26, 2017 09:07
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Ramrod Hotshot posted:2018: The year that physically assaulting the press becomes a campaign strategy fairly certain Andrew Jackson did it first, although he may have just killed them.
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May 26, 2017 09:12
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Pener Kropoopkin posted:Gianforte still has that court date. Was the assault enough to qualify as a felony? Does a felony rap bar you from office in Montana?
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May 26, 2017 09:15
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he was charged with misdemeanor assault iirc, don't know if it would have been a felony for a non-millionaire
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May 26, 2017 10:23
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