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empty whippet box
Jun 9, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

Let me play devil's advocate here -- how do you respond to what will absolutely be the conservative talking point about the millions of people who will lose coverage based on the CBO report below:


The conservative talking point being, 15 million people is big and scary number, but if it's their choice, what's the problem? Trumpcare isn't taking away healthcare, it's people choosing to opt out.

What say you, D&D?

They're being priced out.

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Skippy Granola
Sep 3, 2011

It's not what it looks like.

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

Let me play devil's advocate here -- how do you respond to what will absolutely be the conservative talking point about the millions of people who will lose coverage based on the CBO report below:


The conservative talking point being, 15 million people is big and scary number, but if it's their choice, what's the problem? Trumpcare isn't taking away healthcare, it's people choosing to opt out.

What say you, D&D?

People opting out is bad because in general only sick people will maintain insurance. Without relatively healthy people to spread the risk, premiums will skyrocket, nobody will be able to afford insurance, and the market will collapse.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

The conservative talking point being, 15 million people is big and scary number, but if it's their choice, what's the problem? Trumpcare isn't taking away healthcare, it's people choosing to opt out.

What say you, D&D?

Are you looking for a political answer or an ideological one?

The political answer is that we will shout them down with big scary doomsday campaign ads. Let them have the burden of a complicated explanation, for once we actually have the simple sound bite answer this time.

Zoph
Sep 12, 2005

Hellblazer187 posted:

If healthy people leave the exchanges, then premiums go way up.

Also: people don't choose to deny themselves health coverage unless they have no other recourse.

No Safe Word
Feb 26, 2005

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

Let me play devil's advocate here -- how do you respond to what will absolutely be the conservative talking point about the millions of people who will lose coverage based on the CBO report below:

quote:

CBO and JCT estimate that, in 2018, 15 million more people would be uninsured under this legislation than under current law—primarily because the penalty for not having insurance would be eliminated.
The conservative talking point being, 15 million people is big and scary number, but if it's their choice, what's the problem? Trumpcare isn't taking away healthcare, it's people choosing to opt out.

What say you, D&D?

The penalty for not having insurance is "you go bankrupt and/or you die" for many serious diseases though. And they don't have to go bankrupt or die. And it's not their own fault for getting cancer or whatever other major life-changing disease they get.

e: for a more personal story, my wife has had a serious immune disease for basically her entire life and we require expensive medications to make her life livable (and even then, still miserable a lot). Our health plan isn't great these days but I earn enough to make it not as big of a deal. But without insurance? We'd be bankrupt in a few months. And I have a Health Savings Account that I've been chucking money into for the past 5 years or so at the maximum contribution per year. But if this bill prices my employer out of making it worthwhile to offer insurance, and I can't get reasonable insurance on the individual market, we're turbo hosed.

No Safe Word fucked around with this message at 23:17 on Jun 26, 2017

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

Let me play devil's advocate here -- how do you respond to what will absolutely be the conservative talking point about the millions of people who will lose coverage based on the CBO report below:


The conservative talking point being, 15 million people is big and scary number, but if it's their choice, what's the problem? Trumpcare isn't taking away healthcare, it's people choosing to opt out.

What say you, D&D?

the new mandate replacement takes effect in 2019 and the number of uninsured goes up, not down

Eltoasto
Aug 26, 2002

We come spinning out of nothingness, scattering stars like dust.



Disabled protesters at Todd Young's office here in Indy apparently being manhandled and one headed to the hospital.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Eltoasto posted:

Disabled protesters at Todd Young's office here in Indy apparently being manhandled and one headed to the hospital.

https://twitter.com/JStein_Vox/status/879427801950162945

achillesforever6
Apr 23, 2012

psst you wanna do a communism?
https://twitter.com/sltrib/status/879459855609864192
Bark Beetles surviving the winter since its too warm to kill them off leading to giant wildfires, no it is the work of those drat hippies :freep:

That and the fire was started like most, because of a idiotic rancher trying to burn away weeds.

Skippy Granola
Sep 3, 2011

It's not what it looks like.

Badass

I wonder if these republicans realize that getting their pinkerton skull crackers to beat up protesters looks pretty... hm... fashy?

BetterToRuleInHell
Jul 2, 2007

Touch my mask top
Get the chop chop

evilweasel posted:

the new mandate replacement takes effect in 2019 and the number of uninsured goes up, not down

New mandate replacement...are you referring to the six month delay after a lapse in coverage?

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

BetterToRuleInHell posted:

New mandate replacement...are you referring to the six month delay after a lapse in coverage?

Yes. That replaces the mandate as the thing intended to make sure healthy people maintain coverage.

Skippy Granola
Sep 3, 2011

It's not what it looks like.

evilweasel posted:

Yes. That replaces the mandate as the thing intended to make sure healthy people maintain coverage.

If you don't want insurance then you can't have insurance for 6 months?

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

I dread the day that some disabled protestor gets some life endangering injury after being manhandled in the Capitol and the sort of poo poo the right says to blame it all on him.

And that night's Sean Hannity where he does a 20 minute segment on Kathy Griffin and the violence of the left.

FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







https://twitter.com/byrdinator/status/879452799683133443

fun reminder that ted cruz does this frequently.

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


Is anyone in the White House press corp pushing back against this no camera policy beyond posting pictures of their socks?

No Safe Word
Feb 26, 2005

Skippy Granola posted:

If you don't want insurance then you can't have insurance for 6 months?

If you don't have insurance for ~2 months in the previous year, you can't get insurance for 6 months.

It's loving mystifying logic.

Pander
Oct 9, 2007

Fear is the glue that holds society together. It's what makes people suppress their worst impulses. Fear is power.

And at the end of fear, oblivion.



Skippy Granola posted:

If you don't want insurance then you can't have insurance for 6 months?

Yes, the "Ha ha you helped crash the market by letting your insurance lapse because it was too expensive when you were healthy and then went bankrupt after an unexpected illness you couldn't wait 6 months to treat" amendment.

A winner, that one.

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

FizFashizzle posted:

https://twitter.com/byrdinator/status/879452799683133443

fun reminder that ted cruz does this frequently.

Its a very dramatic scene ending in the amazing historical biopic he's living in his own head.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:

Is anyone in the White House press corp pushing back against this no camera policy beyond posting pictures of their socks?

CNN sent a courtroom sketch artist to the Friday briefing

BetterToRuleInHell
Jul 2, 2007

Touch my mask top
Get the chop chop

Skippy Granola posted:

If you don't want insurance then you can't have insurance for 6 months?

The thought behind the mandate is, according to a CNN reporter I saw this afternoon, is that the new mandate is designed to prevent people from selectively purchasing healthcare whenever it's convenient to them, as in gaming the system to only getting coverage when you know when you're getting sick or need surgery/hospitalization.

e: aka the conservative vision of moochers

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

No Safe Word posted:

If you don't have insurance for ~2 months in the previous year, you can't get insurance for 6 months.

It's loving mystifying logic.

The logic is the same as the mandate and you need something that forces healthy people to get insurance to make pre-existing condition coverage work. It's just much, much harsher than the mandate, and they went with it because they couldn't use a mandate as they'd spent 8 years bashing it. My guess is it's harsher as a (vain) attempt to make the CBO score look better.

Skippy Granola
Sep 3, 2011

It's not what it looks like.

No Safe Word posted:

If you don't have insurance for ~2 months in the previous year, you can't get insurance for 6 months.

It's loving mystifying logic.

Is it typical for Americans to go uninsured and then try to get insurance once they get sick or injured?

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Pander posted:

Yes, the "Ha ha you helped crash the market by letting your insurance lapse because it was too expensive when you were healthy and then went bankrupt after an unexpected illness you couldn't wait 6 months to treat" amendment.

A winner, that one.

Isn't it also kinda the "never ever try and get better insurance or a better job and risk having a lapse in your insurance because then you're super hosed" amendment?

Pander
Oct 9, 2007

Fear is the glue that holds society together. It's what makes people suppress their worst impulses. Fear is power.

And at the end of fear, oblivion.



No Safe Word posted:

If you don't have insurance for ~2 months in the previous year, you can't get insurance for 6 months.

It's loving mystifying logic.

It's your fault if anything bad happens to you. By the way, I'm going to ensure bad things happen to you.

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo
Hey, I might have missed this being posted, but, the reason why Republicans are pushing the AHCA so hard? Their donors are demanding it and refusing to pay unless they do.

quote:

Donors to GOP: No cash until action on health care, taxes

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. (AP) — At least one influential donor has informed congressional Republicans that the "Dallas piggy bank" is closed until he sees major action on health care and taxes.

Texas-based donor Doug Deason has already refused to host a fundraiser for two members of Congress and informed House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., his checkbook is closed as well.

"Get Obamacare repealed and replaced, get tax reform passed," Deason said in a pointed message to GOP leaders. "You control the Senate. You control the House. You have the presidency. There's no reason you can't get this done. Get it done and we'll open it back up."

Indeed, there was a sense of frustration and urgency inside the private receptions and closed-door briefings at the Koch brothers' donor retreat this weekend in Colorado Springs, where the billionaire conservatives and their chief lieutenants warned of a rapidly shrinking window to push their agenda through Congress and get legislation to President Donald Trump to sign into law.

No agenda items mattered more to the conservative Koch network than the GOP's promise to overhaul the nation's tax code and repeal and replace President Barack Obama's health care law. At the moment, however, both are bogged down by GOP infighting that jeopardizes their fate.

At least one Koch official warned that the Republican Party's House majority could be in jeopardy if the GOP-led Congress doesn't follow through.

"If they don't make good on these promises ... there are going to be consequences, and quite frankly there should be," said Sean Lansing, chief operating officer for the Koch network's political arm, Americans For Prosperity.

There's even more in the article, but that's the basic idea. Donors are saying "give us our tax cuts or else ". Which seems like a good explanation as to why they're still gunning for it even after most of their own voters have turned on the bill and all and passing it seems like electoral suicide.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

Skippy Granola posted:

Is it typical for Americans to go uninsured and then try to get insurance once they get sick or injured?

No, pre-ACA, once you were sick, it was almost impossible to get insurance

After the ACA, if you didn't have coverage, you had to pay a fee to cover your contribution to the system

With AHCA, we would almost certainly be back to not being able to get insurance, except now you would have to wait 6 months to get rejected

Pander
Oct 9, 2007

Fear is the glue that holds society together. It's what makes people suppress their worst impulses. Fear is power.

And at the end of fear, oblivion.



Skippy Granola posted:

Is it typical for Americans to go uninsured and then try to get insurance once they get sick or injured?

It wouldn't have ever been possible before the passage of the ACA. I haven't been aware of the changes since the ACA went into effect, but I'd imagine it's a fractionally small frequency.

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything
McCain's full statement on the bill.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

The Glumslinger posted:

No, pre-ACA, once you were sick, it was almost impossible to get insurance

After the ACA, if you didn't have coverage, you had to pay a fee to cover your contribution to the system

With AHCA, we would almost certainly be back to not being able to get insurance, except now you would have to wait 6 months to get rejected

Premiums probably would have been lower if the mandate hadn't been so weak.

ThisIsWhyTrumpWon
Jun 22, 2017

by Smythe
There's no way they pass this thing.

I mean it would destroy the party in the long term.


but no loving way.

ThisIsWhyTrumpWon
Jun 22, 2017

by Smythe

evilweasel posted:

Premiums probably would have been lower if the mandate hadn't been so weak.

that would of also forced a lot more people who couldn't afford it to buy health insurance from private companies, to do so.

It's not like the subsidies make health insurance cheap or affordable, just less expensive.

Nocturtle
Mar 17, 2007

Skippy Granola posted:

Is it typical for Americans to go uninsured and then try to get insurance once they get sick or injured?

When I first moved to the US from socialist Canada I was astounded at the number of acquaintances and co-workers who happily admitted to not having health insurance. Just walking and driving around without any kind of health insurance like it was normal and not insane.

edit: This was before the ACA passed of course. I never asked what their plan was if they got sick and needed treatment.

No Safe Word
Feb 26, 2005

evilweasel posted:

The logic is the same as the mandate and you need something that forces healthy people to get insurance to make pre-existing condition coverage work. It's just much, much harsher than the mandate, and they went with it because they couldn't use a mandate as they'd spent 8 years bashing it. My guess is it's harsher as a (vain) attempt to make the CBO score look better.

It's the same intent, but a significantly shittier mechanism. Yes, you're penalized in a financial way by the individual mandate, but if you decide you want to start paying into the insurance market you can do so immediately. That helps everyone, though probably it benefits the new participant more because they're likely only (re-)starting coverage because of a need (or an anticipated need).

On the other side of the coin, with TrumpCare, instead of allowing a new participant into the market you're saying no we don't want your money you have to sit in the corner until this arbitrary date comes. During which time, you aren't contributing to the insurance market and any anticipated healthcare costs you have will gently caress you.

Zoph
Sep 12, 2005

Skippy Granola posted:

Is it typical for Americans to go uninsured and then try to get insurance once they get sick or injured?

Not really, the default for a long time has basically been "roll the dice on being uninsured and then figure it out when your organs revolt against you".

ReidRansom
Oct 25, 2004


The Glumslinger posted:

CNN sent a courtroom sketch artist to the Friday briefing

lol, they're alright sometimes

mango sentinel
Jan 5, 2001

by sebmojo

ReidRansom posted:

lol, they're alright sometimes

No this is some cutesy bullshit stunt instead of being real journalists and turning on their drat cameras.

Spiffster
Oct 7, 2009

I'm good... I Haven't slept for a solid 83 hours, but yeah... I'm good...


Lipstick Apathy

Man screw my state :negative:

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

No Safe Word posted:

It's the same intent, but a significantly shittier mechanism. Yes, you're penalized in a financial way by the individual mandate, but if you decide you want to start paying into the insurance market you can do so immediately. That helps everyone, though probably it benefits the new participant more because they're likely only (re-)starting coverage because of a need (or an anticipated need).

On the other side of the coin, with TrumpCare, instead of allowing a new participant into the market you're saying no we don't want your money you have to sit in the corner until this arbitrary date comes. During which time, you aren't contributing to the insurance market and any anticipated healthcare costs you have will gently caress you.

Yeah, but they can't use the mandate mechanism because they spent eight years lying about it. Most of Trumpcare is due to their inability to admit they were lying and having to work within the cage of lies they've constructed.

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Kylra
Dec 1, 2006

Not a cute boy, just a boring girl.

ThisIsWhyTrumpWon posted:

There's no way they pass this thing.

I mean it would destroy the party in the long term.


but no loving way.
Confusing username/post combo.

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