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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is:
This poll is closed.
Labour 907 49.92%
Theresa May Team (Conservative) 48 2.64%
Liberal Democrats 31 1.71%
UKIP 13 0.72%
Plaid Cymru 25 1.38%
Green 22 1.21%
Scottish Socialist Party 12 0.66%
Scottish Conservative Party 1 0.06%
Scottish National Party 59 3.25%
Some Kind of Irish Unionist 4 0.22%
Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian 3 0.17%
Some Kind of Irish Nationalist 36 1.98%
Misc. Far Left Trots 35 1.93%
Misc. Far Right Fash 8 0.44%
Monster Raving Loony 49 2.70%
Space Navies Party 39 2.15%
Independent / Single Issue 2 0.11%
Can't Vote 188 10.35%
Won't Vote 8 0.44%
Spoiled Ballot 15 0.83%
Pissflaps 312 17.17%
Total: 1817 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
Mighty Steed
Apr 16, 2005
Nice horsey
I honestly don't know what is Theresa May's endgame, if she was planning to hold onto power she could easily throw in a few crowdpleasers or try to defend her actions, but she seems to have given up.

My theory is that prior to the election she was planning to stand down due to bad health (as rumoured), but decided that a Labour-smashing majority and an election win was too tempting a legacy to leave.

Now she's created an amazing mess, and is attempting to stabilise the political situation before she steps down.

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Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
I think she wants to leave a legacy of having delivered a 'successful' Brexit then stand down in time for somebody else to fight an election either straight after or in 2022.

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

I just had this discussion with a Lithuanian housemate who wasn't really a fan of Corbyn due to his association with the IRA and his anti-Trident attitude. Basically he's rightly rather nervous about Russia's intentions but didn't really have an answer to me saying that it's more likely to come from little green men annexation or cyber attacks which are unlikely to be stopped or undone by nuclear weapons.

Basically they're incredibly dangerous objects with known dangers and risks but with increasingly questionable value in the modern age.

If you're worried about military annexation from a foreign power you should start teaching cyber defence and asymmetrical warfare, not nuclear weapons. Currently states won't do this for the obvious reason that if you do teach people how to do that, they're likely to start using it against the current state.

namesake fucked around with this message at 12:33 on Jun 27, 2017

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
Yowza

https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/879661360682074113

Wait until they start looking at all those new university and college buildings....

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Pissflaps posted:

Literally the first three words show your error.


It's specifically a term referring to an escalation of a conflict beyond the diplomatic and conventional. A nuclear 'surprise attack' doesn't require there to have been absolutely no warning or actual hostilities beforehand.

And all this is utterly beside the point that deterrence does work, has worked since 1945, and the only time there wasn't a deterrent in play since the Manhattan project somebody got nuked.

ukraine might not have been invaded if they still had their nukes

mediadave
Sep 8, 2011

namesake posted:

I just had this discussion with a Lithuanian housemate who wasn't really a fan of Corbyn due to his association with the IRA and his anti-Trident attitude. Basically he's rightly rather nervous about Russia's intentions but didn't really have an answer to me saying that it's more likely to come from little green men annexation or cyber attacks which are unlikely to be stopped or undone by nuclear weapons.

Basically they're incredibly dangerous objects with known dangers and risks but with increasingly questionable value in the modern age.

If you're worried about military annexation from a foreign power you should start teaching cyber defence and anti-symmetrical warfare, not nuclear weapons. Currently states won't do this for the obvious reason that if you do teach people how to do that, they're likely to start using it against the current state.

Well, the reason Russia has to rely on little green men and cyber attacks to re-assert it's dominion is because it can't risk a conventional war with a Nato member - even one it would win very quickly, ie in the Baltic, because it can't risk it spilling out of control due to the existence of the Nuclear umbrella.

mediadave
Sep 8, 2011

Jose posted:

ukraine might not have been invaded if they still had their nukes

I think that's guaranteed.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

mediadave posted:

'Our friends have nuclear weapons' isn't though an argument to get rid of our nuclear deterrent.

Why not? Every other country under the US nuclear umbrella seems to do fine WRT not being nuked out of the blue, and if the US-UK alliance breaks completely Trident will become useless in short order anyway because the UK doesn't have the capabilities to perform maintenence on it.

Pissflaps posted:

And all this is utterly beside the point that deterrence does work, has worked since 1945, and the only time there wasn't a deterrent in play since the Manhattan project somebody got nuked.

Do you also happen to have a tiger-repelling rock?

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
gerry adams has written an article for the guardian

ukle
Nov 28, 2005

Pissflaps posted:

Yowza

https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/879661360682074113

Wait until they start looking at all those new university and college buildings....

And office blocks. The amount of buildings affected is could be in the thousands once you count all types of high rises.

XMNN
Apr 26, 2008
I am incredibly stupid

Pissflaps posted:

I'd be ruminating on the thought that my murderer knowing their own innocents wouldn't suffer the same fate made it more likely that I would.

different priorities I guess, I'd find it p abhorrent that our elected representatives decided to commit a pointless war crime and I'd hope they get eaten by whichever kangaroo court of cannibal mutants passes for a justice system afterwards

same goes for Putin or trump or whoever started it obv

mediadave
Sep 8, 2011

Cerebral Bore posted:

Why not? Every other country under the US nuclear umbrella seems to do fine WRT not being nuked out of the blue, and if the US-UK alliance breaks completely Trident will become useless in short order anyway because the UK doesn't have the capabilities to perform maintenence on it.


a) You don't support the existence of a nuclear umbrella in the first place, so how can you use it as an argument? 'We can just rely on this thing that I wish didn't exist'.
b) In the age of Trump in particular, can we - or anyone - depend on America's beneficence?
c) That may be an argument to develop our own delivery system, as France has done.

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

I cannot believe people are still running windows loving XP.

Reveilled posted:

It seems strange we're focusing on MAD so heavily when that doesn't seem to actually be the prevailing doctrine which small countries with nuclear arsenals actually adopt. Consider Iran, for example. Why did they want nuclear weapons? Their chief enemy during this period was the United States (also Israel), and no matter how successful their nuclear program could have been, there was absolutely no way it could have reached the point of being able to achieve MAD parity with the USA. So why we're they pursuing nuclear weapons in the first place? It seems to me that their chief concern was deterring a conventional attack through the threat of nuclear escalation. Doesn't the UK's arsenal serve a similar function, in practice?

Of course the question would then be "who would attack us conventionally", but maybe it would be useful in deterring an invasion of the home islands by the forces of Capital after our revolution.

Same for North Korea (though this is functionally an escalation of it's "if attacked we'll bombard the south" policy).

XMNN posted:

anyway having been to Hiroshima gently caress anyone who thinks that nuclear strikes on civilian targets are any more justifiable than any other form of genocide

I'd be loving ashamed as I died horrifically of radiation sickness knowing that we voted for people who did the same thing to millions of other innocent people

It's not like lengthy firebombing, chemical attacks, or cutting the entire island off from the outside world and starving it out would've been massively more humane.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

mediadave posted:

I think that's guaranteed.

I wouldn't say guaranteed. Russia's annexation of Crimea would justify some form of retaliation but Ukraine had an interim government and may well have been nervous about entering nuclear war with a country as large as Russia, whose second strike capabilities would far outweigh Ukraine's first strike capabilities.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

XMNN posted:

different priorities I guess, I'd find it p abhorrent that our elected representatives decided to commit a pointless war crime and I'd hope they get eaten by whichever kangaroo court of cannibal mutants passes for a justice system afterwards

same goes for Putin or trump or whoever started it obv

Apparently so. My priority is for nobody to suffer a nuclear strike.

mediadave
Sep 8, 2011

Tesseraction posted:

I wouldn't say guaranteed. Russia's annexation of Crimea would justify some form of retaliation but Ukraine had an interim government and may well have been nervous about entering nuclear war with a country as large as Russia, whose second strike capabilities would far outweigh Ukraine's first strike capabilities.

It's unlikely Russia would have risked it though in the first place

Braggart
Nov 10, 2011

always thank the rock hider

TheHoodedClaw posted:

I've got a scar on my stomach from a clegg bite that became infected. drat them to hell!

Bet you're glad he was voted out then.

Theophany
Jul 22, 2014

SUCCHIAMI IL MIO CAZZO DA DIETRO, RANA RAGAZZO



2022 FIA Formula 1 WDC
Would it really be surprising if the time came to use the nukes they just poo poo the bed and didn't work? Because that seems to be the theme of every loving piece of technology run by the public sector. Warships and a national health service underpinned by that totally robust and not decades old Windows OS.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

mediadave posted:

a) You don't support the existence of a nuclear umbrella in the first place, so how can you use it as an argument? 'We can just rely on this thing that I wish didn't exist'.

Because is does, in fact, exist? I mean, much as I would like it, the universe doesn't actually rearrange itself based on my wishes.

EDIT: And if it did, I'd also wish away the Russian nuclear arsenal.

mediadave posted:

b) In the age of Trump in particular, can we - or anyone - depend on America's beneficence?

As mentioned, if Trump decides to screw you then he could just let your missiles rust away.

mediadave posted:

c) That may be an argument to develop our own delivery system, as France has done.

Why piss away a lot of money just so that a bunch of thumb people can get a hardon at the thought of nuclear annihilation?

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

spectralent posted:

It's not like lengthy firebombing, chemical attacks, or cutting the entire island off from the outside world and starving it out would've been massively more humane.

Japan was already offering to surrender, though. The myth that the bombs did it is one of the grossest murder porn instances in history.

Japan offered conditional surrender - requesting that the Emperor remain in place - in May, months before the bombings. The Emperor remained in place in the post-war surrender deal, so if the condition of their surrender was honoured anyway, why did 300,000 people have to die and many more be injured?

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops
Honestly I'm not too worried about failures in MAD, I'm more worried about misjudgements or straight-up-errors. The times we've been most at risk of the apocalypse have been when there was an erroneous readout from detection or people, lacking full context, convinced themselves they were about to die in a nuclear maelstrom. This is the big threat of a nuclear arsenal; if everyone's pointing guns at each other so they feel safe over a long enough period of time someone's going to get muscle fatigue and drop one, and so far we've been lucky enough there's not been an accidental discharge.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Nuke chat is consistently the worst. The only people insane enough to nuke us would do it whether or not we have the nuclear deterrent. Therefore, why bother when they money can be spent better elsewhere?

On top of that, it's quite likely that either our next Prime Minister or next but one will be someone who has said he will never countenance using nuclear weapons. Therefore, MAD doesn't work & there's no point of having them. God bless The Absolute Boy.

XMNN
Apr 26, 2008
I am incredibly stupid

spectralent posted:

I cannot believe people are still running windows loving XP.


Same for North Korea (though this is functionally an escalation of it's "if attacked we'll bombard the south" policy).


It's not like lengthy firebombing, chemical attacks, or cutting the entire island off from the outside world and starving it out would've been massively more humane.
I mean it's genuinely a pretty tricky question wrt Japan at the end of the war, but if the letters of last resort said "firebomb tokyo to the ground" or "start rounding up Jews and shooting them by the side of the road" or really any other pointless retaliatory war crime that is supposed to deter the thing that just happened anyway then I'd also think that was a p hosed up thing for a person to order

XMNN
Apr 26, 2008
I am incredibly stupid

Pissflaps posted:

Apparently so. My priority is for nobody to suffer a nuclear strike.

unless of course we have already suffered one in which case it's that as many other innocent people die as possible

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

XMNN posted:

unless of course we have already suffered one in which case it's that as many other innocent people die as possible

No. My priority is for nobody to suffer a nuclear attack. Having a credible deterrent helps ensure that.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

XMNN posted:

unless of course we have already suffered one in which case it's that as many other innocent people die as possible

Look, right, if there's even the slightest risk I might be hurt I want hundreds of thousands of children to be executed or horrifically injured in nuclear hellfire.

Flayer
Sep 13, 2003

by Fluffdaddy
Buglord
Keeping nuclear weapons is a question of whether you still want to be seen as a world player. Currently the UK has an elevated world status due to the empire holding out just long enough to provide it with a legacy of economic and military prowess far beyond its natural level. If the UK steps back from that legacy of power then it is a tacit admission that the UK no longer wants to be a relevant global influence. It really depends on the level of ambition, I suppose. Leaving the EU is also counter to losing the nuclear deterrent, leaving the herd to go it alone requires a greater investment in military and prestige projects, not less.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe
At the end of the day, the best argument for why the whole deterrent argument is bunk is that Pissflaps thinks it isn't.

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

Has there been any talk about trying to raise the minumum wage? Both major parties committed to at least £9 so it should be easy to pass. At the very least it would force the Tories to vote against their own manifesto.

SA_Avenger
Oct 22, 2012

Mighty Steed posted:

I honestly don't know what is Theresa May's endgame, if she was planning to hold onto power she could easily throw in a few crowdpleasers or try to defend her actions, but she seems to have given up.

Basically not seeing any news about Grenfell fire no more, still no final dead estimates (not that we may ever know but they could talk about the missing) so I suppose that she does plan to stay in power and burry anything which gets in the way the fastest she can by diverting. If she manages enough disasters like Trump you won't be able to keep up and do much more than complaining online

Flayer posted:

Keeping nuclear weapons is a question of whether you still want to be seen as a world player. Currently the UK has an elevated world status due to the empire holding out just long enough to provide it with a legacy of economic and military prowess far beyond its natural level. If the UK steps back from that legacy of power then it is a tacit admission that the UK no longer wants to be a relevant global influence. It really depends on the level of ambition, I suppose. Leaving the EU is also counter to losing the nuclear deterrent, leaving the herd to go it alone requires a greater investment in military and prestige projects, not less.

Seems like you guys stopped being relevant on the world table since the 70's. The Falklands was a sort of way to say "hey we are still there" when decline had started. Both your intelligence service and military has been at the service of the US since the end of the 50's.
Afaik your nuclear program is entwined with the US and probably couldn't work without them at all, hence you do not need it if the US has its own (assuming you are in favour, and no one needs such things if you are against). You leaving the EU has no impact on your defense as you are still part of NATO and defensive Europe does not exists. (France wants it Germany does not want to pay more for it and is only considering it because it's developing a fear of Russia for some reason)

SA_Avenger fucked around with this message at 13:10 on Jun 27, 2017

CoolCab
Apr 17, 2005

glem

Cerebral Bore posted:




Do you also happen to have a tiger-repelling rock?

this would be good analogy if between 50 and 80 million people died from being eaten by tigers in the five years before we got the rock

e: which was only the latest in a series of colossal tiger feasts on the back of a period of alternating tiger buffet and tiger reraising that stretched back to the Hundred Year Tiger Eating Party

CoolCab fucked around with this message at 13:01 on Jun 27, 2017

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

Tesseraction posted:

Japan was already offering to surrender, though. The myth that the bombs did it is one of the grossest murder porn instances in history.

Japan offered conditional surrender - requesting that the Emperor remain in place - in May, months before the bombings. The Emperor remained in place in the post-war surrender deal, so if the condition of their surrender was honoured anyway, why did 300,000 people have to die and many more be injured?

This jars with what I'm aware of, which was that motions for a conditional surrender were made in July (and were fully unrealistic, believing that the soviets were going to arrange a negotiated surrender for them when they were, in fact, mobilising to invade Manchuria). It's worth noting that even after the surrender there was an internal coup with the aim of continuing the war.

Now, one of the more reasonable arguments instead is that the Soviet invasion of Manchuria was more significant than the atomic bombing, since abruptly ending up at war with the people they assumed would have their side in negotiations pretty much killed any realistic hope of a negotiated surrender with people who weren't insane death cultists, but US war plans were going down one of those three routes regardless since they were still fighting actual fascists.

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

Irony Be My Shield posted:

Has there been any talk about trying to raise the minumum wage? Both major parties committed to at least £9 so it should be easy to pass. At the very least it would force the Tories to vote against their own manifesto.

I think Labour are going for £10.

Chucat
Apr 14, 2006

goddamnedtwisto posted:

Kill mosquitoes and other annoying little insects and pollinate plants.

I know dragonflies are insane insect murderers but I don't get how craneflies can kill anything., they just sorta bumble around and then stick to a wall and act lame for 8 hours.

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

The DPRK posted:

:stare: Coming in to this a bit late, but the stuff about Emma Harrison is particularly bad in this Wiki.

Then I looked her up. Turns out her and her partner own Thornbridge Brewery.

Thanks UKMT, you ruin everything (even good black IPA).

Intrinsic Field Marshal
Sep 6, 2014

by SA Support Robot

XMNN posted:

it was a first strike though


anyway having been to Hiroshima gently caress anyone who thinks that nuclear strikes on civilian targets are any more justifiable than any other form of genocide

I'd be loving ashamed as I died horrifically of radiation sickness knowing that we voted for people who did the same thing to millions of other innocent people

I'd be probably be concerned with the whole making GBS threads out my guts and my family dying myself but each to their own?

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Braggart posted:

The problem with what you're saying here is that the people who fire the first nuke will not be the ones getting punished by the retaliation. It would be innocent people who happen to live in their country. If you were murdered, would you feel comfort knowing that a random innocent would also be killed as a result? Is a hundred people dying in a fire a reason to start another fire in a random towerblock somewhere while a negligent rich person enjoys his party?

Yes the analogous position here is "we need to burn down a towerblock in another part of London to make it fair"

feedmegin
Jul 30, 2008

Mighty Steed posted:

I honestly don't know what is Theresa May's endgame, if she was planning to hold onto power she could easily throw in a few crowdpleasers or try to defend her actions, but she seems to have given up.

My theory is that prior to the election she was planning to stand down due to bad health (as rumoured), but decided that a Labour-smashing majority and an election win was too tempting a legacy to leave.

Now she's created an amazing mess, and is attempting to stabilise the political situation before she steps down.

I don't think so. She wouldn't have run for PM if she didn't want the job. I think she's just poo poo tbh.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

spectralent posted:

It's not like lengthy firebombing, chemical attacks, or cutting the entire island off from the outside world and starving it out would've been massively more humane.

I mean they sort of did the first two as well as nuking the place so it's not like you have to choose.

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Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

Cerebral Bore posted:

Why not? Every other country under the US nuclear umbrella seems to do fine WRT not being nuked out of the blue,

it always comes back to that in this thread's circular nuclear arguments. it's immoral for us to have a weapons programme but just great to be protected under someone else's.
I don't know how to square that circle.

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