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VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

I don't know how useful it actually is asking people whether they want the Democrats to move vaguely "more left".

When you poll Americans and especially Democrats on individual policies far to the left of Democratic leadership like Medicare for All, free college, ending the War on Drugs, ending the wars in the Middle East, breaking up too-big-to-fail banks, $15 minimum wage, etc they're very popular, also add in that the most popular politician in America is a social democrat. If those same people say they don't want the Democrats to move left that's more an indication that they're not making the link between the policies they want and the left-right axis.

You see this all the time, elections are covered like a team sport, the media hypes mostly irrelevant bullshit, and there's this myth of bipartisanship that ignores ideological conflict and insists that if both parties just sat down and worked together they'd come to good commonsense solutions.

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 02:53 on Nov 5, 2017

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Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer
I think the important question is what do "left" and "right" mean to Democratic voters, and do they have working ideological understanding of the difference between democratic socialism, social democracy, neoliberal policy, etc. If nearly half of black respondents think that leftists are a problem for the Democratic party, as per that poll, then what do they perceive to be leftism?

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Times had a good religion piece:

Are Christians Supposed to Be Communists? https://nyti.ms/2iZ6n9U

Discussed is basically what sent me leftward.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy
https://twitter.com/DrewFrogger/status/855392431570898944

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

Lightning Knight posted:

I think the important question is what do "left" and "right" mean to Democratic voters, and do they have working ideological understanding of the difference between democratic socialism, social democracy, neoliberal policy, etc. If nearly half of black respondents think that leftists are a problem for the Democratic party, as per that poll, then what do they perceive to be leftism?

It's tempting to think that if we just explained it right everyone would jump aboard, and doing a better job of selling leftist policy is helpful for building support, but I don't think not understanding leftism explains the entirety of that gap. Some of it may well be the cultural conservatism of the more heavily churched segments of the black Democratic base, and some may be a general suspicion of populist messages in general. Either way, it's something any candidate explicitly aligned with the left of the party will need to deal with moving forward.


Nice Twitter rando burn I guess?

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Quorum posted:

It's tempting to think that if we just explained it right everyone would jump aboard, and doing a better job of selling leftist policy is helpful for building support, but I don't think not understanding leftism explains the entirety of that gap. Some of it may well be the cultural conservatism of the more heavily churched segments of the black Democratic base, and some may be a general suspicion of populist messages in general. Either way, it's something any candidate explicitly aligned with the left of the party will need to deal with moving forward.

Oh I agree, I just think it's an important question to ask. I'm not sure if I buy the "black people are more socially conservative than white people" canard, not as a group anyway. My suspicion is that it represents the same generational divide we saw in the primary, where predominantly older black people above the age of 30 are ambivalent towards leftism while those in younger demos are more receptive. Understanding why and how to appeal to those groups is a core issue going forward for American leftists who plan to run for office above the local level, because older black people disproportionately vote in primaries in most places.

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015



Bernie's bird friend making another appearance.

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Lightning Knight posted:

, where predominantly older black people above the age of 30 are ambivalent towards leftism while those in younger demos are more receptive.

A lot of the older ones are Christian realists, because of how that's related to the civil rights movement. And Christian realism's relationship to socialism is tied up with WWII and the cold war.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
While Hillary was taking donations from Saudi Arabia, Bernie was learning the mysteries of the druids.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

Quorum posted:

Nice Twitter rando burn I guess?

That wasn’t actually intended for this thread but I’m going to let it stay anyway.

In actual, legitimately surprising news, apparently the Sprint/T-Mobile merger is no longer happening.

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

Lightning Knight posted:

Oh I agree, I just think it's an important question to ask. I'm not sure if I buy the "black people are more socially conservative than white people" canard, not as a group anyway. My suspicion is that it represents the same generational divide we saw in the primary, where predominantly older black people above the age of 30 are ambivalent towards leftism while those in younger demos are more receptive. Understanding why and how to appeal to those groups is a core issue going forward for American leftists who plan to run for office above the local level, because older black people disproportionately vote in primaries in most places.

I think you're right about the age divide mattering a lot. And it's a problem especially because it means candidates are going to have to find a way to win those older regular primary voters over. Appealing primarily to The Youth is a good way to get social media buzz, but we've seen repeatedly that it gets you little more than that if there aren't enough youth votes to win you a primary-- and there rarely are. They're not unwinnable, and I don't think they're even necessarily hostile to leftist reforms and ideas. I just think you need different things to win them over, just saying the right stuff and smiling real good doesn't always work.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

BrandorKP posted:

A lot of the older ones are Christian realists, because of how that's related to the civil rights movement. And Christian realism's relationship to socialism is tied up with WWII and the cold war.

I still firmly believe we can appeal to these people, but leftism in America has to make it clear that we are better than our forefathers, and that our leftism will not come at the expense of POC like the New Deal did. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Conservative Dems were always more hostile to civil rights than the left were and there's one running a racist campaign in Virginia right now, so that's an odd thing to say.

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

VitalSigns posted:

Conservative Dems were always more hostile to civil rights than the left were and there's one running a racist campaign in Virginia right now, so that's an odd thing to say.

If you cannot understand the concerns some people have about leftism, you will never convince them otherwise. "You're dumb and wrong to be skeptical" is far less convincing than "here is why you should trust me."

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Quorum posted:

If you cannot understand the concerns some people have about leftism, you will never convince them otherwise. "You're dumb and wrong to be skeptical" is far less convincing than "here is why you should trust me."

What are you talking about. The radical left in America at least in the New Deal era and after, in other words within all living memory, were on the side of civil rights (and of course demonized as Communists by the political establishment in both parties).

MLK, Jessie Jackson, these guys were far to the left on economic issues as they should be because social justice and economic justice go hand in hand. It always has been the moderate Dems willing to throw minorities under the bus in a heartbeat, something they're still doing now (and which you've been defending in Virginia lol as long as racism wins elections it's fine to you)

Your comment is odd because you're not disputing any of these facts, just whining that my pointing them out makes you feel dumb and wrong, maybe there's a hint in there for you?

Ogmius815
Aug 25, 2005
centrism is a hell of a drug


That makes a lot of sense considering that Bernie Is a United States Senator and former presidential candidate and Perez is basically a fundraiser who also appoints a few minor party officials.

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

InnercityGriot posted:

https://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_59f7cabbe4b04494283378fd

Article about Dems needing to move left, including polling data for the centrists who don’t believe we need to move left.
The democrats' fundraising and core constituency are the wealthy and large businesses. Moving left is at conflict with this constituency.

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

They dont make have any money and dont win elections, so the wealthy donor relationship doesnt seem to be a productive one for either party.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Mantis42 posted:

They dont make have any money and dont win elections, so the wealthy donor relationship doesnt seem to be a productive one for either party.

It's lucrative for the politicians in blue districts who rake in the donations, party with the rich and powerful, and get rewarded with sinecures after a political career of service to wealthy interests or end up as worthless consultants sapping away funds that should be going to election campaigns.

Although those benefits may drop off now that they've grifted themselves completely out of the ability to wield national power.

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

If you think the major donors to the democratic party did not see a significant return on investment over the past 8 years, you've not been paying attention.

comedyblissoption fucked around with this message at 06:15 on Nov 5, 2017

OtherworldlyInvader
Feb 10, 2005

The X-COM project did not deliver the universe's ultimate cup of coffee. You have failed to save the Earth.


"The left" (this is a bad term) has a problem with older black voters not because of economic policy, but because of the history of race in this country.

Older black voters tend to be highly pragmatic in politics. They are a reliable voting block for establishment Democrats because the Democratic establishment has spent decades putting in the groundwork listening to black advocacy organizations, giving them a seat at the table in the halls of power, and delivering measurable results to them. Young anti-establishment leftists are largely oblivious to this, and tend to react badly when it comes up.

I'd post more about this but breaks over.

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Lightning Knight posted:

I still firmly believe we can appeal to these people, but leftism in America has to make it clear that we are better than our forefathers, and that our leftism will not come at the expense of POC like the New Deal did. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

You resolve that fundamental irony, in the right language, and you'll get them.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

BrandorKP posted:

You resolve that fundamental irony, in the right language, and you'll get them.

I mean, I still stand by my opinion that the future of American leftism is minority candidates running on progressive left-wing platforms in the mold of Jesse Jackson. Minority voters are right to be skeptical of straight white men, and it's on us to show that we are better than our conservative peers for them.

Edit: and it's true that leftists in American history were often at the forefront of civil rights struggles, and many civil rights icons were leftists. But it's also true that many of the cornerstones of American left-wing policy, such as unions or the New Deal, are rightly perceived as having been primarily geared towards the advancement of white, male power. Ignoring all that, whether or not leftism actually is more sexist or racist than centrism (it isn't) doesn't matter if we are successfully painted as such. Perception > reality.

Lightning Knight fucked around with this message at 06:49 on Nov 5, 2017

awesmoe
Nov 30, 2005

Pillbug

BrandorKP posted:

You resolve that fundamental irony, in the right language, and you'll get them.

as long as you dont also tell them their taxes will go up

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

sd6 posted:

This isnt a typical loss. Their candidate lost to a complete retard who honestly didn't expect to win, and whose campaign spent half as much money.

Also of importance is the fact that Americans generally feel far worse about the country post-Great Recession than they did in 2000. So there's far greater concern about the direction of the country among a greater portion of the population than there was in 2000, and people feel like the results of a bad election result (and you don't get much worse than Donald Trump) are more dire.

edit: You particularly see a lot more energy among young people (who compromise most of the people on these forums) because they feel like the future is hopeless unless politicians make some drastic changes. There wasn't the same sense of urgency (at least among nearly as many people) in 2000.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Lightning Knight posted:



Edit: and it's true that leftists in American history were often at the forefront of civil rights struggles, and many civil rights icons were leftists. But it's also true that many of the cornerstones of American left-wing policy, such as unions or the New Deal, are rightly perceived as having been primarily geared towards the advancement of white, male power. Ignoring all that, whether or not leftism actually is more sexist or racist than centrism (it isn't) doesn't matter if we are successfully painted as such. Perception > reality.

The New Deal deliberately excluded the radical left though because it was a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism and of course it used racism as a tool to accomplish this, just as moderate Dems are running racist campaigns now in order to make it possible to win general elections while excluding the left.

The only thing we need to do is tell the truth and be willing to permit ideas other than capitalism within the national discourse, which is exactly what the establishment is fighting to prevent by running racebaiting smear campaigns against civil rights activists like Bernie or Keith Ellison and then turning around and blowing on the racist foghorns in the general.

Arkhams Razor
Jun 10, 2009
Regarding Northam's ad campaign, apparently the group behind them is the same one that ran Ossoff's campaign.
https://twitter.com/abigasianman/status/926924951281651712
I still think Northam can pull it off, but regardless of the result, it's clear this organization shouldn't be contracted for another Dem candidate ever again.

Oxxidation
Jul 22, 2007

Arkhams Razor posted:

Regarding Northam's ad campaign, apparently the group behind them is the same one that ran Ossoff's campaign.
https://twitter.com/abigasianman/status/926924951281651712
I still think Northam can pull it off, but regardless of the result, it's clear this organization shouldn't be contracted for another Dem candidate ever again.

Though they absolutely will be, over and over again.

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Vocational jobs training, the last big push.

twodot
Aug 7, 2005

You are objectively correct that this person is dumb and has said dumb things

OtherworldlyInvader posted:

"The left" (this is a bad term) has a problem with older black voters not because of economic policy, but because of the history of race in this country.

Older black voters tend to be highly pragmatic in politics. They are a reliable voting block for establishment Democrats because the Democratic establishment has spent decades putting in the groundwork listening to black advocacy organizations, giving them a seat at the table in the halls of power, and delivering measurable results to them. Young anti-establishment leftists are largely oblivious to this, and tend to react badly when it comes up.

I'd post more about this but breaks over.
Is this serious? Like the whole point of activism is that you want a thing that the establishment won't give you. If the establishment just wanted to give you want you wanted, you would be part of the establishment. Prominent Democratic politicians were literal KKK members quite recently, the notion that the Democratic establishment is remotely reliable on black issues seems completely absurd to me.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

VitalSigns posted:

The New Deal deliberately excluded the radical left though because it was a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism and of course it used racism as a tool to accomplish this, just as moderate Dems are running racist campaigns now in order to make it possible to win general elections while excluding the left.

The only thing we need to do is tell the truth and be willing to permit ideas other than capitalism within the national discourse, which is exactly what the establishment is fighting to prevent by running racebaiting smear campaigns against civil rights activists like Bernie or Keith Ellison and then turning around and blowing on the racist foghorns in the general.

I don’t disagree, but you know that someone who describes the New Deal as “a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism” is not the group I was trying to speak towards with that post. :colbert:

(That it was a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism is absolutely true, however.)

RottenK
Feb 17, 2011

Sexy bad choices

FAILED NOJOE
it sucks that the modern dems loving suck and enact this tweet every time they upset the chuds, but it doesn't means that black people are wrong about what side consistently helped them in the recent past

RottenK
Feb 17, 2011

Sexy bad choices

FAILED NOJOE
speaking of getting more racist after upsetting chuds, how's northam doing

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

RottenK posted:

speaking of getting more racist after upsetting chuds, how's northam doing

Still well by most accounts, normal people who aren’t Extremely Online haven’t heard about leafletgate or the sanctuary city debacle. It’ll be close though.

Shbobdb
Dec 16, 2010

by Reene

JeffersonClay posted:

From the same poll.
code:
CE13 Do you feel that Democratic leaders in Congress represent your views, 
are farther to the left than your views, or are farther to the right than your views?

                 Further to the left                         Further to the right
                 than my views       Represent my views      than my views
Black            13                         77                      9
Hispanic         12                         77                     11
Democrats        17                         70                     13
code:
Do you think these left-leaning movements will help, hurt, 
or have no effect on the chances of Democrats to win the next elections?

           Help   Hurt   No effect
Black      22     43     35
Hispanic   38     33     29
Democrats  29     40     31

You know what keeps losing elections? Technocratic over-reliance on data.

Best way to refute that is with . . . data?

RottenK
Feb 17, 2011

Sexy bad choices

FAILED NOJOE

Lightning Knight posted:

Still well by most accounts, normal people who aren’t Extremely Online haven’t heard about leafletgate or the sanctuary city debacle. It’ll be close though.

i know about the sanctuary city bullshit and about cowardly disowning of the 100% truthful ad about what redhats are, but what was the leaflet thing?

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

RottenK posted:

i know about the sanctuary city bullshit and about cowardly disowning of the 100% truthful ad about what redhats are, but what was the leaflet thing?

Justin Fairfax is the candidate for LG and also a young black progressive, and specifically he is pro-environment and consequently anti-pipeline. One of the major unions declined to endorse him, because they want the pipelines, and asked for campaign material to distribute without him. A small percentage of the total was modified but the notion of a union refusing to endorse the more progressive black candidate and trying to cut him out of campaign literature while canvassing for the less progressive white candidate looks absolutely terrible.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Lightning Knight posted:

I don’t disagree, but you know that someone who describes the New Deal as “a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism” is not the group I was trying to speak towards with that post. :colbert:

(That it was a capitalist retrenchment to defeat socialism is absolutely true, however.)

Sure and that's why we need to teach people about the history of the left in this country and about the anticapitalist wisdom of Martin Luther King. And at the same time hammer the racist wing of the Dem party, the tough-on-crime Bill Clintons, the Hillaries who run hosed up racist campaigns like 2008, the Ralph Northams who throw minorities under the bus in order to pander to the white wing Republicans. The only argument the latter had for decades was that only they with their favoritism to the 1% and reasonable amount of racism could keep the racist Republicans out of office and that was a very convincing argument for a lot of people, especially older black primary voters. I believed it until last year, despite casting a left-wing protest vote for Bernie in the Texas primary, I was convinced Clinton had the better chance to win in the general and I worried that a Bernie nom would risk handing the country over to Trump.

That turned out to be totally wrong though, and all we need to tell people is the truth: the moderate wing have always been racists who turned on minorities whenever they thought they could gain thereby, they're still doing it today, and there's no longer even a pragmatic case for supporting them anymore because in their arrogance they've turned the DNC into a bankrupt grifting operation that couldn't even win against a literal rapist and the most hated candidate ever.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

I’m fine with this. :)

Edit: but, I also understand why a lot of people are scared to accept devils they don’t know over devils they do.

Lightning Knight fucked around with this message at 09:07 on Nov 5, 2017

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VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Lightning Knight posted:

I’m fine with this. :)

Edit: but, I also understand why a lot of people are scared to accept devils they don’t know over devils they do.

Oh sure. It's totally understandable. Rovian tactics work really really well; the conservative Dems were successful at painting Bernie as a racist sexist alt-left monster and deflecting from their own racist campaigns and actions.

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