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Spiritus Nox
Sep 2, 2011

How we doin'?

We doin' good? Feelin' okay?

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Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

CNN with Gillipsie hq a republican on staff looking at numbers told them

it is a sweep
its over
This is a referendum on Trump

Herewaard
Jun 20, 2003

Lipstick Apathy
IF they are under the "Republican Seats" column they are currently Republican

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!
I don't want get my hopes up too much at this point, but the election results seem to indicate Virginia is hard blue now, correct? Blue Governor, Blue Legislature?

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy
My god, I did not think for a second today that democracy was still possible in this country.

My dear, sweet heavens.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Young Hegelian posted:

Dems currently leading in 15 R-held delegate districts? Am I possibly reading this right? Don't check targeted, check all contested.

https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/house/

gently caress 15 would be only 49 our of 100 I think. Someone light the Fancy signal we need one more vote.

Youth Decay
Aug 18, 2015


I honestly thought Roem had no chance in hell, that hers was just a protest campaign. But I am seriously happy for her and for her district!

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!

Young Hegelian posted:

Dems currently leading in 15 R-held delegate districts? Am I possibly reading this right? Don't check targeted, check all contested.

https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/house/

The importance of recruiting a motivated base into running at all levels. Dem numbers are allegedly well up nationwide, which is a huge part of the groundwork for something 2010esque *checks watch* 8,735 hours from now.

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets

I assume they also haven’t yet counted the urban areas that were carved off to make up a lot of those Republican districts.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

FaustianQ posted:

I don't want get my hopes up too much at this point, but the election results seem to indicate Virginia is hard blue now, correct? Blue Governor, Blue Legislature?

I don't know. They needed 17 seats to win the legislature, and we still don't know about Mark Herring and Justin Fairfax.

Endorph
Jul 22, 2009

FaustianQ posted:

I don't want get my hopes up too much at this point, but the election results seem to indicate Virginia is hard blue now, correct? Blue Governor, Blue Legislature?
legislature might be 50/50 depending on how things play out, but considering it was fairly heavily r before thats a massive shfit

empty whippet box
Jun 9, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

Office Pig posted:

My god, I did not think for a second today that democracy was still possible in this country.

My dear, sweet heavens.

2018 is a-comin, mother fuckers

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

Majumbo posted:

IF they are under the "Republican Seats" column they are currently Republican

oh my god oh my god

COME ON TWO MOREEEEE

cheetah7071
Oct 20, 2010

honk honk
College Slice
Is this the kind of rout that makes 2018 senate matter or do you need like D+20 for that

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf
https://twitter.com/DonnyFerguson/status/928066198587215872

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Youth Decay posted:

I honestly thought Roem had no chance in hell, that hers was just a protest campaign. But I am seriously happy for her and for her district!

goes to show making traffic jam alleviation the centerpiece of your campaign pays dividends

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

cheetah7071 posted:

Is this the kind of rout that makes 2018 senate matter or do you need like D+20 for that

Senate is near unattainable just due to who is up for reelection and where. It has nothing to do with turnout.

But the House... my god the House is in sight.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
where are my cillizza takes

Old Kentucky Shark
May 25, 2012

If you think you're gonna get sympathy from the shark, well then, you won't.


cheetah7071 posted:

Is this the kind of rout that makes 2018 senate matter or do you need like D+20 for that

Senate's always going to be blue sky forceasting just because of the nature of the Senate: it comes down heavily to individual personalities and intrastate dynamics.

On the other hand, this is the type of thing that will make Paul Ryan poo poo blood. These are the types of results that break gerrymanders wide open and usher in wave elections.

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

Re-stating my own thoughts in this thread from June, but in a sense it seems like Trump may have been a boon for liberal politics if it continues to encourage lifelong engagement even in midterms and so on.
Like an inoculation. You get Trumped once and the rest of your life you know the value of a fair election. God willing this is a lesson the youth vote will carry with us.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002


https://twitter.com/brianschatz/status/928066312613564416

cheetah7071
Oct 20, 2010

honk honk
College Slice

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Senate is near unattainable just due to who is up for reelection and where. It has nothing to do with turnout.

But the House... my god the House is in sight.

A wave strong enough to beat Cruz puts the Senate in play but I'm assuming that's way bigger than the wave we're seeing here

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
so many pick ups oh my god

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/928066153028648960

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/928065473014652929

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/928064739535671297

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/928067354738741248

Herewaard
Jun 20, 2003

Lipstick Apathy
Also this helps out immensely with Virginia redistricting after the census. Get a bunch of democratic incumbents as well as a democratic governor and a lot of the imbalance of VA being a blue state but sending so many Rs to congress can be undone.

Solkanar512
Dec 28, 2006

by the sex ghost
Congrats to Fancy and all the goons who worked the campaign! Amazing work!!

Carlosologist
Oct 13, 2013

Revelry in the Dark

I was told nothing matters!!!!

congrats so far VA goons

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!

cheetah7071 posted:

Is this the kind of rout that makes 2018 senate matter or do you need like D+20 for that

Senate's a very different dynamic and the candidates running will matter tremendously. There, you're looking more state-by-state. Some similar dynamics may be in play though. Running legitimate D contenders in state and house races across Texas may, for instance, boost Beto against Cruz ("Cruz will win no matter what, but I like this Johnny kid running for the State Senate so I'll vote for him. Might as well put one down for Beto too").

Nationwide, the House needs something like D+8 to flip. If they breach the gerrymander though, it'll go quickly. That may be what we're seeing here tonight.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!
Tonight is the first actual blood drawn in the battle against Trumpism.

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president

Spiritus Nox posted:

How we doin'?

We doin' good? Feelin' okay?

Hope stings eternal

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
AS OF RIGHT NOW THE DEMS WOULD PICK UP 1718 SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF DELEGATES, GIVING THEM A MAJORITY

:stare:

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Fancy, you beautiful goddamn bastard. You condemned Virginia to 4 more years of socialist darkness :getin:

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos
I just came back from voting (NY) on the way home from work, what's going on?

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

CNN

Wolf: Can he come back

Map guy: No

Petr
Oct 3, 2000
I was gonna keep up the oven shtick all night but now I'm too happy.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.
https://twitter.com/CarrieNBCNews/status/928066729980366848?s=17

Swweeeeep

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010


CNN just called it too

empty whippet box
Jun 9, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

axeil posted:

AS OF RIGHT NOW THE DEMS WOULD PICK UP 1718 SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF DELEGATES, GIVING THEM A MAJORITY

:stare:

What the actual gently caress, is this swinging from R supermajority to D majority in one election??

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

Northam.called!!!!

Cabbages and VHS
Aug 25, 2004

Listen, I've been around a bit, you know, and I thought I'd seen some creepy things go on in the movie business, but I really have to say this is the most disgusting thing that's ever happened to me.

Good Soldier Svejk posted:

Re-stating my own thoughts in this thread from June, but in a sense it seems like Trump may have been a boon for liberal politics if it continues to encourage lifelong engagement even in midterms and so on.

I've never been apolitical, I've voted in every state and national election with one exception since 1997, but I am absolutely taking time off work going into the 2018 season to go bang on doors in PA (or wherever else is within a ~6 hour drive that's worthwhile, since I live in a liberal utopia). I've never done that before.

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Flip Yr Wig
Feb 21, 2007

Oh please do go on
Fun Shoe
Fancy, thanks for getting Goons involved. I probably should have done more, but participating, even in a small way, in an awesome win like this has given me a taste for having a share in victory.

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