|
Gum posted:Don't read too much into it but 
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 17:59
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 13, 2024 05:30 |
|
|
he gon do it
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 18:19
|
|
|
BLUE PANIC
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 18:50
|
|
|
Gum posted:Don't read too much into it but i don't doubt labour is ahead but +12 sounds like an outlier
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 19:44
|
|
|
Fallen Hamprince posted:i don't doubt labour is ahead but +12 sounds like an outlier There's literally no way you can come to this conclusion. For this to be even close to accurate then public polling needs to be completely off and if that's the case then lab+12 is the only number you have to go on
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 19:53
|
|
|
the boy always gets the dinner egg
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 19:54
|
|
|
I'm tired of all this tory poo poo, stop buggering around and just give me King Corbyn, the writing's on the wall ffs
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 20:12
|
|
|
Barry Foster posted:I'm tired of all this tory poo poo, stop buggering around and just give me King Corbyn, the writing's on the wall ffs That's Lord Protector of the Commonwealth you filthy royalist, Corbyn would never accept the crown
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 20:17
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:if youre talking about the dude obsessed with Pittsburgh then holy gently caress hes a terrible poster and im glad hes dead I'm actually a way better poster than you are. Sorry.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 20:34
|
|
|
Gum posted:There's literally no way you can come to this conclusion. For this to be even close to accurate then public polling needs to be completely off and if that's the case then lab+12 is the only number you have to go on it's extraordinarily unlikely that all the public polls are off by 10 points and the tories hired a pollster with the one weird trick to accurately capturing the feelings of the electorate. i'm old enough to remember a lifetime ago in the US 2012 general, when romney was so confident in the internal polls showing that he'd win that he ordered a barge full of fireworks for his victory celebration. internal polls aren't magically better than public ones and there's no reason to think that whoever the tories hired has the one weird trick that all the public pollsters are missing. keep in mind that public polls were pretty much dead on for brexit and within the stated margin for error for the nationwide US 2016 vote, the only reason everybody's making GBS threads their pants about how polls don't work anymore is because US statewide polling is poo poo and the americans have an insane electoral system where those matter a lot.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:01
|
|
|
Fallen Hamprince posted:it's extraordinarily unlikely that all the public polls are off by 10 points let me tell you about the 2016 us presidential elections
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:03
|
|
|
Fallen Hamprince posted:it's extraordinarily unlikely that all the public polls are off by 10 points and the tories hired a pollster with the one weird trick to accurately capturing the feelings of the electorate. i'm old enough to remember a lifetime ago in the US 2012 general, when romney was so confident in the internal polls showing that he'd win that he ordered a barge full of fireworks for his victory celebration. internal polls aren't magically better than public ones and there's no reason to think that whoever the tories hired has the one weird trick that all the public pollsters are missing. Methodological differences can easily produce a 10+ point gap. There's reason to question the accuracy of the poll but there's nothing to suggest that this result is an outlier
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:05
|
|
|
Fallen Hamprince posted:keep in mind that public polls were pretty much dead on for brexit and within the stated margin for error for the nationwide US 2016 vote, the only reason everybody's making GBS threads their pants about how polls don't work anymore is because US statewide polling is poo poo and the americans have an insane electoral system where those matter a lot.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:07
|
|
|
financially racist posted:let me tell you about the 2016 us presidential elections again, the nationwide polls were within the margin for error, the reason everybody projected a clinton win with near certainty is because her voters + trumps voters were distributed differently then expected because public state polls were poo poo
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:07
|
|
|
Fallen Hamprince posted:again, the nationwide polls were within the margin for error, the reason everybody projected a clinton win with near certainty is because her voters + trumps voters were distributed differently then expected because public state polls were poo poo Can you think of any other public polls that have recently shown themselves to be poo poo?
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:08
|
|
|
Gum posted:Can you think of any other public polls that have recently shown themselves to be poo poo? the last week of UK polling was off by something like 6%, which is big but not twelve. may called the election because she had a crushing lead in polls, but her popularity collapsed when she actually had to campaign and polls captured that relatively accurately
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 21:19
|
|
|
Squizzle posted:haha a russian oligarch is now planning yr death a Russian oligarch was shot, presumably on the orders of another Russian oligarch, just down the road from me. literally didn't even get a mention in the local papers until a couple days later when Russian media reported it and everyone realised he was rich and then it was like third item on the news and they even did a crimewatch reconstruction.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 22:05
|
|
|
are russian oligarchs like highlanders, and putin is the kurgan? how many are left
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 22:22
|
|
|
got any sevens posted:are russian oligarchs like highlanders, and putin is the kurgan? how many are left Well the dude shot near me lived, but I could certainly believe 6 rounds from a Makarov would be the Russian Oligarch version of beheading.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 22:45
|
|
|
 
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 23:08
|
|
|
Sounds like Tory supporters need a trigger warning for any articles that has Corbyn news.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 23:12
|
|
|
I may be on my deathbed but I can still gently caress everything up for those drat ungrateful kids! 
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 23:24
|
|
|
Set a maximum voting age of 60 and raise it with one year annually until the boomers and their garbage opinions have died off.
|
|
#
?
Nov 19, 2017 23:31
|
|
|
SteelMentor posted:I may be on my deathbed but I can still gently caress everything up for those drat ungrateful kids! From Hell's heart I stab at thee! For hate's sake I spit my last breath at thee!...Corby Dick... Barry Foster has issued a correction as of 00:24 on Nov 20, 2017 |
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 00:21
|
|
|
Putin's gonna steamroll to the Pyrenees before anybody can stop him. Britain will always be important regardless of delusions
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:04
|
|
|
Cerebral Bore posted:Set a maximum voting age of 60 and raise it with one year annually until the boomers and their garbage opinions have died off.
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:06
|
|
|
Tories still have 5 years to go before they need to call another election. Unless they piss off the DUP so much they leave the coalition, or I dunno, a bunch of backbenchers resign/are jailed.
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:13
|
|
|
I think the way things are going it's not a case of if the Tories collapse, rather when. That when being very important as people have said earlier in the thread, if The Corbs gets in before Brexit Labour's gonna have a poo poo time with that nightmare and it'll likely poison the terminally reactionary public against Labour again when we get Brexit'd up the rear end. If they collapse post Brexit however, it'll likely murder the Tories for years and give Labour a still lovely time, but probably won't land them the blame for said shittyness. Of course we could just die.
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:45
|
|
|
Cerebral Bore posted:Set a maximum voting age of 60 and raise it with one year annually until the boomers and their garbage opinions have died off. have the strength of your vote depend on how much longer on average you have to live
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:51
|
|
|
what defines a backbencher
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 04:55
|
|
|
Lawman 0 posted:what defines a backbencher They have attacks that have reach
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 05:12
|
|
|
Lawman 0 posted:what defines a backbencher not a minister
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 05:14
|
|
|
Lawman 0 posted:what defines a backbencher I believe in UK politics it's 'waste of space and/or child molester'?
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 05:17
|
|
|
SteelMentor posted:I think the way things are going it's not a case of if the Tories collapse, rather when. i'm pretty sure may is going to resign right before brexit hits so either boris or the absolute boy takes the fall
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 06:16
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:have the strength of your vote depend on how much longer on average you have to live That will just make killing the NHS a bigger priority for the rich
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 06:24
|
|
|
Nonsense posted:Putin's gonna steamroll to the Pyrenees before anybody can stop him. Britain will always be important regardless of delusions I guess Americans will always want to go there on vacation to hear the accents and see if it looks like it does in TV shows.
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 06:38
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/hrtbps/status/932207243495460864 https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/932184946881499136
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 09:47
|
|
|
SteelMentor posted:I think the way things are going it's not a case of if the Tories collapse, rather when. Eh, the fixed term parliament act makes it a lot harder for governments to collapse now. It would take a pretty concerted effort by Tory rebels to do it and most of them don't want to risk Corbyn getting into power. Of course, it's not like there haven't been a lot of political shocks lately so maybe some new crisis will topple them. UrbicaMortis has issued a correction as of 11:08 on Nov 20, 2017 |
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 09:54
|
|
|
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 09:59
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 13, 2024 05:30 |
|
|
god i love bojo and i don't even know why
|
|
#
?
Nov 20, 2017 10:04
|
|
