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G-Hawk posted:I disagree. Do you think, if any of the teams that played each other today played each other 10 times, one team would win all 10? Probably not. Maybe one team wins 6, 7, perhaps in a rare case 8. Its just an issue of probability. One game isn't a good way to determine who is better at a sport. Sports involve luck and variance. A series of one off games, which is what a football playoff is, will not be very good at determining the best team. Because the hypothetical "best team" likely only has around a 60-70% chance to win each game. Its nothing "magical", an entire season is just a larger sample size. Don’t FCS programs get a comical amount of money for offering their heads on a silver platter to bigger schools?
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Jan 2, 2018 12:39
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Cool so I have no one to root for in this year's game
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Jan 2, 2018 12:50
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Expand the regular season to 16 games and bowls, determine conference and national champions by a series of Monte Carlo simulations.
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Jan 2, 2018 13:54
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Raku posted:A big issue was also UCF's schedule. Yeah, they're a group of five team, but their power 5 opponents were Georgia Tech (a game which was cancelled) and Maryland. So they were undefeated but never had a chance to show how good they were versus top 10 competition, which is definitely more important if you're a group of five team that loving sucked very recently. In contrast, Auburn had two drat losses but almost got into the playoff because they would have beaten the #1 team in the country twice in a row The problem is with a G5 that's known to be good becomes a double edged sword. They want to schedule P5 teams that are perceived as good, but no one wants to play you because the P5 doesn't want to end up getting beat by a G5 team.
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Jan 2, 2018 14:54
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UCF's upset of Auburn is very much the outlier to what typically happens when a G5 has a hell of a year. Stop me if you've seen this story play out before: G5 team has outstanding year. Coach gets attention from suffering P5 program. Team makes big-name bowl game. Come bowl time, coach either has left for new job, or clearly has attention on new job. G5 team faces a P5 team who likely got to that bowl game by losing a conference championship and sees it as a demotion. P5 team either blows out or sleepwalks past G5 team in bowl game that nobody watches.
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Jan 2, 2018 14:58
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See: Florida v. Cincinnati
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Jan 2, 2018 15:00
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and Wisconsin vs. Western Michigan, a Cotton Bowl game that even the most ardent Badger fan probably forgot to watch. E: lmao that was only last year, I thought that was like 3 ago.
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Jan 2, 2018 15:03
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DJExile posted:and Wisconsin vs. Western Michigan, a Cotton Bowl game that even the most ardent Badger fan probably forgot to watch. I watched it 
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Jan 2, 2018 15:04
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That Cotton Bowl was excellent compared to any BCS game that featured a Big East team post-2004
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Jan 2, 2018 15:10
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DJExile posted:UCF's upset of Auburn is very much the outlier to what typically happens when a G5 has a hell of a year. This outlier has happened three times in the AAC's five years of existence.
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Jan 2, 2018 15:33
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Good news: Clemson has been declared A Trash Team of lovely Morons who are The Worst at Football, thus rendering Alabama's win worthless.
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Jan 2, 2018 15:37
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Clemson had a bad night, and that game might go differently if they played again next week. Our systems are designed to dole out fleeting moments of recognition to teams who have more of an almost-arbitrarily apportioned number of points awarded to whoever happens to get luckiest within a basically random time frame. Within a blip on the cosmic scale we will all be gone from here and no one that remembers our existence will remain. The only universal constant is that A&M is rear end.
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Jan 2, 2018 15:46
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PostNouveau posted:Clemson had a bad night, and that game might go differently if they played again next week. my dude
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Jan 2, 2018 15:48
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NCAA CFB Championship Week: The only universal constant is that A&M is rear end.
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Jan 2, 2018 15:50
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DJExile posted:UCF's upset of Auburn is very much the outlier to what typically happens when a G5 has a hell of a year. Stop me if you've seen this story play out before: Non-power conference teams in the BCS/NY6 are 8-3 against P5/P6 opponents.  edit: is it possible that you're confusing the ultra-successful G5 at-large teams with some of the extremely mediocre Big East autobids (Cincy, Cincy, UConn) from the last few years of the BCS? General Dog fucked around with this message at 16:35 on Jan 2, 2018 |
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Jan 2, 2018 15:59
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iospace posted:The problem is with a G5 that's known to be good becomes a double edged sword. They want to schedule P5 teams that are perceived as good, but no one wants to play you because the P5 doesn't want to end up getting beat by a G5 team. I would be fine with some kind of pod system that replaces elective OOC games with G5 v P5 games that can't be dodged.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:13
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just win your conference and then vote on which conference is superior at the end of the season SEC 25 year win streak incoming.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:14
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Bama finally won in the sugar bowl and threw a TD to its nose tackle, I’m very happy with this bowl season already
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Jan 2, 2018 16:30
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General Dog posted:Non-power conference teams in the BCS/NY6 are 8-3 against P5/P6 opponents. Yeah i might be. Also wasn't TCU in the B12 when that Wisconsin game rolled around? E: oh that was their last Mountain West year DJExile fucked around with this message at 16:42 on Jan 2, 2018 |
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Jan 2, 2018 16:40
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DJExile posted:Yeah i might be. Also wasn't TCU in the B12 when that Wisconsin game rolled around? No, they were still in the MWC. Looking back though, that one Cincy team that got slapped around by Florida in the BCS was highly ranked enough (#3 (!)) that they'd have gotten an at-large even if the Big East didn't have an autobid anymore, so my characterization of them getting in just because of an autobid wasn't really fair. General Dog fucked around with this message at 16:47 on Jan 2, 2018 |
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Jan 2, 2018 16:41
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https://twitter.com/dawgsports/status/948212722453360640 lol
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Jan 2, 2018 16:44
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General Dog posted:No, they were still in the MWC. UCF was technically an autobid when they beat Baylor. It was right after the Big East collapsed so they gave the big east slot to the American. It was basically the same conference though (the only notable difference was that they still had Louisville) so it still probably works for this point.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:49
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DJExile posted:Yeah i might be. Also wasn't TCU in the B12 when that Wisconsin game rolled around? I think they had to play in for that too. Like the year before they got a BCS game and got matched up against Boise State in what seemed like a big gently caress you to both schools.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:50
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lol I think that's Kevin Sherrer, UT's new DC. it's either him or Evan Gattis
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Jan 2, 2018 16:51
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Emron posted:Bama finally won in the sugar bowl and threw a TD to its nose tackle, I’m very happy with this bowl season already please note that that pass had the most hilarious blocking of all time which may/may not have been legal due to colleges horrible downfield rules and it was made even better by said block
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Jan 2, 2018 16:52
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Fluffdaddy posted:Mark Richt would have also taken this team to the championship game Yes, clearly Richt had no history of making GBS threads the bed against demonstratively inferior Florida/Tennessee teams, and when down multiple scores in a big game, his teams always played with steely resolve and were the kings of comebacks. Oh, also, alternate universe 2017 Richt-coached UGA doesn't have Jake Fromm, who was run off during recruiting by Brian Schottenheimer. Remember, the guy Richt hired instead of...Lincoln Riley? It was the right decision for UGA to move on from Richt, and it has benefited both parties. Say it, it's not hard people
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Jan 2, 2018 16:53
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mastershakeman posted:please note that that pass had the most hilarious blocking of all time which may/may not have been legal due to colleges horrible downfield rules and it was made even better by said block Absolutely, it almost seemed like a statement from Saban to run a pick play there, considering that Clemson won last year with one.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:56
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Hat in hand, I beg for TFF forgiveness for my minimeltdown. I have embraced the crushing depression associated with life under an evil crimson empire. In no small part because it may expedite expanded playoffs, but mostly because Bulldog misery is most import, I say Roll Tide. FTGE for making me pull for Bama. D.N. Nation posted:It was the right decision for UGA to move on from Richt, and it has benefited both parties. Say it, it's not hard people Agreed.
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Jan 2, 2018 16:58
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Hats off to Georgia that hitting on 19 actually worked out for them. It's undoubtedly a net positive for the sport in that it's given birth to Dark Richt and a newly relevant U.
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Jan 2, 2018 17:02
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I think it’s kind of cool that firing Richt worked out for both UGA and Miami, purely because of how unlikely that outcome seemed.
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Jan 2, 2018 17:03
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It looks like they are cuddling 
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Jan 2, 2018 17:04
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KKKLIP ART posted:It looks like they are cuddling It’s like one of those fear factory haunted house photos
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Jan 2, 2018 17:07
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LeeMajors posted:Hat in hand, I beg for TFF forgiveness for my minimeltdown. link to meltdown, tia
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Jan 2, 2018 17:08
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My only hope for the 2018 season is that Alabama and Clemson don't play each other again.
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Jan 2, 2018 17:13
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Sash! posted:My only hope for the 2018 season is that Alabama and Clemson don't play each other again. I hope they play Part IV... ...in the Belk Bowl 
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Jan 2, 2018 17:17
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Clemson was the 1 seed in a transitional year, I don't think we've fully grasped how scary that is moving forward
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Jan 2, 2018 17:19
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Randaconda posted:link to meltdown, tia It was just me being pissed about Bama getting infinite benefit of the doubt when they don’t even win their division. Nothing major, but I’m sure it was annoying.
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Jan 2, 2018 17:22
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Emron posted:It’s like one of those fear factory haunted house photos hahaha oh man it is
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Jan 2, 2018 17:23
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LeeMajors posted:It was just me being pissed about Bama getting infinite benefit of the doubt when they don’t even win their division. Nothing major, but I’m sure it was annoying. We all have our meltdowns from time to time, bud. It’s been a rough year.
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Jan 2, 2018 17:24
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D.N. Nation posted:Clemson was the 1 seed in a transitional year, I don't think we've fully grasped how scary that is moving forward I thought this was also a "rebuilding" year for Bama?
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Jan 2, 2018 17:24
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