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kimbo305
Jun 9, 2007

actually, yeah, I am a little mad
> Dont want donations not posting an address dont PM me

Lol, was this going to happen if they didn't post that disclaimer?

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GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog
I'm bad with money because I just put $3,000 into cryptocurrencies

Budgie
Mar 9, 2007
Yeah, like the bird.

GoGoGadgetChris posted:

I'm bad with money because I just put $3,000 into cryptocurrencies

So you bought 3 graphics cards and made a rig right?

Devian666
Aug 20, 2008

Take some advice Chris.

Fun Shoe

bob dobbs is dead posted:

i know a guy running a book at goldman for 1000x and 10,000x leveraged s&p 500 derivatives

"for when you're an institution but you still want to yolo"

Here was me thinking 100x leverage in 1929 was bad. When it comes to 10000x leverage that's the good stuff.

Suspicious Lump
Mar 11, 2004

quote:

After the dump from 19k to 11k I went long at the bottom, and kept adding to my position on the bounce to 12k 13k, 14k. Then, at the 16k dead cat, my position was a further 100 BTC in profit. Instead of closing then and having a total 300 BTC, I increased leverage and increased my position size. This entire position was liquadated on the drop back to 12k, because my entry had moved up so much. I lost 100 btc paper profit and nearly 50 BTC margin. I was devasted, and down to 150 BTC total.

After evaluating the situation, I came to the conclusion that the pump to 16k was a dead cat and that we are going lower. Therefore I shorted. At 12k. Added at 13k. Added at 14 and 15k. Got liquidated at the top at 17k. Another 50 BTC loss. Down to 100.

Think, ok we made a higher high at 17k, uptrend back on. Went long. Got liquidated at 13k.
Can someone please explain trading jargon?

From what I understand, through "investing" he obtained 100 BTC. Using those 100 BTC as leverage, he essentially loaned a bunch of money to trade more than he actually had (the margin). BTC crashes, he over stretched himself and now he's broke.

Correct?

Virtue
Jan 7, 2009

The brokerage lends you money to trade on “margin.” In return they have the right to liquidate your position if it drops too far to protect their loan, called a “margin call”. Leverage is great on the way up but not so hot on the way down and particularly silly in a volatile market. If the price drops 50% but shoots up 1000000% a few moments later, you’ll never realize those gains because the margin call will liquidate your position on the drop.

SlapActionJackson
Jul 27, 2006

Suspicious Lump posted:

Can someone please explain trading jargon?

From what I understand, through "investing" he obtained 100 BTC. Using those 100 BTC as leverage, he essentially loaned a bunch of money to trade more than he actually had (the margin). BTC crashes, he over stretched himself and now he's broke.

Correct?

Pretty much.
Long = betting the price will go up; short = betting it will go down.
"Margin" and "leverage" = borrowing money so you can make bigger bets. This magnifies both gains and losses, so if you bet wrong, it's possible to lose more than you started with. To prevent your account from going negative, brokers will force-sell your positions ("liquidate") at certain trigger points.

When the price was 16K, he bet that the price would go up, but it went down to 12K, and he got liquidated.
Then he bet that it would keep going down, making additional bets as it rose to 12,13,14,15K. It kept going up to 17K and he got liquidated again.
Then he bet that it would keep going up, but it went down to 13K. Liquidated again, and this time he had lost everything.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

What's the grace period on a margin call, again?

Virtue
Jan 7, 2009

I'm sure if you ask really nicely the brokerage will refund your losses. After all they have so much money and you have so little.

SolTerrasa
Sep 2, 2011

Hoodwinker posted:

What's the grace period on a margin call, again?

Zero seconds in the bitcoin ecosystem (and for regular folks, sometimes in real life, too). Unless you're real important, it's less a call and more a "you got liquidated" email after-the-fact.

crazypeltast52
May 5, 2010



Hoodwinker posted:

What's the grace period on a margin call, again?

This was a great thread title, does anyone have the original post?

Seanzor
Mar 22, 2013

quote:

3 BTC to 200, to 0

This story is a great anecdotal validation of my theory that anyone crazy/greedy enough to make gently caress-you money off of a small investment in a short time period is necessarily going to be crazy/greedy enough to subsequently lose all of it in a similar time.

Blinkman987
Jul 10, 2008

Gender roles guilt me into being fat.
Speaking of elderly medical care, I got to learn that if you're basically anything except for the perfect old person / income stream, no quality elder care facility will even give you a price because you're a "fall risk" or whatever and you have to go to the same default facility that everyone else goes to.

Dear God, please don't let me die like that.

n8r
Jul 3, 2003

I helped Lowtax become a cyborg and all I got was this lousy avatar

Blinkman987 posted:

Speaking of elderly medical care, I got to learn that if you're basically anything except for the perfect old person / income stream, no quality elder care facility will even give you a price because you're a "fall risk" or whatever and you have to go to the same default facility that everyone else goes to.

Dear God, please don't let me die like that.

I'm not sure how things compare nationwide, but around here assisted living places that are 'private pay' range from about $4-6k per month. They can definitely give you ballpark numbers based upon care needs. I've delt with a mother in law in declining health, it's a rough deal.

BigDave
Jul 14, 2009

Taste the High Country

n8r posted:

I'm not sure how things compare nationwide, but around here assisted living places that are 'private pay' range from about $4-6k per month. They can definitely give you ballpark numbers based upon care needs. I've delt with a mother in law in declining health, it's a rough deal.

Here in Minnesota, a middle-of-the-road assisted care facility will run you about $8k, a 'good' home is double that.

After you see a family member go through living in one of those places, assisted suicide begins to make sense. :sigh:

BigDave fucked around with this message at 08:14 on Jan 24, 2018

n8r
Jul 3, 2003

I helped Lowtax become a cyborg and all I got was this lousy avatar
That sounds... really high. You sure about that?

When I google Minneapolis assisted living prices I got average prices of $3500

Puseklepp
Jan 9, 2011

like watching the most beautiful ballerina on the best stage

SlapActionJackson posted:

Then he bet that it would keep going down, making additional bets as it rose to 12,13,14,15K. It kept going up to 17K and he got liquidated again.

What do you mean by this part? How can you bet on the price going down in a market? And how would it lead to liquidation?

I get the part about margin calls and how he lost money when the price dropped but now how he lost money when the price increased.

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.

Puseklepp posted:

What do you mean by this part? How can you bet on the price going down in a market? And how would it lead to liquidation?

I get the part about margin calls and how he lost money when the price dropped but now how he lost money when the price increased.

Someone might explain this better than me, but a short is betting on the price going down. You borrow some shares, or bitcoins in this case, with the promise to pay them back at a later date, sometimes at the end of the day. If the price goes down then you make money. For example:

Borrow 100 BTC and sell them immediately at $18/each - $1,800 total
Price goes down to $16
You give back the 100 BTC, but now it only costs you $1,600 to buy them, and you make $200 on the difference.

Problem becomes if the price goes up. Same scenario, but the price goes from $18 up to $21. Now when you give back the BTC, it costs you $300. Take that number and add a bunch of zeroes to it, and you can see how someone can get in real trouble.

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

EAT FASTER!!!!!! posted:

How do I get a taste of this deliciousness?

Goldman, gimme a call dogg!

you have to run a book for a hedge fund
like, a >5 billion hedge fund, that goldman actually gives a poo poo about
so go do finance at harvard or wharton mba, i guess

or do undergrad and master's at stanford like my bud did

BigDave
Jul 14, 2009

Taste the High Country

n8r posted:

That sounds... really high. You sure about that?

When I google Minneapolis assisted living prices I got average prices of $3500

Bill for my mom's last 30 day stay at Hillcrest in Wayzata, $8k.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer

n8r posted:

That sounds... really high. You sure about that?

When I google Minneapolis assisted living prices I got average prices of $3500

My grandmother paid $1800 for a shared room at a decent facility (I've learned all nursing homes and rehab centers smell like piss regardless of quality). Her pension + Social Security was about $1900 so it got deposited directly into her 'account' and she ended up with $100 left over for the beauty parlor or extras . I'm pretty sure the $1800 was after her Medicare benefit, but I'm not certain. So it's entirely possible that it costs $3k a month if you're paying out of pocket.

Contrast that with my mom, who is in at-home hospice care. Medicare pays 100% for drugs, durable medical equipment, supplies and nurses assistants that come to her home 3 times a week to bathe, change sheets, etc. So it looks like Medicare is trying to encourage people to stay at home when possible. That probably has something to do with the fact that 30% of Medicare's costs occur with 5% of patients in their last year of life. It's cheaper to give you everything you need at home for a year than risk 3 weeks in an ICU before you croak.

Americans are pretty hosed up when it comes to end-of-life care. Hopefully this is a step in the right direction.

Zauper
Aug 21, 2008


Medicare doesn't cover long term care in a facility. They will cover up to 100 days in skilled nursing (with a 20% coinsurance after day 30).

You have to spend down your money and go on Medicaid for long term care.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

Bird in a Blender posted:

Someone might explain this better than me, but a short is betting on the price going down. You borrow some shares, or bitcoins in this case, with the promise to pay them back at a later date, sometimes at the end of the day. If the price goes down then you make money. For example:

Borrow 100 BTC and sell them immediately at $18/each - $1,800 total
Price goes down to $16
You give back the 100 BTC, but now it only costs you $1,600 to buy them, and you make $200 on the difference.

Problem becomes if the price goes up. Same scenario, but the price goes from $18 up to $21. Now when you give back the BTC, it costs you $300. Take that number and add a bunch of zeroes to it, and you can see how someone can get in real trouble.

In addition, there's the margin call, which leads to liquidation. When you trade on margin, you borrow money to trade with. It basically amplifies your gains/losses.

But what happens is if you lose too much, your positions are sold for a loss (even if you think it will go back up and otherwise would have held).

For example, you put up 10k and borrow 10k. You are required to keep a certain percentage of the investment in your account, in this case let's say 25% (5k). If your investments loses 50% of the value, i.e. total value goes to 10k, this means your actual equity is at 5k, because you still owe the 10k you borrowed. If your investments loses any more than 50% of the value, you would be forced to sell your holdings and thus realize your losses. If it had been entirely your money, you could have held on and wait for prices to go back up.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

How to invest a 250k personal loan?


quote:

My dad is taking out a loan of ~250k with an interest rate of 3.1%. He wants to invest this money with the hopes of a return equal to or greater than the interest and fees associated with investing for the next 2-3 years. At that point he'll likely use the money to purchase a new house and cover expenses until he's able to sell his current home.

His house is paid off and has an appraised value of 375k. He can easily afford the monthly payment on the loan. If the investment doesn't outpace the interest then he's made a bad financial choice but not a crippling one. On the other hand, I don't want to see him lose a significant portion of this money in the event of a market downturn.

The safest place I could think of, but not ideal, would be a savings account that could negate part of the interest while safely storing the money until it's needed. Is there a reasonable place to invest this money that would result in a greater return without over 2-3 years while keeping it somewhat liquid?

Note: Nobody has suggested bitcoin yet.

kimbo305
Jun 9, 2007

actually, yeah, I am a little mad
> He wants to invest this money with the hopes of a return equal to or greater than the interest

Pretty solid idea, imo.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.
It's almost guaranteed that his dad mortgaged his house or something to that effect.

Also, 3.1% is pretty low, but 3.1% + inflation = anywhere between 5-7% returns needed to break even, which is pretty close to historical returns in the stock market.

OTOH, market returns in the last few years have been bonkers.
OTOtherOtherH, past performance =/= future returns so we're back to just straight gambling.

totalnewbie fucked around with this message at 21:37 on Jan 24, 2018

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

Here’s another - idiot gets scammed and doesn’t realize it, news at 11:

After winning a promotional offer over the radio, I was billed $299 when I didn't know I had to pay for that upfront. I want my money back, what can I do?

quote:

Like the title says, after I won a promotional offer over the radio, I was billed $299 when I didn't know I had to pay for that upfront.

I was told that the package was available for $299 and that it could be activated at any time within the next 12 months at that price. I was never told I had to pay for it before I wanted to activate it. And right after they asked for my debit card information and apparently processed the payment, I was told the package had some constraints such as all the hotel participants had to be over 30 years old and some other things.

Right after I noticed I got billed, about 10 minutes after the call, I called back the sales person who handled my information to claim back my money and he told me that they couldn't give it back. He just said "that's how promotional offers work".

I just want my money back. To me this was a very misleading offer, but I don't know what I can do about it.

Edit: Just for clarification, this happened in Florida. I don't know if that would help, but I figured there's a chance.

quote:

This was my first time participating in these things. I was just naive -- I thought it was normal to provide the debit card info.

Thanks, I will open that dispute.


Oof, I just realized this person’s username is maria_survivor and is probably desperate for anything :v:

Ktb
Feb 24, 2006

Introducing the CashBet Coin which will allow you to gamble with cryptocurrency while you gamble on cryptocurrency!
They have also apparently struck some sort of deal with Arsenal football club.

CashBet posted:

"Through its incorporation of novel blockchain technology into its revolutionary iGaming platform, CashBet intends to become the undisputed leader in enterprise software for the crypto-casino market."

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

totalnewbie posted:

It's almost guaranteed that his dad mortgaged his house or something to that effect.

Also, 3.1% is pretty low, but 3.1% + inflation = anywhere between 5-7% returns needed to break even, which is pretty close to historical returns in the stock market.

OTOH, market returns in the last few years have been bonkers.
OTOtherOtherH, past performance =/= future returns so we're back to just straight gambling.

When dealing with borrowed money, don't you subtract inflation from the nominal rate of interest?

Phanatic
Mar 13, 2007

Please don't forget that I am an extremely racist idiot who also has terrible opinions about the Culture series.
https://www.reddit.com/r/legaladvice/comments/7rg45m/texas_invested_my_company_money_in_ponzi_and_lost/?st=JCQB8Z5D&sh=49a47982

quote:

I invest my companys funds in a ponzi and they run wit da money. I need money for March when we havin the car show. I gots to pay my workers and staff. Can I lawsuit the ponzi people for my money back? I need it by March. THX

quote:

I am owner of my company. We have investors that pay us to throw car show. I took funds and invest in BITCONNECT in DEC 2017. They run wit money n I dunno what to do.

quote:

I didnt do nothin wrong tho. I just invest money to make more money for show. Was sposed to get 30% more money each month.


quote:

There are videos of him online and he speaks exactly as he types. He runs the "donk contest."

Solice Kirsk
Jun 1, 2004

.

totalnewbie posted:

It's almost guaranteed that his dad mortgaged his house or something to that effect.

Also, 3.1% is pretty low, but 3.1% + inflation = anywhere between 5-7% returns needed to break even, which is pretty close to historical returns in the stock market.

OTOH, market returns in the last few years have been bonkers.
OTOtherOtherH, past performance =/= future returns so we're back to just straight gambling.

Invest your HELOC in $WEED for 2 years. Retire rich. Rich from drugs.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

FrozenVent posted:

When dealing with borrowed money, don't you subtract inflation from the nominal rate of interest?

Well the 5-7% returns is in nominal terms, so you include inflation in that value. If you were to adjust for inflation then it cancels out on both sides and you would need, clearly, 3.1% real returns to break even. But it's pretty hard to tell what of your gains are real and what is inflation, so.

Solice Kirsk posted:

Invest your HELOC in $WEED for 2 years. Retire rich. Rich from drugs.

Marijuana is going to be a huge industry and there are going to be a lot of people who make a lot of money from it.. eventually.

22 Eargesplitten
Oct 10, 2010



Think my company that drug tests will let me put my 401(k) into one of the marijuana index funds?

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer
I didn't see this posted. 1 in 6 Millennials have over $100k in savings and nearly half have $15k saved up.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2018/01/23/millennials-1-6-now-have-100-000-socked-away/1053803001/

Kind of interesting to see the savings threads for Millennials during the period of time most people are taking on debt and making lots of stupid mistakes like Ford Mustangs and condos.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

Krispy Wafer posted:

I didn't see this posted. 1 in 6 Millennials have over $100k in savings and nearly half have $15k saved up.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2018/01/23/millennials-1-6-now-have-100-000-socked-away/1053803001/

Kind of interesting to see the savings threads for Millennials during the period of time most people are taking on debt and making lots of stupid mistakes like Ford Mustangs and condos.

I saw that the other day. That seems contrary to everything I’ve read about millennials saving, what with student loans, the inability to get good paying jobs and wage stagnation. However, if true, it’s a good thing and most certainly GWM.

Dogcow
Jun 21, 2005

Cacafuego posted:

I saw that the other day. That seems contrary to everything I’ve read about millennials saving, what with student loans, the inability to get good paying jobs and wage stagnation. However, if true, it’s a good thing and most certainly GWM.

Keep in mind it’s a “self reported” survey, in other words: completely worthless.

CellBlock
Oct 6, 2005

It just don't stop.



Cacafuego posted:

I saw that the other day. That seems contrary to everything I’ve read about millennials saving, what with student loans, the inability to get good paying jobs and wage stagnation. However, if true, it’s a good thing and most certainly GWM.

If you use the age bracket they use (which is reasonable), 32-37 year-olds (the upper portion of "Millennials") having saved $100k isn't unreasonable; they've been working for 10-15 years. They would have started working before the Great Recession, had student loan rates much lower than today, and have had the more recent few years of booming markets to build their investments.

Starting a 401(k) in 2008 or 2009, as a working 31 or 32 year old would have, basically meant buying in at the bottom. Starting just before that means the big crash took out a big percentage, but of only a year or two of contributions.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

Dogcow posted:

Keep in mind it’s a “self reported” survey, in other words: completely worthless.
Please describe the length and girth of your dick:
    * Super huge
    * Very huge
    * Pretty huge
    * Definitely huge
    * Seriously dude, you gotta see this thing

Suspicious Lump
Mar 11, 2004

Virtue posted:

The brokerage lends you money to trade on “margin.” In return they have the right to liquidate your position if it drops too far to protect their loan, called a “margin call”. Leverage is great on the way up but not so hot on the way down and particularly silly in a volatile market. If the price drops 50% but shoots up 1000000% a few moments later, you’ll never realize those gains because the margin call will liquidate your position on the drop.

SlapActionJackson posted:

Pretty much.
Long = betting the price will go up; short = betting it will go down.
"Margin" and "leverage" = borrowing money so you can make bigger bets. This magnifies both gains and losses, so if you bet wrong, it's possible to lose more than you started with. To prevent your account from going negative, brokers will force-sell your positions ("liquidate") at certain trigger points.

When the price was 16K, he bet that the price would go up, but it went down to 12K, and he got liquidated.
Then he bet that it would keep going down, making additional bets as it rose to 12,13,14,15K. It kept going up to 17K and he got liquidated again.
Then he bet that it would keep going up, but it went down to 13K. Liquidated again, and this time he had lost everything.

Thank you, both. So, to summarise: he placed wrong bets at every turn. WOW

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AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

Krispy Wafer posted:

I didn't see this posted. 1 in 6 Millennials have over $100k in savings and nearly half have $15k saved up.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2018/01/23/millennials-1-6-now-have-100-000-socked-away/1053803001/

Kind of interesting to see the savings threads for Millennials during the period of time most people are taking on debt and making lots of stupid mistakes like Ford Mustangs and condos.

Wasn't the savings rate of people who grew up through the Depression higher also? Makes sense that some people would be a bit more cautious after seeing a lot of people lose everything in the late 2000s.

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