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lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Coldwar timewarp posted:

I understand it as sources on the war in english are pretty weak. Its like putting rumours and ideological beliefs against a person with bias who is there. Until I get something firmer its hard not to at least reference the source.

right, and then threat with the respect it deserves, as the rambling diary of a deeply unbalanced soul, nothing of which should be believed without external citation and verification. wanting to treat it as anything else is to me a sign of... well something going on there I guess

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CrazyLoon
Aug 10, 2015

"..."

Sergg posted:

We had a few accidental drops that were supposed to go to our allies or spec ops on the ground but got carried off course by wind or whatever. Accidentally airdropping some of your supplies to the enemy is a pretty common error in wartime.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RLlwuSJGUQ

Coldwar timewarp
May 8, 2007



lollontee posted:

right, and then threat with the respect it deserves, as the rambling diary of a deeply unbalanced soul, nothing of which should be believed without external citation and verification. wanting to treat it as anything else is to me a sign of... well something going on there I guess

It’s an English language primary source if he was where he said he was. I think you can glean useful information out of state propaganda for instance.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

CBS 60 Minutes had a good piece on the Khan Sheikhoun chemical attack last night:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-a-chemical-attack-in-syria-looks-like/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7d&linkId=48516322

The head of the OPCW-UN JIM which investigated the attack was interview, and he stated that the Sarin was from the Syrian government stockpiles, and couldn't be recreated:
https://www.cbsnews.com/videos/collecting-evidence-of-a-war-crime/

This is particularly interesting as the Syrian government has denied losing control of it's CW, and Reuters recently reported the OPCW said the Sarin used in Khan Sheikhoun also matched the Sarin used in Khan al-Assal on March 19th 2013, and the August 21st 2013 Sarin attacks.

Kanine
Aug 5, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Wez posted:

You mean the one party statelet built with tacit and now explicit support from a genocidal facist regime?

holy poo poo lmao

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Kanine posted:

holy poo poo lmao

The PYD has a long record of persecuting its domestic Kurdish political opposition, they got their footing because the regime largely pulled out of Rojava to concentrate the fight against the FSA, and that little show of unity between the regime and the PYD in Afrin was disgusting.

Panzeh
Nov 27, 2006

"..The high ground"

Volkerball posted:

The PYD has a long record of persecuting its domestic Kurdish political opposition, they got their footing because the regime largely pulled out of Rojava to concentrate the fight against the FSA, and that little show of unity between the regime and the PYD in Afrin was disgusting.

But the Ottoman invasion was somehow cool. I don't see the FSA fighting the Ottomans to keep their country independent.

Seems more likely that their interest from the start was crushing Rojava after they were finished with the regime.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

lollontee posted:

If you're ready to admit all these caveats, then perhaps you might want to ask yourself why exactly should you trust the book on this one particular subject if on anything else you're willing to admit its biases. Or ask why you would want to do that to begin with.

Well, the book is very highly regarded for one thing, as was Fisk back in the day.

As for why I should trust it on this subject... I don't have a reason not to? His is a first hand account that agrees with other accounts. I didn't think anything in the passage I quoted was subject to factual doubt.

More generally, a source and be trustworthy and have biases at the same time. Every journalist I've come across has had a bias one way or another, I don't even believe in the concept of purely objective reporting, I think it is impossible. I prefer to read a variety of sources.

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
Turkey's Erdogan in row over 'girl martyr' comment on TV

quote:

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been criticised after telling a girl in military uniform that she would be honoured if killed while fighting.

Normal country.

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless

Volkerball posted:

The PYD has a long record of persecuting its domestic Kurdish political opposition, they got their footing because the regime largely pulled out of Rojava to concentrate the fight against the FSA, and that little show of unity between the regime and the PYD in Afrin was disgusting.

This is a member of the "FSA" currently fighting the YPG/SDF, the guys that love freedom and democracy;


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nour_al-Din_al-Zenki_Movement


And don't be a child. The regime are hardly friends of the YPG.

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless
Turkey is the biggest threat to middle eastern stability.

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

OTOH YPJ actually sends 14 year old girls to fight

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Count Roland posted:

More generally, a source and be trustworthy and have biases at the same time. Every journalist I've come across has had a bias one way or another, I don't even believe in the concept of purely objective reporting, I think it is impossible. I prefer to read a variety of sources.

If you say so, personally what I find the most terrifying prospect is my own unconscious biases getting me to accept sources I really should not. Which is why you should care about reputation when you consider sources on subjects where you have an... well, an emotional attachment of some level. I mean, you're not exactly a fan of Iran? So maybe take that into account? eh

Volkerball posted:

The PYD has a long record of persecuting its domestic Kurdish political opposition, they got their footing because the regime largely pulled out of Rojava to concentrate the fight against the FSA, and that little show of unity between the regime and the PYD in Afrin was disgusting.

And how long is that record? The one you surely got on hand to cite and won't need to go scouring the internet for? As for Turkish Free Army, I'm actually pretty sure it was the TFA that pulled out of attacks on the regime to focus on euphrates shield and this ongoing thing where they invade an autonomous commune that has done exactly nothing to them. Which is why you saw that unity show. Because when you're fighting against the empire, you'll welcome the devil if he came knocking. and he did

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless
The TFSA has never fought the regime, but that isn't the point.

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless
Volkerball is right (I know, surprising) about the PYD persecuting other parties - they have done so in the past.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
I mean sure, if you call banning KNC persecution. Which is idiotic but that's the only political persecution I'm aware of PYD doing.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
also the TFSA did get shot at by the regime. getting shot at is fighting, in a way

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Fighters have gone back and forth between fighting the regime and being part of the TFSA, and have certainly been supplied by Turkey in their anti-regime capacity too, so any claim that the TFSA haven't fought the regime is only true in a very very narrow sense.

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless

lollontee posted:

I mean sure, if you call banning KNC persecution. Which is idiotic but that's the only political persecution I'm aware of PYD doing.

I think they also banned some Assyrian party.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
And banning political parties is a terrible and tyrannical thing to do regardless

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless

lollontee posted:

And banning political parties is a terrible and tyrannical thing to do regardless

I would take "banning political parties" over "chopping children's heads off" but that's just me.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
yeah i was being sarcastic there. banning political parties is ok? and we do it all the time? for the right reasons? as did PYD

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

lollontee posted:


And how long is that record? The one you surely got on hand to cite and won't need to go scouring the internet for? As for Turkish Free Army, I'm actually pretty sure it was the TFA that pulled out of attacks on the regime to focus on euphrates shield and this ongoing thing where they invade an autonomous commune that has done exactly nothing to them. Which is why you saw that unity show. Because when you're fighting against the empire, you'll welcome the devil if he came knocking. and he did

No, it pops up in the news all the time. Raiding political offices, arresting protesters, etc etc. Mainly in Qamishli. They don't have an opposition in their system, only opposition from the outside of it. It's one party rule. And I don't think running into Bashar's arms is any more noble than a bunch of rebels running into the arms of Erdogan, yet it seems like y'all have a double standard on that. Turkey has taken in millions of refugees and supported the opposition against Assad almost more than anyone. Even so, there's still anti-regime Syrians who come out and condemn the rebels who are fighting Turkey's battles instead of Syria's. What has Assad done for Kurds? Not a drat thing. And sooner or later he's gonna get around to them. And when he does, it's going to be another own goal for Kurdish ambitions in the Middle East just like what happened with Kirkuk, and everyone who tried to defend this dumb poo poo is gonna look like an rear end. You play ball with dictatorships that are stronger than you and it never ends in your favor.

A Typical Goon
Feb 25, 2011
Neocon logic: Churchill suspends elections during WWII, extremely cool and logical

A socialist government bans political parties during a literal existential crisis: an inexcusable crime against democracy and freedom

:911:

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Volkerball posted:

No, it pops up in the news all the time. Raiding political offices, arresting protesters, etc etc. Mainly in Qamishli. They don't have an opposition in their system, only opposition from the outside of it. It's one party rule. And I don't think running into Bashar's arms is any more noble than a bunch of rebels running into the arms of Erdogan, yet it seems like y'all have a double standard on that. Turkey has taken in millions of refugees and supported the opposition against Assad almost more than anyone. Even so, there's still anti-regime Syrians who come out and condemn the rebels who are fighting Turkey's battles instead of Syria's. What has Assad done for Kurds? Not a drat thing. And sooner or later he's gonna get around to them. And when he does, it's going to be another own goal for Kurdish ambitions in the Middle East just like what happened with Kirkuk, and everyone who tried to defend this dumb poo poo is gonna look like an rear end. You play ball with dictatorships that are stronger than you and it never ends in your favor.

Turkey's plan to resettle the refugees wherever they're able to capture territory seems clearly worse for long term Kurdish interests in Afrin than a return to Assad's rule. Obviously independence is off the table at this point, so it's a pick your poison situation, and Assad has more use for both the YPG specifically and Syrian Kurds in general than a Turkey that basically supported ISIS in slaughtering them does. As for which side is more moral in a vacuum, I think Erdogan is still a better person than Assad, or at least has considerably less blood on his hands, but despite the laudable acceptance of refugees, he's been plenty cynical throughout the war too, and has done his share to provide assistance to factions harmful to the rebellion. If he'd genuinely intervened against ISIS instead of waiting to steal the YPG's victory when his tacit proxies lost to them (obviously with our help), he'd have considerably more moral high ground.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
I have a double standard about finland being allied with the literal nazis because PYD is in the exact same situation and is making the exact same choice. The right choice. They are allies with the guy running camps with literal ovens. And that's fine.

Human Grand Prix
Jan 24, 2013

by FactsAreUseless

Volkerball posted:

No, it pops up in the news all the time. Raiding political offices, arresting protesters, etc etc. Mainly in Qamishli. They don't have an opposition in their system, only opposition from the outside of it. It's one party rule. And I don't think running into Bashar's arms is any more noble than a bunch of rebels running into the arms of Erdogan, yet it seems like y'all have a double standard on that. Turkey has taken in millions of refugees and supported the opposition against Assad almost more than anyone. Even so, there's still anti-regime Syrians who come out and condemn the rebels who are fighting Turkey's battles instead of Syria's. What has Assad done for Kurds? Not a drat thing. And sooner or later he's gonna get around to them. And when he does, it's going to be another own goal for Kurdish ambitions in the Middle East just like what happened with Kirkuk, and everyone who tried to defend this dumb poo poo is gonna look like an rear end. You play ball with dictatorships that are stronger than you and it never ends in your favor.

Assad's Army is exhausted and his country is destroyed, I don't think "Strong" is a word I would use to describe the Syrian Regime. Again, you fail to understand the YPG's position - it's either the NDF which is nominally secular or a bunch of insane Islamists that would annihilate them at the first opportunity.

Retarded Goatee
Feb 6, 2010
I spent :10bux: so that means I can be a cheapskate and post about posting instead of having some wit or spending any more on comedy avs for people. Which I'm also incapable of. Comedy.
I have been reading lately about attacks carried out by Iraqi kurdish islamists called The White Flags. Anybody got info on these guys? Ansar al-Islam holdouts?

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
Nusra has declared war against the Turkish backed apostates and for the YPG.

https://twitter.com/ahrar_alsham_en/status/968111906820165632

Panzeh
Nov 27, 2006

"..The high ground"

Volkerball posted:

No, it pops up in the news all the time. Raiding political offices, arresting protesters, etc etc. Mainly in Qamishli. They don't have an opposition in their system, only opposition from the outside of it. It's one party rule. And I don't think running into Bashar's arms is any more noble than a bunch of rebels running into the arms of Erdogan, yet it seems like y'all have a double standard on that. Turkey has taken in millions of refugees and supported the opposition against Assad almost more than anyone. Even so, there's still anti-regime Syrians who come out and condemn the rebels who are fighting Turkey's battles instead of Syria's. What has Assad done for Kurds? Not a drat thing. And sooner or later he's gonna get around to them. And when he does, it's going to be another own goal for Kurdish ambitions in the Middle East just like what happened with Kirkuk, and everyone who tried to defend this dumb poo poo is gonna look like an rear end. You play ball with dictatorships that are stronger than you and it never ends in your favor.

Ah, yes, the FSA troops now invading Rojava truly have the best interests at heart of socialism ad the Kurdish people.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
https://twitter.com/MSF/status/968115826678214656?ref_src=twcamp%5Ecopy%7Ctwsrc%5Eandroid%7Ctwgr%5Ecopy%7Ctwcon%5E7090%7Ctwterm%5E1

These death tolls remind me of Aleppo when barrel bombs first became a thing there.

khwarezm
Oct 26, 2010

Deal with it.

A Typical Goon posted:

Neocon logic: Churchill suspends elections during WWII, extremely cool and logical

A socialist government bans political parties during a literal existential crisis: an inexcusable crime against democracy and freedom

:911:

Who the gently caress mentioned Churchill you dumbass.

Also, lol, IRL neocons loving love the Kurds.

Pistol_Pete
Sep 15, 2007

Oven Wrangler
Saudi Arabia has sacked it's military top brass in a surprise late night move, exactly the sort of thing you do when your military strategies are going according to plan:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-43205593

Heading off a putative coup attempt, or just a spur of the moment decision by MBS: who can say?

khwarezm
Oct 26, 2010

Deal with it.

Pistol_Pete posted:

Saudi Arabia has sacked it's military top brass in a surprise late night move, exactly the sort of thing you do when your military strategies are going according to plan:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-43205593

Heading off a putative coup attempt, or just a spur of the moment decision by MBS: who can say?

MBS is way too dumb for it not to be the latter.

Duckbox
Sep 7, 2007

Throatwarbler posted:

Nusra has declared war against the Turkish backed apostates and for the YPG.

https://twitter.com/ahrar_alsham_en/status/968111906820165632

Ahrar is in bed with Turkey and loving hates HTS, so I'm not sure about using them as a source.

Duckbox
Sep 7, 2007

khwarezm posted:

MBS is way too dumb for it not to be the latter.

He mostly just seems to have the dictator's habit of getting "his" guys at the top. This probably would have happened sooner or later, whatever the proximate cause.

guidoanselmi
Feb 6, 2008

I thought my ideas were so clear. I wanted to make an honest post. No lies whatsoever.

quote:

US-Saudi atomic energy agreement complicated by Iran deal

WASHINGTON — The Trump administration is opening talks with Saudi Arabia on a potentially lucrative atomic energy agreement that’s inextricably linked to an Obama-era nuclear deal with Iran. At stake: billions of dollars in contracts for U.S. companies and bigger questions about America’s ability to keep friend and foe alike from reaching nuclear weapons capability.

Energy Secretary Rick Perry will lead an interagency U.S. delegation to talks with the Saudis in London on Friday, two administration officials and three outside advisers said. The meeting comes as the Arab powerhouse explores a civilian nuclear energy program, possibly without restrictions on uranium enrichment and reprocessing that would be required under a U.S. cooperation deal.

But there’s a catch: The Saudis have indicated they might accept such curbs if a separate nuclear deal with its arch-foe Iran is tightened, according to the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly on the matter.

The separate negotiations, over Saudi and Iranian nuclear capabilities, put American officials in the middle of the great balance-of-power of the modern Middle East. The Saudis are loath to sign away their ability to move closer to bomb-making capability while Iran is bound by a 2015 nuclear accord that will become increasingly lenient next decade.

When President Barack Obama blessed the nuclear compromise with Tehran, his officials insisted they weren’t weakening nonproliferation standards for everyone else. But that difficult task has fallen to President Donald Trump. And the Saudis, among his closest allies, are now asking a simple question: If Iran can enrich, why can’t we?

“Our objective is we want to have the same rights as other countries,” Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir said this month at a security conference in Munich.

At issue on Perry’s trip is what’s known as a “123 agreement.” Without one, U.S. nuclear energy firms like Westinghouse would lose out on business opportunities with the Saudis. American officials and outside advisers said the Saudis have dangled the prospect of such contracts if new restrictions are imposed on Iran’s nuclear activity.

Trump shares many of the Saudi concerns over the Iran deal, which he’s called the worst ever and repeatedly threatened to walk away from. In January, he vowed he wouldn’t issue more waivers of U.S. sanctions — an Iran deal requirement — unless it’s amended to prevent Tehran from gradually resuming a variety of currently banned nuclear activities.

Such talks, primarily with Europe, are thus taking on added importance ahead of a mid-May deadline for more Trump waivers.

Trump has identified four specific problems that must be addressed, including two not covered by the deal: Expiration dates on some nuclear restrictions, inspection rules for Iranian military sites, ballistic missile work and Iranian activity in countries around the Middle East — where it has helped Syria’s government in a civil war and aided Yemeni rebels in another.

A team led by the State Department’s policy planning chief Brian Hook has met twice recently with European officials, in London last month and Paris last week. It’s seeking Europe’s commitment to re-impose sanctions with the U.S. if Iran violates a new set of nuclear restrictions. A third meeting is set for Berlin in March.

British, French and German official have been receptive to the ideas, according to the U.S. officials and advisers. The focus is on a supplemental agreement addressing Trump’s concerns without unravelling the original Iran deal, padded by European promises to consider tougher responses and sanctions for Iranian missile activity, support for Hezbollah and other non-nuclear matters.

As it is now, Iran can use thousands of centrifuges and enrich uranium, albeit to levels far short of weapons-grade material. Under 123 agreements, foreign countries can buy U.S. nuclear technology and the nuclear know-how that comes with it if they agree not to enrich uranium and reprocess plutonium. Both can be used for nuclear weapons fuel.

The irony that an agreement designed to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon lets it do more than its rivals isn’t lost on Saudi Arabia — or other countries that have voluntarily limited the scope of their programs. At least 23 countries have such agreements with Washington, including South Korea, South Africa and Vietnam.

The United Arab Emirates entered into a 123 agreement with the U.S. in 2009, one of the strictest ever reached. When the Iran deal was reached, the Emirati ambassador to Washington told Congress his country “no longer felt bound” by provisions preventing the UAE from enriching.

While Trump has aggressively courted the Saudi government, seeing the Sunni-led powerhouse as a bulwark against Shiite Iran, there is near universal agreement among national security experts that allowing any country to introduce nuclear weapons in the volatile Middle East would be a terrible idea. Currently, the only Mideast country believed to possess a nuclear arsenal is Israel.

But there are also concerns a U.S.-Saudi disagreement will lead the kingdom to turn to U.S. rivals Russia and China, whose state-owned nuclear companies are competing to build reactors in Saudi Arabia. That would give the United States even less insight into Saudi Arabia’s nuclear activities in the future.

The overlapping issues have Iran deal opponents insisting tougher rules on Iran is the easiest solution.

“A fix puts the administration in a much better position with the Saudis,” said Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. “It’s a critical step in demanding adherence to the ‘gold standard’ as opposed to the Iran standard.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...m=.ec1e09ad44bb

yes, KSA, please try to enrich and see how that goes.

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!
So on the lists of "countries most likely to supply nuclear material to terrorists" and "countries most likely to gently caress up security allowing terrorists to steal nuclear material" Saudi has got to be up there, right?

mediadave
Sep 8, 2011

quote:

As it is now, Iran can use thousands of centrifuges and enrich uranium, albeit to levels far short of weapons-grade material. Under 123 agreements, foreign countries can buy U.S. nuclear technology and the nuclear know-how that comes with it if they agree not to enrich uranium and reprocess plutonium. Both can be used for nuclear weapons fuel.

The irony that an agreement designed to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon lets it do more than its rivals isn’t lost on Saudi Arabia — or other countries that have voluntarily limited the scope of their programs. At least 23 countries have such agreements with Washington, including South Korea, South Africa and Vietnam.

This is bullshit though. Iran has limitations on its nuclear development that no other country has.

If those other countries voluntarily signed deals for American nuclear technology where they voluntarily agreed not to enrich, well, buyer beware.

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Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Orange Devil posted:

So on the lists of "countries most likely to supply nuclear material to terrorists" and "countries most likely to gently caress up security allowing terrorists to steal nuclear material" Saudi has got to be up there, right?

Probably safer than Pakistan.

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