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axeil posted:Updating for the latest surge in Allegheny pre:Allegheny 58.00% Westmoreland 42.73% Washington 47.23% Greene 41.70%
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Mar 14, 2018 02:45
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Anyone know the recount rules?
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Mar 14, 2018 02:45
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mutata posted:I put the needle in my mouth but only for a second, is it ok? You’re not supposed to bite! D:
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Mar 14, 2018 02:46
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Unoriginal Name posted:Anyone know the recount rules? There is no recount. The needle decides.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:46
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This looks like it's going to end <1% either way
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Mar 14, 2018 02:47
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Colin Mockery posted:You’re not supposed to bite! D: But it was only a nibble.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:47
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Bullfrog posted:This CNN coverage is more stressful than the needle Its because John King plays with the big board too much and jumps around from county to county making the numbers jump radically all over the place. John King is a bastard and the CNN big board is evil. MSNBC big board and Jacob Soboroff 4eva.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:47
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Unoriginal Name posted:Anyone know the recount rules? According to the constitution, if the democrat wins we recount and if the republican wins we don't.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:48
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i literally made a spreadsheet to track the benchmarks. i'm the biggest goon.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:49
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According to a post I saw on Reddit (I know), betting markets apparently have Lamb as a 10:1 favorite.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:49
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The world is dark and cold without Needle
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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Sky Shadowing posted:According to a post I saw on Reddit (I know), betting markets apparently have Lamb as a 10:1 favorite. This doesn't matter at all. Betting markets mean nothing besides "some random people predicted this."
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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Even if lamb loses by a sliver, isn't this still a 20 point swing?
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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In either case tonight, if I am a Congressional Republican I am literally figuring outwhat my other options are.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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STAC Goat posted:Its because John King plays with the big board too much and jumps around from county to county making the numbers jump radically all over the place. Steve Kornaci is the reigning Big Board Wizard of cable news. Everyone else is merely a pretender.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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Lamb leading by 1.4% with 87% reporting. Guys... 
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Mar 14, 2018 02:50
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1.5% with 88% reporting! NEEDLE TELL ME WHAT THIS MEANS!!!
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Sky Shadowing posted:According to a post I saw on Reddit (I know), betting markets apparently have Lamb as a 10:1 favorite. not predictit, at least https://www.predictit.org/Market/3766/Which-party-will-win-the-House-of-Representatives-special-election-in-Pennsylvania's-18th-district
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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nine-gear crow posted:Steve Kornaci is the reigning Big Board Wizard of cable news. Everyone else is merely a pretender. Yeah, thats my bad. I confused nerdy MSNBC white dudes and ruined the gag.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Ragnar Homsar posted:This doesn't matter at all. Betting markets mean nothing besides "some random people predicted this." yeah for how close it is predictit is really not moving at all, lamb is still way up
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Crow Jane posted:The world is dark and cold without Needle The Needle shall return have faith friend.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Propaganda Hour posted:Even if lamb loses by a sliver, isn't this still a 20 point swing? A win is still a win and it makes Trump eat Crow
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Propaganda Hour posted:Even if lamb loses by a sliver, isn't this still a 20 point swing? It is both reassuring and frustrating because while it represents that there is actually a change happening, we aren't getting the seats.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:51
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Alter Ego posted:Lamb leading by 1.4% with 87% reporting. 1.6% with 88%
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Mar 14, 2018 02:52
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Spiffster posted:A win is still a win and it makes Trump eat Crow
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Mar 14, 2018 02:52
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Propaganda Hour posted:Even if lamb loses by a sliver, isn't this still a 20 point swing? Yes but the narrative
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Mar 14, 2018 02:52
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Alter Ego posted:Lamb leading by 1.4% with 87% reporting. Sky Shadowing posted:1.5% with 88% reporting! https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973712323822092288 pre:Allegheny 57.91% Westmoreland 42.73% Washington 47.23% Greene 41.70%
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Mar 14, 2018 02:52
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holy god this is close as poo poo
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Mar 14, 2018 02:53
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Alter Ego posted:Lamb leading by 1.4% with 87% reporting. Sky Shadowing posted:1.5% with 88% reporting! Charlz Guybon posted:1.6% with 88%
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Mar 14, 2018 02:53
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0.4 with 94%...
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Mar 14, 2018 02:53
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What was that swing? It’s less then a percent now
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Mar 14, 2018 02:53
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973712323822092288pre:Allegheny 57.91% Westmoreland 42.53% Washington 46.76% Greene 41.70%
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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axeil posted:https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973712323822092288 I hate that these are in the wrong order.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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Whole buncha Westmoreland just reported.
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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heres what id estimate lamb needs in each district to win: allegheny: 420% westmoreland: needle% washington: yes greene: no
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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700 votes!!!
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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.4% with 94% reporting. If the difference is .5% or lower when all is said and done, a recount automatically happens. (source)
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Mar 14, 2018 02:54
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700 vote difference
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Mar 14, 2018 02:55
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thank god for the 1,500 basically republicans who voted libertarian
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Mar 14, 2018 02:55
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0.5 with 95%! 970 vote lead right now...
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Mar 14, 2018 02:55
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