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This owns. e: ice cube dog tax 
Johnny Bravo fucked around with this message at 06:07 on Mar 14, 2018 |
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Mar 14, 2018 06:01
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How does the '18 senate midterm map look with every state bluer than PA-18?
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Mar 14, 2018 06:01
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Blind Rasputin posted:What exactly does that map represent? Districts dems have currently flipped/won? Dems win every seat that is more Dem-friendly than the one they just won.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:02
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Blind Rasputin posted:What exactly does that map represent? Districts dems have currently flipped/won? It extrapolates tonight's results nationally. There are over 100 districts that are held by republicans which are MORE blue than PA-18 which democrats just won. If we flipped all of those (and not a single district that is more red than PA-18) you would end up with that map. That's not a particularly likely scenario, but the reality it presents showcases just how disastrous continued results like tonight represent for Republicans come november.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:04
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Jarmak posted:How does the '18 senate midterm map look with every state bluer than PA-18?  Giving the Dems everything R+11 or better, Dems lose ND, WY, UT, NE, TN and win everything else. I think that's sort of nuts though and unlikely given ND is held by a Dem and TN is open with a good challenger.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:06
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I don't know what I love more about that map, the GOP getting wiped out in California/New York/New Jersey (only 3 out of 92 seats) or seeing several GOP gerrymanders imploding in Texas/Virginia/North Carolina/South Carolina/Florida/Ohio.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:08
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lmao
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Mar 14, 2018 06:10
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Blind Rasputin posted:What exactly does that map represent? Districts dems have currently flipped/won? PA18 and every district which is bluer than it is.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:11
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Jarmak posted:How does the '18 senate midterm map look with every state bluer than PA-18? Going by Trump+20 rather than R+11 you get this:  Nebraska and Tennessee end up being coin tosses just like PA-18 was, we lose North Dakota (likely) and West Virginia (less likely, democrats are favored to win this seat currently), and every other seat turns blue. LegendaryFrog fucked around with this message at 06:13 on Mar 14, 2018 |
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Mar 14, 2018 06:11
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Has anyone done any analysis on what a blue wave would do to state houses? I would think the most important thing would be to control the maps for the 2020 census and unfuck these gerrymandered districts.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:12
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https://twitter.com/PoliticalKathy/status/973697193860218885 i don't know i think she may be on to something...
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Mar 14, 2018 06:14
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The thing with gerrymanders is they get hosed by wave elections. So state houses and the House of Reps could be really interesting.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:17
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Pellisworth posted:The thing with gerrymanders is they get hosed by wave elections. So state houses and the House of Reps could be really interesting. *looks at the VA House of Delegates* Yep. We had a DSA member win in a red district and it went from a GOP supermajority to a 1-seat GOP majority that was decided by literally drawing a film canister out of a bowl.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:18
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CRIP EATIN BREAD posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticalKathy/status/973697193860218885 *clicks link, looks at twitter feed* Wow, that is a lot of crazy or just someone playing the part to milk idiots for money.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:21
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Zil posted:*clicks link, looks at twitter feed* Lot of misinfo too. Basically saying that only Allegehny counted absentees instead of the two most populated counties.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:24
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Chadderbox posted:Here, with a better link. I wasn't sure whether or not it was true since Daily Mail.  
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Mar 14, 2018 06:25
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CRIP EATIN BREAD posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticalKathy/status/973697193860218885 UEGENT!
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Mar 14, 2018 06:27
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It's worth remembering that the GOP did not enjoy any incumbency advantage in this election. To win the house, the Democrats will need to actual unseat GOP representatives.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:33
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Heavy favorite Lamb barely beat Sacconi despite his GREAT efforts! Low energy Lamb!!! Too bad the Pennsylvania Supreme Court is STEALING this district anyway in November! Supreme Court challenge? Trump, probably
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Mar 14, 2018 06:35
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CRIP EATIN BREAD posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticalKathy/status/973697193860218885 I swear they have a loving script for every loving election they don't win in a blowout. "IT VOTED KILLARY INSTEAD OF TRUMP EVEN THOUGH I HIT THE TRUMP BUTTON WITH MY GIANT DICK #MAGA" Like the old lady at the Saccone rally saying there was "monkey business at the poll"
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Mar 14, 2018 06:40
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https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/973751486332194818 We couldn't be arsed to tell the truth and do our loving jobs when people tried to lie to us, so Republican dominated the spin wars. Congrats to them on their victory and on us, as an industry, for being neutral observers and not passively abetting this nonsense.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:41
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Ogmius815 posted:It's worth remembering that the GOP did not enjoy any incumbency advantage in this election. To win the house, the Democrats will need to actual unseat GOP representatives. SHucks? Is that you?
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Mar 14, 2018 06:42
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canepazzo posted:I swear they have a loving script for every loving election they don't win in a blowout. "IT VOTED KILLARY INSTEAD OF TRUMP EVEN THOUGH I HIT THE TRUMP BUTTON WITH MY GIANT DICK #MAGA" It's either that or democrats are bussing in people from out of state, etc. It's really tiresome how no one loses an election anymore, just has it stolen from them.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:43
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Paracaidas posted:https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/973751486332194818 Denial is not the best thing to have going into midterms. They need to right the ship now and avoiding the problem isn’t going to fix it.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:48
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Mustached Demon posted:SHucks? Is that you? But he is absolutely right. Not that tonight isn't good news. But the folks going "300 seats! flip the senate!" need to pump the breaks a bit. There is a massive difference in terms of open seats versus incumbents even in wave years: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/democrats-could-use-few-more-gop-house-retirements In a wave year (i.e., a year where a lot of seats flip) incumbents won 59% of the time in districts where the PVI was 0-5 AGAINST them (versus 0% for the incumbent party in an open race in a similar district).
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Mar 14, 2018 06:48
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Lote posted:Denial is not the best thing to have going into midterms. They need to right the ship now and avoiding the problem isn’t going to fix it. I'm aiming for panic and disarray that slowly settle into despondency by November, personally.
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Mar 14, 2018 06:58
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This just makes me think of how everyone was gaga over Show Me How To Dougie Jones and then he went on to vote with the Rs for like 4 or 5 votes in a row before he finally made a not terrible vote. But it's okay, pop culture!
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Mar 14, 2018 07:01
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Yeah the actual swing in November will (probably, I hope I’m wrong) not be this big. But I’m not trying to shot on the parade. This is a rare good day.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:08
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empty whippet box posted:"Eat the salad, Rex." Eat, not toss
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Mar 14, 2018 07:13
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DrNutt posted:This just makes me think of how everyone was gaga over Show Me How To Dougie Jones and then he went on to vote with the Rs for like 4 or 5 votes in a row before he finally made a not terrible vote. But it's okay, pop culture! Yeah real bummer Lamb won huh
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Mar 14, 2018 07:16
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CRIP EATIN BREAD posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticalKathy/status/973697193860218885 Turns out she's just dumb and doesn't understand ticking the slot next to Lamb means you voted for Lamb
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Mar 14, 2018 07:26
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DrNutt posted:This just makes me think of how everyone was gaga over Show Me How To Dougie Jones and then he went on to vote with the Rs for like 4 or 5 votes in a row before he finally made a not terrible vote. But it's okay, pop culture! It's "Teach Me How to Dougie." But that's totally okay, black pop culture am I rite?
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Mar 14, 2018 07:35
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The GOP could just take their spin directly from this thread.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:36
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canepazzo posted:The GOP could just take their spin directly from this thread. Nobody in this thread would be able to effectively appeal to well-to-do white suburban racists who are deeply afraid of anybody darker than them.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:38
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joepinetree posted:But he is absolutely right. Not that tonight isn't good news. But the folks going "300 seats! flip the senate!" need to pump the breaks a bit. There is a massive difference in terms of open seats versus incumbents even in wave years: Luckily, Republicans are getting rid of the incumbency advantage by either resigning in disgrace or being primaries by slobbering shrieking raging baboons.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:38
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DrNutt posted:This just makes me think of how everyone was gaga over Show Me How To Dougie Jones and then he went on to vote with the Rs for like 4 or 5 votes in a row before he finally made a not terrible vote. But it's okay, pop culture!
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Mar 14, 2018 07:45
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Conservatives complaining about electronic voting booths that were championed and defended entirely by conservatives is really fun. I love being politically aware, it is great.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:48
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Poor Steve Kornacki. Dude's gonna just loving run to PA-18 and poll everyone himself to see who won at this point.
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Mar 14, 2018 07:55
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nine-gear crow posted:Poor Steve Kornacki. Dude's gonna just loving run to PA-18 and poll everyone himself to see who won at this point. Holy poo poo hes still on live? I stopped watching like two hours ago and he was asking a lady over the phone how long it would take for absentee ballots, I assume he hasn't got them yet hah
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Mar 14, 2018 08:03
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Johnny Bravo posted:Holy poo poo hes still on live? I stopped watching like two hours ago and he was asking a lady over the phone how long it would take for absentee ballots, I assume he hasn't got them yet hah They've gone to tape now, but he's on standby to break in live if they ever call the drat thing one way or the other.
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Mar 14, 2018 08:13
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