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anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool
doomsday economics: fundamental illnesses

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Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

Dow 24000, over and over and over again

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool
up another 80 points lol

very stable market

Mirthless
Mar 27, 2011

by the sex ghost

anime was right posted:

“This is still a market trading on fear instead of fundamentals and on tweets instead of technicals, which has made it frustratingly difficult to figure out where we’re headed in the near term,” said Andrew Adams, an investment strategist at Raymond James. “There’s just not much positive news to help balance out the daily onslaught of fear-producing headlines about trade wars and tech crises, especially since we are currently in between earnings seasons.”

Doomsday Economics: We are currently in between earnings seasons

gently caress you, gently caress you, it's not a bubble!!!

Fat-Lip-Sum-41.mp3
Nov 15, 2003
This is NOT a valley; we are in between two hills!

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
I'm taking bets on the stock market recovering and even surpassing its January high this summer before plunging into the depths of hell on the scale of the 1929 Great Depression in the fall.

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

An additional, non-tesla related car-tastrophe



bawfuls
Oct 28, 2009

Is the default rate on subprime auto loans creeping up like the subprime mortgage default rate was in 2008?

Harry Potter on Ice
Nov 4, 2006


IF IM NOT BITCHING ABOUT HOW SHITTY MY LIFE IS, REPORT ME FOR MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HIJACKED

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

I'm taking bets on the stock market recovering and even surpassing its January high this summer before plunging into the depths of hell on the scale of the 1929 Great Depression in the fall.

why don't you get access to options and actually do it then?

Gringostar
Nov 12, 2016
Morbid Hound

bawfuls posted:

Is the default rate on subprime auto loans creeping up like the subprime mortgage default rate was in 2008?

iirc yes, and it has been for some time now

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

bawfuls posted:

Is the default rate on subprime auto loans creeping up like the subprime mortgage default rate was in 2008?

doubled in the past 5 years from 5% to 10%

Teal
Feb 25, 2013

by Nyc_Tattoo
Russian Post is seeking to disturb the postal delivery service and it's going spectacularly

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/981121633023705088/video/1

ArmedZombie
Jun 6, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!

Over Easy posted:

An additional, non-tesla related car-tastrophe





what does that new email say

Poco
Jul 17, 2005

....I am a Tariff Man

anime was right posted:

doubled in the past 5 years from 5% to 10%

Mobile Home loan delinquencies up more than 2 percent in the last year.

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

ArmZ posted:

what does that new email say

DSA branch newsletter

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon
i would be happy to be able to buy a trailer park house

cargo cult
Aug 28, 2008

by Reene
Is the next one really going to be 1929 level? :smith:

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


cargo cult posted:

Is the next one really going to be 1929 level? :smith:

generally since the great depression each recession has been worse and longer than the last, so maybe

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Teal posted:

Russian Post is seeking to disturb the postal delivery service and it's going spectacularly

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/981121633023705088/video/1

What a strange trick...

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

generally since the great depression each recession has been worse and longer than the last, so maybe

we are better at pumping up higher and sustaining longer, yet havent learned the repeated lesson of dangers of doping the economy

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon
one of these decades of all our flapping and flailing and this market will soar like a bird and then all us doomsday cultists will get ‘told you so’d

readingatwork
Jan 8, 2009

Hello Fatty!


Fun Shoe

Over Easy posted:

An additional, non-tesla related car-tastrophe





So are auto loans propping up other financial instruments like in 2008?

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

bawfuls posted:

IPOs always plummet early, that's the point now isn't it? Issue your IPO at the highest valuation you can get to dump your shares. Works out for the executives who are selling shares and arranging the IPO. Works out for the financial institution issuing the IPO and taking their cut.

Yeah it's pretty much a ripoff for the average investor given how big money investors have already locked in a much lower share price.

Ruzihm
Aug 11, 2010

Group up and push mid, proletariat!


readingatwork posted:

So are auto loans propping up other financial instruments like in 2008?

dunno about finances but they are propping up uber

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

readingatwork posted:

So are auto loans propping up other financial instruments like in 2008?

Yeah they are being bundled into securities and sold as good poo poo even though it's horse poo poo

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Over Easy posted:

Yeah they are being bundled into securities and sold as good poo poo even though it's horse poo poo

they're doing the same thing with student loans btw i talked about it in the OP

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

generally since the clutch plague each recession has been worse and longer than the last, so maybe



this graph doesnt seem to say that

1990 is longer but not as bad as 1948, forex

GEMorris
Aug 28, 2002

Glory To the Order!

anime was right posted:

they're doing the same thing with student loans btw i talked about it in the OP

But student loans are essentially slave titles.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


bob dobbs is dead posted:

this graph doesnt seem to say that

1990 is longer but not as bad as 1948, forex

its more of a general trend starting in 81, not absolute

Sheng-Ji Yang fucked around with this message at 00:09 on Apr 4, 2018

Xelkelvos
Dec 19, 2012
Just gonna drop this here from the USPOL thread in D&D

BI NOW GAY LATER posted:

Here, have a county by county map of places effected by China's retaliatory Tariffs (deeper blue = deeper concentration)



You'll notice a lot of these are in areas that Trump won.



So much winning,

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 25 days!)

anime was right posted:

“This is still a market trading on fear instead of fundamentals and on tweets instead of technicals, which has made it frustratingly difficult to figure out where we’re headed in the near term,” said Andrew Adams, an investment strategist at Raymond James. “There’s just not much positive news to help balance out the daily onslaught of fear-producing headlines about trade wars and tech crises, especially since we are currently in between earnings seasons.”

Everything would be fine if we pretend the political economy isn't real.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 25 days!)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yjjbHb2ypA

Gringostar
Nov 12, 2016
Morbid Hound

Xelkelvos posted:

Just gonna drop this here from the USPOL thread in D&D

:frogout:

readingatwork
Jan 8, 2009

Hello Fatty!


Fun Shoe

GEMorris posted:

But student loans are essentially slave titles.

It doesn’t matter after a certain point. You can’t squeeze blood from a stone even in the law says that stone owes you blood and can’t file for bankruptcy.

Ruzihm
Aug 11, 2010

Group up and push mid, proletariat!


what the gently caress happened at 3pm to do this

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

readingatwork posted:

It doesn’t matter after a certain point. You can’t squeeze blood from a stone even in the law says that stone owes you blood and can’t file for bankruptcy.
That's why I ain't paying dick on that poo poo and I don't even give a gently caress.

Alpha Mayo
Jan 15, 2007
hi how are you?
there was this racist piece of shit in your av so I fixed it
you're welcome
pay it forward~

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

its more of a general trend starting in 81, not absolute

Hmm I can't imagine what has been happening since then. Surely can't be that rolling back regulations put in place after 1929 intended to prevent another depression is making each recession deeper and longer.

Harry Potter on Ice
Nov 4, 2006


IF IM NOT BITCHING ABOUT HOW SHITTY MY LIFE IS, REPORT ME FOR MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HIJACKED

Ruzihm posted:

what the gently caress happened at 3pm to do this

the algos fixing things

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Over Easy posted:

Yeah they are being bundled into securities and sold as good poo poo even though it's horse poo poo

Only $25 billion of bonds pooling subprime auto loans were issued last year though.

Compared to $1.2 trillion of bonds backed by home loans sold in 2005 and 2006. $400 billion of which was subprime for each year.

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SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011

Ruzihm posted:

what the gently caress happened at 3pm to do this

the hft bots were all ordered to run buy_the_dip.bat

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