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hailthefish
Oct 24, 2010

Grey's remaining carrier pilots were some of the best pilots he had and the US planes still seem to be doing better 'pound for pound' but I suspect the AI is just really loving bad at managing its forces.

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zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

Gnoman posted:

Take a good look at the force correlations, particularly the fighter mix. The Japanese forces have had the force advantage, so their strikes have had much worse numerical odds. The US strike on the 7th went in against more than 2-1 odds in fighters and not even equal numbers overall (44 zeroes vs 21 fighters and 19 attack birds), while the first Japanese strike had near parity in fighters and an overall superiority (42 Zeroes and 95 attack birds vs 49 Hellcats). The US strike cost 6 attack aircraft + one damage (31% shot down, 5% damaged), while the Japanese strike cost 11 destroyed and 31 damaged (11% shot down, 32% damaged).


The US strike on the 6th was much the same. The US sent 10 fighters and 62 attack birds against against 52 fighters. The attack planes suffered 19 down (30%) and 13 damaged (20%).

Sending attack aircraft right into the teeth of overwhelming fighter cover results in a lot of dead attack aircraft, while giving an adequate fighter escort with your strike results in a lot fewer. Shocking.

I meant in general, outside of carrier vs. carrier they seem to be much easier for even the lovely Japanese flak to take down. Obviously dive bombers are gonna have problems against opposition in general, but the American carrier bombers never seem to get sturdier airframes like their fighter counterparts.

Gnoman
Feb 12, 2014

Come, all you fair and tender maids
Who flourish in your pri-ime
Beware, take care, keep your garden fair
Let Gnoman steal your thy-y-me
Le-et Gnoman steal your thyme




The "destroyed by flak" counter is almost always higher for the Japanese than it is for the US. In the most recent post, the Japanese lost 10 times as many.

In any case, numbers should matter. I don't know the details of how it is represented in game, but by any logical analysis flak guns are going to have a much easier time dealing with 10 planes than they do with 50.

goatface
Dec 5, 2007

I had a video of that when I was about 6.

I remember it being shit.


Grimey Drawer
The us ships are loving covered in AA guns.

OpenlyEvilJello
Dec 28, 2009

Deep Dish Fuckfest posted:

I like to imagine the carriers were correctly identified by whoever spotted them, but through a series of comical mistakes, deliberate downplaying of the Allied threat, and interference by the perfidious IJA as the report went up the chain of command, the one that ended up on Grey's desk read something like "Two CVEs. At most. Might even just be light cruisers. Or undefended cargo ships. Easy pickings."

The infamous reverse-Kurita.

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

goatface posted:

The us ships are loving covered in AA guns.

this is very true to life

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005
seems like a good time for grey to forget to post for a day or two

Grey Hunter
Oct 17, 2007

Hero of the soviet union.
Accidental destroyer of planets






We have them!



Now that's more like it damage wise!



There is another tense few minutes, but we come through the return strike without taking a hit once more!



This is a good showing against Spitfires.



Then this storm rolls over us.



Down comes a liberator.



There is no CAP for the afternoon attack. Things are now a done deal. The Wasp II seems to have already sunk, and the Yorktown II cannot take these hits this far from base.






I never thought I'd be sinking two fleet carrier without loss (of ships) in 1944! them losing most of their strike planes turned this into a good risk to take.



Nothing here, but the 800 point jump we see today, and all the lost planes, mean we have sunk two carriers!

26/100. (confirmed.)

benzine
Oct 21, 2010
Holly poo poo, I'd be so interested in reading naval history books of that timeline.

What a big victory for the IJN.

ManifunkDestiny
Aug 2, 2005
THE ONLY THING BETTER THAN THE SEAHAWKS IS RUSSELL WILSON'S TAINT SWEAT

Seahawks #1 fan since 2014.
Holy crap, that is one decisive battle.

Depending on how the European front is looking, Roosevelt may not win re-election

hailthefish
Oct 24, 2010

Holy poo poo, I can't believe it loving worked.


Now watch, Grey'll get in another artillery duel with a continent or lose a million troops at Chungking because they were all in the wrong mode, or something. :v:

acidia
Oct 31, 2012
Been looking for an update all day, not disappointed.

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

Five fleet carriers and two light carriers managing to sink two American fleet carriers with no losses of their own seems like something that the Japanese couldn't have ever pulled off in 1944 in real life. You seriously picked this engagement really well, Grey.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
YES... HA HA HA... YES!!!

Proust Malone
Apr 4, 2008

RZApublican posted:

something that the Japanese couldn't have ever pulled off in 1944 1942 in real life.

mercenarynuker
Sep 10, 2008

Was this the turn you were so absorbed in last week Grey, you dirty tease

Duckaerobics
Jul 22, 2007


Lipstick Apathy
I would love to see the press in this timeline. The Wasp was barely in service 6 months and Yorktown just over a year. In the real timeline the US didn't lose a single Essex class carrier and Grey just bagged two in one day.

Crazycryodude
Aug 15, 2015

Lets get our X tons of Duranium back!

....Is that still a valid thing to jingoistically blow out of proportion?


Two down, only twenty or so to go!

Grammarchist
Jan 28, 2013

It'd be hilarious if the Essex somehow also went down from that sub torpedo a while back.

algebra testes
Mar 5, 2011


Lipstick Apathy
Long live Grey Hunter, ten thousand posts!!!!

algebra testes
Mar 5, 2011


Lipstick Apathy

algebra testes posted:

Long live Grey Hunter, ten thousand posts!!!!

Goonzai, if you will

habeasdorkus
Nov 3, 2013

Royalty is a continuous shitposting motion.
Grey Hunter is going to get himself assasinated by the IJA because he's making them look bad.

algebra testes
Mar 5, 2011


Lipstick Apathy
Also this is my second lucky ship to sink which I unironically think is ~amazing~

Lakedaimon
Jan 11, 2007

Wow and here I was worried we would get blueballed

Essex class had a 64mm deck over the hangars. According to the internet, those 500kg SAP bombs could punch through 80mm. I know USN damage control was world-class, but thats some serious Van Dammage

whitewhale
Feb 21, 2013

Crazycryodude posted:

Two down, only twenty or so to go!

Britain alone will be bringing another 20 carriers over shortly, admittedly only half of those are fleet carriers but still. Killing 2 Essex class is a big win just another 10 sorties like that and air supremacy is ours!


The biggest worry for Grey is that HMS Implacable turns up in '45, complete with a hanger full of Seafires...

Lord Koth
Jan 8, 2012

Yeah, this was an incredibly impressive performance all-around.

ManifunkDestiny posted:

Holy crap, that is one decisive battle.

Depending on how the European front is looking, Roosevelt may not win re-election

Honestly, in this timeline Roosevelt has probably been trying to suppress news out of the South Pacific for the last year or more. This is just one more disaster thrown on the pile.


whitewhale posted:

Britain alone will be bringing another 20 carriers over shortly, admittedly only half of those are fleet carriers but still. Killing 2 Essex class is a big win just another 10 sorties like that and air supremacy is ours!


The biggest worry for Grey is that HMS Implacable turns up in '45, complete with a hanger full of Seafires...

Is this an in-joke/reference to one of Grey's previous LPs? Seafires are incredibly unimpressive compared to mainline Spitfires when matched up against introduction dates. Even the Seafire model which is just barely going to start being available in extremely limited quantities at the beginning of '45 (the XV) is significantly inferior to the Spitfire VIIIs that we've been seeing flying around.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
if the Allies are still dicking around in the Solomons / Marianas in late 1944, there's no way they're going to punch through the Philippines and Okinawa in time to win

whitewhale
Feb 21, 2013

Lord Koth posted:




Is this an in-joke/reference to one of Grey's previous LPs? Seafires are incredibly unimpressive compared to mainline Spitfires when matched up against introduction dates. Even the Seafire model which is just barely going to start being available in extremely limited quantities at the beginning of '45 (the XV) is significantly inferior to the Spitfire VIIIs that we've been seeing flying around.


It's an in-joke to this LP, much to Grey's frustration spitfires have been slaughtering his air forces over land for the past 12 months, now they will be taking to the sea!

Top Hats Monthly
Jun 22, 2011


People are people so why should it be, that you and I should get along so awfully blink blink recall STOP IT YOU POSH LITTLE SHIT
HOLY poo poo

Serpentis
May 31, 2011

Well, if I really HAVE to shoot you in the bollocks to shut you up, then I guess I'll need to, post-haste, for everyone else's sake.
Usually I'd make some post about how Grey is truly fighting to the last against the Allies but today think I'm just going to go with


Because :drat: that was awesome. The most ridiculous thing of all is that we're now having the carrier decisive battles that we expected from the time of Midway in ... May '44.

gradenko_2000 posted:

if the Allies are still dicking around in the Solomons / Marianas in late 1944, there's no way they're going to punch through the Philippines and Okinawa in time to win

Considering that Grey's floating around the 62k mark in terms of victory points and the Allies are on 33.5k, when would an autovictory kick in with that kind of ratio? 1946?

Grey Hunter
Oct 17, 2007

Hero of the soviet union.
Accidental destroyer of planets

mercenarynuker posted:

Was this the turn you were so absorbed in last week Grey, you dirty tease

Yep!

Serpentis posted:

Considering that Grey's floating around the 62k mark in terms of victory points and the Allies are on 33.5k, when would an autovictory kick in with that kind of ratio? 1946?

If I can get another 4-5k points, I win in 45, as I will have doubled them - Chunking is enough to get me into striking distance, IF I can take it, and if I can avoid losing any more capital ships.


This was an amazing result, but its as much luck as tactical acumen. Once we took out half their bomber wing with land based air, I knew I had to have a go - I was lucky that the carriers were out on patrol and in range.

Then I got lucky that they didn't get a hit in yesterday. I was hoping for more hits, but it was enough to weaken them again today - the second wave shooting up some freighters saved my rear end. Today was more of a sure thing, but even then, I could easily have lost a ship in the morning. My pilots are terrible, and none are surviving long enough to get to OK, but the planes are good and I can get enough of them on target to get the hits I need.

That said, I picked my battle well, I saw a weak spot and I nailed them. I'm happy with my work.

Top Hats Monthly
Jun 22, 2011


People are people so why should it be, that you and I should get along so awfully blink blink recall STOP IT YOU POSH LITTLE SHIT
Does anything happen if you capture Chongqing, like Chinese morale losses or the like, or is it just points?

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Top Hats Monthly posted:

Does anything happen if you capture Chongqing, like Chinese morale losses or the like, or is it just points?

Chungking is worth a truckton of VPs all by itself, on top of all the VPs from the complete destruction of all the troops in it (since Grey has the city surrounded).

Chungking is also where all the Chinese land units respawn (for free), so if it falls, the Chinese are out of the game completely. Assuming Grey still has some time and forces and werewithal, he can then march further east, such as towards India, or perhaps fortifying the Soviet frontier in preparation for August 1945.

Horsebanger
Jun 25, 2009

Steering wheel! Hey! Steering wheel! Someone tell him to give it to me!
This was worth the agonizing wait.

Well done Grey

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

The poor US Navy is just going to be the biggest joke in this universe. It's not going to even be close.

Incy
May 30, 2006
for other Out
USN command is probably upset it doesn't have any battleships in the area to hunt down and destroy the carriers.

Adar
Jul 27, 2001
There's no way Normandy is even being planned for June in this timeline, much less has any chance to succeed. The Navy isn't being trusted with D-Day given this performance so far.

Not sure if this is The Man in the High Castle-worthy, but if there's a timeline where the Soviets are stalemated somewhere around the Baltics and central Ukraine it's this one.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Adar posted:

There's no way Normandy is even being planned for June in this timeline, much less has any chance to succeed. The Navy isn't being trusted with D-Day given this performance so far.

Not sure if this is The Man in the High Castle-worthy, but if there's a timeline where the Soviets are stalemated somewhere around the Baltics and central Ukraine it's this one.

if the Greyverse is this plus his War in the East run, then it's maximum Man In the High Castle time

Reuben Sandwich
Jan 27, 2007

Congrats Grey! Do fleet carriers still only count as 1 ship in the May challenge?

Grey Hunter posted:

This was an amazing result, but its as much luck as tactical acumen. Once we took out half their bomber wing with land based air, I knew I had to have a go - I was lucky that the carriers were out on patrol and in range.

Then I got lucky that they didn't get a hit in yesterday. I was hoping for more hits, but it was enough to weaken them again today - the second wave shooting up some freighters saved my rear end. Today was more of a sure thing, but even then, I could easily have lost a ship in the morning. My pilots are terrible, and none are surviving long enough to get to OK, but the planes are good and I can get enough of them on target to get the hits I need.

That said, I picked my battle well, I saw a weak spot and I nailed them. I'm happy with my work.
The conclusion of the AAR: :master:

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Broken Box
Jan 29, 2009

The remaining Essex hulls being laid down are all being converted to battleships in this timeline

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