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Withnail
Feb 11, 2004
I'm not sure if this is common knowledge, but Otto Warmbier was brain dead because he hung himself with a belt.

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TenementFunster
Feb 20, 2003

The Cooler King

Vladimir Putin posted:

SK is going to get burned playing the middle man
by the US or the DPRK or both? what is “burned,” anyhow? unilateral denuclearization isn’t happening, but any relaxing of tensions will be beneficial.


also i left my favorite umbrella at the DMZ last week and i’m still salty about it. had that poo poo for 15 years.

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

TenementFunster posted:

by the US or the DPRK or both? what is “burned,” anyhow? unilateral denuclearization isn’t happening, but any relaxing of tensions will be beneficial.


also i left my favorite umbrella at the DMZ last week and i’m still salty about it. had that poo poo for 15 years.

Did you leave it or was it abducted?

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Vladimir Putin posted:

Did you leave it or was it abducted?

Sounds like it's time for Operation Paul Bunyan 2: The Fella with the Umbrella

Juffo-Wup
Jan 13, 2005

Pillbug
Umbrellas are dumb so good riddance is what I say

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth
the supreme leader wishes to praise your umbrella for its brave defection

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

https://twitter.com/JChengWSJ/status/1000572802699812864

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Vladimir Putin posted:

Tsingtao is a super prestigious university (I believe the president of China has a degree from there) and anybody should be happy with a PhD from there.

yeah I've worked with a lady from there

their civil engineering department, at least, appears to be pretty kickass

she could keep up with some of America's premiere pavement nerds

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

I mean, yea, fair read there NoKo.

TenementFunster
Feb 20, 2003

The Cooler King

Juffo-Wup posted:

Umbrellas are dumb so good riddance is what I say
tell that to koreans. initially my group was out in a rain jackets only and our guide thought we were insane. the entire country is umbrellad up if it even looks cloudy

also it’s a really nice Fulton Miniflat-1, and it was so loving foggy i couldn’t see any of north korea AND the JSA was closed in expectation of a sudden summit like the one that happened yesterday so all in all i got really DMZ clucked

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Withnail posted:

I'm not sure if this is common knowledge, but Otto Warmbier was brain dead because he hung himself with a belt.

that was my theory back when it was announced he was comatose, but do you have any proof of this?

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Vladimir Putin posted:

Tsingtao is a super prestigious university (I believe the president of China has a degree from there) and anybody should be happy with a PhD from there.

tsinghua (清华大学) is the university. tsingtao (青岛啤酒) is beer.

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

R. Guyovich posted:

tsinghua (清华大学) is the university. tsingtao (青岛啤酒) is beer.
Didn't we all go to Beer University when you think about it?

Red and Black
Sep 5, 2011

https://twitter.com/Cirincione/status/1000771239735123969

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1000750763608543232

https://twitter.com/jeongminnkim/status/1000767011914330118

Red and Black fucked around with this message at 17:35 on May 27, 2018

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, that certainly isn't the desirable narrative to build before negotiations.

The US might have reached the limits of its power in the region.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Ardennes posted:

Yeah, that certainly isn't the desirable narrative to build before negotiations.

The US might have reached the limits of its power in the region.

More that the US is being led by a coalition of the insane and the merely moronic.

Megillah Gorilla
Sep 22, 2003

If only all of life's problems could be solved by smoking a professor of ancient evil texts.



Bread Liar
So, if SK just says, "gently caress what the US wants, we're doing this whole peace thing ourselves because we're the ones who have to live with this poo poo and Trump's whole cabinet is one missed medication away from being found in the corner, playing with their own poo poo" and they go and actually broker a peace deal, what exactly can the US do beyond Trump's usual routine of vacillating impotently?

I mean, the SK government could save a massive amount of money by no longer having US bases on their soil and it would be one hell of a political coup. But the good kind, for once.

Their only question is whether the bases are worth keeping to fend off any potential future Chinese expeditionism.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Gorilla Salad posted:

So, if SK just says, "gently caress what the US wants, we're doing this whole peace thing ourselves because we're the ones who have to live with this poo poo and Trump's whole cabinet is one missed medication away from being found in the corner, playing with their own poo poo" and they go and actually broker a peace deal, what exactly can the US do beyond Trump's usual routine of vacillating impotently?

I mean, the SK government could save a massive amount of money by no longer having US bases on their soil and it would be one hell of a political coup. But the good kind, for once.

Their only question is whether the bases are worth keeping to fend off any potential future Chinese expeditionism.

What do you mean what can they do? Trump's idiots can start firing on North Korea again. The US in general can cause them all sorts of havoc in the UN. Plus it still doesn't solve that the US and about a dozen other countries are still at war with North Korea.

I think you'll find trying to force out US troops without their consent when they're already well-emplaced and heavily armed is not a good idea.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

R. Guyovich posted:

tsinghua (清华大学) is the university. tsingtao (青岛啤酒) is beer.

tsingtao is also the city, for dumb Americans who can't do the True Writing

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

fishmech posted:

What do you mean what can they do? Trump's idiots can start firing on North Korea again. The US in general can cause them all sorts of havoc in the UN. Plus it still doesn't solve that the US and about a dozen other countries are still at war with North Korea.

I think you'll find trying to force out US troops without their consent when they're already well-emplaced and heavily armed is not a good idea.

Hey, what happened to that conversation you were having about how South Korea is totally not occupied but North Korea totally is?

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Some Guy TT posted:

Hey, what happened to that conversation you were having about how South Korea is totally not occupied but North Korea totally is?

I wouldn't really qualify either of them as being 'occupied' in that sense, If i'm allowed to fishmech a bit about terms :3:

They're both technically allied with major powers; SK with the US (who needs bases in South Korea for military purposes regarding the peninsula) and NK with China (China isn't as limited by this, considering their shared land border; because of this any military presence that is specifically for North Korea is located in Manchuria). However, there is an economic stewardship expected of North Korea that is utilized by China for cheap goods and such. Classifying either of them as specifically being 'occupied' relies on knowledge of their ability to operate without their relationship with the greater power. Would NK be able to work fine without China? Would SK be able to deal with Chinese aggression as easily without relying on the US for security? I'd say that neither of them are 'occupied' but NK is obviously more reliant on their relationship with China than SK is with the US.


Yeah the US is acting so erratically there's really no way to do actual advisory work, most experts are just reduced to throwing up their hands and saying "lets just see what happens I guess."

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice
If South Korea is deadset against the US starting anything they could always threaten to intern US forces to bases if the US starts a shooting war. What's the US going to do, declare war on South Korea? That would destroy everything. Everything.

The US also cannot do anything in the UN if China vetoes it. So if South Korea and China agree to relax economic sanctions the US can't do a whole lot that they aren't already doing on the highseas.

There also isn't much the US can do that will outlive the Trump Admin. South Korea and co. can always make an agreement with the wink wink nudge nudge understanding the they can always choose to outwait the US until they elect a sane administration.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Some Guy TT posted:

Hey, what happened to that conversation you were having about how South Korea is totally not occupied but North Korea totally is?

South Korea isn't occupied though.

Raenir Salazar posted:


The US also cannot do anything in the UN if China vetoes it. So if South Korea and China agree to relax economic sanctions the US can't do a whole lot that they aren't already doing on the highseas.


A) UN Command is not subject to a Chinese veto, indeed China is still an enemy combatant to UN Command.
B) They don't get to abolish sanctions unilaterally, being as these are sanctions that involve way more than just China or South Korea.

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

fishmech posted:

South Korea isn't occupied though.


A) UN Command is not subject to a Chinese veto, indeed China is still an enemy combatant to UN Command.
B) They don't get to abolish sanctions unilaterally, being as these are sanctions that involve way more than just China or South Korea.

It’s in SK’s advantage not to make a deal that pisses off the US. I mean think of it—such a thing would be a stupid stupid move. That’s why they are bending over backwards to get to the Kim/Trump meeting.

Red and Black
Sep 5, 2011

Technically China can't end existing sanctions without another vote from the Security Council. In practice however, China can simply restart trade with North Korea and given that 90% of North Korea's trade is with China, this would effectively end the sanctions. In fact, there are reports of this already happening following the NK/China summit

e:
https://twitter.com/annafifield/status/999232502907752448

Red and Black fucked around with this message at 20:03 on May 28, 2018

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

Yeah China has never been 100% onboard with the sanctions, and absolutely no one cares what the UN thinks so it's kind of moot.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

fishmech posted:

South Korea isn't occupied though.
You just implied the US military would violently resist a South Korean demand that they leave. If that's not occupation, it's pretty loving close.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Chomskyan posted:

Technically China can't end existing sanctions without another vote from the Security Council. In practice however, China can simply restart trade with North Korea and given that 90% of North Korea's trade is with China, this would effectively end the sanctions. In fact, there are reports of this already happening following the NK/China summit

That is the core of the issue: China isn't a neutral power that doesn't care either way that happens to North Korea, they are its ally, and it isn't a negotiation versus just against North Korea but also China (and arguably Russia as well).

It is also why the US doesn't have the same amount of leverage because China can keep the North Koreans going, maybe indefinitely.

South Korea may want to piss off China even less than the US at this point. At this point, South Korea has a significant more trade with China than the US, and the presence of US troops is arguably a mixed bag. Ultimately, China, more than it wants the US out wants economic integration across the region to continue and honestly, South Korea is probably fine with that.

Ardennes fucked around with this message at 19:26 on May 28, 2018

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

A Buttery Pastry posted:

You just implied the US military would violently resist a South Korean demand that they leave. If that's not occupation, it's pretty loving close.

It's not close at all. Some sudden unilateral demand to force out the existing forces of your allies is rather unprecedented.

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich
SK has to walk a tightrope. These scenarios are pretty extreme and I don’t think they are SK’s most desired outcomes.

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

fishmech posted:

South Korea isn't occupied though.


A) UN Command is not subject to a Chinese veto, indeed China is still an enemy combatant to UN Command.
B) They don't get to abolish sanctions unilaterally, being as these are sanctions that involve way more than just China or South Korea.

A) The US cannot institute additional UNSC sanctions past a Chinese veto, which was the obvious and self evident context of my reply. It can attempt unilateral or multilateral sanctions but if China and Russia don't play ball its impotent.

B) As others have said, China and Russia can just restart trade and the US can't physically stop it unless it's over the high seas.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Raenir Salazar posted:

A) The US cannot institute additional UNSC sanctions past a Chinese veto, which was the obvious and self evident context of my reply. It can attempt unilateral or multilateral sanctions but if China and Russia don't play ball its impotent.

B) As others have said, China and Russia can just restart trade and the US can't physically stop it unless it's over the high seas.

The current UN sanctions are still in place though. China can't veto this. And merely maintaining the current other sanctions is already doing its job. China and South Korea cannot unilaterally change that. Also again, UN Command's military mission cannot be vetoed by China, if they could have done so they'd have tried in the decades since the security council vote was passed to them from Taiwan.

China and Russia can't restart other people's trade. China and Russia are responsible for the proportion of trade they are, in the first place, because of first North Korea alienating other countries and then North Korea being sanctioned.

Honestly it's like you think it's just the natural state of things that North Korea has never traded outside of China and Russia, simply because that's what they've been reduced to over the years?

Nucken Futz
Oct 30, 2010

by Reene
Sigh .........

China ramps up their trade with the Norks the Glorious Democratic People's Republic of Korea again, and your favorite POTUS will increase sanctions on the Celestials.

Quit fussing, the response to this move will be fabulous.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Red and Black
Sep 5, 2011

https://twitter.com/JChengWSJ/status/1001307271979122688

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

I think a visit like this is unprecedented right?

Red and Black
Sep 5, 2011

It's not unprecedented. High-ranking NK officials came to the US to discuss the Agreed Framework in the 90s

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Vladimir Putin posted:

I think a visit like this is unprecedented right?

Jo Myong-rok visited in 2000.

Red and Black
Sep 5, 2011

https://twitter.com/TimothyS/status/1001824148426051590

https://twitter.com/PDChina/status/1001649463880892417

https://twitter.com/CeleryCaraway/status/998218570717806593

https://twitter.com/SueMiTerry/status/998226006979866627

https://twitter.com/jeongminnkim/status/1001828633323880448

mystes
May 31, 2006

This is just dumb. How is trying to resolve the abduction issue a "hard-line agenda"?

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Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich
Yeah the whole Japan angle is ridiculous. And NK trying to exclude Japan is like when your new GF tries to get rid of all of your family/friends.

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