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StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Iron Twinkie posted:

Does that apply to the nearly 80% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck? My point is is that if people lowering their carbon footprints on an individual basis was a viable solution, it would have been done already. Bear in mind also that when we talk about individual carbon footprints, we're still negotiating on the margins. Just 100 companies are responsible for 71% of the carbon we've put into the atmosphere.

https://www.theguardian.com/sustain...-climate-change

Our problems are structural and if we have any hope of addressing climate change that structure has to be changed.

eventually you have to stop pretending you're some kind of abstract rational actor homo economics policy decider and start just taking SOME responsibility for your actions

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Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

A 265 foot storm surge would probably defeat any seawall that NYC builds however.

Iron Twinkie
Apr 20, 2001

BOOP

Trabisnikof posted:

Edit: regardless, NYC is one of the cities leading the charge to respond and mitigate climate change. You know why? It is huge and rich as gently caress. Of course they're going to build the seawalls to protect Wall Street. Will there be poor neighborhoods hosed? Probably. But the city is responding to climate change.

Great, thank you. I think we could have saved a lot of each other's time if the solution started at the rich should live in hermetically sealed domes and the poor should die.

Perry Mason Jar
Feb 24, 2006

"Della? Take a lid"

Trabisnikof posted:

But the city is responding to climate change.

LEED Gold is mandatory for all new construction but the island's going to sink under all their weight. :shrug: Call it a wash. Just move to Philly instead; buy a loft, start a noise band, get six or seven roommates, eat hummus with them, book some gigs, burn down an Applebee's, listen to Animal Collective, start some kind of salsa company.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Iron Twinkie posted:

Great, thank you. I think we could have saved a lot of each other's time if the solution started at the rich should live in hermetically sealed domes and the poor should die.

just lashing around randomly makes for a far less entertaining troll than say qkkl's trolling by density or fishmech's technically correctness*


*its been more hit or miss recently

Iron Twinkie
Apr 20, 2001

BOOP

Alright, maybe I can take a few steps back and try and do a better job and describe where I'm coming from here. Let's start with a rather timely Guardian article.

Save us the smugness over 2018's heatwaves, environmentalists
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/oct/02/save-us-the-smugness-over-2018s-heatwaves-environmentalists

quote:

The reflexive condescension of environmentalism that looks down on those working in industry is precisely what we do not need. Working people whose livelihoods and families depend on resource extraction have no time for catastrophism, and defaulting to that desire sets back climate justice movements immeasurably.

Ecology has to speak to class directly and confront inequality with believable claims that a different world is possible.

Individualising responsibility is one of capitalism’s prime defensive strategies: reducing ecology to just another consumer decision and isolating governments from culpability. Blaming the choices individual people make in the context of limited options and grinding employment pressures is a fool’s errand. We are all implicated in these extractivist ideologies: we’re all burning almost everything we can get our hands on, and we are as bound up with the contradictions as anyone.

We do not need another set of climate strategies built on shame and castigation. We need something more fundamental – something beyond exhortations to recycle more – that can open viable routes to real action. We need an approach that matches the scale of the problem.

My frustrations around climate change discussions is that there is a whole hell of a lot of punching down. It's almost never about building a better future but about how the already marginalized have it too good. Yes you've been excluded from the last 40 years of econimic gains, your water is poison, your food is prepackaged garbage, you will work until you die, you are paying for health insurance you can't afford to use, and live in constant fear that one random push will send you spiraling into the abyss, but we're going to need you to live behind a fettid dumpster and take your place amoungst the excrement and rats that are your kin. Telling people that their lives don't suck enough isn't helpful. It doesn't accomplish anything other than making the person you're lecturing mad.

Climate change is a system wide problem and has to be addressed at a system wide level. The way we grow and distribute food has to be changed at a system wide level to be less carbon intensive and more sustainable. Switching to clean, renewable energy has to be handled at a system wide level. If we want people to switch to electric cars for example then we need to build charging stations and other infrastructure to support that. gently caress, if we really wanted to get to as close to 100% adoption rates on electric cars as possible we could hand them out in exchange for people turning in their gasoline vehicles. You wouldn't have to force people to reduce their carbon footprints in that case. You'd have wait lists and people standing in lines barely being able to wait to get rid of the gas guzzling bombs most of us are stuck driving.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
lol so not reading that crybaby poo poo

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
the environmental edition of "trump voters love him cuz you keep calling them racist"

im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.
Hello Mr. & Ms. Public,

The last 100 years were spent indoctrinating you, your parents and your grandparents into an unsustainable way of life. You have been taught to judge one another based on your monetary worth. Your worldview has been shaped by a cold war that pitted a nepotistic, greedy, oligarchical capitalistic liberal system against a nepotistic, tyrannical, state-controlled socialist system.

The echoes of this conflict still inform policy decisions today, and demonize any attempts towards collective action.

NOW SAVE THE loving PLANET YOU SELFISH SHITHEADS

:rolleyes:

Papal Infallibility
May 7, 2008

Stay Down Champion Stay Down

Iron Twinkie posted:

Climate change is a system wide problem and has to be addressed at a system wide level. The way we grow and distribute food has to be changed at a system wide level to be less carbon intensive and more sustainable. Switching to clean, renewable energy has to be handled at a system wide level. If we want people to switch to electric cars for example then we need to build charging stations and other infrastructure to support that. gently caress, if we really wanted to get to as close to 100% adoption rates on electric cars as possible we could hand them out in exchange for people turning in their gasoline vehicles. You wouldn't have to force people to reduce their carbon footprints in that case. You'd have wait lists and people standing in lines barely being able to wait to get rid of the gas guzzling bombs most of us are stuck driving.

Yes surely the problem is that we haven't introduced these common sense solutions and not that a majority of people in the most polluting countries either don't believe they are necessary because they refuse to recognize the problem or simply don't want to pay for it because they're banking on the problem not affecting them during their lifetimes.

KetTarma
Jul 25, 2003

Suffer not the lobbyist to live.

Jonah Galtberg posted:

how expensive is seawater extraction and how long will it take to develop mature industrial-scale processes for extracting it

i'm not personally endorsing being concerned over cost but it's pretty loving myopic to expect that a capitalist world would opt for a more expensive avenue vs renewables (and even that's not going to happen (we're hosed))

We have several hundred years to figure it out since there's plenty of conventional mining left to do. I guess my point was that we have effectively unlimited Uranium reserves worldwide.

uncop
Oct 23, 2010

Papal Infallibility posted:

Yes surely the problem is that we haven't introduced these common sense solutions and not that a majority of people in the most polluting countries either don't believe they are necessary because they refuse to recognize the problem or simply don't want to pay for it because they're banking on the problem not affecting them during their lifetimes.

There’s a massive unbacked assumption behind this argument that decisions concerning regulation and such are made according to the will of ”a majority of people”. Somewhere between a quarter and the majority of people don’t even vote, depending on the place and election.

The reality is that in absence of mass resistance to acting against popular will, the political process is handled by people who have good reason to think that they and even their grandchildren will be fine, for whom climate change is an ethical rather than existential challenge. A secondary concern.

It’s why instead of actually being afraid and aggressively demanding that things get done, talking heads instead look for ways to relieve themselves of guilt. The solution for them doesn’t *have to* be fixing the actual problem, denying that it exists or convincing yourself that nothing can be done or you did everything you could is close enough.

And resistance obviously requires a lot of effort and comes with the danger of getting assaulted, jailed and/or fired, so people need to be really feeling the effects before the motivation is there for non-activists.

uncop fucked around with this message at 05:31 on Oct 3, 2018

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

EdithUpwards posted:

Centralization is good and people who are opposed to high density living are morons on par with the anti-nuke crowd.

Jonah Galtberg
Feb 11, 2009

KetTarma posted:

We have several hundred years to figure it out since there's plenty of conventional mining left to do. I guess my point was that we have effectively unlimited Uranium reserves worldwide.

at current rates of consumption, sure there's hundreds of years worth of uranium left in the ground

i wonder how much you'd have to divide that down by when you're using it to power the entire world?

ChairMaster
Aug 22, 2009

by R. Guyovich
Breeder reactors could power the entire world for a very very long time with the amount of fuel we have access to, but this entire discussion is always completely irrelevant every time it comes up. Nuclear power is too expensive for governments to go for and too scary for the average incredibly stupid person to accept. Fuel concerns don't rate compared to the actual issues that nuclear would have to overcome to be viable. To make any difference in time for it to matter the amount of action required would be beyond anything that's anywhere near realistic in any way.

Jonah Galtberg
Feb 11, 2009

ChairMaster posted:

Breeder reactors could power the entire world for a very very long time with the amount of fuel we have access to, but this entire discussion is always completely irrelevant every time it comes up. Nuclear power is too expensive for governments to go for and too scary for the average incredibly stupid person to accept. Fuel concerns don't rate compared to the actual issues that nuclear would have to overcome to be viable. To make any difference in time for it to matter the amount of action required would be beyond anything that's anywhere near realistic in any way.

don't try to separate nerds who loving Love Science from their deeply held mistrust of democracy and human interactions

ChairMaster
Aug 22, 2009

by R. Guyovich
I don't care about science any more or less than politics or democracy or human interaction, I just think it's worth being realistic regarding all aspects of the world we live in.

Cakebaker
Jul 23, 2007
Wanna buy some cake?
If nuclear is more expensive than renewable, why not just go for renewable? Is it the inconsistencies due to weather?

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Renewables has its own score of logistical and technical problems.

im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.

Cakebaker posted:

If nuclear is more expensive than renewable, why not just go for renewable? Is it the inconsistencies due to weather?

the most sane proposals i've seen to get fossil fuels out of our electric grid, in lieu of a breakthrough in battery/capacitor technology, use nuclear power as a base-demand power source and various renewable's to supplement.

apparently it's a bitch to spin-up controlled nuclear reactions at-will. lazy atoms.

Nice piece of fish
Jan 29, 2008

Ultra Carp

Cakebaker posted:

If nuclear is more expensive than renewable, why not just go for renewable? Is it the inconsistencies due to weather?

Well, "they" are, there's never been more investment or faster growth in renewables than now. Unfortunately that only amounts to I don't know maybe 10% increase in capacity each year and nobody knows how long that is going to be sustained or if it can be ramped up without massive investment and time. 70% of all power investment over the last two years (I think) has been into renewables, and it's fair to assume we'd have to increase spending a huge amount over this to increase the rate of capacity growth. As of 2017 all sources of renewable energy account for around 18% of all power consumed. I don't know the relative rate of increase.

From the above it's pretty simply that expanding renewables to cover the power production from coal, oil and gas isn't happening near quickly enough, might not ever start happening quickly enough and might for all we know be more expensive and more challenging (and more dangerous and more carbon emissive) than building out nuclear alternatives. There's also a question of if renewables can even provide the kind of power we need to start thinking about carbon capture while maintaining modern society and standard of living while raising the third world into better living conditions. From what I've read, they physically (as in the laws of physics prohibit it) cannot. Maybe that's a question for the power generation megathread which I ought to follow more closely.

But I'm hardly an expert, that's just what google tells me so I'd feel better if the people who actually work on and know about this poo poo commented on it.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Cakebaker posted:

If nuclear is more expensive than renewable, why not just go for renewable? Is it the inconsistencies due to weather?

this is one of the hardest parts for people to get their heads around

what things are "expensive" or not is a function of how they are both priced and produced under our current "capitalist" system, not some abstract truth. the price of oil coal and gas fails to account for the costs of carbon, while the price of nuclear wildly over accounts for the risk of disaster. my favorite example of how dumb this can get is offshore wind, where its easier to to deal with the loving sea than to sort out land rights and transmission rights of way in coastal america.

the u.s. navy and the chinese govt have proven very clearly that nuclear does not have to cost what we have made it cost, it is purely a function of our social/economic order, not some underlying truth of the technology.

the point here is not even to be pro-nuclear, its to point out that saying something is "expensive" under our current system is almost completely missing the point that our current system PRICES WRONG

Nice piece of fish
Jan 29, 2008

Ultra Carp

StabbinHobo posted:

this is one of the hardest parts for people to get their heads around

what things are "expensive" or not is a function of how they are both priced and produced under our current "capitalist" system, not some abstract truth. the price of oil coal and gas fails to account for the costs of carbon, while the price of nuclear wildly over accounts for the risk of disaster. my favorite example of how dumb this can get is offshore wind, where its easier to to deal with the loving sea than to sort out land rights and transmission rights of way in coastal america.

the u.s. navy and the chinese govt have proven very clearly that nuclear does not have to cost what we have made it cost, it is purely a function of our social/economic order, not some underlying truth of the technology.

the point here is not even to be pro-nuclear, its to point out that saying something is "expensive" under our current system is almost completely missing the point that our current system PRICES WRONG

Yeah, this is actually the most important point that really can be made in relation to climate change and our potential efforts to mitigate it: Nothing "costs" anything but labour and parts. To even begin to effectively tackle our issues you have to step outside of the box that is called capitalism and realize that money is not a resource and there is no shortage of money that makes any of this impossible. We live inside a capitalist paradigm and we keep mistakenly building on its very stupid an inapplicable assumptions to formulate how we even analyze the problem, much less try to find solutions.

Question your assumptions if you think of climate change in terms of monetary cost or markets. These assumptions didn't come from a place of realism and physics to begin with, and I'm even guilty of doing this in my last post.

Cakebaker
Jul 23, 2007
Wanna buy some cake?
Good answers, thanks!

im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.

Nice piece of fish posted:

To even begin to effectively tackle our issues you have to step outside of the box that is called capitalism and realize that money is not a resource and there is no shortage of money that makes any of this impossible. We live inside a capitalist paradigm and we keep mistakenly building on its very stupid an inapplicable assumptions to formulate how we even analyze the problem, much less try to find solutions.

and as stabbing hobo stated similarly in the post previous. this is the big thing, and what is so difficult.

it is extremely, extremely, extremely difficult to do this. everything is coached in these terms. i attempted to approach this in the retail collapse thread and it was nearly ignored as a concept, and instead i was shouted down regarding a stupid cage. which if you follow a few posts before and after this is this weird, surreal ironic parody of discourse

quote:

im depressed lol posted:
The concept of money, the technology of this idea itself shapes and affects our understanding of the natural world. You hear politicians talk about carbon "budgets" as if we're Daddy humanity giving Mommy Gaia the business about our polluted checkbook&ledgers around the kitchen table. Money is synonymous to most people with food, shelter. So to understand how to approach solutions to "reality", the natural world... the concerns and pain of billions of individuals.... you have to tackle this.

Edit: the real horror i imagine is framing the debate in terms of a 'carbon budget', in our current economic paradigm, implies that if we overshoot we'll just get a planetary federal reserve bailout. oh i guess we'll borrow some environment from venus, or mars... oh.

im depressed lol fucked around with this message at 15:38 on Oct 3, 2018

Nice piece of fish
Jan 29, 2008

Ultra Carp
It's loving insidious, because I can feel myself falling into the trap again and again when I think about governmental response and interest groups and... it's just so ingrained it's unreal.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

StabbinHobo posted:

the u.s. navy and the chinese govt have proven very clearly that nuclear does not have to cost what we have made it cost, it is purely a function of our social/economic order, not some underlying truth of the technology.

I don't think you can really cite the US Navy as an example on cost, since we don't have a clear picture of what their reactors actually cost and their plants are vastly different in size anyway.

As for the Chinese, you're correct that the Chinese are able to built plants ~30-50% cheaper than in the US (pro-nuclear source, but shouldn't matter since its nuke-to-nuke comparisons): http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/economics-of-nuclear-power.aspx

Tollymain
Jul 9, 2010

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
capitalism is a malignancy that must be excised, burned, or poisoned, whatever it takes

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

In general, new power is cheaper in China and India because of their economic structures (pro-renewables source, but again renewables-to-renewables):

https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/Jan/IRENA_2017_Power_Costs_2018.pdf

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES
Anyone know much about thorium reactors and how far off we are?

It's nuclear with thorium as the fuel. Compared to uranium, it's safer, cleaner and cheaper. But there's technical hurdles we still haven't cleared. Anyone following this?

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
"what about <keyword technology>" is another form of completely missing the point

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

Accretionist posted:

Anyone know much about thorium reactors and how far off we are?

It's nuclear with thorium as the fuel. Compared to uranium, it's safer, cleaner and cheaper. But there's technical hurdles we still haven't cleared. Anyone following this?

It's a breeder reactor technology. Breeder reactions are 100% infinity times better in every way than nonbreeder reactors to a degree that verges on comedy but like, the US agreed to not use most types of breeder reactors and vaguely extends that to not using any other kind either.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

It's a breeder reactor technology. Breeder reactions are 100% infinity times better in every way than nonbreeder reactors to a degree that verges on comedy but like, the US agreed to not use most types of breeder reactors and vaguely extends that to not using any other kind either.

If that was true (even ignoring your hyperbole), you'd think other countries (like China) would be building a bunch of new breeder reactors instead of building other fission designs.

Maybe instead fuel costs are a smaller part of the cost of operating a plant than you think, operating expenses for breeders are higher than you think, and capital costs are a larger part of the cost of nuclear than you think.

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

Trabisnikof posted:

If that was true (even ignoring your hyperbole), you'd think other countries (like China) would be building a bunch of new breeder reactors instead of building other fission designs.

Maybe instead fuel costs are a smaller part of the cost of operating a plant than you think, operating expenses for breeders are higher than you think, and capital costs are a larger part of the cost of nuclear than you think.

Other countries ARE building a bunch of breeder reactors.

im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.

Tollymain posted:

capitalism is a malignancy that must be excised, burned, or poisoned, whatever it takes

it's a shame capitalism = my way= only way of life to most people. posts like this read in a psuedo-they-live-sunglasses fashion as:

"you're scum, i hate you, die, don't believe any of this"

and it's right back to SUV shopping.

im depressed lol fucked around with this message at 20:48 on Oct 3, 2018

Doorknob Slobber
Sep 10, 2006

by Fluffdaddy
I tend to agree with the notion that 99% of the bullshit anyone says to do right now is peanuts against climate change. Seems like a few months ago we were having a similar discussion when someone said "Well to stop climate change all we need to do is stop having babies" and it was like well, no what we need are huge, vast, society changing plans and maybe as part of those plans you might if you want to really get controversial talk about how people shouldn't be having like five kids or whatever. But I think pretty much anything that curbs climate change barring some awesome technological breakthroughs is going to be radical and controversial. No more privately owned vehicles, reorganizing not just our way of life but entirely how we organize the spaces we live, moving people out of suburbs and rural areas. Not because a bloo bloo politics, but because the closer we are all packed in together the less miles we have to travel to get to things and things have to travel to get to us.

And we can argue against it all we want, but realistically climate change is going to cause the majority of those things to happen anyways its really just how much death and destruction we can handle before we get to that point.

Evil_Greven
Feb 20, 2007

Whadda I got to,
whadda I got to do
to wake ya up?

To shake ya up,
to break the structure up!?

Nice piece of fish posted:

Tuned in to a public broadcasting program on nuclear power yesterday on the state channel. Was pretty interesting. The question of the programme was "Considering climate change, why aren't we switching to nuclear power and how dangerous is it really?". They went to Chernobyl, examined that and Fukujima and Three Mile, interviewed the heads of the major environmental organisations and the best radiation scientists on the globe working with the UN and poo poo, even people who were on-site in Chernobyl.

The conclusion was that nuclear power is likely the only way forward, it's the safest way to produce energy we know, it has almost no emissions, the environmentalists are complete disingenous bullshitters when it comes to nuclear power, we have solutions for every problem with nuclear power including long term waste storage ready to go. Also, some interesting facts: From what the best scientists from an aggregate of UN, national and international sources can figure, about 85-90 people died from the Chernobyl accident, about 9000 cases of thyroid cancer were caused and about 15 children died from that from a lack of medical care, zero people died from radiation from Fukijima and Three Mile, there is no evidence that can be found for otherwise statistically raised cancer risks or incidents of any form, nor birth defects or other damage from the Chernobyl accident. It just didn't do much damage at all if you disregard psychological damage, and all the crazy numbers that have been operated with (tens or hundreds of thousands dead) either include completely unrelated deaths or are mathematical/statistical assumptions based on the assumption that low-level radiation (as in not much more than background radiation) causes elevated cancer risk and death. Which, again, the actual investigating scientists have never been able to find any evidence of.

All in all an interesting if slightly less than informative watch. All I was really left with was that nuclear is the solution, it also has an insane PR-problem and people (and particularly environmentalists) have completely lost perspective and are disingenously unreasonable when it comes to the question of nuclear power as a substitute for coal, oil and gas.

Great. Not that it's any news to any of you, but we're basically going to stupid ourselves to death. It's very frustrating.

Also we're going to get dumber (or at least less able to think clearly) over time as CO2 levels continue to increase.

Iron Twinkie
Apr 20, 2001

BOOP

Forced relocation is considered a crime against humanity by the International Criminal Court. Granted the United States withdrew from the treaty and the odds for the US being sent to The Hague is pretty much zero anyway but let's not mince words what we are talking about here. Herding people into ghettos or worse is never good, common sense, or reasonable. It's a pretext (or just text) to exploitation, dehumanization, and genocide.

Take a moment to try and imagine what this would look like being done by the people running ICE.

That is not an acceptable option. We have to do better and if we can't then our species deserves to be scoured from the face of the Earth. We find a way to get out of this together or gently caress you no one does.

For fucks sake, if we accept that we have to upend, rethink, and remake society, can't we take a few extra steps to setup and build infrastructure that doesn't require MAGA hats dragging the undesirables out of their homes? Jesus.

Lampsacus
Oct 21, 2008

Maybe the way our brains work is incompatible with what we need to be.

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TheOnlyStarFish
Apr 22, 2010

"And the fucking pants. Goddammit, the fucking pants. again. If there is anyone on this planet who likes those fucking pants other than you 3 people, they’re probably 5 years old and laugh at anything random."

Doorknob Slobber posted:

...Not because a bloo bloo politics, but because the closer we are all packed in together the less miles we have to travel to get to things and things have to travel to get to us...


How is that a better plan then just switching everyone to electric vehicles? Jesus Christ. We could spend the equivalent to One Year of the United State's Military Budget to fix our roads and just GIVE people electric cars.

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