Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
The Unnamed One
Jan 13, 2012

"BOOM!"
I, for one, welcome our environmentally conscious spook overlords

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Negostrike
Aug 15, 2015


We just can't really have nice things, can we

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo

Negrostrike posted:

We just can't really have nice things, can we

Guns are nice. We can have those. All the guns.

Borono hitting 47% taught us two lessons we should've learned with Trump/Hillary: the first one is that there's nothing closer to a fascist than a scared liberal. PSDB's votes just disappeared and reappeared as Bolzi's. Second lesson is that a LOT of people are embarrassed to say they vote Bonoro, but they'll vote for him regardless because PT is Evil and Bad.

So I guess we're hosed. Hopefully more in a Trump way than a Duterte or full-blown military coup way.

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry
Are we seriously gonna have a democratically elected military dictatorship in Latin America, after the many horrors of history?

Apraxin
Feb 22, 2006

General-Admiral

Pochoclo posted:

Are we seriously gonna have a democratically elected military dictatorship in Latin America, after the many horrors of history?
Tune in in three weeks to find out! And two weeks after that, we get to see if America supports all that Trump's done over the last two years! Gonna be a fun time waiting on that!

:smithicide:

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Pochoclo posted:

Are we seriously gonna have a democratically elected military dictatorship in Latin America, after the many horrors of history?
If you have masses of poorly-educated non-lateral-thinking peoples voting in authoritarian governments every generation in the hope that maybe this time they'll be represented properly? Well yes. The Latin American states were not founded on the principles of enlightenment and liberty, but on a desire of autonomy for local elites. Authority speaks louder than liberty here.

nerdz
Oct 12, 2004


Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things.
Grimey Drawer
At this point I'd rather he won in the first round. There's no way he can lose anymore, barring a miracle.

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo

Pochoclo posted:

Are we seriously gonna have a democratically elected military dictatorship in Latin America, after the many horrors of history?

I don't make predictions anymore, Brazil is really good at frustrating them, but I'm not expecting a military dictatorship. It's gonna be Duterte 2.0 and just pretty bad overall.

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

Pochoclo posted:

Are we seriously gonna have a democratically elected military dictatorship in Latin America, after the many horrors of history?

Yes. The horrors happened mostly to poors/leftists, so they're not really horrors at all but glorious feats to be celebrated, according to the elite's wisdom. Sure, they prefer a more civilized control, but if the choice is a drooling dictatorship and slight social democracy, they'll go for the swastika 10 times out of 10.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
It sure is great to see good old fashioned conservatives getting a seat at the table. Conservatives like *checks notes* Alexandre Frota, from Sao Paulo.

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

Bolsonaro's kid is also the most voted congressman in history lmao. The Paulistas need to be genocided.

The Unnamed One
Jan 13, 2012

"BOOM!"

Plutonis posted:

Bolsonaro's kid is also the most voted congressman in history lmao. The Paulistas need to be genocided.

We elected Major Olímpio and Mara Gabrilli for the Senate, and left Eduardo Suplicy out (again).

This entire state such be glassed.

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo
Nuke the South, IMHO.

Negostrike
Aug 15, 2015


Hey, look what's trending on Steam.

https://store.steampowered.com/app/930460/BOLSOMITO_2K18/

frajaq
Jan 30, 2009

#acolyte GM of 2014


drat this sucks

hoiyes
May 17, 2007

joepinetree posted:

In what world would there be foreign intervention against large corporations and in favor of the environment?

I assume they mean something like the Buffet-backed Virunga foundation. Not like a government putting boots on the ground. Private equity could back a local NGO to pay park rangers a very good wage to defend the rainforest from illegal logging, in theory. But in practice?

Anyway, wasn't there some projections that the damage to the Amazon was already done, and that the rainfall patterns were already changing enough that the whole basin would suffer desertification?

LOL seriously gently caress são paulo tho they'd voted in bolsonaro in the first go and they loving voted in Doria for governor jfc

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
Greenwald's husband didn't get elected, though PSOL did really well in Rio.

frajaq
Jan 30, 2009

#acolyte GM of 2014


stuck between voting for the biggest fascist dipshit ever and a puppet with no will that goes to prison for advice like a loving drug dealer :lol:

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

frajaq posted:

stuck between voting for the biggest fascist dipshit ever and a puppet with no will that goes to prison for advice like a loving drug dealer :lol:

If you think Lula being in jail is the big problem in this whole situation, I don't even know what to tell you.

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

joepinetree posted:

Greenwald's husband didn't get elected, though PSOL did really well in Rio.

Renato Roseno got elected on my state which is nice

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Sephyr posted:

If you think Lula being in jail is the big problem in this whole situation, I don't even know what to tell you.

As a reminder, Lula is the only person currently in jail in Brazil who is prohibited from speaking to the press in all of Brazil.

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo
PSOL almost doubled their federal congressmen contingency, so we got something at least.

Also he's not wrong. PT fuckin' sucks. However, they're WAY better than the alternative.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


https://twitter.com/Yascha_Mounk/status/1044899694298705920

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


In case anyone thought American liberalism was capable of confronting fascism to even the most infinitesimal degree

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
The desperate attempts to equate Bolsonaro with anyone slightly left of center are mind boggling.

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo

joepinetree posted:

The desperate attempts to equate Bolsonaro with anyone slightly left of center are mind boggling.

poo poo takes by a poo poo liberal.

Ghost of Mussolini
Jun 26, 2011

"for about a decade"

which decade?

The Unnamed One
Jan 13, 2012

"BOOM!"
Comparing Bolsonaro to loving AMLO of all people is some bullshit

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

The Unnamed One posted:

Comparing Bolsonaro to loving AMLO of all people is some bullshit

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012
Given that published US liberals think Saudi Arabia's Mohammed Bin Salman is a bold progressive reformer*, we shouldn't expect much.


*:He just had a Washington Post journalist murdered, in fact, but don't expect that to change their narrative.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


At least 50 years ago centrist liberals had a coherent explanation for supporting right-wing dictatorships, even if it was incorrect and immoral (ACTUALLY they're Authoritarian, not Totalitarian). This time they're just saying that anyone who disagrees with them for any reason is the same. First tragedy then farce I guess

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

icantfindaname posted:

At least 50 years ago centrist liberals had a coherent explanation for supporting right-wing dictatorships, even if it was incorrect and immoral (ACTUALLY they're Authoritarian, not Totalitarian). This time they're just saying that anyone who disagrees with them for any reason is the same. First tragedy then farce I guess

It was -always- farce. Joao Goulart and Salvador Allende were barely social-democrats, not any kind of bolshevik firebrands. Heck, Goulart was a wealthy landowner himself whose main concern was humping theater dancers in Rio, not fomenting any kind of revolution.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

I'm going to ask some questions now:

1. What books in English would you recommend for learning and analyzing Brazil's politics since 1985?
2. Would the policies of Bolsonaro strengthen Brazil's geopolitics or gently caress it's economy further, stunting it's super-power potential?
3. How much real power would he hold as President-Dictator?
4. I hear he apparently is still healing/near-crippled from his assassination attempt last month. Would he even last long considering this?
5. At the end of the day, who is to blame for this mess? The New Republic's system in general? The people? The Oligarchs? Bolsonaro existing?
6. How effective would hypothetical sanctions be against him in the next decade?

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

Grouchio posted:

I'm going to ask some questions now:

1. What books in English would you recommend for learning and analyzing Brazil's politics since 1985?
2. Would the policies of Bolsonaro strengthen Brazil's geopolitics or gently caress it's economy further, stunting it's super-power potential?
3. How much real power would he hold as President-Dictator?
4. I hear he apparently is still healing/near-crippled from his assassination attempt last month. Would he even last long considering this?
5. At the end of the day, who is to blame for this mess? The New Republic's system in general? The people? The Oligarchs? Bolsonaro existing?
6. How effective would hypothetical sanctions be against him in the next decade?

I can only answer some of those.

2- His policies are a big cypher. He says o e thing, his vice-president says something else, his Finances minister a third thing. He's promising to privatize all public companies, which would be disastrous in a number of ways. Also spoke against paid vacations maternity leave, and pretty much every worker right there is, then backtracked weakly when it seemed people balked. So we'll see.
3-He'd be pretty drat powerful. the Center, meaning the swarm of mercenary, ideology-free congresspeople who are one of Brazil's big problems, already fell in line behind him. That, and other institutions like the Supreme Court, electoral court and even the press just give him a pass already, and he's not even in power yet.
4- He's recovering well enough and was never crippled. He kostly played up the recovery to avoid attending debates (he was skipping on them even before the attack) to reduce his chances of loving things up or bungling a response.

5- Disaster has many parents. I'd say the main culprit was the cowardly refusal to charge and punish the top echelon of the military after the dictatorship. They basically got to skate after all their crimes and raise two new generations of soldiers who think they were unfairly judged, and with a massive chip on their shoulders against the weak, corrupt civilians. The conservative judiciary and the media basically tearing down every institution to make sure the other heavy hitter (Lula) was charged and sentenced at light speed in order to keep him from running is also a huge factor; they thought they would be favoring the PSDB, the local neoliberal party, but they imploded when their golden boy was caught on camera negotiating a bribe and threatening to kill gthe courier if he squealed, and their electorate fled en masse toward a harder, meaner right.

6- Zero, and no sanctions will ever be passed. He openly loves Trump, and the West loves right-leaning autocrats. When The Eonomist did an anti-Bolsonaro cover, his supporters just said the magazine was communist and kept going as usual. If anything, outside pressure will only make them think they are the targets of a vast international socialist plot and double down.

punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3eyRSClnhU

EDIT - Holy poo poo, I didn't even know that the election results were today. I looked them up and now I'm terrified for Brazil.

punk rebel ecks fucked around with this message at 07:13 on Oct 8, 2018

Solvalou
Aug 31, 2001
gently caress it, who cares

Solvalou fucked around with this message at 08:10 on Oct 8, 2018

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Can we get a separate Brazil Thread up and running?

AceOfFlames
Oct 9, 2012

Grouchio posted:

Can we get a separate Brazil Thread up and running?

There is one already. Looks dead though:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3860864

Negostrike
Aug 15, 2015


Grouchio posted:

Can we get a separate Brazil Thread up and running?

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3866293

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

Crossposting this from CSPAM because typing it all out made me feel like I was insane and I want y'all to enjoy it too:

Badger of Basra posted:

looking over the chamber of deputies results for some fun facts about the brazilian party system:

there will be 30 parties in the next chamber

the most right wing party is the Social Liberal Party

the Social Democratic Party and the Brazilian Social Democracy Party are different. both are right wing

the Brazilian Labor Party is center right. the Democratic Labor Party is center left. these are separate from the Workers Party, which is left wing

there's a Republic Party, a Progressive Republican Party, and a Brazilian Republican Party. all three are right wing

there's also a Progressive Party. it's also right wing

also also there's a Republican Party of the Social Order. despite having possibly the most fascist party name I've ever heard, it was allied with the Workers Party in this election

there's the People's Socialist Party and the Brazilian Socialist Party. both of these are, at best, center right

there's Solidarity (center to center right) but also the Humanist Party of Solidarity (center right)

there is the Green Party which is, inexplicably, a green party

sadly lost this election was the Brazilian Women's Party, whose only senator was a man and had an explicitly antifeminist platform

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply