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Motronic posted:I wrecked my car without insurance, what should I do next? I mean, wow. Do they not have lotto in Alabama?
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Oct 20, 2018 21:26
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FAUXTON posted:it's a doozy and the only reason they pulled it off for as long as they did was that their retail bank had a goddamn idiot for a branch manager, who kept loving lying to the AML people because she didn't want to lose this massive (ly fake and fraudulent) business. Do you have a link to the DoJ indictment? Everything is locked right now.
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Oct 20, 2018 21:45
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-Doesn't have money for car payment/insurance -Traveling out of state to buy lottery tickets Watch this rear end in a top hat end up being the person to win a billion dollars in Powerball 
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Oct 20, 2018 22:19
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n8r posted:I recently got to drive a 2018 M2, which was the nicest / most expensive car I've driven by a very long shot. I would say do whatever you can to buy one, it was loving amazing. Hahahah you just made Chris rock hard, man.
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Oct 20, 2018 22:24
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He should have stayed and played the Alabama lottery since his odds are probably better now that everyone is shoveling money into the Florida and Georgia lottery. And by better I mean one in hundreds of millions chance rather than an one in several billion opportunity.
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Oct 20, 2018 22:43
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Krispy Wafer posted:He should have stayed and played the Alabama lottery since his odds are probably better now that everyone is shoveling money into the Florida and Georgia lottery. There isn't an Alabama lottery. Also, lottery odds don't change based on the number of players.
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Oct 20, 2018 23:50
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BMan posted:There isn't an Alabama lottery. Also, lottery odds don't change based on the number of players. Wouldn't number of players change the expected value?
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Oct 21, 2018 00:34
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Verus posted:Wouldn't number of players change the expected value? Sure, but if it's fuckoff money regardless...
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Oct 21, 2018 00:36
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BMan posted:There isn't an Alabama lottery. Also, lottery odds don't change based on the number of players. So I understand lottery odds only slightly worse than a lottery player.
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Oct 21, 2018 00:56
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Verus posted:Wouldn't number of players change the expected value? Yes but not the odds of winning. More people = higher likelihood of sharing the pot. Same odds of winning the pot though.
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Oct 21, 2018 01:02
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BMan posted:There isn't an Alabama lottery. Also, lottery odds don't change based on the number of players. Dead money in the jackpot due to a long streak of no winners increases the expectation value of a ticket. It's definitely possible that a ticket in this jackpot has a small positive value (albiet with an extremely high variance)
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Oct 21, 2018 01:11
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BEHOLD: MY CAPE posted:Dead money in the jackpot due to a long streak of no winners increases the expectation value of a ticket. It's definitely possible that a ticket in this jackpot has a small positive value (albiet with an extremely high variance) I remember this happening before, where the lottery had "positive expected value", but it actually didn't because they sold way more tickets than the value of the jackpot.
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Oct 21, 2018 01:17
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crazypeltast52 posted:Do you have a link to the DoJ indictment? Everything is locked right now. Nope, that's just what I recall from when I still had pacer access. If I knew where to find the complaint without needing pacer I'd be linking directly to it 
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Oct 21, 2018 01:20
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https://twitter.com/MurderBryan/status/1053814357128290304
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Oct 21, 2018 04:01
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Wait, if I put that on my sandwiches my hair will grow back? Holy poo poo how have I not heard of this sooner? Does Zaurg know about this? He could use a new investment opportunity now that his thread has been moved to E/N and he’s a piss baby about it happening. you’re welcome 
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Oct 21, 2018 06:01
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It's even got horse bits in it 
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Oct 21, 2018 06:23
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A chick at work put mayonnaise in her hair because her scalp was dry. She smelled weird for a couple days. Her scalp was still dry. BWL, but GWM since she took the mayo from the company cafeteria.
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Oct 21, 2018 12:51
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FrozenVent posted:A chick at work put mayonnaise in her hair because her scalp was dry. She smelled weird for a couple days. Her scalp was still dry.
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Oct 21, 2018 14:01
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you can also make a cost-effective protein rinse with powdered gelatin 
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Oct 21, 2018 17:32
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 Most likely BWM. Slim chance of being VGWM.
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Oct 21, 2018 21:23
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winning the lottery is not actually gwm, hth
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Oct 21, 2018 21:31
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Lockback posted:
Why is there fake text overlay on the screenshot?
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Oct 21, 2018 21:31
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Lotteries are horrible.
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Oct 21, 2018 21:32
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H110Hawk posted:Why is there fake text overlay on the screenshot? looks to be screenshot of a screenshot
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Oct 21, 2018 21:36
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bob dobbs is dead posted:winning the lottery is not actually gwm, hth The kind of person who empties their bank account buying bulk lotto tickets is definitely not going to do better with more money, so yea. On the other hand, this big a jackpot would take time to blow just because of the sheer amount, and would probably yield some really amazing stories.
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Oct 21, 2018 21:54
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Ah, good for him! Now he has a 0.0005% chance of winning! 
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Oct 21, 2018 21:54
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Sundae posted:Ah, good for him! Now he has a 0.0005% chance of winning! if only the odds were that good
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Oct 21, 2018 22:13
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Ashcans posted:The kind of person who empties their bank account buying bulk lotto tickets is definitely not going to do better with more money, so yea. There is always a bigger island to buy.
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Oct 21, 2018 22:15
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Jordan7hm posted:if only the odds were that good $3,200 at $2 per ticket = 1600 tickets. Odds of winning the jackpot: quote:The odds of winning the jackpot are now 1 in 302,575,350. (1600 / 302575350) * 100% = 5.29*10^-4 = 0.0005%. They're "that good" in the sense that the number is accurate, but because the odds are actually legible, we mistakenly think the odds are decent.  It's still a one in two-hundred-thousand chance even after spending $3,200 on it to even pick the numbers, excluding all the split-pot stuff.
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Oct 21, 2018 22:31
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Tickets in the Mega Millions right now are probably positive EV even after taxes and taking the lump sum so strictly speaking it is likely GWM to buy an affordable number of tickets, the utility of doing so however might be negative considering the marginal utility of one dollar in your pocket versus the marginal utility of the hypothetical 1.6 billionth dollar
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Oct 21, 2018 23:05
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I can afford $2 to maybe win 1.6 billion
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Oct 21, 2018 23:10
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Lockback posted:
Honestly, the part I hate the most is him saying he really needs it and it would change his life as if he’s special and all those other people playing couldn’t use a billion dollars. Then he follows it up with saying he’ll donate half to charity as if that makes up for the blatant greed. The worst thing that could happen is this guy winning ‘cause he’ll proudly tell everyone what he’s done and other people are going to think this is a valid and good strategy to win.
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Oct 21, 2018 23:52
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I bought my first ever lottery ticket out of loss aversion because my co-workers did an office pool. I'd feel like the biggest moron in the world if they all won without me. It's insurance! Paying $5 today into that makes me just a garden variety moron.
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Oct 22, 2018 00:02
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canyoneer posted:I bought my first ever lottery ticket out of loss aversion because my co-workers did an office pool. Office pools are the only time buying lotto tickets make sense. You spread the risk across a bunch of people and like you said, it’s insurance against eating a bullet after everyone quits and you’re the only person left.
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Oct 22, 2018 00:24
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I get a lottery ticket most weeks because I found that spending $6 to fantasize what I'd do with my winnings is therapeutic.
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Oct 22, 2018 00:52
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Heh, that guy is obviously crazy, but surely my little lottery habit is not bad with money! Ha ha!
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Oct 22, 2018 01:10
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Krispy Wafer posted:Office pools are the only time buying lotto tickets make sense. You spread the risk across a bunch of people and like you said, it’s insurance against eating a bullet after everyone quits and you’re the only person left. Or to be a plaintiff when the person running the pool “buys extra tickets for themselves and those were the ones that won, totally guys” Edit: I can spell today I guess crazypeltast52 fucked around with this message at 01:34 on Oct 22, 2018 |
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Oct 22, 2018 01:23
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Even the office pools that sign a contract and issue scans of the tickets ahead of the drawing end up in a court battle. Timmy bought Tammy her $10 lunch and she never paid him back so she owes him half the winnings from her $20 buyin
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Oct 22, 2018 01:25
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crazypeltast52 posted:Or to be a planiff when the person running the pool “buys extra tickets for themselves and those were the ones that won, totally guys” That was my first thought too
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Oct 22, 2018 01:27
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FAUXTON posted:Nope, that's just what I recall from when I still had pacer access. If I knew where to find the complaint without needing pacer I'd be linking directly to it Control f “Lustig” in this finds a few things, sounds like a bit of a bucket shop even before whatever the current indictment has. There’s some BWM in there about James Lustig’s wife, who was some kind of heiress and ends up with this situation. https://books.google.com/books?id=N...0denver&f=false
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Oct 22, 2018 01:48
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