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Party Plane Jones
Jul 1, 2007

by Reene
Fun Shoe
hi please don't break the forums with giant posts that cause issues, thanks

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Abongination
Aug 18, 2010

Life, it's the shit that happens while you're waiting for moments that never come.
Pillbug
They are just rotating prime minister so they all get the pension now. New one every week till the election.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

So today is a good day for Australia? Or will that be election day?

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
A terrible wrath has fallen upon this thread, as it has Tony Abbott.

incredible flesh
Oct 6, 2018

by Nyc_Tattoo

Cpt Soban posted:

CLEANER coal. We'll scrub each rock of coal by hand, with an army of poor kids- Boosting employment while also CLEANING COAL! WIN WIN RIGHT?

birdstrike
Oct 30, 2008

i;m gay

Party Plane Jones posted:

hi please don't break the forums with giant posts that cause issues, thanks

https://twitter.com/dril/status/922321981?s=21

ewe2
Jul 1, 2009

Anne Henderson on ABC Breakfast throwing all sorts of shade on the Libs this morning. I guess Gerard isn't allowed back.

Recoome
Nov 9, 2013

Matter of fact, I'm salty now.
Dr Phelps calling for kids off Nauru now

hopefully this will happen?

Negative Entropy
Nov 30, 2009


:bisonyes:

Trapezium Dave
Oct 22, 2012

The Wentworth postal votes seem fairly strong for Dave Sharma. I'm not sure if there can be enough to make up the gap but it looks like the final result will be fairly close.

Brown Paper Bag
Nov 3, 2012

https://twitter.com/grogsgamut/status/1053786873607290881?s=21

hidys
May 6, 2015

"Give the boys a bit of a rev up."
I think Antony Green might need to be awoken from his slumber re the Wentworth by-election.

Brown Paper Bag
Nov 3, 2012

Double post

tithin
Nov 14, 2003


[Grandmaster Tactician]



73.55% turnout is high, right?

hidys
May 6, 2015

"Give the boys a bit of a rev up."

tithin posted:

73.55% turnout is high, right?

Yes and is unlikely for Sharma to win from here but not impossible.

Trapezium Dave
Oct 22, 2012

Do they fast track the delivery of postal votes in by elections or could there be up to 6000 more postal votes floating in the system?

edit: because other than that, if I'm reading the AEC results page correctly, there's only 1266 postal votes left to go with Phelps 884 votes ahead. (also maybe a few pre-poll?)

Trapezium Dave fucked around with this message at 00:40 on Oct 21, 2018

Cartoon
Jun 20, 2008

poop

Wheezle posted:

If Phelps helped bring down the government, the libs would regain Wentworth in a landslide at the general. Wentworth doesn't want a Labor government.
Well Yes and No. Depends what she actually does. If she prosecutes the causes she has won on: Climate change, Refugee humanity and what ever else the current LNP aren't doing right according to the good burgers of Wentworth then it becomes a problem for the LNP. If the LNP try and block her while she sides with the greens/cross bench/ALP in a way that threatens the continuity of government and they gently caress it up falling on their own sword and blaming Phelps then she might just hold the seat for life.

I would blow Dane Cook posted:

I think it’s time for ScoMo to break out the raw onions. After all, there’s still a handful of escaped mental patients who think Tony Abbott should make a comeback, and if ScoMo could possibly swing them behind him by necking a fistful of stinking fresh bulbs and stripping down to a pair of bright, red dick-stickers, why not just go for it? The alternative is going limp in the middle of the road and just waiting for the eighteen wheel road train that’s coming to turn him into street pizza. And it could hardly be less ill-considered than trashing decades of bipartisan agreement not to gently caress around with the septic mess of Isreali-Palestinian politics for the sake of a few votes.
But ScoMo’s accidental prime ministership is now so terminal that even the magic onion might not save him. What a loving disaster his soon to be short-lived Turd Reich turned out to be. An imploding supermassive shitshow of desperate incompetence so violently bunglefucked six ways from Sunday that even listing the major oh-no moments feels like shamewanking over grief porn.
This week alone — and just this week — heading into a history-making beatdown from the unforgiving voters of Malcolm Turnbull’s old seat, ScoMo and Co managed to poo poo the bed not once, but on four separate occasions:
Not just voting in favour of a white power meme cunningly disguised as a white power meme by red-headed white-power She-Ra cosplay champion, Fraulein Hanson…
But also letting Melissa Price, the very surprising Environment Minister and sentient coal-fired killdozer get loose in a Canberra restaurant where multiple witnesses saw her monster the former president of Kiribati and poo poo-talk the rest of the Pacific Islands community in a way that sounded a bit like your drunken Uncle Bob getting pantsless and punchy at a family barbecue.
Not content to piss off pretty much every island nation that Beijing has earmarked to bury in a tsunami wave train of hard currency loans and developmental ‘assistance’, ScoMo personally stepped up to the crease and promptly tripped over his own cock by flopping it out to wave in the face of the entire Muslim world with his brainfart about moving the Australian Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
Israel (two way trade worth about a billion dollars a year) was stoked, thanks mate.
Jakarta (two way trade worth a lazy sixteen billion dollars a year) was not so loving stoked.
Nor were the dozen or more Arab ambassadors who met in Canberra to release a joint statement detailing their extreme lack of stoke for ScoMo’s desperate pursuit of the Jewish vote in Wentworth. (A demographic the witless idiot already had in the bag).
The free trade agreement with Indonesia is now in play, along with billions of dollars of agricultural exports to the Middle East. The National Party’s farmland constituents would be probably displeased, if the National Party had not decided to distract them and everyone else by floating the prospect of getting ruddy-cheeked pork swordsman Bonerby Joyce back as leader.
And that was just this week.
It will be over, sort of, by the time cocktail hour rolls around at Bondi Beach and the polls close in Wentworth. Maybe the government hangs on. Maybe they get beaten like a giant novelty gong. Either way, ScoMo has proved that the only thing he was ever good for was remotely torturing refugees, when nobody could actually see what he was up to. And by the end of the week, with both the UN and thousands of local doctors demanding the release of children imprisoned in our Pacific gulags, it looked like ScoMo couldn’t even fall back on his proud legacy as a prison camp overseer to save his worthless arse.
Source? I like the cut of their jib.

I almost let the hope atom back in listening to Phelps on RN this morning. Even if she is a complete tory poo poo smear that needs a short trip to a long drop guillotine.

adamantium|wang
Sep 14, 2003

Missing you
Lmao after postals it might come down to less than a hundred votes

Sharma might just squeak through

You Am I
May 20, 2001

Me @ your poasting

adamantium|wang posted:

Sharma might just squeak through

God if this happens the Libs would have not learnt anything

Negative Entropy
Nov 30, 2009

What happens if they've conceded but later win.

Anidav
Feb 25, 2010

ahhh fuck its the rats again
They unconcede and say the people of Wentworth have voted strongly for a strong and stable Morrison Government.

evilbastard
Mar 6, 2003

Hair Elf
AEC says 1,266 envelopes left to process

This means it should break about 810 - 456 votes each

So the final totals might be 530 / 74,284 or 0.7%. It would have to be under 100 votes different to be an automatic recount.

Edit : The AEC is not showing Any provisional, declaration or absentee votes for Wentworth ?

Edit 2 : Oh yeah, you have 2 weeks to get your papers back, there are 6,112 papers that were issued that were not returned, so government in crisis for next 2 weeks I guess.

code:
CURRENTLY

SHARMA, Dave	Liberal	        36,067	-884	 
PHELPS, Kerryn	Independent	36,951	 884	 


Candidate	Party	        Ordinary	       Absent	Provisional	Declaration 	Postal	        Total	Status
                                Votes	   %	        Votes	Votes		Votes		Votes	%	Votes	  %
SHARMA, Dave	Liberal	        32,721	   48.25	0	0		0		3,346	64.38	36,067	49.39	 
PHELPS, Kerryn	Independent	35,100	   51.75	0	0		0		1,851	35.62	36,951	50.61	 

Envelopes awaiting processing  1,266
Therefore
code:
ESTIMATE ONLY

SHARMA, Dave      Liberal       36,877     (49.64%)   -530
PHELPS, Kerryn    Independent   37,407     (50.36%)   +530

ESTIMATE ONLY

evilbastard fucked around with this message at 02:09 on Oct 21, 2018

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
Gonna be pissed if the Libs scrape in or it's a recount

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


gently caress it will be poo poo if they scrape in.

froglet
Nov 12, 2009

You see, the best way to Stop the Boats is a massive swarm of autonomous armed dogs. Strafing a few boats will stop the rest and save many lives in the long term.

You can't make an Omelet without breaking a few eggs. Vote Greens.

bowmore posted:

Gonna be pissed if the Libs scrape in or it's a recount

I've heard a bunch of ALP scrutineers have appeared, and it's pretty obvious they're not there to bolster the share of ALP votes.

Reclines Obesily
Jul 24, 2000



Hey Moona!
Slippery Tilde

froglet posted:

I've heard a bunch of ALP scrutineers have appeared, and it's pretty obvious they're not there to bolster the share of ALP votes.

there's apparently two booths that should have phelps +1000 more than she is right now. kevin bonham and anthony green both have mentioned this

we'll know more in a few days

froglet
Nov 12, 2009

You see, the best way to Stop the Boats is a massive swarm of autonomous armed dogs. Strafing a few boats will stop the rest and save many lives in the long term.

You can't make an Omelet without breaking a few eggs. Vote Greens.

Reclines Obesily posted:

there's apparently two booths that should have phelps +1000 more than she is right now. kevin bonham and anthony green both have mentioned this

we'll know more in a few days

Silly question, but how do they know this?

Reclines Obesily
Jul 24, 2000



Hey Moona!
Slippery Tilde

froglet posted:

Silly question, but how do they know this?

http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/

goes into it, anthony mentioned something similar on abc an hour ago

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
cursed image

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Top ten Anime Betrayals.

Doctor Spaceman
Jul 6, 2010

"Everyone's entitled to their point of view, but that's seriously a weird one."

froglet posted:

Silly question, but how do they know this?

https://twitter.com/kevinbonham/status/1053829688722747393

Spudd
Nov 27, 2007

Protect children from "Safe Schools" social engineering. Shame!

I'm very confused about what is going on I thought the Libz were eating themselves now.

Reclines Obesily
Jul 24, 2000



Hey Moona!
Slippery Tilde
https://twitter.com/kevinbonham/status/1053833338425769984

https://twitter.com/kevinbonham/status/1053833671625498624

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


I'm getting flashbacks to the last Fed election when postal votes swung the crucial seats to the Libs.

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
Wish someone would put a wall around those bloody postal votes.

SMILLENNIALSMILLEN
Jun 26, 2009



https://twitter.com/virgotweet/status/1053300888524091392?s=19

https://twitter.com/nickharmsen/status/1053084921856581632?s=19

GoldStandardConure
Jun 11, 2010

I have to kill fast
and mayflies too slow

Pillbug
if the libs win via postal votes i will laugh till i die

Anidav
Feb 25, 2010

ahhh fuck its the rats again
Why are postal votes leaning so heavily to Libs is it just top hat overseas tax dodgers?

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hidys
May 6, 2015

"Give the boys a bit of a rev up."

Anidav posted:

Why are postal votes leaning so heavily to Libs is it just top hat overseas tax dodgers?

They always favor incumbent parties since it is usually the electorate office who send out the application and always with a HTV card.

Also older voters typically use postal.

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