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Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


Yinlock posted:

considering how hella fixed the whole election was AND he was taking charge like 2 days before the end of the election, i think he's way ahead of you on that one

yeah i guess thats optimistically assuming he'll wait to just go full dictator, and not just do it the first day

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joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
The funny thing about the "no pornography on TV" is that there is substantially less nudity on TV now than in the past. In the 80s there was a TV show that was on at like 10 pm called cocktail that was a game show that included things like "which girl has a mark on her nipples" and where the loser had to do a striptease.

Also, Bolsonaro folks don't like the Statute of Children and Adolescents (passed in 1990) because it protects minors from prosecution, but it is also the law that made most underage nudity and pornography illegal. There are a number of Brazilian movies that included nudity and/or sex scenes with minors prior to that, and it wasn't uncommon to have 14 or 15 year olds on the cover of playboy

Victory Position
Mar 16, 2004

joepinetree posted:

Also, Bolsonaro folks don't like the Statute of Children and Adolescents (passed in 1990) because it protects minors from prosecution, but it is also the law that made most underage nudity and pornography illegal. There are a number of Brazilian movies that included nudity and/or sex scenes with minors prior to that, and it wasn't uncommon to have 14 or 15 year olds on the cover of playboy

ah, what a surprise. no wonder they fear the children are becoming gay.

Max Awfuls
Sep 10, 2011
"No pornography" is clearly code for gay people doing absolutely whatever, Nothing wrong with manly men looking at naked women like God intended, just a bit of harmless fun.

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

it's just hiding Obvious Mob poo poo under the veil of Strong Christian Values

get that OUT of my face
Feb 10, 2007

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

i cant see any result other than his brutal neoliberal program becoming insanely unpopular and he embraces full on dictatorship to hold into power.

basically macron if macron had the balls to actually declare himself a jupitarian god emperor
in my binge-reading of post-election articles, i learned that macron still hasn't ended the state of emergency in france. there's a chance bolsonaro goes that route and uses it as an opportunity to establish a martial law dictatorship. but i think it's more likely that he won't bother waiting too long, considering how the military and police have already jumped at the bit to storm universities that teach "leftist" thought

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Victory Position posted:

ah, what a surprise. no wonder they fear the children are becoming gay.

in one italian city around about the renaissance, the leadership was deeply concerned with all the hot male-on-male action going on, so they made it legal for prostitutes to advertise their wares from the window

unfortunately, it turns out they forgot to exclude male prostitutes

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

get that OUT of my face posted:

in my binge-reading of post-election articles, i learned that macron still hasn't ended the state of emergency in france. there's a chance bolsonaro goes that route and uses it as an opportunity to establish a martial law dictatorship. but i think it's more likely that he won't bother waiting too long, considering how the military and police have already jumped at the bit to storm universities that teach "leftist" thought

nah, they're not even trying to code their contempt for gay people. evangelicals hate porn too

I'm pretty sure he'll just do it without an excuse, every interview on the subject he's ever given has been "yeah straight-up coup, seize power immediately"

Homocow
Apr 24, 2007

Extremely bad poster!
DO NOT QUOTE!


Pillbug
"God above everything. There is no such thing as this secular state. The state is Christian and the minority will have to change, if they can."

what is it with authoritarians and god?

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Dead Beef posted:

"God above everything. There is no such thing as this secular state. The state is Christian and the minority will have to change, if they can."

what is it with authoritarians and god?

a dose of narcissism and because it's easy to justify atrocities if you claim you're doing it for the Lord

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

basically this is going to be a self-imploding clusterfuck but a lot of people are going to die in said implosion

get that OUT of my face
Feb 10, 2007

Max Awfuls posted:

"No pornography" is clearly code for gay people doing absolutely whatever, Nothing wrong with manly men looking at naked women like God intended, just a bit of harmless fun.
nah, bolsonaristas aren't even trying to hide their contempt for gay people. remember, one of the more widespread lies on whatsapp was how school are teaching five-year-olds how to be gay and question their gender identity. when they say they don't want porn on tv, it's exactly what it sounds like, in addition to not wanting anything that goes against salafist-like moral purity that evangelicals want

get that OUT of my face
Feb 10, 2007

Yinlock posted:

I'm pretty sure he'll just do it without an excuse, every interview on the subject he's ever given has been "yeah straight-up coup, seize power immediately"
my only question is how long he's going to wait. probably immediately or not very long, considering how long his "i am a slave to the constitution" angle lasted

Dead Beef posted:

"God above everything. There is no such thing as this secular state. The state is Christian and the minority will have to change, if they can."

what is it with authoritarians and god?
this isn't a modern thing and it's not even exclusively an evangelical thing. self-proclaimed christian rulers have always embraced doing horrible things to get rid of nonbelievers

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


Dead Beef posted:

what is it with authoritarians and god?

god is the ultimate strong daddy for the zombies who worship strong daddy no matter what

Homocow
Apr 24, 2007

Extremely bad poster!
DO NOT QUOTE!


Pillbug
I see, thanks.

OK so then there's this: "The state is Christian and the minority will have to change, if they can."
Is there any interpretation of that last bit which isn't "we're going to genocide religious minorities"?

papersack
Jul 27, 2003

What's the religious demographics outside of Christianity in Brazil?

Apraxin
Feb 22, 2006

General-Admiral

Dead Beef posted:

I see, thanks.

OK so then there's this: "The state is Christian and the minority will have to change, if they can."
Is there any interpretation of that last bit which isn't "we're going to genocide religious minorities"?
there is the optimist trumpian interpretation where he just has senile dementia and a personality disorder so his words have no meaning means and he's just trying to convey that he loves christians and thinks they're the best at this exact moment before he puts it out of his mind. that's uh, probably not the case here.

Max Awfuls
Sep 10, 2011
Bolsonaro is mostly paying lip service to IURD and other evangelicals that helped him get elected, he's much more of a hard on for militaristic "kill all lefties and criminals" kind of guy than a " kill the jews!" true believer nazi type. He's a sly opportunist, he's not deranged or crazy, which holds both benefits and disadvantages in a situation like this, because he's going to do a lot of harm on the long run but not in a spectacularly genocidal way that could get him ousted sooner rather than later.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


Max Awfuls posted:

Bolsonaro is mostly paying lip service to IURD and other evangelicals that helped him get elected, he's much more of a hard on for militaristic "kill all lefties and criminals" kind of guy than a " kill the jews!" true believer nazi type. He's a sly opportunist, he's not deranged or crazy, which holds both benefits and disadvantages in a situation like this, because he's going to do a lot of harm on the long run but not in a spectacularly genocidal way that could get him ousted sooner rather than later.

the us really lucked out that our far right guy was also a huge retard

Wraith of J.O.I.
Jan 25, 2012


how likely is it that there are more assassination attempts on bolsonaro? could the knife attack have been deadly?

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

i cant see any result other than his brutal neoliberal program becoming insanely unpopular and he embraces full on dictatorship to hold into power.

basically macron if macron had the balls to actually declare himself a jupitarian god emperor

This, world economy is headed towards another big fall. Commodities, building boom is off so nowhere to drive commodity production. Brazil could see several droughts that shut down part of the country due to damns not having water. Bolsanario will bring the full dictatorship. The only way out of this is through force of arms. I suggest whomever takes over afterwords does what is neceserry and purifies Brazil entirely.

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Max Awfuls posted:

he's not deranged or crazy,

he's both these things, he's just not stupid

TheWeepingHorse
Nov 20, 2009

joepinetree posted:

Also, Bolsonaro folks don't like the Statute of Children and Adolescents (passed in 1990) because it protects minors from prosecution, but it is also the law that made most underage nudity and pornography illegal. There are a number of Brazilian movies that included nudity and/or sex scenes with minors prior to that, and it wasn't uncommon to have 14 or 15 year olds on the cover of playboy

Figures. Scratch a right-winger and you'll find "actually, ephebophilia is..."

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014




have the brazilian version of shitlibs blamed the poor yet

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 21 days!)

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:



have the brazilian version of shitlibs blamed the poor yet

Looks like a democratic party map to me.

Homocow
Apr 24, 2007

Extremely bad poster!
DO NOT QUOTE!


Pillbug
class war is the only war
:killing:

Homocow
Apr 24, 2007

Extremely bad poster!
DO NOT QUOTE!


Pillbug

quote:

He promised to suppress the nation’s lawlessness by meeting violence with violence, insulted minorities and women, waxed nostalgic for Brazil’s dictatorship and expressed doubts about the electoral process itself. His unforgiving politics places him among nationalists such as Hungary’s Viktor Orban, Rodrigo Duterte in the Philippines and Donald Trump in America, who called him shortly after his victory was declared.
...
“A lot of global money is going to look to Brazil," said Hari Hariharan, chief executive officer at NWI Management LP in New York, which has been investing in Brazil since 1990. “If the fiscal situation is addressed, Brazil is going to be fantastic.”

Alberto Ramos, an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said that Bolsonaro’s solid win gives him a strong mandate and “the market is likely to react positively.”

He might be a threat to democracy but think of the market potential!

Homocow has issued a correction as of 08:12 on Oct 29, 2018

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy
'commanding victory' somebody clock this mook

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

BOLSONARO

Metal Cat
Dec 25, 2017

Metal Cat has issued a correction as of 05:16 on Oct 8, 2021

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
https://twitter.com/rachel_sg/status/1056674633196421121?s=19

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HlHo-F1z_aw

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Metal Cat posted:

Check this out:


Acre is interesting because Marina used to be really popular there given that she comes from that state, but this year she only got 2,5% of their vote, while Bolsonaro got 62,24% in the first round, and 77,22% in the second round, making it the state that voted the most for him yesterday. Also, their governors have all been PT since 1998 (except this year where PT tanked hard and they elected a PP guy), so saying that it's simple bougie reaction is an incomplete explanation given that they have one of the lowest GRPs in the country. And it can't really be written off as basic racism IMO, since the north region has the highest amount of pardos, with Acre being part of this trend.

By the way, Acre is the state where Bolsonaro gave that speech where he said he would "gun down" members of the Worker's Party.

It's antipetismo, folks. PT as a party is probably not coming back from this.

Nah, PT will continue to be the largest party in Brazil. Unions and social movements won't simply change parties. PT still controls the largest block in congress (though will likely fall to 2nd after all the opportunists shift to PSL) and the highest number of governors in the country. Haddad went from being nobody to being a runner up who made it to the second round in a month on the basis of party loyalty alone. PT will also likely be the main opposition party to Bolsonaro. I am not saying that PT will win in 2022, but unless Bolsonaro's presidency is hugely successful on the economy and crime I am pretty certain that the runoff in 2022 will be Bolsonaro and whoever PT chooses.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
If there is another election then

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

joepinetree posted:

Nah, PT will continue to be the largest party in Brazil. Unions and social movements won't simply change parties. PT still controls the largest block in congress (though will likely fall to 2nd after all the opportunists shift to PSL) and the highest number of governors in the country. Haddad went from being nobody to being a runner up who made it to the second round in a month on the basis of party loyalty alone. PT will also likely be the main opposition party to Bolsonaro. I am not saying that PT will win in 2022, but unless Bolsonaro's presidency is hugely successful on the economy and crime I am pretty certain that the runoff in 2022 will be Bolsonaro and whoever PT chooses.

How convinced are you that there will actually be an election in 2022? Or that there will be unjailed PT members by then?

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Absurd Alhazred posted:

How convinced are you that there will actually be an election in 2022? Or that there will be unjailed PT members by then?

I don't think there will be a coup over the next 4 years. Shutting down congress or cancelling elections is a bridge too far. In terms of authoritarianism the most likely outcome is a green light for police forces to just mow down the poor and social movements.

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

joepinetree posted:

I don't think there will be a coup over the next 4 years. Shutting down congress or cancelling elections is a bridge too far. In terms of authoritarianism the most likely outcome is a green light for police forces to just mow down the poor and social movements.

Yeah I agree. For better or for worse he'll just be a Duterte type rear end in a top hat but on a far larger country.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
To elaborate on it a bit more: the sort of business elite that governments like Bolsonaro depend on need a little bit of plausible deniability in order to support a right win strong man. Most countries aren't Saudi Arabia, where the ruler has trillions to make everyone look the other way. There's a reason why even Sisi in Egypt still runs elections. They are sham elections, just like the elections in Honduras were sham elections, but they give companies plausible deniability to keep investing in the place. So CBC and the WSJ can keep talking about investment opportunities and centrist politicians don't have to be asked about their support/silence over it.
So there will be elections, and even if a ton of PT members are in jail by then the party is popular enough to get the 20 or 25% necessary to make it to a run off if Bolsonaro isn't popular enough to win outright.

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1056885392522260480

"Military" lmao we are gonna invade Venezuela

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Kanthulhu
Apr 8, 2009
NO ONE SPOIL GAME OF THRONES FOR ME!

IF SOMEONE TELLS ME THAT OBERYN MARTELL AND THE MOUNTAIN DIE THIS SEASON, I'M GOING TO BE PISSED.

BUT NOT HALF AS PISSED AS I'D BE IF SOMEONE WERE TO SPOIL VARYS KILLING A LANISTER!!!


(Dany shits in a field)
The war against Venezuela is all the hard right needs to mantain power for a few more cycles. jingoism does wonders for support. Of course they will invade Venezuela with Trumps support as soon as possible.

It's going to be a humanitarian disaster.

Kanthulhu has issued a correction as of 14:56 on Oct 29, 2018

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