|
til ppl who don't understand stats and think 70%==100%
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 19:38
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 25, 2024 00:36 |
|
|
Typo posted:til ppl who don't understand stats and think 70%==100%
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:05
|
|
|
Typo posted:til ppl who don't understand stats and think 70%==100% til goons dont know the concept of a joke
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:06
|
|
|
frankenfreak posted:You have no idea how many people are out there thinking any probability >50% is basically a certainty. Look numbers boy, just tell me what's going to happen on election day so I know if I need to stock up on confetti and top shelf scotch or ice cream and the kind of vodka that has a handle built into the bottle.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:09
|
|
|
Azathoth posted:Look numbers boy, just tell me what's going to happen on election day so I know if I need to stock up on confetti and top shelf scotch or ice cream and the kind of vodka that has a handle built into the bottle. The type that is called a handle?
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:15
|
|
|
Menendez will not lose here but it will be closer than it has any right to be. A real primary push would have been nice.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:19
|
|
|
Thoguh posted:The type that is called a handle? Look, I don't have time for your fancy schmancy words, I need to know if I'm getting apocalyptically wasted on the good stuff or not. I'm not gonna waste Johnny Walker Blue on a 52-48 Senate and a 10 seat Dem majority in the House, that's cheap vodka from a plastic bottle territory.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:22
|
|
|
Thoguh posted:The type that is called a handle? the important distinction imo is whether the built in handle is made of glass or plastic. feels like itll be a plastic vodka kind of night
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:22
|
|
|
just voted, now we w8
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:24
|
|
|
Azathoth posted:Look numbers boy, just tell me what's going to happen on election day so I know if I need to stock up on confetti and top shelf scotch or ice cream and the kind of vodka that has a handle built into the bottle.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:25
|
|
|
Lastgirl posted:just voted, now we w8 
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:27
|
|
|
just checked the status of my mail in ballot and it said it was delivered. however this is utah so 
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:31
|
|
|
frankenfreak posted:You have no idea how many people are out there thinking any probability >50% is basically a certainty. Whereas anyone who's played XCOM knows that anything <95% is an automatic for-certain failure.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:38
|
|
|
Lastgirl posted:just voted, now we w8 now obama will let you get mad
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 20:44
|
|
|
Typo posted:lol @ democrats I am calling it, Menendez will lose. We as a society already assume most of our public officials are corrupt and no one is shocked when it turns out to be true. What is shocking is that when Obama's justice department looks at the evidence against one of his biggest allies in the senate and says "sorry Bob, even I can't protect you from all this" and slaps him with 22 charges of being a corrupt piece of poo poo (under the new corruption-friendly laws). And he wasn't acquitted or found not guilty or innocent...it was a mistrial. The GOP will win a senate seat in New Jersey and I'll laugh for 6 years until the dems find someone worse to run against Hugin.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 21:14
|
|
|
i thoughtit was impossible for him to get convicted since the scotus changed the law that corruption wasnt illegal
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 21:30
|
|
|
He didn't actually utter the words, "this is a bribe, I want you to bribe me", so under the relevant statutes, he cannot be convicted.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 21:34
|
|
|
Azathoth posted:He didn't actually utter the words, "this is a bribe, I want you to bribe me", so under the relevant statutes, he cannot be convicted. this is a bribe, I want you to bribe me. this is a bribe, I want you to bribe me. this is a bribe, I want you to bribe me. and then when you turn away from the mirror in the darkened room, the ghost of Menendez will leap out from the looking glass and leave some ghost-coins in your left hand and you'll see your soul leaving your right while the wind hisses "obey the donorssss"
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 21:48
|
|
|
Azathoth posted:the kind of vodka that has a handle built into the bottle. Poser identified.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 22:27
|
|
|
The Nastier Nate posted:I am calling it, Menendez will lose. He's gonna win lol Menendez, I mean. Everyone is corrupt and therefore no one is corrupt.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 22:29
|
|
|
menendez is basically dead had there being a hillary presidency lol
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 22:38
|
|
|
Typo posted:menendez is basically dead had there being a hillary presidency lol This but also for half the incumbent senate dems.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 23:11
|
|
|
Vox Nihili posted:Poser identified. Look, I'm too afraid of people to have friends or drink in public or know the chat all you kids are hip to nowadays.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2018 23:17
|
|
|
Is this the thread where I ask liberal Goon hive mind to tell me which of my local candidates to pick (namely the 'unpartied' Judges and crap) to participate in the blew wave?
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 00:47
|
|
|
my best bet for my local poo poo was going to all their Facebook pages and seeing who they had endorsements from. or if you're lucky you can find some newspaper endorsements that will reveal their politics. if I saw any cop union endorsements or that they were a cop that's a hard no. union endorsements are hit or miss you'll probably need to do further research. I saw a couple LGBT+ endorsements that's about the best I could get for an instant vote from me vote411.org is pretty much the best starting point I know of. they might also have their candidate questionnaire responses, look for red flags 100 HOGS AGREE has issued a correction as of 02:20 on Nov 3, 2018 |
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 02:17
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1058532803263062019?s=19 Remember all this poo poo before 2016 lol. The more good sounding news I hear the more pessimistic I become
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 03:44
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:Remember all this poo poo before 2016 lol. overlearning
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 03:58
|
|
|
even if the dems win they're not gonna do anything the trick is to DEHUMANIZE YOURSELF AND FACE TO BLOODSHED
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 04:15
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1058532803263062019?s=19 Lot of young chuds got out and voted
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 04:17
|
|
|
Peanut President posted:even if the dems win they're not gonna do anything Yeah, best case scenario this is a building block for 2020, likely case this gives slim control of the House and at least stops some of the worst poo poo.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 04:30
|
|
|
Azathoth posted:Yeah, best case scenario this is a building block for 2020, likely case this gives slim control of the House and at least stops some of the worst poo poo. I don't want to have to hear "Buckle up and brace for another round of RECONCILIATION!  " in a few months
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 04:32
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1058532803263062019?s=19 stop comparing poo poo to 2014 lol you want to compare to 2016 at absolute minimum if the operating theory is more turnout = more dem than you have to consider AZ being +5 with presidential level turnouts Typo has issued a correction as of 05:34 on Nov 3, 2018 |
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 05:32
|
|
|
Peanut President posted:even if the dems win they're not gonna do anything subpoena kushner
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 05:35
|
|
|
Typo posted:subpoena kushner they dont have the balls
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 05:42
|
|
|
TraderStav posted:Lot of young chuds got out and voted fedoras as far as the eye can see
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 06:02
|
|
|
Typo posted:agree lol yeah the article mentions its "almost at 2016 levels!!" which is, uh, not good news?
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 08:05
|
|
|
Sheng-Ji Yang posted:yeah the article mentions its "almost at 2016 levels!!" which is, uh, not good news? I guess az has gotten bluer in the last 2 years and it might be more blue at the congressional than presidential level (because lol hillary is hated), but its solid tossup and "as is" turnout doesn't move it into blue territory
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 08:31
|
|
|
galenanorth posted:I don't want to have to hear "Buckle up and brace for another round of RECONCILIATION! the final vote tally is all kabuki theater
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 12:53
|
|
|
There are no outcomes that don't involve hootin and hollerin
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 14:44
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 25, 2024 00:36 |
|
|
frankenfreak posted:You have no idea how many people are out there thinking any probability >50% is basically a certainty. 
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2018 18:27
|
|
