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The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

RuanGacho posted:

A better question is how do you make the narrative, minus the pendulum panic, of this forum, the national one?

We just need to improve our meme game :v:

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Aurubin
Mar 17, 2011

RuanGacho posted:

A better question is how do you make the narrative, minus the pendulum panic, of this forum, the national one?

Problem is the narrative was established after Florida and the red-state dems took a shellacking, and cable news has probably moved on. So what we need to do is start our own cable network. With blackjack, and hookers.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

The Glumslinger posted:

Because the closest thing to liberal media is still centrist as gently caress

Fox News is like if the Jacobin had a major cable news channel

this is a pretty dense take and I can't actually disagree with it on aggregate

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
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Leon Trotsky 2012 fucked around with this message at 05:32 on Nov 9, 2018

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Aurubin posted:

Problem is the narrative was established after Florida and the red-state dems took a shellacking, and cable news has probably moved on. So what we need to do is start our own cable network. With blackjack, and hookers.

We'll live like kings! drat hell rear end kings!

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


The Glumslinger posted:

Because the closest thing to liberal media is still centrist as gently caress

Fox News is like if the Jacobin had a major cable news channel

Uh, sir, I have it on good authority that CNN stands for Communist News Network and that Nancy Pelosi is a hardened left-wing extremist.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

LeeMajors posted:

Uh, sir, I have it on good authority that CNN stands for Communist News Network and that Nancy Pelosi is a hardened left-wing extremist.

One of CNN's reporters is capable of vanquishing armies of interns with his mighty karate chop.:ohdear:

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007
So with an insanely favorable Senate map and the doom and gloom of Tuesday night, Republicans could end up with a net of just +1 in the Senate?

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!
LOL Sinema is gonna win.

corn in the bible
Jun 5, 2004

Oh no oh god it's all true!

Mahoning posted:

So with an insanely favorable Senate map and the doom and gloom of Tuesday night, Republicans could end up with a net of just +1 in the Senate?

florida flipping is still unlikely i think so yeah

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Mahoning posted:

So with an insanely favorable Senate map and the doom and gloom of Tuesday night, Republicans could end up with a net of just +1 in the Senate?

If everything goes the Democrats' way, yes.

Arizona looks good, but Florida doesn't.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

mcmagic posted:

LOL Sinema is gonna win.

You'll get a new favorite target :unsmith:

Data Graham
Dec 28, 2009

📈📊🍪😋



RuanGacho posted:

I don't think we can make people not chuds but there must be a way to at least trick them into voting for their own interests in the future.

Ehhh. I've been working doggedly on a guy I know to NOT simply vote for his own interests all the time. Like the only thing he thinks about is:

Will this make MY taxes go up or down?
Will this affect MY take-home pay?
Will this make MY power bill go up?
WIll this make it more difficult for MY kids to get into college?
Will this make life harder for ME?

It's this MEEEEEEE attitude that I think is so poisonous about middle-of-the-road people who think they're well-informed and reasonable and civic-minded but really are just FYGM'ers through and through. I want to grab them and shake them by the shoulders and yell WHY DO I HAVE TO EXPLAIN TO A CHRISTIAN ABOUT HAVING COMPASSION FOR THE LESS FORTUNATE

RuanGacho
Jun 20, 2002

"You're gunna break it!"

I'm curious how this will play out in the media, being that they seemed to go "welp, tuesday done"

Trump potentially blew some of his best distraction fodder too.

Data Graham posted:

Ehhh. I've been working doggedly on a guy I know to NOT simply vote for his own interests all the time. Like the only thing he thinks about is:

Will this make MY taxes go up or down?
Will this affect MY take-home pay?
Will this make MY power bill go up?
WIll this make it more difficult for MY kids to get into college?
Will this make life harder for ME?

It's this MEEEEEEE attitude that I think is so poisonous about middle-of-the-road people who think they're well-informed and reasonable and civic-minded but really are just FYGM'ers through and through. I want to grab them and shake them by the shoulders and yell WHY DO I HAVE TO EXPLAIN TO A CHRISTIAN ABOUT HAVING COMPASSION FOR THE LESS FORTUNATE

This is just quick speculation on my part but it sounds like he's concerned with means, so maybe the way to go at him is to suggest maybe he could have all those things without worry.

RuanGacho fucked around with this message at 05:39 on Nov 9, 2018

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



Mahoning posted:

So with an insanely favorable Senate map and the doom and gloom of Tuesday night, Republicans could end up with a net of just +1 in the Senate?

+2 looks more probable, but yeah, +1 is at least reasonably plausible, if the AZ math holds up and depending on what's found in Florida.

A GIANT PARSNIP
Apr 13, 2010

Too much fuckin' eggnog


AZ goes blue, Scott is freaking out because he knows a recount will turn the gov and senate seats in FL blue, the chuds get discouraged and GA and MS gov/senate runoffs both go blue, RBG is put into a 2 year long coma and comes out just in time for the Democrats to take the presidency and the senate in 2020 and for science to develop a way to upload consciousness into machine bodies, which allows RBG to become the first SCOTUS justice to live forever.

Mr Interweb
Aug 25, 2004

mcmagic posted:

LOL Sinema is gonna win.

mods please ban this guy if she doesn't

Mr Interweb
Aug 25, 2004

You know, in a way, winning AZ and FL would be kind of lovely in a sense because that means we got even closer to taking over the senate but didn't.

Shrecknet
Jan 2, 2005


I'm hoping for representation's sake that Rick Scott holds on and we get the nation's first Bat Boy-American Senator

Da Mott Man
Aug 3, 2012


It actually feels really good to know that my vote matters so much more this year in Arizona. LETS GET IT DONE!

PhazonLink
Jul 17, 2010
non regressive sented a message tues, now they need to grab the god drat levers of the MSM and tell them what to report.

^burtle
Jul 17, 2001

God of Boomin'



A GIANT PARSNIP posted:

AZ goes blue, Scott is freaking out because he knows a recount will turn the gov and senate seats in FL blue, the chuds get discouraged and GA and MS gov/senate runoffs both go blue, RBG is put into a 2 year long coma and comes out just in time for the Democrats to take the presidency and the senate in 2020 and for science to develop a way to upload consciousness into machine bodies, which allows RBG to become the first SCOTUS justice to live forever.

don't stop i'm almost there

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



PhazonLink posted:

non regressive sented a message tues, now they need to grab the god drat levers of the MSM and tell them what to report.

For true, for true. Need every single person possible out there talking about what a huge wave this was until it just becomes accepted as fact, as well as being fact.

Tibalt
May 14, 2017

What, drawn, and talk of peace! I hate the word, As I hate hell, all Montagues, and thee

Mahoning posted:

So with an insanely favorable Senate map and the doom and gloom of Tuesday night, Republicans could end up with a net of just +1 in the Senate?
This was an incredibly lovely election for the Republicans, but explaining that, nuh uh, you actually lost because you're suppose to be up +4 in the Senate makes you sound like a loving NERD

Edit: I still say people will realize the importance of this election once the House actually convenes and starts doing Housy things. Despite McConnell's bluster, he already knows how bad a 53-47 Senate is compared to even just a 54-46 split for 2020.

Gumball Gumption
Jan 7, 2012

RuanGacho posted:

A better question is how do you make the narrative, minus the pendulum panic, of this forum, the national one?

Make people afraid and present a leftist solution. Fear is what rules the narrative. The Republicans are using what should be the left's message, "The elite and rich are robbing you and using Washington to kill you" because the left refuses to use those legit fears in their messaging.

Gumball Gumption fucked around with this message at 05:55 on Nov 9, 2018

Stickman
Feb 1, 2004

Mr Interweb posted:

You know, in a way, winning AZ and FL would be kind of lovely in a sense because that means we got even closer to taking over the senate but didn't.

No, no it wouldn’t. It means we’re closer to winning the senate in 2020.

Da Mott Man
Aug 3, 2012


After 10 years I've also finally convinced my mother that Republicans are against her. She was a McCain/Bush Republican, I got her to switch her party preference to Independent after convincing her that Romney was a true snake, she didn't like Obama at first. But after a while she respected him. Trump and more pushing got her to go full Democrat and all she can talk about is how she misses Obama and supports most liberal positions now. I think I'm about 75% of the way on finally convincing her on marijuana legalization, shes no longer openly hostile to the idea when we talk about it.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Da Mott Man posted:

After 10 years I've also finally convinced my mother that Republicans are against her. She was a McCain/Bush Republican, I convinced her to go Independent after convincing her that Romney was a true snake, she didn't like Obama at first. But after a while she respected him. Trump and more pushing got her to go full Democrat and all she can talk about is how she misses Obama and supports most liberal positions now. I think I'm about 75% of the way on finally convincing her on marijuana legalization, shes no longer openly hostile to the idea when we talk about it.

I've been blessed with a social and family circle with no egregiously wrong political opinions and by far the dominant change over the past 2 years has been from centrist "both sides have valid points" intellectual centrism to straight up "conservatives are craven lunatics and should be jailed" liberal socialism.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Fojar38 posted:

I've been blessed with a social and family circle with no egregiously wrong political opinions and by far the dominant change over the past 2 years has been centrist "both sides have valid points" intellectual centrism to straight up "conservatives are craven lunatics and should be jailed" liberal socialism.

:same: My dad used to proudly call himself a Rockefeller Republican. I'll make a proper Posadist of him yet!

Peaceful Anarchy
Sep 18, 2005
sXe
I am the math man.

RE: the future senate
Yes the senate is fundamentally undemocratic, and yes this currently favours Republicans since they're have the support of empty land, but I don't think their advantage is so strong that you can expect the senate to be lost, short or long term.

If you take the baseline from the last two presidential elections as what parties "ought" to win, Clinton won 20 states and Romney won 24, which would make it 48R-40D with 12 swing seats, which would make the "expected" senate composition 54R-46D. That's a solid R advantage, but not an insurmountable one. On the margins, of the Romney states Trump won 4 by less than 10% (TX, NC, GA, AZ). Similarly, Obama won 5 Clinton states by less than 10%(VA, CO, NH, NV, MN). All those states except maybe MN are trending Dem, though, and of the 6 swing states MI(2D), WI(1D1R), PA(1D1R) are much closer to D than R (for now at least), FL(1D?1R) is in the middle and OH(1D1R), IA(2R) are more R than D.

Manchin, Tester and Jones are the only red state Dems left (plus Sinema if she gets in). Jones is lost but the others don't come up until 2024. On the flip side Collins and Gardner are the blue state Republicans and are both up in 2020.

The Republican advantage is clear, but it's small enough that, when you add in the fact that the senate is not a presidential race and the elections are staggered it's definitely winnable not just in 2020 with its specific Senate map but in general, especially if Dems can win back WI and PA and the four soft republican states plus FL become more winnable.

Zeeman
May 8, 2007

Say WHAT?! You KNOW that post is wack, homie!
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060758866982563847
Nate dragging Bret Stephens is a good way to get me back on his side after Tuesday night

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



A GIANT PARSNIP posted:

Scott is freaking out because he knows a recount will turn the gov and senate seats in FL blue

i know this is mostly a joke post but i don't think there's any real hope for FL-GOV though

i mean, Rick Scott and co. seem to be showing some real fear so I trust there could actually be the votes there to make him lose. but it seems like the addition 20,000 Gillum would need beyond that just aren't gonna appear

Phobic Nest
Oct 2, 2013

You Are My Sunshine

Da Mott Man posted:

After 10 years I've also finally convinced my mother that Republicans are against her. She was a McCain/Bush Republican, I got her to switch her party preference to Independent after convincing her that Romney was a true snake, she didn't like Obama at first. But after a while she respected him. Trump and more pushing got her to go full Democrat and all she can talk about is how she misses Obama and supports most liberal positions now. I think I'm about 75% of the way on finally convincing her on marijuana legalization, shes no longer openly hostile to the idea when we talk about it.

Good job, I envy you. Catholic parents are impossible; Once you catch that sweet high of unwavering self-rightousness that "pro-life" propaganda begets there's almost no going back.

MSDOS KAPITAL
Jun 25, 2018





Heck Yes! Loam! posted:

Because even supposed leftist folk eat right wing framing up. There is nobody pushing a different frame.

See: Nancy Pelosi, or almost any other female elected official.
Are you back to liking Pelosi now? That's disappointing.

A GIANT PARSNIP
Apr 13, 2010

Too much fuckin' eggnog


eke out posted:

i don't think there's any real hope for FL-GOV though

i mean, Rick Scott and co. seem to be showing some real fear so I trust there could actually be the votes there to make him lose. but it seems like the addition 20,000 Gillum would need beyond that just aren't gonna appear

Sure, forever robo RBG works just fine without FL Gov being blue in 2018.

Party Plane Jones
Jul 1, 2007

by Reene
Fun Shoe
I'm suspending the tucker carlson rule from earlier but let me say this

quote:

no person in their right mind should waste one loving breath of their life worrying caring or emphasizing with or about tucker carlson

the fact that ya'll melted down for 8 loving pages about tucker loving carlson of all things, a day after an important midterm election and the day sessions resigned is insane

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



A GIANT PARSNIP posted:

Sure, forever robo RBG works just fine without FL Gov being blue in 2018.

honestly, you're making a lot of sense

Phobic Nest
Oct 2, 2013

You Are My Sunshine

quote:

no person in their right mind should waste one loving breath of their life worrying caring or emphasizing with or about tucker carlson

Oh, sorry I was thinking about Tucker Carlson.

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

Party Plane Jones posted:

I'm suspending the tucker carlson rule from earlier but let me say this


the fact that ya'll melted down for 8 loving pages about tucker loving carlson of all things, a day after an important midterm election and the day sessions resigned is insane



AAAAH!!! After 10,000 years, I'm free!

IT'S TIME TO SHITPOST!

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Tibalt
May 14, 2017

What, drawn, and talk of peace! I hate the word, As I hate hell, all Montagues, and thee

Peaceful Anarchy posted:

RE: the future senate
Yes the senate is fundamentally undemocratic, and yes this currently favours Republicans since they're have the support of empty land, but I don't think their advantage is so strong that you can expect the senate to be lost, short or long term.
There's nothing with your logic but I have a fundamental issue with looking to Presidential elections as a guide on which states should Democratic/Republican senators - each state and the contextual map are unique enough that senators like Manchin survive while senators like Bayh fail.

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