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Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

notevenrealguy posted:

Because if you were to make a decision to buy one of those Bitcoins that young people talk about now instead of during the middle of December 2017 you would be about $15,000 less in the hole lol.

If the price recovers from here you would theoretically make more money (or lose less) than if you invested at any other time this year.

Yeah, it's a poo poo time to invest and that's all I meant by that. The only places that I have put any money into this year outside of savings are a handful of stocks and my 401k.

Is the best time to play roulette after the ball hits double-zero twice in a row because you would theoretically make more money than if you had invested earlier in the day?

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Ad by Khad
Jul 25, 2007

Human Garbage
Watch me try to laugh this title off like the dickbag I am.

I also hang out with racists.
Also blockchain-based voting has already been tried a couple times, notably in West Virginia and Sierra Leone. Every time it's been attempted it has been completely riddled with problems.

Most modern western non-American banks have been doing free or cheap digital money transfers for over a decade, to the point where a major bank in my country investigated whether it would be worth it to make their own digital blockchain and decided it wasn't. Bitcoin can't even come close to boasting "free or cheap" about its digital money transfers anymore, and I dunno how many cryptos out there actually can.

Either way, BTC will never see wide adoption for the same reason other cryptos won't - why would a major bank use a currency that has been pre-mined? Just because the guy who pre-mined BTC is some mysterious shadow doesn't make it any different than LTC or namecoin (remember namecoin? probably fuckin not)

gary oldmans diary
Sep 26, 2005
blockchain is an absolutely garbage database structure for everything that isnt an outright horrible idea to begin with

notevenrealguy
Oct 28, 2018

Salt Fish posted:

Is the best time to play roulette after the ball hits double-zero twice in a row because you would theoretically make more money than if you had invested earlier in the day?

No, but the gambler's fallacy refers to false understandings of probability, and it doesn't really have a place when talking about valued assets changing in price.

But once again, no I would not invest in cryptocurrency right now, and no I would not play the most boring casino game with false notions.

Ad by Khad posted:

namecoin (remember namecoin? probably fuckin not)

Yeah lol, I remember a whole lot of stupid poo poo.

notevenrealguy fucked around with this message at 08:26 on Nov 25, 2018

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
I wonder what Bruce is up to these days, on seconds thoughts, I don't think I want to know.

Lolie
Jun 4, 2010

AUSGBS Thread Mum

I would blow Dane Cook posted:

I wonder what Bruce is up to these days, on seconds thoughts, I don't think I want to know.

It's very weird visiting bitcointalk these days.

funeral home DJ
Apr 21, 2003


Pillbug

gary oldmans diary posted:

blockchain is an absolutely garbage database structure for everything that isnt an outright horrible idea to begin with

Not to mention the sheer loving waste of energy and spike in emissions it all was. It’s like running 1/100th of the Visa network on backyard, 1960’s-era 2-stroke generators while just burning down a random forest for shits n’ giggles each month.

It’s literally the worst possible solution to any question in any way.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Ripoff posted:

Not to mention the sheer loving waste of energy and spike in emissions it all was. It’s like running 1/100th of the Visa network on backyard, 1960’s-era 2-stroke generators while just burning down a random forest for shits n’ giggles each month.

It’s literally the worst possible solution to any question in any way.
Unless that question is "How do I become extremely wealthy while being able to feel like I'm sticking it to the people I hate" of course

I mean it's a bad answer to that one too, but it was theoretically possible to work.

Photex
Apr 6, 2009




Didn't we just break the mining profit wall? I thought it was 3500

Risc1911
Mar 1, 2016

Photex posted:

Didn't we just break the mining profit wall? I thought it was 3500

You can safely say that $3,500 is not making anyone profit at the current difficulty. Even with cheap electricity.



$3,500, next stop ZERO. Looks like my prediction was a little off. It'll die even before 2019.

Risc1911 fucked around with this message at 11:47 on Nov 25, 2018

Steen71
Apr 10, 2017

Fun Shoe

notevenrealguy posted:

Because if you were to make a decision to buy one of those Bitcoins that young people talk about now instead of during the middle of December 2017 you would be about $15,000 less in the hole lol.

... What? The price of the individual Bitcoin is irrelevant. If you invest (lol) $10K, it doesn't matter if it buys you half a BTC, one BTC or one thousand BTC. Sure, you could argue that the higher the price, the further it can fall - but if it went to 0.001, you'd have lost pretty much everything either way.

r u ready to WALK
Sep 29, 2001

lol it went up $500 in less than 5 minutes

some exchange is trying desperately to stop the crash
someone please explain to me how this isn't just incredibly overcomplicated stupid gambling

Only registered members can see post attachments!

klafbang
Nov 18, 2009
Clapping Larry
It's actually a sound and smart investment, because

Toys For Ass Bum
Feb 1, 2015



It's already dropping back down again :eng99:

no pubes yet sorry
Sep 11, 2003

Lolie posted:

It's very weird visiting bitcointalk these days.

yikes

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

r u ready to WALK posted:

lol it went up $500 in less than 5 minutes

some exchange is trying desperately to stop the crash
someone please explain to me how this isn't just incredibly overcomplicated stupid gambling


it's different from gambling because in gambling the players don't believe playing blackjack is going to save the world or be a new economic paradigm

Soylent Yellow
Nov 5, 2010

yospos

r u ready to WALK posted:


someone please explain to me how this isn't just incredibly overcomplicated stupid gambling


With gambling, the House always wins. With Bitcoin, the House eventually loses its shirt as well due to massive incompetence or fraud.

numberoneposter
Feb 19, 2014

How much do I cum? The answer might surprise you!

Its gonna be $200 in a month then a slow decline to worthless.

mike12345
Jul 14, 2008

"Whether the Earth was created in 7 days, or 7 actual eras, I'm not sure we'll ever be able to answer that. It's one of the great mysteries."





https://twitter.com/officialmcafee/status/1066545279095193601

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...

all I know is when McAfee gets hacked to death with a machete his last words will be "The Horror, The Horror..."

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
Value is stored in bitcoins the balls.

mike12345
Jul 14, 2008

"Whether the Earth was created in 7 days, or 7 actual eras, I'm not sure we'll ever be able to answer that. It's one of the great mysteries."





Alan Smithee posted:

all I know is when McAfee gets hacked to death with a machete his last words will be "The Horror, The Horror..."

https://twitter.com/officialmcafee/status/1066660682362511360

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Did he eat his own dick yet?

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...
metaphorically

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry
Two weeks ago when it was still over 6k I saw someone at work looking at the price of butts so I told them they were being stupid and to sell those things immediately because that poo poo's going down any second now.

They said "no man it's gonna go up guaranteed"

Welp

GABA ghoul
Oct 29, 2011

numberoneposter posted:

Its gonna be $200 in a month then a slow decline to worthless.

the one real use case for all the coins are darknet transactions and people doing them don't even care about the exchange value of the coins. they convert their real money into coins and the seller converts them back to real dollars asap, nobody in that chain cares if a coin is $1 or $100000. even the miners are just gonna start covering their bills through transaction costs instead of mining rewards. nobody but the "investors" should care about the exchanges and holy poo poo if you invested into something that has an intrinsic value of literally $0

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
that's the thing about tulips

even if you paid $10,000 a bulb and now they're worthless, at least you have some pretty flowers

what the gently caress are you going to do with a bitcoin

poverty goat
Feb 15, 2004



is it time to buy? and where are the gpu firesales?

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

Raspberry Jam It In Me posted:

the one real use case for all the coins are darknet transactions and people doing them don't even care about the exchange value of the coins. they convert their real money into coins and the seller converts them back to real dollars asap, nobody in that chain cares if a coin is $1 or $100000. even the miners are just gonna start covering their bills through transaction costs instead of mining rewards. nobody but the "investors" should care about the exchanges and holy poo poo if you invested into something that has an intrinsic value of literally $0

This still requires there to be exchanges of some sort, and miners - if your pog exchange takes days, or if no one is willing to back the value of those pogs, then this method kinda collapses, doesn't it?

Rectal Death Adept
Jun 20, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

poverty goat posted:

is it time to buy? and where are the gpu firesales?

Speaking of GPUs I hope they come back down to reality in prices. Not just miners dumping a million of them on the used market but the manufacturers realizing they can't just charge loving thousands for a new model every time. Nvidia is still sitting on their huge backlog of unsold last years cards that they are still trying to sell for 4x the price they should be.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
All this could have been avoided if Bitcoin ran on Linux.

Lambert
Apr 15, 2018

by Fluffdaddy
Fallen Rib

Rectal Death Adept posted:

Speaking of GPUs I hope they come back down to reality in prices. Not just miners dumping a million of them on the used market but the manufacturers realizing they can't just charge loving thousands for a new model every time. Nvidia is still sitting on their huge backlog of unsold last years cards that they are still trying to sell for 4x the price they should be.

Trump is here to help you out with his tariffs on that one.

GABA ghoul
Oct 29, 2011

Pochoclo posted:

This still requires there to be exchanges of some sort, and miners - if your pog exchange takes days, or if no one is willing to back the value of those pogs, then this method kinda collapses, doesn't it?

The miners were always meant to cover the costs of running this whole mess through transaction costs sooner or later. Bitcoin falling to $0.01 now would just mean that it happens a year or two sooner than planned. At that point they shouldn't care about the exchange values as long as there is enough demand for transactions. Right now, there is probably not enough of it to sustain this whole shitshow so lots of miners will have to drop out

I guess the exchanges are somewhat useful for buying drugs, but still, nobody should care about the price. It doesn't matter if the coin is $1000 or $0.01 if you make a Dollar to Dollar transaction.

e: the exchanges live from transaction costs too, like real stock exchanges. the New York stock exchange isn't backed by the price of apple stocks

GABA ghoul fucked around with this message at 15:09 on Nov 25, 2018

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

r u ready to WALK posted:

lol it went up $500 in less than 5 minutes

some exchange is trying desperately to stop the crash
someone please explain to me how this isn't just incredibly overcomplicated stupid gambling



There are rules and safeguards in place to stop the house from cheating you when you gamble.

Warm und Fuzzy
Jun 20, 2006

Mozi posted:

that's the thing about tulips

even if you paid $10,000 a bulb and now they're worthless, at least you have some pretty flowers

what the gently caress are you going to do with a bitcoin

Same as tulips - use them to woo women

r u ready to WALK
Sep 29, 2001

bitcoin, the most potent contraceptive known to man

kw0134
Apr 19, 2003

I buy feet pics🍆

ocrumsprug posted:

There are rules and safeguards in place to stop the house from cheating you when you gamble.
The house actually cashes in your chips instead of disappearing while the roulette wheel is still spinning.

coffeetable
Feb 5, 2006

TELL ME AGAIN HOW GREAT BRITAIN WOULD BE IF IT WAS RULED BY THE MERCILESS JACKBOOT OF PRINCE CHARLES

YES I DO TALK TO PLANTS ACTUALLY

notevenrealguy posted:

No, but the gambler's fallacy refers to false understandings of probability, and it doesn't really have a place when talking about valued assets changing in price.
lol

how much have you lost

Warm und Fuzzy
Jun 20, 2006

Raspberry Jam It In Me posted:

The miners were always meant to cover the costs of running this whole mess through transaction costs sooner or later. Bitcoin falling to $0.01 now would just mean that it happens a year or two sooner than planned. At that point they shouldn't care about the exchange values as long as there is enough demand for transactions. Right now, there is probably not enough of it to sustain this whole shitshow so lots of miners will have to drop out

I guess the exchanges are somewhat useful for buying drugs, but still, nobody should care about the price. It doesn't matter if the coin is $1000 or $0.01 if you make a Dollar to Dollar transaction.

e: the exchanges live from transaction costs too, like real stock exchanges. the New York stock exchange isn't backed by the price of apple stocks

Does bitcoin stop working if everyone stops mining? Is it basically Bittorrent?

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Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

Warm und Fuzzy posted:

Does bitcoin stop working if everyone stops mining? Is it basically Bittorrent?

Yes except instead of sharing pirated games, anime and porn, they’re sharing delusion and scams

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