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Gen. Ripper
Jan 12, 2013


radmonger posted:

Which they did _because of the bombs_. Saying the fact that the Soviet Union knew that the Japanese strategic position was hopeless had nothing to do with the developments that made their position hopeless is like saying ‘he didn’t die from being shot, it was blood loss’.

There is really no need to wrap yourself up in revisionist knots to try to explain how somehow the invention and deployment of nuclear weapons made no difference to anything.

"Your Majesty, the Americans have a new superweapon that can obliterate cities in the blink of an eye. They have used it twice, to devastating effect, and more strikes may be on the way."

"All is well. Continue with the war effort."

"Also, the Russians have declared war."

"Welp, time to put up the white flag."

THIS IS WHAT TANKIES ACTUALLY BELIEVE.

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Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Lightning Knight posted:

The fact that the Russians are outright blaming the US for their actions against Ukraine and he hasn't said a thing is deeply damning lol. He doesn't even have a justification for the tear gas attacks, you'd think he'd be stroking his dick at the thought.

^ this seems very bad.

From the reports posted in Eastern Europe thread, they're claiming "factions in the United States are manipulating events to disrupt Trump and Putin at the G20". So, it's more (((globalist)))-baiting dogwhistling from Russian state-media, but that sure doesn't make it sound less like a Reichstag fire justification for Trump to purge the "deep state".

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

That already exists, it's called OBOR and the west is melting down over it.

I think that's mostly good, for more of my opinions on this subject you can find them in the trade war thread.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Young Freud posted:

From the reports posted in Eastern Europe thread, they're claiming "factions in the United States are manipulating events to disrupt Trump and Putin at the G20". So, it's more (((globalist)))-baiting dogwhistling from Russian state-media, but that sure doesn't make it sound less like a Reichstag fire justification for Trump to purge the "deep state".

Oh good, that's even better, I'm sure that definitely won't lead to some kind of mass shooting or white nationalist terrorist attack. Where and when is the G20 taking place?

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I wouldn’t be shocked if Trump just literally says nothing about Russia/Ukraine.

Unless Daddy Vladimir tells him to, anyway.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

Lightning Knight posted:

Oh good, that's even better, I'm sure that definitely won't lead to some kind of mass shooting or white nationalist terrorist attack. Where and when is the G20 taking place?

The 30th, in Argentina.

Phi230
Feb 2, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Squalid posted:

I want to imagine solving problems on earth in 2018, and with stuff we can do between today and maybe 2020. Not in some fantasy world where Donald Trump doesn't exist and I already live in the United Socialist States of America. If We elect Bernie in 2020 how would you propose he tackle poverty in Bangladesh? Do you expect him to reinvade Vietnam and install another Democratic Socialist government?

Oh so because you aren't instantly gratified means that a long term project isn't worth doing?

Oh also yes, spread the revolution

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything

Office Pig posted:

The 30th, in Argentina.

DO NOT CONGRATULATE.

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Phi230 posted:

Oh so because you aren't instantly gratified means that a long term project isn't worth doing?

Oh also yes, spread the revolution

You can work on short and long term projects simultaneously. It's good to aim for the stars but if you land on the moon that's still a nice accomplishment anyway.

edit: also have you heard of the socialist thinker Christopher Hitchens? I think you might find you agree a lot with his positions on military interventions, for great causes like democracy and human rights and all that.

Squalid fucked around with this message at 00:20 on Nov 26, 2018

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Gen. Ripper posted:

THIS IS WHAT TANKIES ACTUALLY BELIEVE.

"Tankies," he says, as if this isn't a commonly debated topic of discussion among normal historians. The Japanese had been consistently firebombed for months, and the Emperor had lost confidence in the Japanese military to prosecute the war by the end of June. They had also realized by April that Soviet intervention in the war was inevitable in some form. The idea that the nuclear weapons were necessary to obtain an unconditional surrender in this context is laughable, and the ease with which we justify war crimes is alarming to me.


Office Pig posted:

The 30th, in Argentina.

It's cute they think anyone will remember this happened in 5 days.

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo

radmonger posted:

Which they did _because of the bombs_. Saying the fact that the Soviet Union knew that the Japanese strategic position was hopeless had nothing to do with the developments that made their position hopeless is like saying ‘he didn’t die from being shot, it was blood loss’.

There is really no need to wrap yourself up in revisionist knots to try to explain how somehow the invention and deployment of nuclear weapons made no difference to anything.

Gen. Ripper posted:

"Your Majesty, the Americans have a new superweapon that can obliterate cities in the blink of an eye. They have used it twice, to devastating effect, and more strikes may be on the way."

"All is well. Continue with the war effort."

"Also, the Russians have declared war."

"Welp, time to put up the white flag."

THIS IS WHAT TANKIES ACTUALLY BELIEVE.

There's a difference between "were not necessary" and "made no difference". This is disingenuous at best.

Mr Interweb
Aug 25, 2004

Pro-click thread:

https://twitter.com/jaredlholt/status/1066813731294851073

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I wouldn’t be shocked if Trump just literally says nothing about Russia/Ukraine.

I wouldn't be shocked if he takes credit for it.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Roland Jones posted:

There's a difference between "were not necessary" and "made no difference". This is disingenuous at best.

It merited enough for the Emporer to personally mention the nuclear weapons in his speech to the people.

Yeah, their impact has been overhyped, but it certainly played a role.

Worth noting the firebombings killed more.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Lightning Knight posted:

I am reminded of the Falkland War, except stupider.

I eagerly await Trump's Monday morning quarterbacking on this tho.

iunno, the Falklands War was EXTRAORDINARILY stupid

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Conspiratiorist posted:

I wouldn't be shocked if he takes credit for it.

Russia has already pitched “the Ukrainian fascists and the American deep state are escalating this to ruin the Trump Putin summit”

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

GreyjoyBastard posted:

iunno, the Falklands War was EXTRAORDINARILY stupid

Well true, it would've been much funnier if there was an alternative version of the annexation of Crimea that started with Ukraine attacking Russia.

CommieGIR posted:

It merited enough for the Emporer to personally mention the nuclear weapons in his speech to the people.

Yeah, their impact has been overhyped, but it certainly played a role.

Worth noting the firebombings killed more.

The point, and this is key, is that in an alternative timeline where we did not drop either nuclear weapon but the Soviets still declared war and invaded Manchuria, the Japanese still almost certainly surrender at this point. Perhaps it wouldn't have come as swiftly, but the reality that the Soviets were within striking distance of the mainland was still an existential threat for them with no escape.

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

GreyjoyBastard posted:

Russia has already pitched “the Ukrainian fascists and the American deep state are escalating this to ruin the Trump Putin summit”

worst part is you know trump will probably gurgles those points on twitter.

Phi230
Feb 2, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Squalid posted:

You can work on short and long term projects simultaneously. It's good to aim for the stars but if you land on the moon that's still a nice accomplishment anyway.

edit: also have you heard of the socialist thinker Christopher Hitchens? I think you might find you agree a lot with his positions on military interventions, for great causes like democracy and human rights and all that.

Yeah there's such similarity between Neocon regime change and empowering socialist movements to take power on their own. Oh wait, there isn't.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Lightning Knight posted:

"Tankies," he says, as if this isn't a commonly debated topic of discussion among normal historians. The Japanese had been consistently firebombed for months, and the Emperor had lost confidence in the Japanese military to prosecute the war by the end of June. They had also realized by April that Soviet intervention in the war was inevitable in some form. The idea that the nuclear weapons were necessary to obtain an unconditional surrender in this context is laughable, and the ease with which we justify war crimes is alarming to me.


It's cute they think anyone will remember this happened in 5 days.

The big question is whether or not the US public would be down with a land invasion of Japan. It's entirely possible that war weariness had set in and now that Europe is safe why bother with Japan, especially with the Soviets rampaging through China? Without the bomb you hold out for a while and you could get a brokered peace where you keep your government and Korea.

I'm personally of the opinion that the land invasion of Japan was never going to happen, full stop. It would be too costly. They wanted to strangle them, but the soviets forced that option out. If the bombs didn't exist they would have gotten a brokered peace and probably get to keep Korea.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Grapplejack posted:

The big question is whether or not the US public would be down with a land invasion of Japan. It's entirely possible that war weariness had set in and now that Europe is safe why bother with Japan, especially with the Soviets rampaging through China? Without the bomb you hold out for a while and you could get a brokered peace where you keep your government and Korea.

I'm personally of the opinion that the land invasion of Japan was never going to happen, full stop. It would be too costly. They wanted to strangle them, but the soviets forced that option out. If the bombs didn't exist they would have gotten a brokered peace and probably get to keep Korea.

That reads as 'the nukes were necessary to prevent Japan surrendering to Russia first'. Which is a very different moral question.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Grapplejack posted:

The big question is whether or not the US public would be down with a land invasion of Japan. It's entirely possible that war weariness had set in and now that Europe is safe why bother with Japan, especially with the Soviets rampaging through China? Without the bomb you hold out for a while and you could get a brokered peace where you keep your government and Korea.

I'm personally of the opinion that the land invasion of Japan was never going to happen, full stop. It would be too costly. They wanted to strangle them, but the soviets forced that option out. If the bombs didn't exist they would have gotten a brokered peace and probably get to keep Korea.

See now I don't entirely agree with you but I think this is an entirely sensible counterargument (to the idea that Japanese unconditional surrender was inevitable without nukes, at least).

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


this should be like having a holocaust denier on your show.

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1066711193170124800

reignonyourparade
Nov 15, 2012
I don't think they ever would have gotten to keep Korea, but yeah if they were just stuck on Japan proper and no invasion happened they'd absolutely at least refuse any surrender where they didn't keep their government.

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

There was a coup attempt by the Japanese high command even after the Emperor recorded his speech demanding the Japanese armed forces stand down. It failed but it kind of points to a central problem with determining how close Japan was or wasn't to surrender, which is important because that determines how necessary the atomic bombings were - decision making power was decentralized and divided between opposing factions. The Emperor was the ultimate authority but the extent of his involvement in decision making and his motivations were purposely obscured in the immediate postwar period.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Grapplejack posted:

I'm personally of the opinion that the land invasion of Japan was never going to happen, full stop. It would be too costly. They wanted to strangle them, but the soviets forced that option out. If the bombs didn't exist they would have gotten a brokered peace and probably get to keep Korea.

The Soviets weren't going to let them keep Korea, and also the US was paranoid of the Soviets eventually landing in Hokkaido even if such a landing would be a token affair. The US didn't just need to defeat Japan totally but do it in a very rapid amount of time (days and weeks, not months).

The bombs were part of the calculation of surrender but in all honesty, the US really didn't care about Japanese civilian causalities...thats back justification.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Groovelord Neato posted:

this should be like having a holocaust denier on your show.

Sadly, this only makes sense to people once the genocide has already taken place.

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen
AOC: More savage than Randy and quite possibly the greatest human alive.

https://twitter.com/Ocasio2018/status/1066833125156753408
https://twitter.com/Ocasio2018/status/1066833938474242049
https://twitter.com/Ocasio2018/status/1066837143845302272

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Phi230 posted:

Yeah there's such similarity between Neocon regime change and empowering socialist movements to take power on their own. Oh wait, there isn't.

you seem to have interpreted the world "reinvade" in a very strange and counter-intuitive way. W/e though, I'll leave you to your dreams of a fantasy land where everything is sunshine and flowers. You clearly have no interest in what it takes to get there.

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

Groovelord Neato posted:

this should be like having a holocaust denier on your show.

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1066711193170124800

Chuck Todd is a garbo centrist who over-books Republicans and then lets them away with whatever insanity they want to spew on his show. Whatup?

Dad Jokes
May 25, 2011

Extremely cool that we're simultaneously committing war crimes in Tijuana while also winking and nodding at Putin committing war crimes in Ukraine.

The Gish Gallop but with war crimes.

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen
This is fine.

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1066838173878243329

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

Dad Jokes posted:

Extremely cool that we're simultaneously committing war crimes in Tijuana while also winking and nodding at Putin committing war crimes in Ukraine.

The Gish Gallop but with war crimes.

Not new.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014



hank paulson got 400 million dollars tax free when he joined bush 2's admin. wondering if daddy bush's law covers all those severance payments.

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Fulchrum posted:

I knew it, I loving knew it. Your response is just to throw a meaningless buzzword at the problem and then smugly act like you solved it. And you actually think that makes you a good person, and not just a self satisfied rear end in a top hat.

China is its own country. I didn't think I would have to explain that, and yet, here we are. It is under the rule of the leader Xi Jingping, and will be til he dies in about 30 years. And spoilers, his successor isn't going to be open to socialism either. If you try to just give money directly to the Chinese government and then hope really hard that that will alleviate poverty, its just going to go to the pockets of the CCP leaders, and the people falling into even deeper poverty, cause they don't have a job anymore.

Any solution you propose has to actually be compatible with the contemporary system in place, otherwise its just utterly meaningless babbling.


The options for extracting an unconditional surrender from Japan were (a) the bombs, and (b) killing more than one hundred and fifty times that many (conscripted) Japanese civilians, as well as 4 million more japanese soldiers and 6 million Allied soldiers, in Operation Downfall. A full half of Japans living population was going to die if they didn't drop the bombs, alongside 6 times as many Americans, British and French soldiers who died in the rest of the war combined.

And once again, no, you don't get to make up a third option and say its totally better.


Read the red text of the person I am responding to.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

(USER WAS BANNED FOR THIS POST)

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

owned

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Xae
Jan 19, 2005

CommieGIR posted:

It merited enough for the Emporer to personally mention the nuclear weapons in his speech to the people.

Yeah, their impact has been overhyped, but it certainly played a role.

Worth noting the firebombings killed more.

Pre-nukes the Japanese plan was to reach some sort of negotiated surrender while they bleed out the Allies in a protracted, bloody home islands defense. The Japanese High Command knew after Midway is was hosed. The rest of the war was them hoping to score a quick victory to two and then get a negotiated peace.

As Lightning Knight said, Japan knew the USSR was going to dogpile them after the war in Europe ended. Their defensive plans assumed this. So the Soviets entering the war had no part in the sudden change.

The plan of bloody street to street fighting doesn't work when the enemy can reduce a city to cinders in a split second. They realized their previous strategy wasn't going to work and surrendered, unconditionally.

The demand for unconditional surrender is a movie cliche at this point, but in 1945 it was unproved, untested and controversial. Since the conception of the Great Powers almost all wars had been fought to a conditional surrender. Plenty of people assumed that the call for unconditional surrender was bluster and aimed at getting a more favorable negotiated surrender.

A better question is: "If the US had offered Japan terms similar to what the Allies ended up giving them, would they have surrendered sooner?".

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything

Groovelord Neato posted:

this should be like having a holocaust denier on your show.

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1066716394740490240

Ben's Asse: "You can't legislate or regulate your way into the past, we have to innovate our way into the future."

He's the worst.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Dad Jokes posted:

Extremely cool that we're simultaneously committing war crimes in Tijuana while also winking and nodding at Putin committing war crimes in Ukraine.

The Gish Gallop but with war crimes.

The media are like puppies, if you throw too many sticks at once they'll just seize up and whine plaintively at you for being confusing. Sadly, unlike puppies, the media is neither huggable nor lovable.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


i'd want to become a senator just to talk poo poo to ben's dumb face.

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Flesh Forge
Jan 31, 2011

LET ME TELL YOU ABOUT MY DOG

Conspiratiorist posted:

I wouldn't be shocked if he takes credit for it.

Everyone worked very hard, and we all came together, its the biggest fleet invasion anybody has ever seen, nobody would have believed it, I had to make a lot of calls to make this happen but you don't hear about that from the fake news media, but in a certain period of time EXCUSE ME EXCUSE ME

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