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This is from the G20 lol
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Nov 30, 2018 15:08
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| # ? May 25, 2024 01:00 |
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Is he on his phone?
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Nov 30, 2018 15:12
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What is it? lol at how quickly that staffer appeared, obviously knew he was gonna do it again
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Nov 30, 2018 15:12
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Its the remote for the nukes.
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Nov 30, 2018 15:14
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It's the translation earpiece
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Nov 30, 2018 15:14
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Can you imagine the poor translator who has to try and make trump sound intelligible.
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Nov 30, 2018 15:15
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I bet he would poo poo where he stands if he thought he could get away with it.
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Nov 30, 2018 15:21
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Failed Imagineer posted:They're good albums tho, it's not really your fault if post-rock titles suck rear end What sucks about the title: Hurrah! Another Year, Surely This One Will Be Better Than the Last; The Inexorable March of Progress Will Lead Us All to Happiness
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Nov 30, 2018 15:24
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I know this is from 9 pages ago or something, but I only just heard about this cuntbag making such a gross attempt at slander. What an absolute loving oval office. It boggles my mind that ANYONE winds their neck out for him. gently caress him, and gently caress anyone who ever defends him. Morally bankrupt wankers.
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Nov 30, 2018 15:25
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FiftySeven posted:I know this is from 9 pages ago or something, but I only just heard about this cuntbag making such a gross attempt at slander. What an absolute loving oval office. It boggles my mind that ANYONE winds their neck out for him. gently caress him, and gently caress anyone who ever defends him. Morally bankrupt wankers. Not a very nice thing to say about Jamal
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Nov 30, 2018 15:27
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mrpwase posted:Co-operative Stardew Valley, for a glorious agricultural commune? I keep telling everyone to play Warframe, it's good, free to play without most of the annoyances that can bring, and goons are insanely helpful and generous. Also: 
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Nov 30, 2018 15:28
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OwlFancier posted:Can you imagine the poor translator who has to try and make trump sound intelligible. Sometimes they just quote him verbatim - which sounds harder than translating phrases, until you realise it doesn't need to make any sense at all and you can just say whatever I mean really if you make him intelligible that's a bad translation
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Nov 30, 2018 15:35
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Bardeh posted:I can still see the group in my Steam list and there are a ton of people in it, but nobody in chat and I don't think I've seen any notifications or activity from it in yonks. I made this, if anyone wants to join and play some games sometime. Just requested invite. My display name is "Incapable Hans".
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Nov 30, 2018 16:02
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Get ready for a massive shitshow
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Nov 30, 2018 16:05
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TheRat posted:Yougov stopped using the expensive model that got the election right and are back to using the lovely model that was extremely off the mark. This isn't actually true. The standard YouGov vote intention poll the week before the election gave the Tories a 4% lead and so it was only 1.5% off the mark which is nothing really. The 7% lead poll (which was still closer than 5 other pollsters who gave the Tories a 8-13% lead) used a dodgy turnout model because they wanted to hedge their bets if the Tories won big but that was only used once. There are plenty of things to criticise YouGov over but their vote intention polls aren't really one of them.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:06
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I'd be up for some UKMT Stardew Valley co-op 
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Nov 30, 2018 16:07
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Lord of the Llamas posted:This isn't actually true. The standard YouGov vote intention poll the week before the election gave the Tories a 4% lead and so it was only 1.5% off the mark which is nothing really. The 7% lead poll (which was still closer than 5 other pollsters who gave the Tories a 8-13% lead) used a dodgy turnout model because they wanted to hedge their bets if the Tories won big but that was only used once. There are plenty of things to criticise YouGov over but their vote intention polls aren't really one of them. The thing to criticise them over is that they had the result pretty much spot on until they pussied out on the final day.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:08
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Good news! https://twitter.com/FraserNelson/status/1068503753526059008?s=19
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Nov 30, 2018 16:16
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https://twitter.com/rosskempsell/status/1068498356136222720?s=21 Top trolling from McDonnell
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Nov 30, 2018 16:27
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TheRat posted:The thing to criticise them over is that they had the result pretty much spot on until they pussied out on the final day. I don't that's fair considering no other UK pollster has done anything nearly as good as their regression model for the election. I just wish I could find that quote again from a melt journo saying "The only thing you need to know about YouGov's model is that it has Canterbury going Labour.". It's also worth noting that even their 7 point Tory lead poll was within their stated margin of error which is 90% +/- 4% for each party. lol https://twitter.com/BrendanHotTakes/status/1068505113193521156 Lord of the Llamas fucked around with this message at 16:31 on Nov 30, 2018 |
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Nov 30, 2018 16:28
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Lord of the Llamas posted:I don't that's fair considering no other UK pollster has done anything nearly as good as their regression model for the election. I just wish I could find that quote again from a melt journo saying "The only thing you need to know about YouGov's model is that it has Canterbury going Labour.". It's also worth noting that even their 7 point Tory lead poll was within their stated margin of error which is 90% +/- 4% for each party. Their regression model was loving excellent. That's the problem. They dropped it on the last day and went for a model that was a lot more Tory-favoured because they got scared.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:31
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My mum died so I probably won’t be receiving or giving presents with anyone and instead will be having Christmas alone. Good times!
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Nov 30, 2018 16:32
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TheRat posted:Their regression model was loving excellent. That's the problem. They dropped it on the last day and went for a model that was a lot more Tory-favoured because they got scared. I do think they got scared but I think it was a load of extra effort to produce as well. If you want regression regularly someone is probably going to have to get their wallet out. Comrade Fakename posted:My mum died so I probably won’t be receiving or giving presents with anyone and instead will be having Christmas alone. Good times! Very sad to hear this. Huge condolences. Is it very recent news? Zalakwe fucked around with this message at 16:40 on Nov 30, 2018 |
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Nov 30, 2018 16:38
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Zalakwe posted:Very sad to hear this. Huge condolences. Is it very recent news? Thanks. It was in August.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:48
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Of course he goes for Siege of Vienna
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Nov 30, 2018 16:48
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What did the British government look like in the 17th century? Like nothing, there was no British government until the early 18th century Fraser you twat.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:49
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jBrereton posted:I mean in York and Leeds we've had ~Project Servitor~ which is basically the policing method of the Malayan Emergency, (random appearances of masses of armed police to 'deter crime'), applied to the christmas markets. Absolute loving insanity and a sign alongside this moped bullshit that the police after feeling betrayed by the tories have had some kind of mental break. The only other time I've randomly encountered cops tooled up like that outside of an airport was when we were walking along the Thames Path and I took a photo of the MI6 building on the grounds that "Hey cool, James Bond works there!" Rounded a corner and had two Dredded-up plod waiting for us, all "Hi, how are you? And what are you doing today?" literally 20 seconds later.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:54
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TheRat posted:Their regression model was loving excellent. That's the problem. They dropped it on the last day and went for a model that was a lot more Tory-favoured because they got scared. Eh? They didn't drop it, the website is still up. There's nothing wrong with publishing more than one thing as long as you're clear about the differences in how they were made.
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Nov 30, 2018 16:56
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Joined the UKMT steam thing. Steam name is Dadtoucher 
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Nov 30, 2018 16:59
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Lord of the Llamas posted:Eh? They didn't drop it, the website is still up. There's nothing wrong with publishing more than one thing as long as you're clear about the differences in how they were made. They deliberately published the regression model in the media every day and then switched to the other model on the final day.
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Nov 30, 2018 17:00
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for MRP yougov would have to be polling thousands of individuals for an intense set of demographic data in order to categorize each voter type if it was going to do that, yea, I second the point that it wouldn't then give it out for free
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Nov 30, 2018 17:05
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Donald Tusk kind of screwed Corbyn, didn’t he? It definitely ramps up the “May Deal or no Brexit!” framing. https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1068520777362825216
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Nov 30, 2018 17:10
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TheRat posted:They deliberately published the regression model in the media every day and then switched to the other model on the final day. That doesn't chime with the sentiment expressed in e.g. this interview which was basically "we don't know". I think you're letting your priors on why they do things get the better of you and also ignoring the fact that even the 7% lead poll was within the margin of error of the real result.
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Nov 30, 2018 17:10
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Comrade Fakename posted:My mum died so I probably won’t be receiving or giving presents with anyone and instead will be having Christmas alone. Good times! I understand how you feel as my mother, the last member of my family, is gravely ill and probably not going to last until Christmas. She has brain tumor and lung cancer. I'm not sure how I'm managing to hold it together.
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Nov 30, 2018 17:14
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ronya posted:if it was going to do that, yea, I second the point that it wouldn't then give it out for free But it did, until the final day
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Nov 30, 2018 17:15
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Brony Car posted:Donald Tusk kind of screwed Corbyn, didn’t he? It definitely ramps up the “May Deal or no Brexit!” framing. How does that square with his previous comments to the tune of, "We'll give you extra negotiating time if there's a change in government"?
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Nov 30, 2018 17:19
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Gort posted:How does that square with his previous comments to the tune of, "We'll give you extra negotiating time if there's a change in government"? that was then, this is now tbh i think this is a good out - being clear that none of the options on the table are desirable, it shouls be possible to offload the blame for the situation on the tories and just choose whichever option one wants ideally a three-question referendum might be held, may falls, new GE, remain wins and everyone pretends that the last few years never happened
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Nov 30, 2018 17:25
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blah blah Tory Brexit is shite, if we cannot do better we oughtn't leave at all blah blah wash our hands blah blah disastrous negotiations regrettably we must choose the best of three bad choices blah blah
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Nov 30, 2018 17:27
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https://twitter.com/MohammedAkunjee/status/1068255414977011715?s=19
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Nov 30, 2018 17:29
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| # ? May 25, 2024 01:00 |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-tyne-46398021 If only the kids were on mopeds.
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Nov 30, 2018 17:29
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