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Why, Lindsey...you look like you could possibly be mildly concerned if you're not careful!
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 20:30 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 08:53 |
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"Fortunately for us our president is willfully blind and fantastically stupid so I can make mouth noises about this then accomplish no real concrete actions."
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 20:58 |
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1069968682279936000 this is a very pro-read article. nate's summary: quote:I want to remind you that our forecasts are probabilistic. Not only are our forecasts for individual races probabilistic, but our model assumes that the errors in the forecasts are correlated across races — that is, if one party’s chances were overrated in one race, they’d likely be overrated in many or all races. Because errors are correlated, we’re going to have better years and worse ones in terms of “calling” races correctly. This year was one of the better years — maybe the best we’ve ever had — but it’s still just one year. In the long run, we want our forecasts to be accurate, but we also want our probabilities to be well-calibrated, meaning that, for instance, 80 percent favorites win about 80 percent of the time.
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 21:21 |
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https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1070021826053619712
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 21:26 |
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I honestly don't get Lindsay Graham. He's broken with and fallen back in line with all of Trump's bullshit so many times he's lost any sense of credibility he might have ever had as a politician and someone to pay attention to that might actually accomplish something positive or to stand up for democracy and basic human decency, and yet he's still clung to by the media as this leading force that the public needs to pay attention to the speeches of. Like the GOP just lacks any sort of legitimacy to me as a political party at this point that isn't just a destructive partisan force to be wielded against his perceived enemies by a sleazy narcissistic businessman occupying the oval office so it's like okay cool, lot of talk here but we'll see about the action and in the unlikely case there is any what good it does. Meanwhile the same party at the state level in Wisconsin is about to just defy the will of the people yet again and pull the partisan power grab of a life time. Hastings posted:"Mr. President and Sec. of State Pompeo, there is literally video of MBS saying he is going to kill this man." It boggles my mind that the GOP is still that okay with leaving this guy in power. Like just how terrified are they of the guys base, it's incredible how much this 30% seems to hold the GOP in total thrall to it's crazed fervor even when trying to pander it did all of jack poo poo during the midterms. Like they won one presidential election off it (to get the most useless president in history that just spends all day golfing and making GBS threads on basically everybody on twitter) due to the electoral college and the added help of the rust belt flipping (and appeared to flip back in 2018 anyway when he couldn't keep his promise of getting them their manufacturing jobs back) yet they've committed themselves to this base apparently forever now. I don't get it on any level I try to examine the situation. Kale fucked around with this message at 21:42 on Dec 4, 2018 |
# ? Dec 4, 2018 21:27 |
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It all comes down to "he says the quiet part out loud," buddy. If 45 had the slightest bit of he'd be lockstep with him in both rhetoric and votes. Instead of, y'know, just the votes.
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 22:25 |
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Dow Jones has tumbled 800 points over Cooling Economy Fears https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yjO1bMHbDpY
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 22:42 |
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China is reportedly 'puzzled and irritated' by Trump https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/04/china-confused-by-trumps-words-of-triumph-after-trade-truce.html TLDR A few days ago Trump had a private meeting with Xi Jinping in Buenos Aires at the G-20 and, in typical Trump fashion, he claimed afterwords via Twitter that the Chinese caved on a few key provisions and agreed to a 90 day truce. Naturally calling it "one of the largest deals ever made." The Market was elated and smart people on the economic sites were praising Trump. Except, the Chinese made no such promises. Or if they did, it was meant to be "hush hush" while negotiations continued. Trump being Trump, he mouthed off, the Chinese are furious, the Markets confused, and the Dow is now down like 800 points. lol.
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 22:44 |
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Curiosity: Do the markets still have "circuit breakers" in place to stop trading if there's enough of a decline during a day's trading?
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 23:17 |
Spacewolf posted:Curiosity: Do the markets still have "circuit breakers" in place to stop trading if there's enough of a decline during a day's trading? Yes, although today's drop didn't even make it close to the 1st 15-minute circuit breaker (7%).
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 23:20 |
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Spacewolf posted:Curiosity: Do the markets still have "circuit breakers" in place to stop trading if there's enough of a decline during a day's trading? Yes, the circuit breaker is now based on the S&P 500 and the first one is at 7% (it dropped 3.24% today)
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 23:21 |
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Dow Jones drops a tad after finding out Trump may have fibbed about China which had led to it rising a tad previously.
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# ? Dec 4, 2018 23:23 |
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https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/1070085085108547584 While this is technically more President-related, I think "the first person has pled the Fifth to Congress" is general enough news to go here!
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 00:45 |
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DACK FAYDEN posted:https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/1070085085108547584 Maybe someone else know more specifics but I'm reasonably sure you can't blanket plead the fifth in order to refuse to show up for a hearing
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:00 |
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I love these loving weirdos. https://twitter.com/willsommer/status/1070096832875913216 (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST) (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:15 |
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https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1070107251656945665
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:17 |
fool_of_sound posted:Maybe someone else know more specifics but I'm reasonably sure you can't blanket plead the fifth in order to refuse to show up for a hearing You can blanket plead the fifth in response to a request for documents that you feel to be too vaguely worded, although that isn't guaranteed to be upheld, but it's super moot in this case because this moron wasn't even subpoenaed and you cannot and don't need to plead the fifth to a politely worded non-binding letter; you just say "no."
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:17 |
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That's mean. He's mean. You're mean. Well played.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:27 |
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https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1070112369253052417
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:38 |
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Stop being cruel.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:42 |
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I saw "pee tape" and my heart stopped and then I was crushed. 😭
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:57 |
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https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1070117752180891648
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 01:59 |
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Keep posting the thing PopeHat.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:07 |
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Don't post dumb jokes by the libertarian law guy in this thread, try USpol
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:10 |
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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1070110615627333632 https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1070110927788347393 https://twitter.com/RudyGiuliani/status/1070118915139923968
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:10 |
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You actually don't need to keep posting the same Twitter thread, people can click the thread if they want to read more. Nathan Robinson on why Beto is shockingly pretty poo poo outside of the context of a Texas Senate race lmao.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:10 |
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https://twitter.com/APEastRegion/status/1070122583155195904
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:13 |
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Wait, something actually happened with the Panama Papers? I am legit surprised.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:34 |
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https://twitter.com/bradheath/status/1070129392767168512
marshmonkey fucked around with this message at 02:50 on Dec 5, 2018 |
# ? Dec 5, 2018 02:38 |
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So I guess Whitaker is in his office going through all the redacted stuff right now, huh?
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 03:15 |
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JasonV posted:So I guess Whitaker is in his office going through all the redacted stuff right now, huh? He almost certainly read it before it was filed. He just knows his position is really precarious and he doesn't want to interfere too much too early.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 03:34 |
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https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1070130185343811585
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 04:03 |
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drat proud of our progressive brethren.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 05:01 |
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I'm guessing that the reason it didn't happen the other time is because someone didn't immediately buy up the domain, right? Of course, Rudy's brain is, like his boss, rancid soup, so he would never understand this. at the idea that Twitter is anti-Trump though.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 05:04 |
Fritz Coldcockin posted:I'm guessing that the reason it didn't happen the other time is because someone didn't immediately buy up the domain, right? Of course, Rudy's brain is, like his boss, rancid soup, so he would never understand this. More like because he doesn’t realize that it isn’t “period without a space”, it’s “word-period-valid country code TLD” and the other times he left out the space it didn’t make it into a link because it didn’t form a valid activatable URL. I know it’s not necessarily fair to expect Rudy to understand about regexes, but any tech-savvy person who has ever defended him has some mental gymnastics to do now.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 05:21 |
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https://twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/1070149544724365312?s=19
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 05:23 |
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choice quote https://twitter.com/K8brannen/status/1070134803591282688
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 06:23 |
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It blows my mind that this guy crying about needing a safe space was once mayor of NYC and actually kind of respected at one point. He and Trump are two peas in a pod. What a baby. Like this guy just fits as Trump's lawyer and he probably thinks Rudy is just absolutely crushing it for him. Really hoping Mueller can put the nail in the coffin of this presidency soon so if anything I don't have to hear the POTUS and his lawyer whining the days away for another week. It's really long past time to put this presidency out to pasture and get the U.S back to being led by functioning adults. Kale fucked around with this message at 09:03 on Dec 5, 2018 |
# ? Dec 5, 2018 09:01 |
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Kale posted:It blows my mind that this guy crying about needing a safe space was once mayor of NYC and actually kind of respected at one point. He and Trump are two peas in a pod. Even as mayor of NYC Giuliani was extremely poo poo. If it weren't for a bunch of glamor shots he stood for during 9/11 nobody would even know who he was, let alone care. Also, a big reminder: Giuliani was only out on the street because he insisted that his emergency command center be housed in WTC 7. When later called on this fact, he tried to blame the emergency services director he had appointed and who specifically recommended the headquarters be located somewhere safer. Wikipedia posted:In September 2006, Village Voice writer and long-time Giuliani critic Wayne Barrett and Dan Collins, a senior producer for CBSNews.com, published The Grand Illusion: The Untold Story of Rudy Giuliani and 9/11, one of the strongest reassessments of Giuliani's role in the events of 9/11. The book highlights his decision to locate the NYC Office of Emergency Management headquarters (long-identified as a target for a terrorist attack) on the 23rd floor inside the 7 World Trade Center building, a decision that had been criticized at the time in light of the previous terrorist attack against the World Trade Center in 1993. Dude is a worthless ghoul who lucked into a center stage role during a major terror attack.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 11:01 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 08:53 |
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gently caress dude that ghoul only looked good because he had some brown people to blame. If it were a natural disaster or white terrorism he'd gently caress it up as hard as Trump does today.
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# ? Dec 5, 2018 12:13 |