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therobit
Aug 19, 2008

I've been tryin' to speak with you for a long time

OneTruePecos posted:

IOW, liar loans were fine when they were for people who didn't need a liar loan. SISA/NINA are fraud-by-design and Mozilo should be under the jail.

Some people have income streams that fall outside of what traditional underwriting models account for and therefore documenting the income, while possible, can be a real pain in the rear end for both the borrower and the underwriter

People who have seasoned credit and a high credit scores nearly always make their payments, regardless of how the rest of the loan looks on paper when it comes to DTI. Especially if the collateral is their primary residence.

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OneTruePecos
Oct 24, 2010

therobit posted:

Some people have income streams that fall outside of what traditional underwriting models account for and therefore documenting the income, while possible, can be a real pain in the rear end for both the borrower and the underwriter

People who have seasoned credit and a high credit scores nearly always make their payments, regardless of how the rest of the loan looks on paper when it comes to DTI. Especially if the collateral is their primary residence.

Yeah, I know. This is always the company line justifying liar loans. FICO and LTV gets you like... 90% of the way there in a mortgage risk model based solely on borrower attributes. What it doesn't tell you is how risky that borrower is in a different borrowing climate, like if, say, interest rates change, or unemployment spikes. Then you need accurate information on income and assets, not just some poo poo the broker told them to write down to pass underwriting.

Just skipping that part of checking creditworthiness because it would be hard for the borrower to demonstrate it is silly. It would be like having a class of loans that didn't check credit, because some people don't have much credit history, and then pricing them the same as the 700-719 tranche, and then acting surprised that everyone with a sub-700 credit score took out one of your under-priced loans and then even more surprised when a lot of them defaulted, leaving the schmucks that bought your loans holding the bag.

Countrywide and their ilk knew what they were doing when they expanded this stuff from a tiny little niche to the core of the industry.

Devonaut
Jul 10, 2001

Devoted Astronaut

lmao at this idiot

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/gundlach-says-passive-investing-has-reached-mania-status.html

Yes index funds are a bubble, buy high priced actively managed funds instead, advises high priced active fund manager.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

Devonaut posted:

lmao at this idiot

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/gundlach-says-passive-investing-has-reached-mania-status.html

Yes index funds are a bubble, buy high priced actively managed funds instead, advises high priced active fund manager.

quote:

The investor made correct predictions for 2018, including a drop in stocks on rising yields and declines in Facebook and bitcoin.
No poo poo, idiot.

Devonaut
Jul 10, 2001

Devoted Astronaut

Hoodwinker posted:

No poo poo, idiot.

Truly a modern day Nostradamus

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

I predict a serious rise after ligma.

ligma balls lmao

edit: got em

therobit
Aug 19, 2008

I've been tryin' to speak with you for a long time

OneTruePecos posted:

Yeah, I know. This is always the company line justifying liar loans. FICO and LTV gets you like... 90% of the way there in a mortgage risk model based solely on borrower attributes. What it doesn't tell you is how risky that borrower is in a different borrowing climate, like if, say, interest rates change, or unemployment spikes. Then you need accurate information on income and assets, not just some poo poo the broker told them to write down to pass underwriting.

Just skipping that part of checking creditworthiness because it would be hard for the borrower to demonstrate it is silly. It would be like having a class of loans that didn't check credit, because some people don't have much credit history, and then pricing them the same as the 700-719 tranche, and then acting surprised that everyone with a sub-700 credit score took out one of your under-priced loans and then even more surprised when a lot of them defaulted, leaving the schmucks that bought your loans holding the bag.

Countrywide and their ilk knew what they were doing when they expanded this stuff from a tiny little niche to the core of the industry.

Many types of credit don't require income docs. Which is OK on A credit but not on D credit.

Also borrowers with A credit and verified income with low DTI will also default under certain circumstances. If I walk out there and get creamed by a bus and become a quad, my payments won't get made anymore. Short of that, they probably will. The risk models don't assume 0% default rate, and expecting 0% defaults in any market is foolhardy. Credit and LTV will get you a lot farther than 90%. If stated income loans had remained a product only offered on A credit ir would have bein fine.

OneTruePecos
Oct 24, 2010

therobit posted:

Many types of credit don't require income docs. Which is OK on A credit but not on D credit.

Also borrowers with A credit and verified income with low DTI will also default under certain circumstances. If I walk out there and get creamed by a bus and become a quad, my payments won't get made anymore. Short of that, they probably will. The risk models don't assume 0% default rate, and expecting 0% defaults in any market is foolhardy. Credit and LTV will get you a lot farther than 90%. If stated income loans had remained a product only offered on A credit ir would have bein fine.

I think we're mostly agreeing with each other except around the edges. I used to build these models and I can tell you just looking at FICO and LTV doesn't get you a lot farther than 90% of the way, because it doesn't tell you anything about any macro factors like interest rates or home prices, but the big point is that expanding SISA/NINA out of A credit was asking for trouble. For the Angelo Mozilos it was mostly Bad With Other People's Money, though, so full steam ahead making poo poo loans.

Fhqwhgads
Jul 18, 2003

I AM THE ONLY ONE IN THIS GAME WHO GETS LAID
I've told my company before to give me a 100% LTV loan. As long as they keep employing me, they'll keep getting their payments. It's a win-win...right?

Veni Vidi Ameche!
Nov 2, 2017

by Fluffdaddy

Sundae posted:

Article date 2014. Guessing it's deaaaaaaaad.

Current state of Nimbl:

William Munny
Aug 16, 2005
He should have armed himself if he was goin' to decorate his establishment with my friend.
Couple of stories from the office:

One guy has been having issues with his car. Rather than going to see a certified mechanic, he went to a family friend who only will "fix" an issue, he won't diagnose anything. So if you're wrong about what's wrong with your car, it's on you. After dropping around $600 in wrong guesses, he's decided the car is a money pit and is planning on trading it on for a new car in the coming weeks.

Another person has around 60k in private loans, a 30k car note, and an apartment that costs $1500 a month. He makes about 32k a year. Recently, he realized he has a wage garnishment on his paycheck and after looking into it a bit more, finds out he actually did take out federal student loans for his undergrad and he's defaulted on them. All said and done, he now owes about 80k in fed student loans including interest, penalties and attorney's fees because of it going into collections.

Devian666
Aug 20, 2008

Take some advice Chris.

Fun Shoe

Devonaut posted:

lmao at this idiot

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/gundlach-says-passive-investing-has-reached-mania-status.html

Yes index funds are a bubble, buy high priced actively managed funds instead, advises high priced active fund manager.

I saw that on twitter this morning. His commissions will drop away completely if people switch to index funds. Somebody think of the financial advisers/active managers.

Midjack
Dec 24, 2007



SpelledBackwards posted:

Edit: I miss the startup that was going to deliver you rolls of quarters for all your laundry and vending needs.

qrtrz?

tumblr hype man
Jul 29, 2008

nice meltdown
Slippery Tilde

therobit posted:

Many types of credit don't require income docs. Which is OK on A credit but not on D credit.

Also borrowers with A credit and verified income with low DTI will also default under certain circumstances. If I walk out there and get creamed by a bus and become a quad, my payments won't get made anymore. Short of that, they probably will. The risk models don't assume 0% default rate, and expecting 0% defaults in any market is foolhardy. Credit and LTV will get you a lot farther than 90%. If stated income loans had remained a product only offered on A credit ir would have bein fine.

There’s only one way to get to a 0% default rate, and that’s a 0% approval rate.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

Devian666 posted:

I saw that on twitter this morning. His commissions will drop away completely if people switch to index funds. Somebody think of the financial advisers/active managers.

I’ll think about putting them in a guillotine

SpelledBackwards
Jan 7, 2001

I found this image on the Internet, perhaps you've heard of it? It's been around for a while I hear.


Less dumb. It was called Washboard.

Went viral June 20, 2014 across all kinds of reporting sites as insanely stupid:
https://www.gq.com/story/washboard-laundry-quarters-delivery-startup

RIP June 26, 6 days later:
http://valleywag.gawker.com/the-laundry-quarters-startup-is-dead-1596481798

Cacafuego posted:

I’ll think about putting them in a guillotine

Poor Cacafuego, thought of a guillotine and a fund manager died.

BigDave
Jul 14, 2009

Taste the High Country

SpelledBackwards posted:

Less dumb. It was called Washboard.

Went viral June 20, 2014 across all kinds of reporting sites as insanely stupid:
https://www.gq.com/story/washboard-laundry-quarters-delivery-startup

RIP June 26, 6 days later:
http://valleywag.gawker.com/the-laundry-quarters-startup-is-dead-1596481798


Wasn't that basically money laundering?

Rythe
Jan 21, 2011

Feel good story on the news tonight, somebody in the local area paid off $10k+ in Layaway today but this being Walmart there is a BWM in this little story.

While interviewing one of the costumers that had her layaway paid for she stated that she was going to let her "mortgage slip" for the month so her kids could have a Christmas. Im thinking a roof over your head is a great Christmas present, I swear I don't understand people during the holidays and the need to spend way more than it is sensible on presents.

I would love to know the comparison to money spent on presents vs money saved on retirement for these type of people.

Moneyball
Jul 11, 2005

It's a problem you think we need to explain ourselves.

Only registered members can see post attachments!

OctaviusBeaver
Apr 30, 2009

Say what now?

William Munny posted:

Couple of stories from the office:
One guy has been having issues with his car. Rather than going to see a certified mechanic, he went to a family friend who only will "fix" an issue, he won't diagnose anything. So if you're wrong about what's wrong with your car, it's on you. After dropping around $600 in wrong guesses, he's decided the car is a money pit and is planning on trading it on for a new car in the coming weeks.

That's almost exactly how it works at a dealership though. Except that at a dealership he would be out way more than $600 for all but the most minor fix. This one might be GWM. I mean, technically you can pay the dealership for diagnosis at $100/hr but in practice they never seem to do anything but read the OBD code.

OctaviusBeaver fucked around with this message at 04:27 on Dec 18, 2018

AndrewP
Apr 21, 2010

William Munny posted:

Couple of stories from the office:

One guy has been having issues with his car. Rather than going to see a certified mechanic, he went to a family friend who only will "fix" an issue, he won't diagnose anything. So if you're wrong about what's wrong with your car, it's on you. After dropping around $600 in wrong guesses, he's decided the car is a money pit and is planning on trading it on for a new car in the coming weeks.


this completely defeats the purpose of taking it to a friend

Nocheez
Sep 5, 2000

Can you spare a little cheddar?
Nap Ghost
The cheap man pays the most.

Motronic
Nov 6, 2009


lol:

quote:

But at least they will be "focusing [their] energy on something ultimately more worthwhile," which would be anything. Literally anything. Lying down in the middle of the street and screaming would be ultimately more worthwhile than this.

Weatherman
Jul 30, 2003

WARBLEKLONK
Shouldn't the thread title be "les petite mortgage"

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost
돈 낭비한 똥새끼 뜨레드

비트코인 투자한 바보 뜨레드

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

bob dobbs is dead posted:

돈 낭비한 똥새끼 뜨레드
"Money wasted poo poo cub red" according to google translate.

Eh, we've done worse.

Motronic
Nov 6, 2009

Weatherman posted:

Shouldn't the thread title be "les petite mortgage"

Even my very rusty French tells me the thread title should be a lot of things that it isn't. But :thejoke:

Liquid Communism
Mar 9, 2004

коммунизм хранится в яичках

totalnewbie posted:

Your idea of what a neighborhood should look like is colored completely by your previous experiences and where you lived.

Why shouldn't a neighborhood be able to accommodate people with different needs, i.e. both single family homes and a Leopalace, and also have small businesses of varying types thrown in? Why isn't the ideal neighborhood a much more self-contained/self-sufficient unit rather than just a bunch of single-family homes thrown together?

I absolutely detest the American urban model, where you have a bunch of houses thrown together (very loosely), meaning you have very little choice but to drive if you want to do anything that doesn't involve your neighbors, staying inside, or mowing the yard. If you want to go out, it's impossible to find "a neighborhood restaurant" because the only option you have is some area with a dozen restaurants surrounded by parking lots.

What Japan offers is a very good (relative to whatever Hickville, Iowa's zoning board can come up with) set of guidelines that you can use as a starting point and then modify to suit your needs, whereas what America (and Canada?) offers is whatever the local zoning board, whose expertise is usually limited, can come up with.

The silly part is Hickville is likely to be zoned like that, with businesses mixed with multifamily and single family housing.

It's when you get to the larger cities that suburbs become a thing.

Motronic
Nov 6, 2009

Liquid Communism posted:

It's when you get to the larger cities that suburbs become a thing.

I'm quoting this for posterity. I'm not sure what to do with it yet, but it's just precious.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer
Whenever there’s any new obviously-not-home construction around here in an otherwise residential area it’s always a church.

Wonder if we could get around zoning rules with a combo church/gas station. “Fill up on Faith and Honey Buns”.

Midjack
Dec 24, 2007



Krispy Wafer posted:

Whenever there’s any new obviously-not-home construction around here in an otherwise residential area it’s always a church.

Wonder if we could get around zoning rules with a combo church/gas station. “Fill up on Faith and Honey Buns”.

A number of churches in my area have coffee shops so sure, add pumps and a car wash.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

Liquid Communism posted:

The silly part is Hickville is likely to be zoned like that, with businesses mixed with multifamily and single family housing.

It's when you get to the larger cities that suburbs become a thing.

I've lived in Hicksville and in Japan and it's nowhere close.

Things may be much closer just because it's a smaller town but you don't have the level of complete mixing you would find in Japan because, ultimately, these towns form with the idea that everyone is driving, which means businesses become concentrated around parking lots.

That's not to say that Japanese businesses don't gravitate towards busy roads or each other - they absolutely do - but there are also lots of small stores and businesses within the neighborhoods. This is what you don't see in the US.

That said, I think in the end, I don't think it's an entirely fair comparison because there are a lot of circumstances that have caused things to be the way they are for rural America. But cities... No excuse.

My main point, though, was just that this idea that Japanese zoning laws create this nightmarish analgum amalgam of buildings haphazardly thrown together and is therefore the anti-neighborhood is really just "it's different and I don't like it." You don't HAVE to like it but that's just, like, your opinion, man.

Edit: okay the n was a typo but I am also a little better at spelling today.

totalnewbie fucked around with this message at 16:29 on Dec 18, 2018

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

One of the women that my wife volunteers with told us that had she known that we were flying up to Philly for Xmas, they would have let us drive back to Florida the (used, 2014) Porsche boxster they bought from a friend. Her husband is a “Porsche enthusiast”. She offered to let us buy the 2004 911 that they were selling and I said no.

I asked why they were buying the Boxster and she said “because we’re selling the 911”. They have other cars that they drive regularly, so this is just a toy. They do make good money and they’re nearing retirement, but I don’t know how leveraged they are. I suppose they can support being Porsche enthusiasts, but we don’t have anywhere to put an extra car and can’t afford the maintenance on a Porsche, so we dodged that bullet.

SpelledBackwards
Jan 7, 2001

I found this image on the Internet, perhaps you've heard of it? It's been around for a while I hear.

totalnewbie posted:

Japanese zoning laws create this nightmarish analgum of buildings

Japanese porn just keeps getting weirder and weirder. I have my limits.

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog

Cacafuego posted:

She offered to let us buy the 2004 911 that they were selling and I said no.
...
we don’t have anywhere to put an extra car and can’t afford the maintenance on a Porsche, so we dodged that bullet.

Sir this is the BAD with money thread. You need to go buy that Porsche and update this story immediately!

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Krispy Wafer posted:

Whenever there’s any new obviously-not-home construction around here in an otherwise residential area it’s always a church.

Wonder if we could get around zoning rules with a combo church/gas station. “Fill up on Faith and Honey Buns”.

In the Bay Area we poo poo out approximately five new 7-story office buildings for Amazon/Google/Apple/etc. for every new unit of housing. They build the things pretty much anywhere and seemingly in a matter of weeks--seriously, the rate at which they slap those things together and the disregard for any sort of planning is incredible.

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

Vox Nihili posted:

In the Bay Area we poo poo out approximately five new 7-story office buildings for Amazon/Google/Apple/etc. for every new unit of housing. They build the things pretty much anywhere and seemingly in a matter of weeks--seriously, the rate at which they slap those things together and the disregard for any sort of planning is incredible.

which level you at

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

bob dobbs is dead posted:

which level you at

69. I will support anyone willing to build housing, be it public, private, for-profit, nonprofit, shanty towns, whatever. Also willing to seize existing office buildings or Palo Alto mansions for conversation into multi-family dwellings either by function of law or at gunpoint.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

Vox Nihili posted:

In the Bay Area we poo poo out approximately five new 7-story office buildings for Amazon/Google/Apple/etc. for every new unit of housing. They build the things pretty much anywhere and seemingly in a matter of weeks--seriously, the rate at which they slap those things together and the disregard for any sort of planning is incredible.

Get on China's level: https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2015/apr/30/china-build-57-storey-skyscraper-19-days-timelapse-video

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GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog
Oh God, the bay area. I was on the Los Altos planning committee for a few years and you can straight purchase FAR from the city. Not a transfer from another site but just an outright Defy The Zoning Requirements for $$$


Let it all burn

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