|
skylined! posted:This is a weird take? There are a bunch of markets that are way over leveraged right now and when ‘the market’ crashes there will be another crazy whisperer cashing out and telling everyone ‘you should have listened to me about all those junk car loans’ or whatever. I know but what I’m saying is that there’s been daily “the market is gonna crash soon!!!” takes in these threads since early 2017 and at this point I’ve given up on predicting when it’s actually gonna happen or why.
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:05
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 1, 2024 05:50 |
|
|
coffeetable posted:https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1076962055876501504 i know i am probably wrong but i feel like we are hitting the loving breaking point and shits gonna get really bad pretty loving soon. like trump has run out of good will with everyone including the GOP.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:06
|
|
|
skylined! posted:This is a weird take? There are a bunch of markets that are way over leveraged right now and when ‘the market’ crashes there will be another crazy whisperer cashing out and telling everyone ‘you should have listened to me about all those junk car loans’ or whatever. yeah, i think we will probaly hit a recession or something like that soon, but with trump in office, i feel like he will make something like that and make it worse.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:07
|
|
|
Why are you posting this? Also WTF?
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:09
|
|
|
Dapper_Swindler posted:i know i am probably wrong but i feel like we are hitting the loving breaking point and shits gonna get really bad pretty loving soon. like trump has run out of good will with everyone including the GOP. It’s not so much that he’s run out of good will it’s that he’s about to start hurting all of America in instantly tangible and painful ways, including the rich and powerful who have tolerated him because he’s only hurt others so far.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:10
|
|
|
Trumps going to declare that all international trade is stopped until we figure out what’s going on. And then when Shucks tries to say that he’s not being literal he’ll do another “I poo poo MY PANTS ON PURPOSE”
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:11
|
|
|
Dapper_Swindler posted:i know i am probably wrong but i feel like we are hitting the loving breaking point and shits gonna get really bad pretty loving soon. like trump has run out of good will with everyone including the GOP. Eh they ran out of good will ages ago, before the midterms even. Until GOP legislators start opposing him on actual policy the Rubicon feels uncrossed.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:12
|
|
|
Can't wait for the market to crash and for Trump to crank the immigrant hating up to 11 in response.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:14
|
|
|
Skippy McPants posted:Eh they ran out of good will ages ago, before the midterms even. Until GOP legislators start opposing him on actual policy the Rubicon feels uncrossed. It feels like they’re much less patient with him.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:14
|
|
|
Jealous Cow posted:That’s what’s so strange about this. Wouldn’t there have been other signs if things were literally about to collapse? No, not really. Part of the reason that recessions are so unpredictable is that even though risk factors in the economy are often identifiable, it's basically impossible to determine before the fact which ones are bad enough to cause systemic issues when they go off. It's like the joke about how everyone who's about to get laid off is 100% certain that their job is secure, no matter how bad things get. There's truth it to because you never really know why things are going to poo poo until they go to poo poo. Another way to look at it is that most economic indicators tend to be good right up until they aren't. It's counter intuitive, but the economy running well is a reasonably good sign that a recession is on the horizon.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:16
|
|
|
haveblue posted:Pornhub probably cannot determine which of the dozens of desktop computers in the White House made the request (if they can, someone in the federal IT department hosed up bad). I strongly suspect that the personal internet for the White House residence is tunneled through a VPN to some random exit point.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:17
|
|
|
Lightning Knight posted:I know but what I’m saying is that there’s been daily “the market is gonna crash soon!!!” takes in these threads since early 2017 and at this point I’ve given up on predicting when it’s actually gonna happen or why. The administration saying "nothing to see here" being the trigger would be pretty hilarious though.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:18
|
|
|
Lightning Knight posted:I know but what I’m saying is that there’s been daily “the market is gonna crash soon!!!” takes in these threads since early 2017 and at this point I’ve given up on predicting when it’s actually gonna happen or why. The big concerns are as follows: a) we're kind of overdue for a downturn b) the recovery from 2008 was a false recovery in many ways c) the people in positions to deal with a sharp downturn have views that are not good for handling downturns d) Trumpybrains is President. As such it would be probably best to get us over that cliff quickly than to draw it out any further because it's not going to get any better. Taerkar fucked around with this message at 01:21 on Dec 24, 2018 |
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:19
|
|
|
Economists are just pundits with a graduate degree so predicting anything but the broadest of trends is out of their reach
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:19
|
|
|
Pakled posted:I read that all along the chain of command, they have frequent nuclear drills where they don't tell the people involved that it's a drill until it's over, so in the event of a real nuclear launch, it's indistinguishable from a drill. https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/were-the-only-plane-in-the-sky-214230 Lt. Gen. Tom Keck, commander, Barksdale Air Force Base, Shreveport, La.: I was the commander of the 8th Air Force. We were in the midst of this big annual exercise called GLOBAL GUARDIAN. They loaded all the bombers, put the submarines out to sea, put the ICBMs at nearly 100 percent. It was routine, you did it every year. A captain tapped me on the shoulder and said, “Sir, we just had an aircraft hit the World Trade Center.” I started to correct him, saying, “When you have an exercise input you have to start by saying, ‘I have an exercise input.’ That way it doesn’t get confused with the real world.” Then he just pointed me to the TV screens in the command center. You could see smoke pouring out of the building. Like everyone else in aviation that day, I thought, “How in a clear-and-a-million day could someone hit the World Trade Center?” Then later when Air Force One landed at Barksdale AFB in Shreveport LA, home of the nuke capable B-52s (and I have seen many B-52s making maneuvers over the area and they look pretty dang close when they are in a landing pattern and flying over I-20) Brian Montgomery: As soon as we landed, Mark Rosenker [director of the White House Military Office] and I went off the back stairs. There’s this guy who looks like General Buck Turgidson from Dr. Strangelove, big guy, all decked out in a bomber jacket. He was straight out of central casting. We said, “What do you need?” He said, “See those planes? Every one is loaded with nukes—tell me where you want ’em.” We look over and there are just rows of B-52s, wingtip to wingtip. I joked, “Gosh, don’t tell [the president!].”
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:20
|
|
|
A hahaha this is a loving Republican senator and not a rando leftist Twitter troll, fucken lol
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:23
|
|
|
empty whippet box posted:A hahaha this is a loving Republican senator and not a rando leftist Twitter troll, fucken lol On the one hand it's kind of funny, but on the other hand what has Bob Corker actually done to push back against Trump and his policies beyond the occasional twitter burn?
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:27
|
|
|
A GIANT PARSNIP posted:Can't wait for the market to crash and for Trump to crank the immigrant hating up to 11 in response. wouldnt 11 be lower though?
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:29
|
|
|
Taerkar posted:The big concerns are as follows: He's not wrong, though. "Recession next year, probably" has been a basically reasonable statement since around 2016. This is the second longest expansion in US history. If it continues through 2019 then it'll take the record, so people really have been saying that it's right around the corner for a while.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:29
|
|
|
Shimrra Jamaane posted:So is the economy about to crash? I loving hope so.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:30
|
|
|
Paradoxish posted:He's not wrong, though. "Recession next year, probably" has been a basically reasonable statement since around 2016. This is the second longest expansion in US history. If it continues through 2019 then it'll take the record, so people really have been saying that it's right around the corner for a while. Not saying that he is wrong, more of why the expectation is for a downturn soon. Assuming if course that we're not actually already in one that's been hidden by the corporate tax cuts and stock buybacks.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:32
|
|
|
empty whippet box posted:A hahaha this is a loving Republican senator and not a rando leftist Twitter troll, fucken lol Yeah Corker has done absolutely nothing to counter Trump but at least in his final month as a senator he laid out a sick twitter burn!
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:35
|
|
|
The problem with all these very concerned republican senators is that they actually agree with Trump on basically everything (and especially on everything relevant to how they vote), they just don't like him personally
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:36
|
|
|
cheetah7071 posted:The problem with all these very concerned republican senators is that they actually agree with Trump on basically everything (and especially on everything relevant to how they vote), they just don't like him personally This isn't entirely true; a lot of them disagree with him on trade wars and foreign policy, and those are the issues that have been flaring up recently.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:39
|
|
|
Taerkar posted:Not saying that he is wrong, more of why the expectation is for a downturn soon. Assuming if course that we're not actually already in one that's been hidden by the corporate tax cuts and stock buybacks. Nah, recessions are usually defined by negative GDP and employment growth. I don't think you could really cover up the economy being in recession without a widescale conspiracy to fudge economic reports.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:42
|
|
|
Shimrra Jamaane posted:I’m just wondering what terrible knee jerk decisions Trump will make to try and fix things if the economy really begins to collapse. What crazy rear end poo poo will he tweet? “I HAVE ORDERED THE TREASURY TO PRINT Hyperinflation solves the student loan debt crisis; hooray! 
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:48
|
|
|
This is fine.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:58
|
|
|
Imagine if your angry grandpa could just start threatening to replace the fed chairman every time his investments lost money.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 01:58
|
|
|
evilweasel posted:so is the admin trying to start a panic to get a recession now in the hopes it’s over by 2020 or what CLEARLY the fecal smudge is bored and there's no news on fox, so he found a movie currently running on the cable, and told treasury to "fix it": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EOzMdEwYmDU
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:05
|
|
|
When will Dershowitz threaten to leave the party again like he did over Ellison? Before or after he's found guilty of child rape?
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:07
|
|
|
ZypherIM posted:Oh god, how much of his executive time is watch porn. I feel physically ill now.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:09
|
|
|
Since Reagan this poo poo has been a sort of endgame of Conservatives. Dismantle and weaken the Federal Government for their cronies to make a buck. It was impossible to reason with Republican posters and conservatives around 2000 after 9/11 and now we are at the bed they made. All this corruption and problems come through their end, easily manipulatable and influenced dupes. Putin controlled President with a financial and possible literal nuclear option at his fingertips to spite. Conservatives are really the American Taliban. Hail Bernie, hail AOC, the only way to send things in the right direction inching along the way to sanity and away from the rear end end conservatives have dragged things to. And they still will not be open to reason and sense and offer up a whole lot of bullshit. America’s problems are not just foreign, it is them and they are local.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:11
|
|
|
Canada is making their money gay!   Meet Dermophis donaldtrumpi, a blind, burrowing amphibian that "has a propensity for burrowing its head in the ground". SneezeOfTheDecade fucked around with this message at 02:22 on Dec 24, 2018 |
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:17
|
|
|
I don't see how they are less patient. They literally are shutting down the government because of an asinine and wasteful promise they know is bullshit when they could have just passed the clean CR. Republicans say a lot of poo poo but they will go down with the Trump train to the end and then pretend they were defenders of the country a second later.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:23
|
|
|
Shimrra Jamaane posted:It feels like they’re much less patient with him. sounds pretty fuckin’ patient
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:34
|
|
|
zenguitarman posted:This is fine. It really is fine. In most of those cases, it's career civil service folks doing those jobs who are preferable to 100% of Trumpist appointments.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:38
|
|
|
enraged_camel posted:I loving hope so. Why do people say poo poo like this? Acceleration isn’t the answer.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:42
|
|
|
Solkanar512 posted:Why do people say poo poo like this? Acceleration isn’t the answer. Because Kevin O'Leary needs to eat poo poo, hope this illuminates things.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:43
|
|
|
It's not accelerationism if the poor are hosed either way.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:45
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 1, 2024 05:50 |
|
|
Solkanar512 posted:Why do people say poo poo like this? Acceleration isn’t the answer. I generally agree. But I think since a recession/depression is all but inevitable, I would rather it happen on the Republican's watch. Since their policies will be responsible for it, so they can't punt the blame on the next hopefully Democratic administration, and so that administration has a larger majority.
|
|
#
?
Dec 24, 2018 02:47
|
|
