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H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Epic High Five posted:

rural whites will participate in revolution before the urban libs do, and when the libs join in it will be on the side of the fascists

rural whites hate fascism yes

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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



World War Mammories posted:

as an urban by-some-metrics lib, all i ask is a chance to prove myself for the revolution, and a swift death by firing squad when i fail

you'll be the first the libs help the new SS round up sorry

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

rural whites hate fascism yes

they like it more than anything third way dems have to offer, but even here the two are just tied

a left populist message would get at least enough turncoats for things to get really fuckin ugly for the GOP in their beating heart districts

affluent libs have never, ever, ever in the history of the world sided with people to their left if the status quo was on the line but there's a loooooong history of poor whites gathering together to pull their boss out of their house and throw him down a well

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Epic High Five posted:

a left populist message would get at least enough turncoats for things to get really fuckin ugly for the GOP in their beating heart districts

affluent libs have never, ever, ever in the history of the world sided with people to their left if the status quo was on the line but there's a loooooong history of poor whites gathering together to pull their boss out of their house and throw him down a well

i'm not 100% sure about the former on the gulf coast these days, but the longs did manage to pull it off without having to dip into racism and jesus by telling louisianians that the new deal wasn't good enough and demanding to go further (to be paid for by a wealth tax) so the playbook's certainly there if you can go hard enough to tempt assassination

but you're absolutely right about the latter and i can see plenty of libs turning coat p quick in any kinda hard downturn, comparatively

Dixie Cretin Seaman
Jan 22, 2008

all hat and one catte
Hot Rope Guy

Epic High Five posted:

affluent libs have never, ever, ever in the history of the world sided with people to their left if the status quo was on the line but there's a loooooong history of poor whites gathering together to pull their boss out of their house and throw him down a well

we've covered this, op. there's an even longer history of poor whites fighting and dying for their boss' right to subjugate nonwhite people

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



H.P. Hovercraft posted:

i'm not 100% sure about the former on the gulf coast these days, but the longs did manage to pull it off without having to dip into racism and jesus by telling louisianians that the new deal wasn't good enough and demanding to go further (to be paid for by a wealth tax) so the playbook's certainly there if you can go hard enough to tempt assassination

but you're absolutely right about the latter and i can see plenty of libs turning coat p quick in any kinda hard downturn, comparatively

Gulf Coast like Florida? lol parts of it maybe but the chud retiree and moloch worshipper bits will never bend because their whole worldview is using any leverage to cause innocent people to suffer

The rest of the gulf coast tho is basically huge amounts of poor and minority people who have been getting skullfucked by the establishment elite for decades or centuries

and yeah it's no mystery why anybody who starts to talk about how social reform isn't enough, and we need economic and prison reform too, suddenly gets killed in an extremely mysterious way

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Dixie Cretin Seaman posted:

we've covered this, op. there's an even longer history of poor whites fighting and dying for their boss' right to subjugate nonwhite people

progressive reform will never, ever get a majority of white people, I'd be stupid to claim that, but it doesn't need a majority of them if it creates enthusiasm among the youth and minority blocs while also attracting a small but significant amount of self-styled independent whites

there's a reason why collaborator Dems use the messaging they do lol, their whole intention is to be uninspiring so they're never put in a position where they'll have to do more than hold expensive cocktail parties with donors

fits my needs
Jan 1, 2011

Grimey Drawer
not all whites :hmmyes:

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Epic High Five posted:

they like it more than anything third way dems have to offer, but even here the two are just tied


rural whites liked third way Democrats because third-way Democrats framed their welfare reforms as punishing the "lazy" and rewarding the "hard-working". The whole point of welfare reform was to link government assistance to work to appease racial resentment on the part of rural whites who saw welfare as rewarding Cadillac driving welfare queens. Rural white America hates the "unvirtuous" poor below them as much as the coastal elites above them.

bill clinton was popular in rural america, and continued to be all the way up to maybe 2016 if not today. Rural America is not some hotspring of leftism just waiting for a socialist savior to come along.

Homeless Friend
Jul 16, 2007

Dixie Cretin Seaman posted:

we've covered this, op. there's an even longer history of poor whites fighting and dying for their boss' right to subjugate nonwhite people

Of course, the affluent are well served by inaction. They get their armed enforcers to do the work of beating and killing.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



then, of course, you have the fact that an entire generation that is already skewing to the left pretty hard is being actively denied all of the lifetime milestones that would make one amenable to the status quo by the rent seeking turbo capitalists that preceded them

anyway it's all irrelevant because climate change is gonna kill us all first, and those that live will either be exiled to the radioactive wastes or pressed into indentured service as a gas chamber operator at camps for climate refugees

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Also remember that left wing orgs in the South are actively attacked if they get big enough. A thing I've noticed in local town elections is that having organization can be more important than just matching the town's political alignment. Thats why telecom companies can shut down efforts for municipal wifi or broad band, cause they got professionals who can politic and campaign 24/7 with a 3 ring binder of proven tactics and the locals are like 20 people handing out flyers when theyre off work. Thats the point of cointelpro, to stop local movments from getting their poo poo together enough to threaten that.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Typo posted:

rural whites liked third way Democrats because third-way Democrats framed their welfare reforms as punishing the "lazy" and rewarding the "hard-working". The whole point of welfare reform was to link government assistance to work to appease racial resentment on the part of rural whites who saw welfare as rewarding Cadillac driving welfare queens. Rural white America hates the "unvirtuous" poor below them as much as the coastal elites above them.

bill clinton was popular in rural america, and continued to be all the way up to maybe 2016 if not today. Rural America is not some hotspring of leftism just waiting for a socialist savior to come along.

They seem pretty torn on Bernie in a way that isn't the case about any third way Dem

maybe they just want a white guy with funny hair who promises to destroy everything

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



I think a really funny political geography dark horse that has a 50/50 chance of happening would be the next big crash causing a flight from coastal enclaves of young white people to mid-large cities in the interior, it's already happening to an extent in Texas and it's collapsed a shitload of gerrymanders

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Epic High Five posted:

They seem pretty torn on Bernie in a way that isn't the case about any third way Dem


OTOH: Third way Democrats actually -won- general elections in rural America whereas Bernie haven't

the type of Democrat who actually wins rural America in actual elections aren't some left-wing third world Maoist that a bunch of internet posters who overwhelmingly live in urban enclaves thinks rural America wants (because Marxist (tm) class analysis). The Democrats who win there are relatively moderate Democrats like Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar and Steve Bullock.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Typo posted:

OTOH: Third way Democrats actually -won- general elections in rural America whereas Bernie haven't

the type of Democrat who actually wins rural America in actual elections aren't some left-wing third world Maoist that a bunch of internet posters who overwhelmingly live in urban enclaves thinks rural America wants (because Marxist (tm) class analysis). The Democrats who win there are relatively moderate Democrats like Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar and Steve Bullock.

lol every Dem in my state took your advice and now I don't have any Dem reps anymore, doesn't stop the pisshog from going on TV all the time to lecture me on how to win elections by running right and punching left tho

shithead center right Dems have been the overwhelming majority of the party for decades and all they've done is lose thousands of seats and become the Washington Generals of politics, if it was a winning formula we wouldn't be here right now

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Epic High Five posted:

lol every Dem in my state took your advice and now I don't have any Dem reps anymore, doesn't stop the pisshog from going on TV all the time to lecture me on how to win elections by running right and punching left tho

shithead center right Dems have been the overwhelming majority of the party for decades and all they've done is lose thousands of seats and become the Washington Generals of politics, if it was a winning formula we wouldn't be here right now

The reason why Democrats lost rural america is that they were seen as too left and that you can no longer credibly run as a conservative Democrat.

Obama lost because he was seen as too left in whole swath of rural America, the appeal of him as a left-wing progressive (which he never was lol) was always among young people in cities, not the heartland.

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Typo posted:

Obama lost because he was seen as too left in whole swath of rural America, the appeal of him as a left-wing progressive (which he never was lol) was always among young people in cities, not the heartland.

the gently caress did obama lose

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Agean90 posted:

the gently caress did obama lose

the 2010 midterms

in the exact same way Trump lost the 2018 house election

Business Gorillas
Mar 11, 2009

:harambe:



Typo posted:

OTOH: Third way Democrats actually -won- general elections in rural America whereas Bernie haven't

the type of Democrat who actually wins rural America in actual elections aren't some left-wing third world Maoist that a bunch of internet posters who overwhelmingly live in urban enclaves thinks rural America wants (because Marxist (tm) class analysis). The Democrats who win there are relatively moderate Democrats like Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar and Steve Bullock.

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Typo posted:

The reason why Democrats lost rural america is that they were seen as too left and that you can no longer credibly run as a conservative Democrat.

Obama lost because he was seen as too left in whole swath of rural America, the appeal of him as a left-wing progressive (which he never was lol) was always among young people in cities, not the heartland.

oh so their primary issue is losing the messaging war because they aren't even trying to fight back, because it's clear to everybody that they don't actually BELIEVE in anything

2008 Obama took my state lol

Typo posted:

the 2010 midterms

in the exact same way Trump lost the 2018 house election

are you going to argue that this happened because the Dems in 2018 took your advice and ran on a Republican platform? Because I'm in a blood red state and let me tell you the vaunted political imaginings of rural Americans that you claim is so critical was very much insisting the opposite

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Typo posted:

the 2010 midterms

in the exact same way Trump lost the 2018 house election

you mean by half assing his promised reforms in a way that only benefited a faction of the people while also dismantling his grassroots org preventing him from replicating turnout? Also I don't recall Obama ginning up a story entirely for the midterms and using it to dominate the media's reporting

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



every "relatively moderate" Dem in "flyover country" ate loving poo poo because anybody who wants lower taxes and a secure border or whatever it is those dumbasses are rambling on about now has a shiny new party of explicit genocide and white supremacy and looting of the public coffers to vote for

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Obama took my state on a left reform message and then lost it when he turned out to be a center right schmuck lol

He'd have done better in 2010 and 2012 if he's killed all the bankers like he promised

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


*spends decades not doing anything so the state parties wither* actually the progressive candidates are to blame. Let's sell out gay people!!!

got any sevens
Feb 9, 2013

by Cyrano4747

Epic High Five posted:

UHHHHHH SIR, SIR PRESIDENT TRUMP SIR, I VOTED FOR *OTHER* PEOPLE'S CHILDREN TO BE SACRIFICED TO MAINTAIN THE STATUS QUO OF WHITE SUPREMACY, NOT *MY* CHILDREN SIR

securing a future for our young gray matter?

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Epic High Five posted:

oh so their primary issue is losing the messaging war because they aren't even trying to fight back, because it's clear to everybody that they don't actually BELIEVE in anything

2008 Obama took my state lol
2008 Obama had the advantage of

1) incumbent GOP president at what 28% approval?
2) Iraq war
3) 2008 financial crisis

all at once, so yeah you are gonna flip a deep red state under those circumstances, not because Indiana secretly wants socialism

quote:

are you going to argue that this happened because the Dems in 2018 took your advice and ran on a Republican platform? Because I'm in a blood red state and let me tell you the vaunted political imaginings of rural Americans that you claim is so critical was very much insisting the opposite

Tester and Manchin both won their races even if Mascksill/Heidi/Donnelly lost, even though manchin is probably the closest dem to be a republican there is.

You might have a point, except for the winners of 2018 were moderate Democrats whom D&D swear would never win an election ever, and the senators who beat the blue-dog trio were even more conservative Republicans. That suggests the problem was never "oh if only they ran as maoists they woulda won", that suggests rural america is overwhelmingly conservative, and they voted Republican because you can no longer credibly run as a conservative democrat.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Agean90 posted:

you mean by half assing his promised reforms in a way that only benefited a faction of the people while also dismantling his grassroots org preventing him from replicating turnout? Also I don't recall Obama ginning up a story entirely for the midterms and using it to dominate the media's reporting

I'm not gonna say you are wrong in the sense that yes, mobilization is a good strategy, but "mobilize the grassroot" wins you cities and maybe suburbs, it's not gonna help you in rural america because there aren't that many young people or progressives for you to mobilize

Typo has issued a correction as of 00:34 on Jan 4, 2019

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Epic High Five posted:

every "relatively moderate" Dem in "flyover country" ate loving poo poo because anybody who wants lower taxes and a secure border or whatever it is those dumbasses are rambling on about now has a shiny new party of explicit genocide and white supremacy and looting of the public coffers to vote for

this might surprise you but it's entirely possible that rural America simultaneously hates people who call them flyover country but they also really wants to keep out immigrants

Typo has issued a correction as of 00:35 on Jan 4, 2019

Ither
Jan 30, 2010

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1080851981814636545

I wish there was a way to only open the government for non chuds while people like this suffered.

Ither has issued a correction as of 00:35 on Jan 4, 2019

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Ither posted:

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1080851981814636545

I wish there was a way to only open the government for non Chuds.

Things gonna start getting real wild after gov workers miss their first paycheck on the 6th.

Grape
Nov 16, 2017

Happily shilling for China!

Epic High Five posted:

you'll be the first the libs help the new SS round up sorry


they like it more than anything third way dems have to offer, but even here the two are just tied

a left populist message would get at least enough turncoats for things to get really fuckin ugly for the GOP in their beating heart districts

affluent libs have never, ever, ever in the history of the world sided with people to their left if the status quo was on the line but there's a loooooong history of poor whites gathering together to pull their boss out of their house and throw him down a well

There's also a long history of poor whites rallying together to do certain other things to other sorts of people. And I think those people went up in trees rather than down wells.

I mean the fundamental thing is right, but that's after one digs through your working class person fetishism that is going to do gently caress all to actually grapple with the state of the nation and the brain poisons that are so popular in that demographic.

scary ghost dog
Aug 5, 2007

Typo posted:

I'm not gonna say you are wrong, but "mobilize the grassroot" wins you cities and maybe suburbs, it's not gonna help you in rural america because there aren't that many young people or progressives for you to mobilize

you are a moron

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

Typo posted:

bill clinton was popular in rural america, and continued to be all the way up to maybe 2016 if not today. Rural America is not some hotspring of leftism just waiting for a socialist savior to come along.

Typo posted:

the type of Democrat who actually wins rural America in actual elections aren't some left-wing third world Maoist that a bunch of internet posters who overwhelmingly live in urban enclaves thinks rural America wants (because Marxist (tm) class analysis). The Democrats who win there are relatively moderate Democrats like Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar and Steve Bullock.
I'm curious where this data comes from, because without compiling a huge county-by-county map of the entire country for every state and general election going back decades, all I can really confirm is that yes, states with proportionally rural populations liked Clinton better than they liked any other Democratic candidates.

Grape posted:

I mean the fundamental thing is right, but that's after one digs through your working class person fetishism that is going to do gently caress all to actually grapple with the state of the nation and the brain poisons that are so popular in that demographic.
It's weird that you think the "left populist message" EHF refers to can only mean "working class person fetishism."

Halloween Jack has issued a correction as of 00:42 on Jan 4, 2019

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Typo posted:

I'm not gonna say you are wrong, but "mobilize the grassroot" wins you cities and maybe suburbs, it's not gonna help you in rural america because there aren't that many young people or progressives for you to mobilize

Just because there "aren't that many" doesnt make it worth while. The Dems didn't just lose federal seats, the lost hundreds of local and state seats that have a serious effect on how people live their lives. While getting a bunch of high schoolers and can't llege dropouts in nowheresville to help canvass won't flip the house rep seat, it can flip city and county councils which can have a radical effect on everything from how schools taught, to rent control, to getting multiunit housing put in over mcmansions, to keeping the town bus line operating past 5pm. All of that stuff is things people notice and the Dems current situation can be directly traced to giving up in a lot of those elections.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Grape posted:

There's also a long history of poor whites rallying together to do certain other things to other sorts of people. And I think those people went up in trees rather than down wells.

I mean the fundamental thing is right, but that's after one digs through your working class person fetishism that is going to do gently caress all to actually grapple with the state of the nation and the brain poisons that are so popular in that demographic.

the KKK was primarily white middle management and chamber of commerce types as well as white clergy, the groups most invested in a racial caste system and maintenance of the status quo and who have been the most reliable reactionaries in this country since before it was a country

my pitch is that instead of trying to appeal to these types of people they should appear to the actually poor people who actually vote for them

the most persistent lie repeated today in politics is that Americans are a lot more conservative than they actually are when you ask them, the Dems internalized this and ate poo poo because of it, I don't advise you do the same

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

Halloween Jack posted:

I'm curious where this data comes from, because without compiling a huge county-by-county map of the entire country for every state and general election going back decades, all I can really confirm is that yes, states with proportionally rural populations liked Clinton better than they liked any other Democratic candidates.

the other fun part is that for some reason, after clinton cut their welfare and it turned out that oops, they were actually tallied in the ranks of the Undeserving, eat poo poo, they didn't come back to the party ever again.

probably just because of their being racist against john kerry, imo

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Agean90 posted:

Just because there "aren't that many" doesnt make it worth while. The Dems didn't just lose federal seats, the lost hundreds of local and state seats that have a serious effect on how people live their lives. While getting a bunch of high schoolers and can't llege dropouts in nowheresville to help canvass won't flip the house rep seat, it can flip city and countr
y council's which can have a radical effect on everything from how schools taught, to rent control, to getting multiunit housing put in over mcmansions, to keeping the town bus line operating past 5pm. All of that stuff is things people notice and the Dems current situation can be directly traced to giving up in a lot of those elections.

oh sure, I'm not saying you are wrong or mobilization is the wrong strategy.

Mobilization is absolutely the right strategy and 2018 showed that.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Halloween Jack posted:

I'm curious where this data comes from, because without compiling a huge county-by-county map of the entire country for every state and general election going back decades, all I can really confirm is that yes, states with proportionally rural populations liked Clinton better than they liked any other Democratic candidates.
I can find a better source but:

Clinton won around half the counties in America in 1996

By the time Obama won re-election in 2012 he was down to around a quarter of the counties, he actually won less counties in wining than Dukakis won in losing in '88

Hillary Clinton was at around 15-17% in 2016 I think

The kicker is of course, all 3 won the popular vote so the easiest explanation is that the Democratic votes have became more concentrated in cities and lost them in rural areas, hence why they can maintain popular vote victories while having a fraction of the counties they had 20 years ago

Halloween Jack
Sep 12, 2003
I WILL CUT OFF BOTH OF MY ARMS BEFORE I VOTE FOR ANYONE THAT IS MORE POPULAR THAN BERNIE!!!!!

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:

the other fun part is that for some reason, after clinton cut their welfare and it turned out that oops, they were actually tallied in the ranks of the Undeserving, eat poo poo, they didn't come back to the party ever again.

probably just because of their being racist against john kerry, imo
It's almost as if rural people will support an economic justice platform when the Democratic Party actually has one, and that race-baiting and other vile poo poo is a fallback that the Republicans do better. And if you believe that, you might start thinking that appealing to these people doesn't require catering to their racism or some bizarre plan to reeducate them one-by-one.

Crazy talk. Poor white people would rather chop their own dicks off than just vote for whatever party supports unions and social spending. It's why West Virginia is, and has always been, the most solidly Republican state in the union.

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fits my needs
Jan 1, 2011

Grimey Drawer
why are poor whites so racist tho

it’s a conspiracy from white middle management KKK types!!!! lol what

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