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The Puppet Master posted:Brexit means no bananas 
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Jan 6, 2019 15:06
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bananas are a silly fruit anyhow
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Jan 6, 2019 15:09
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The Puppet Master posted:Brexit means no bananas finally that guy who spent a ton of money trying to win the rasta banana will have his investment pay off
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Jan 6, 2019 15:15
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I will become a banana smuggler to save british goons
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Jan 6, 2019 15:32
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Grape posted:The UK is going to come to resemble the tensions of modern Iraq. i've always admired the iranians so im cool with this
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Jan 6, 2019 15:54
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Baloogan posted:bananas are a silly fruit anyhow I imagine people will be forced to watch Youtube vidoes which show authentic rationing era recipes and substitutes
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Jan 6, 2019 16:43
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Yinlock posted:because it's what she's wanted from the beginning, it's what they all want but can't say out loud Eh she was a fence sitter in the referendum, her one contribution was having a go at the ECHR, if she really was dead for it then she's had some odd strategies in the past few years. I think she just is completely out of her depth right now and needs something to call hers rather than being tossed out having accomplished nothing but bad things for the Tory party.
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Jan 6, 2019 17:08
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namesake posted:Eh she was a fence sitter in the referendum, her one contribution was having a go at the ECHR, if she really was dead for it then she's had some odd strategies in the past few years. If she’s worried about her legacy I’m not sure she’s on the right path.
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Jan 6, 2019 17:10
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idk she's doing a pretty good job of making a case for herself being the worst prime minister ever, which is a kind of legacy p impressive given cameron started this whole nightmare but she has consistently made a terrible situation worse by making the stupidest most shortsighted possible decision at every opportunity
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Jan 6, 2019 17:14
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etalian posted:I imagine people will be forced to watch Youtube vidoes which show authentic rationing era recipes and substitutes Next time, on Ben & Holly's little kingdom! After King Thistle leaves the Elvish Union, Nanny Plum learns how to make ladybug stew!
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Jan 6, 2019 17:24
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Drunkboxer posted:If she’s worried about her legacy I’m not sure she’s on the right path. She's only PM right now because no one else in the Tory party wants the job badly enough at this godawful point in time and promises to be gone before the next fixed election during which she has a minority government scrabbling for a majority by throwing billions at the DUP. Brexit is only happening because she triggered Article 50 before she called the election and there's nothing else of note that she'll get through parliament because they have no new ideas and the old ones are impossible or unpopular now. No matter how bad it is, Brexit is the best she'll be able to do. I mean I doubt we'd even be able to go to war at this point.
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Jan 6, 2019 18:08
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https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1081678914123124741?s=21 how is Corbyn so bad at this lmao
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Jan 6, 2019 18:28
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normally the winter kills off some of the olds voting base but it's been too mild recently
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Jan 6, 2019 18:30
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kecske posted:normally the winter kills off some of the olds voting base but it's been too mild recently The next few months should be considered a deliberate act of murder though, it's government policy to force an starved health service to attempt to save a starved population.
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Jan 6, 2019 18:32
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namesake posted:The next few months should be considered a deliberate act of murder though, it's government policy to force an starved health service to attempt to save a starved population. Theresa May, the Butcher of Britain She'll probably be made a loving saint
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Jan 6, 2019 18:35
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comrade May did what she had to to collectivize the acorn orchards
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Jan 6, 2019 18:38
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Fallen Hamprince posted:https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1081678914123124741?s=21 Poll posters suck poo poo. It's not an election. What the gently caress does that lovely poll matter? It'll say something else next week. That's how they work. Did you have respect for Corbyn in the polls where Labour were a point ahead?
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Jan 6, 2019 18:47
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Basically everyone in the country made up their minds about Brexit and Corbyn two years ago and no one's changed a drat bit since.
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Jan 6, 2019 18:59
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did that rich guy who spent a bunch on polls before the last election (or maybe it was two ago) collect any useful data in hindsight? did that end up helping predict reality? it seems like polling marginal ridings or whatever the gently caress you people call swing districts would get you a long way toward predicting things, since so many would only flip in an election so lopsided you'd know it from your results on hand anyway this seems to be the data for that polling question up through one or two polls ago: https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/847snhcoqc/YG%20trackers%20-%20Voting%20Intention%20since%20GE%202017_W.pdf looks like the conservative lead over labour has bounced from +5 to +1 and back to +6 over the last month or so. i guess yall can tell me what that means. im guessing not much edit vv oh that sucks i had been vaguely hoping it was some tory roundboy who just loved election data oystertoadfish has issued a correction as of 19:10 on Jan 6, 2019 |
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Jan 6, 2019 19:01
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oystertoadfish posted:did that rich guy who spent a bunch on polls before the last election (or maybe it was two ago) collect any useful data in hindsight? did that end up helping predict reality? If you mean Ashcroft, lol no he just finds that [his opinion] is resoundingly popular or drops the most inflammatory comments made in the focus groups he coaches his results from
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Jan 6, 2019 19:06
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i decided to be less ignorant and found this thingy from early in the decade correlating polls like that one (i guess they weren't tracking polls but whatever) to results http://users.ox.ac.uk/~nuff0084/PollsandtheVoteinBritain.pdf  for whatever that's worth from quickly googling i guess there has to be an election by 5/5/22 - that, for reference, is 1,215 days from now
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Jan 6, 2019 19:25
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Fallen Hamprince posted:https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1081678914123124741?s=21 Shur the fu k up
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Jan 6, 2019 19:27
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Fallen Hamprince posted:https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1081678914123124741?s=21 quiz time: when's the next general election? also will it be before or after whatever clusterfuck Brexit/no Brexit scenario we're headed for plays out? do you think whatever happens with that might have an enormous impact on how people vote in the ge? thinking about your answers to the above, how useful is that poll in predicting the likely outcome of the next general election? answers on a postcard
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Jan 6, 2019 19:29
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XMNN posted:quiz time: if corbyn's brexit strategy succeeds the next election will be in the next few months. to make this clearer for you, corbyn is desperately trying to trigger an election that polling shows he would lose, in the hope that he can somehow close the gap by offering voters a "jobs first brexit"
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Jan 6, 2019 19:41
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Fallen Hamprince posted:if corbyn's brexit strategy succeeds the next election will be in the next few months. to make this clearer for you, corbyn is desperately trying to trigger an election that polling shows he would lose, in the hope that he can somehow close the gap by offering voters a "jobs first brexit" I wonder if Corbyn has any reason to believe pre-election polls might not be reflective of the results.
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Jan 6, 2019 19:59
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if the next election results correspond to that poll the same way last election results corresponded to election polling at the start of the cycle, labor will win by a 20 point margin
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Jan 6, 2019 20:25
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I'm also really hopeful that turnout continues it's return upwards to historic average because with UKIP nowhere to be seen recently and a transformed Labour offering a better vision for the youth and now middle aged people they'll benefit from that more than in the last few elections.
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Jan 6, 2019 20:32
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https://twitter.com/damocrat/status/1081692216148586496 lol remainers are so smug when their country is about to eat poo poo, and they're mad at Corbyn and not the worst Prime Minister in History Theresa May.
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Jan 6, 2019 20:34
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DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:if the next election results correspond to that poll the same way last election results corresponded to election polling at the start of the cycle, labor will win by a 20 point margin 
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Jan 6, 2019 20:46
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Fallen Hamprince posted:if corbyn's brexit strategy succeeds the next election will be in the next few months. to make this clearer for you, corbyn is desperately trying to trigger an election that polling shows he would lose, in the hope that he can somehow close the gap by offering voters a "jobs first brexit" lol exactly it will be after whatever may deal/no deal/no Brexit shitstorm goes down in parliament which will absolutely effect (maybe positively, maybe negatively) labours results at the next election and its a bit useless speculating based on a single poll taken before any of that happens, during a bit of a lull in the Brexit news cycle tbh I don't think anyone can confidently predict how the next few months will play out or how that will effect the next election least of all you, given that you've pretty consistently demonstrated that you know gently caress all about what's going on and can't even be bothered to do 5 minutes research on google 
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Jan 6, 2019 21:07
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I suddenly feel less of a dickhead buying some extra beans this weekend :P
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Jan 6, 2019 21:11
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XMNN posted:i think im going to start watching ray mears videos to learn how to forage sorrel and whittle a canoe https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkH8U1Qd0Ic frajaq posted:I will become a banana smuggler to save british goons Is that a banana you're smuggling or are you just pleased to see me? 
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Jan 6, 2019 21:54
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goon project - arrange for this to be number one for Brexit day
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Jan 6, 2019 22:47
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hi american here, have u brits not learned the utter uselessness of polls yet
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Jan 6, 2019 23:55
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because they're dumb and useless if you haven't
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Jan 6, 2019 23:56
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https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1082046934163038210
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Jan 7, 2019 00:01
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theyre especially dumb and useless months or years out from an election (when we have some fairly weak media balance rules that did seem to have a significant impact last time) theyre really especially dumb and useless when it's a single poll taken on the wrong side of what are (hopefully) going to be some of the most important and chaotic political events of most british people's lifetimes
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Jan 7, 2019 00:03
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Raskolnikov38 posted:because they're dumb and useless if you haven't polls predicted 2016 and brexit to within margin of error, the ~narrative~ interpreted those marginal leads to mean certain victory for clinton and remain the point is not that the tories will 100% win the next election, its that labour is somehow still less popular than the party about to destroy the country, to the point that people ITT are relying on the tories actually destroying the country to drag corbyn over the finish line.
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Jan 7, 2019 00:21
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the tories have almost every leave voter picking them in polls on top of the people who would never vote labour anyway. there are only 2 parties. what the gently caress else would you expect the polls to show
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Jan 7, 2019 00:23
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Why are you so invested in the Labor losing
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Jan 7, 2019 00:25
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