|
Re: the senate, Colorado and Maine are the likely pickups, and Iowa and North Carolina seem like they're winnable, but I don't think the predictions tell the while story on several other eats. Montana has a very popular former D governor eyeing the nomination, and the Montana state party has shown an impressive degree of strength in post-Trump races. Kansas is surging blue on Every front, and if the state party can keep that momentum going and field a strong candidate I would be very worried if I were that particular R senator. Georgian D's are furious after what happened in the governors race, and if she runs for Senate it would be a very scary thing for the Rs to deal with. A couple people see an R lean in New Hampshire, but I've heard that the D senator there is extremely popular in that Manchin way, so its hard to imagine she's in too much danger. I think the biggest question to be answered is who the Dems are going to field in AZ and how the electorate is going to respond to someone the state actively voted against being handed a Senate seat. I've also been wondering if Kentucky isn't more vulnerable than one might think. I remember seeing polls that favor the Dem in the upcoming Governor's race, and Mitch is reviled by Chuds for being a Rino who sabotages daddy all the time.
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:12
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 6, 2024 21:34 |
|
|
I feel like speculating that Tom Cruise might be gay is bad and mean-spirited in a way that it isn't with someone like John Mahoney, but I can't really articulate why.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:14
|
|
|
AlBorlantern Corps posted:I'd say the other way round Anyway, looking forward to Trump being impeached for the shutdown at this point. Edit: the fact that a net 3+ Democratic victory in the senate is even possible, even with the 2020 map, speaks to the absolute failure of the Republican party in 2019, but we'll see in 2 years. Tibalt fucked around with this message at 18:19 on Jan 17, 2019 |
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:16
|
|
|
Party Plane Jones posted:
poo poo, I didn't know No Chin Chuck was a holocaust denier. i assumed he was charlie kirk "rationalist" type douchebag.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:17
|
|
|
Dapper_Swindler posted:are the chuds a majority in the party base though. i have a bunch of republican relatives and they arnt chuds. that being said, they arnt politically aware because they work a ton. generally speaking, the less sane a Republican is, the more likely they are to vote in primaries
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:17
|
|
|
Forwarding this to wife in never ending attempt to get a husky puppy now for when our kid can crawl and because our other husky needs a buddy.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:19
|
|
|
MadDogMike posted:Oh, it’s worse than that, IRS has indicated EITC refunds may be delayed as late as March 4th this year, so poorer people are already kind of screwed. Though for the record I dunno about the “richer people file with extension” thing since my main experience is “don’t have the info” is the primary criteria, which isn’t always a wealth issue (trying to get W-2s from a company you left can be... fun for some people). My point about extensions was that rich people make their money in other ways than from being an employee who gets W2 wage statements, and for some of those ways (partnerships, e.g.) they won't know what they made last year till mid-April, the deadline for receiving those forms from the issuing entity. By law, employers have to issue W2s by Jan. 31, and if they don't, there are mechanisms for people to file their taxes anyway.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:20
|
|
|
Bicyclops posted:I feel like speculating that Tom Cruise might be gay is bad and mean-spirited in a way that it isn't with someone like John Mahoney, but I can't really articulate why. it's tabloid nonsense and, if the rumors are true and he is gay, then he's a gay man being blackmailed/brainwashed by a terrifying cult but if either tom cruise or lindsey graham came out tomorrow, everyone would be like "yeah, and?" just because your secret is such old news it's carved in clay doesn't mean people can't try to extort you for it. although really graham is probably just a spineless bootlicker regardless of his private life
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:20
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/tomscocca/status/1085950203524456458
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:23
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/fdejesusfebles/status/1085903742678036480
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:24
|
|
|
Groovelord Neato posted:if donald trump is not impeached the democrats will have failed spectacularly. it's not about removing him from office (because that won't happen) but doing what is right. even ignoring russia he's done so many things that justify impeachment that not doing it would be a dereliction of duty. Puerto Rico alone is worth impeachment, especially if the recent stories they deliberately didn't send funds are true. Edit lol what timing for this post
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:25
|
|
|
NYT and WAPO columnists are all so detestable it's hard to pick one I hate the most.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:28
|
|
|
So uh what did this guy do https://twitter.com/timelywriter/status/1085950788126588928?s=21
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:29
|
|
|
Radish posted:Puerto Rico alone is worth impeachment, especially if the recent stories they deliberately didn't send funds are true. I feel like Stephen Miller has something to do with it too
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:29
|
|
|
This might be extremely atypical but two out of three times I've been to DC I was able to meet and greet my senator/congressman at their Capitol office by just walking to the receptionist and asking and giving them my address to confirm I was a constituent
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:29
|
|
|
skylined! posted:So uh what did this guy do Saw internal polling.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:31
|
|
|
skylined! posted:So uh what did this guy do He held the football laces in
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:31
|
|
|
skylined! posted:So uh what did this guy do Looked at the writing on the wall
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:33
|
|
|
haveblue posted:Looked at the writing on the wall Is his district poachable?
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:36
|
|
|
skylined! posted:So uh what did this guy do Got offered gently caress YOU money to coordinate with his replacement
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:39
|
|
|
AlBorlantern Corps posted:This might be extremely atypical but two out of three times I've been to DC I was able to meet and greet my senator/congressman at their Capitol office by just walking to the receptionist and asking and giving them my address to confirm I was a constituent Good job helping them categorize you for campaign microtargeting.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:39
|
|
|
Kerning Chameleon posted:Good job helping them categorize you for campaign microtargeting. Well I think I may have helped categorize them to never target me
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:40
|
|
|
Fritz Coldcockin posted:Is his district poachable? R+30 ish.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:40
|
|
|
Groovelord Neato posted:they both have old tweets saying how romney was crushing obama in the debates but i'm pretty sure all their content since becoming famous is empty apolitical trash. They were also like 14 at the time? Not that I’m defending them, they are total grade a assholes.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:40
|
|
|
luxury handset posted:anecdotal, but i worked in foodservice for a very long time, and one of the notable times in the restaurant year is Prom Season, and by the time i finally got out of foodservice i noticed way more interracial and intergender couples having their prom dinners than when i started back in the late 90's. like, remarkably more. To expand on this. When my parents were kids (we live in Maryland) a minority in their school would be maybe a few black, Jewish and hispanic kids. But overall it was like 98% white. No one dared be openly gay. When I was a kid in the 1990s my school had alot of Asian and Hispanic kids. Still very majority white but my circle of friends was very diverse (muslim, asian, jewish, black, ect). We had friends that we knew were gay, but unfortunately many of the LGBT students were pretty closeted. Now if I talk to my younger cousins who are in high school , they are all in mix-race relationships, LGBT students are open and have their own clubs, and the schools are no longer majority white. So when you have a political party as openly hateful of minorities and LGBT people as Republicans why the gently caress would Gen Z approve of that?
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:41
|
|
|
AlBorlantern Corps posted:Well I think I may have helped categorize them to never target me Nah, you just marked yourself as a target for voter disenfranchisement/voter apathy fanning.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:43
|
|
|
Huh. I saw a thing about this guy on the LCD in the elevator this morning, in a building that let's say would be decidedly on the "Wall Street" side of the conversation, and it was summarizing his career as "a pioneer in index funds, and millions of people's lives have been improved as a result of his work". I was rolling my eyes and assuming it was a typical sort of "he increased the number of zeroes in the economy and therefore the USA as a whole has more money" or something like that, but I guess not. Not at all.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:48
|
|
|
Solaris 2.0 posted:To expand on this. When my parents were kids (we live in Maryland) a minority in their school would be maybe a few black, Jewish and hispanic kids. But overall it was like 98% white. No one dared be openly gay. Relevant, and good. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8H4qLIhS1g Times have changed.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:51
|
|
|
AlBorlantern Corps posted:This might be extremely atypical but two out of three times I've been to DC I was able to meet and greet my senator/congressman at their Capitol office by just walking to the receptionist and asking and giving them my address to confirm I was a constituent Yeah I’ve done this too. I don’t know why people have the “representatives will never meet with you” idea except that right wing news constantly tries to drive that narrative. Democratic representatives are, on the whole, super responsive to things.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:52
|
|
|
Stereotype posted:Yeah I’ve done this too. I don’t know why people have the “representatives will never meet with you” idea except that right wing news constantly tries to drive that narrative. Yeah they also know that the people who show up to these things vote and will likely encourage their friends and relatives to also vote. Of course they'll listen to you.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:54
|
|
|
Data Graham posted:Huh. I saw a thing about this guy on the LCD in the elevator this morning, in a building that let's say would be decidedly on the "Wall Street" side of the conversation, and it was summarizing his career as "a pioneer in index funds, and millions of people's lives have been improved as a result of his work". I was rolling my eyes and assuming it was a typical sort of "he increased the number of zeroes in the economy and therefore the USA as a whole has more money" or something like that, but I guess not. Not at all. This is why people suggest putting any investment/retirement money you have access to into these index funds, they're the only thing that really work consistently and you avoid getting ripped off by finance thugs
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 18:55
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/hunterw/status/1085953158650753029?s=21
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:00
|
|
|
Data Graham posted:Armchair take: kids value having friends more than they value having political opinions, and moreover these days kids have friends who are LGBTQ This is amazingly true. There are LBGT support clubs in my oldest kids public middle school. He's friends with a boy that transitioned after entering (a different) middle school. They were friends before as well, all the kids in that friend group just shrugged and accepted it and all the parents were cool with it. That kid is so much outwardly happier as a boy now. My youngest is good friends with a kid that decided they didn't want to go by a specific pronoun in 4th grade. Its just not a big deal to that generation.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:01
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/krangtnelson/status/907478072936615936?lang=en
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:02
|
|
|
You guys really think Joni Ernst is vulnerable? I don't see her being that unpopular, but that could just be my impression.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:04
|
|
|
SimonCat posted:You guys really think Joni Ernst is vulnerable? I don't see her being that unpopular, but that could just be my impression. Depends, is her opponent a hog?
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:06
|
|
|
For Ted Cruz, porn probably means watching videos of those wasps that lay eggs in paralyzed spiders, or that fungus that eats ants' brains and makes them suicide to spread itself.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:07
|
|
|
Stereotype posted:Yeah I’ve done this too. I don’t know why people have the “representatives will never meet with you” idea except that right wing news constantly tries to drive that narrative. We were really stoked when I got to meet Rod Blagojevich with my mom & grandma. Really warm and accommodating guy!
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:07
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 6, 2024 21:34 |
|
|
Stereotype posted:Yeah I’ve done this too. I don’t know why people have the “representatives will never meet with you” idea except that right wing news constantly tries to drive that narrative. Most people call/write/visit at a big event when everyone else is too then think it's always that way. If you called susan collins during the kavanaugh thing absolutely you would never get anyone to answer the phone call and her office is packed and the mail would be stacked up unread, but like, if you walked over there today she's probably not doing much.
|
|
#
?
Jan 17, 2019 19:08
|
|
