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Tunicate
May 15, 2012

What's the most important stroke of dumb luck in WWII?

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FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

Tunicate posted:

What's the most important stroke of dumb luck in WWII?

Midway

I should qualify this with it being a whole lot more than luck, but it would have gone way differently if the air patrols hadn't basically bumped into the IJN carrier group just before deciding to head back.

FAUXTON fucked around with this message at 06:14 on Feb 22, 2019

OctaviusBeaver
Apr 30, 2009

Say what now?
FDR becoming a senile wreck just in time for Yalta was pretty lucky for Stalin.

OctaviusBeaver fucked around with this message at 06:17 on Feb 22, 2019

Biffmotron
Jan 12, 2007

Hitler sleeping in on D-Day so the panzer reserves didn’t get ordered into action was a pretty important stroke of dumb luck.

PittTheElder
Feb 13, 2012

:geno: Yes, it's like a lava lamp.

Biffmotron posted:

Hitler sleeping in on D-Day so the panzer reserves didn’t get ordered into action was a pretty important stroke of dumb luck.

How much difference would this really have made? Allied air superiority made moving armored formations around in the day time a huge liability, I suspect they would have wanted to wait for evening anyway to move, but I really don't know.

Also he wasn't asleep very long. It cost the Germans like an hour at most.

RaffyTaffy
Oct 15, 2008
The winter of 41-2 was one of the worst in the 20th century.

Slim Jim Pickens
Jan 16, 2012

Saint Celestine posted:

In hindsight, the best move for Lutjens to make would have been to finish off the POW and immediately head back to Germany the way he came.

Apart from Halsey, I can't really think of any naval officers in WWII who were really willing to throw their capital ships into an attack like that. The real nuts are always destroyer commanders, or escort ships if you give them half a chance.

Slim Jim Pickens fucked around with this message at 07:25 on Feb 22, 2019

Dance Officer
May 4, 2017

It would be awesome if we could dance!

PittTheElder posted:

As near as I can read online, everywhere except Omaha the allies had the exits to the beaches cleared within an hour or two. Cleared meaning large lanes the engineers have had time to remove mines and obstacles from, and allow reinforcements off the beach in column.

Omaha is not representative of the conditions experienced by the attackers, for instance at Juno there's a village immediately adjacent to the beach. The first waves definitely took a lot of causalities, but they were off the beach and into clearing the village. Landing had started around 7:50, and by 8:30 you have units walking straight off the beach and into town "without difficulty" and only under occasional mortar fire.




The Saving Private Ryan experience is very much an Omaha thing, rather than a general D-Day thing.

Huh, fair enough. I wasn't thinking of saving private Ryan though, but a series of posts from a decent while back, that detailed things that went wrong during the landings.

aphid_licker
Jan 7, 2009


Piloting a maritime recon plane must've been something. Months of staring at "idunno, could be an oil slick / sub periscope / wake" and then they use you to get a fix on a carrier group by sending you out and taking note of exactly where you disappear.

mllaneza
Apr 28, 2007

Veteran, Bermuda Triangle Expeditionary Force, 1993-1952




Saint Celestine posted:

In hindsight, the best move for Lutjens to make would have been to finish off the POW and immediately head back to Germany the way he came.

Probably. A quick repair, re-arm, re-fuel port visit in Norway and back out, but with the British down two capital ships ? The convoy system would have broken down, scattering the transports for the U-boats to run down at will.

Slim Jim Pickens posted:

Apart from Halsey, I can't really think of any naval officers in WWII who were really willing to throw their capital ships into an attack like that. The real nuts are always destroyer commanders, or escort ships if you give them half a chance.

Note that DD squadron commander in 1942 Burke ended up as CNO for a long stretch.

Milo and POTUS
Sep 3, 2017

I will not shut up about the Mighty Morphin Power Rangers. I talk about them all the time and work them into every conversation I have. I built a shrine in my room for the yellow one who died because sadly no one noticed because she died around 9/11. Wanna see it?

Epicurius posted:

It wasn't. Conditions were a lot better in the Channel Islands than in a lot of places under German occupation.

I think it's more a "huh, didn't know things were that bad compared to what I thought they were"

Slim Jim Pickens
Jan 16, 2012

mllaneza posted:

Probably. A quick repair, re-arm, re-fuel port visit in Norway and back out, but with the British down two capital ships ? The convoy system would have broken down, scattering the transports for the U-boats to run down at will.



Prince of Wales was penetrating the armour on Bismark and unlike Hood, had proper battleship armour and wasn't going to lose a magazine. There were also a bunch of torpedo-armed cruisers just outside of the action which would have dived straight into combat because cruiser commanders are psychos too. The British would probably have lost PoW if Bismark gave an intense pursuit, but I don't think the Germans would have just had light damage.

Returning to Norway would also mean sailing towards the Home Fleet, which was sortieing with KGV and the carrier Victorious, who were part of the final battlegroup that sunk the Bismark. Not really the best outlook for Lutjens either. I think he was doomed.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Yeah I was thinking that even if that lucky torpedo hit to her rudder didn't happen, the Bismarck was too outnumbered and too trackable to really escape either way, even if it came down to a knock-down, drag-out fight

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

PittTheElder posted:

How much difference would this really have made? Allied air superiority made moving armored formations around in the day time a huge liability, I suspect they would have wanted to wait for evening anyway to move, but I really don't know.

Also he wasn't asleep very long. It cost the Germans like an hour at most.

Zero, because when he was called, Hitler couldn't believe the attack was more than a diversion, and ordered the tank forces to not attack. Then he went back to sleep. (Hitler apparently had this irrational believe that the real attack would fall on the place where the Dieppe Raid took place.)

C.M. Kruger
Oct 28, 2013

Nebakenezzer posted:

Another thing I took away from Inferno: long lances are goddamn scary. I forget what cruiser it was (maybe Portland) that got hit by one and had the entire bottom half of its bow just gone, like it had taken a gigantic shark bite.

At Tassafaronga, the New Orleans and Minneapolis were both hit at practically the same time by torpedoes. Minneapolis lost everything forwards of the first turret while New Orleans lost everything forwards of the second turret.


aphid_licker
Jan 7, 2009


Kind of amazing that they bothered to repair New Orleans.

Don Gato
Apr 28, 2013

Actually a bipedal cat.
Grimey Drawer

aphid_licker posted:

Kind of amazing that they bothered to repair New Orleans.

Eh, it'll buff out.

Panzeh
Nov 27, 2006

"..The high ground"

OctaviusBeaver posted:

FDR becoming a senile wreck just in time for Yalta was pretty lucky for Stalin.

I'm not sure what at Yalta indicated FDR was a senile wreck.

Tias
May 25, 2008

Pictured: the patron saint of internet political arguments (probably)

This avatar made possible by a gift from the Religionthread Posters Relief Fund

Libluini posted:

Zero, because when he was called, Hitler couldn't believe the attack was more than a diversion, and ordered the tank forces to not attack. Then he went back to sleep. (Hitler apparently had this irrational believe that the real attack would fall on the place where the Dieppe Raid took place.)

The god-man fuhrer couldn't get up at 7 am? I guess meth hangovers are real :haw:

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

I actually just went back and re-read the wiki article for Omaha and dear god I knew they were technically getting off the beach by midday but I hadn't appreciated that by the end of the day they were still basically in sight of the beach.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

HEY GUNS posted:

i spoke to a german dude once whose father was killed like two days before ww2 ended, in the middle of one of the nordic countries

i mean of all the places and times to get yours

My ex once showed me a photo album of her great aunt. She got married just as the war started and the husband went to fight Russians. Then in 1944 the husband's unit was moved from the east front to Lapland to fight against Germans. The truce with Soviets stipulated that Finland had to demobilize all reservists by December and so the unit was finally called off from the front. He was in a truck on its way back home when it hit a mine* on a road and he died. Welp, I get emotional again just thinking of the photos of them together at the wedding, then on his leaves and then the obituary and funeral pictures. :smith:



*German army laid a fuckton of mines on their retreat to Norway and the official mine clearing operation continued until 1952, the last reported mine casualty happened in 1960's and UXOs are still found. In 2013 a young dude died and his buddy was injured when they were loving around with old explosives they had found. For those who understand Finnish here's an Excel spreadsheet of Finnish civilian deaths 1944-1949 caused by mines and explosives. Some excerpts that sound all too familiar from Afghanistan and other later wars:
- 12 year old boy died in September 1945 after finding mines
- four year old girl died in October 1945 after someone had put explosives into a fireplace
- five year old girl died in October 1945 after hitting a mine while playing on the ruins of her home :qq:

also two occasions of sitting on a mined tree stump, one occasion of death by tapping on a UXO with your fingers, and one case of heating a bomb with a magnifying glass, god drat

Loezi
Dec 18, 2012

Never buy the cheap stuff

Kinda related, I believe that post-war the Finnish conscript pioneers were often assigned to find and clear both land and naval mines. Apparently the naval mine clearing was quite a poo poo show even in the context of the day since the USSR took most of the purpose-built equipment, including the mine clearance vessels, as reparations.

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese

Tunicate posted:

What's the most important stroke of dumb luck in WWII?

Neither the Germans or Japanese attempting to work out whether their codes had been broken for ages

SimonCat
Aug 12, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
College Slice
All this talk of Normandy reminds me of one of my favorite scenes from The Steel Helmet, written and directed by Sam Fuller. Fuller was a veteran of the 1st Infantry Division and fought in North Africa, Sicily, France, and Czechoslovakia, and also wrote and directed the semi-auto biographical movie The Big Red One starring Lee Marvin and Mark Hamill.





























SimonCat
Aug 12, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
College Slice
The Colonel Taylor referenced is this man:


who was awarded the Distinguished Service Cross for that action, though the quote was a little saltier than what was allowed in a 1950 movie.

"There are two kinds of people who are staying on this beach: those who are dead and those who are going to die. Now let’s get the hell out of here"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_A._Taylor#Omaha_Beach

Schadenboner
Aug 15, 2011

by Shine

SimonCat posted:

All this talk of Normandy reminds me of one of my favorite scenes from The Steel Helmet, written and directed by Sam Fuller. Fuller was a veteran of the 1st Infantry Division and fought in North Africa, Sicily, France, and Czechoslovakia, and also wrote and directed the semi-auto biographical movie The Big Red One starring Lee Marvin and Mark Hamill.































Oh hey, the "Buddha Bless" movie, with the portable altar-and-organ.

chitoryu12
Apr 24, 2014

https://twitter.com/apiecebyguy/status/1098368462240518144

HEY GUNS
Oct 11, 2012

FOPTIMUS PRIME
dont doxx me

Mr Enderby
Mar 28, 2015

HEY GUNS posted:

dont doxx me

Too late.

https://twitter.com/darylmeador/status/1098392101572751360

HEY GUNS
Oct 11, 2012

FOPTIMUS PRIME
it is difficult to train for cav if you have no opportunity to ride--the way it was told to me is you sit on a chair backwards with your legs to either side of it

Mazz
Dec 12, 2012

Orion, this is Sperglord Actual.
Come on home.

Vahakyla posted:

What do you mean? It was fast as gently caress, and many variants werent much behind the Mosquito.

Yeah but it just looks fast so I ways assume I’m going to bullshit my way out of bad decisions and am rarely correct. It is fast but I expect it to be faster for no reason.

FrangibleCover
Jan 23, 2018

Nothing going on in my quiet corner of the Pacific.

This is the life. I'm just lying here in my hammock in Townsville, sipping a G&T.

Biffmotron posted:

Hitler sleeping in on D-Day so the panzer reserves didn’t get ordered into action was a pretty important stroke of dumb luck.
Honestly it seems more like a stroke of dumb luck for the Germans. The amount of allied air power and naval gun support that was about on the 6th is ridiculous, if they'd tried to use the roads they'd have been cut to ribbons. Those are the same Panzers that constantly stymied breakout efforts for a couple of months after the landings, especially around Caen. Get them attrited, disorganised and separated on D-Day, even if they threaten the beaches, and I think you shorten the Normandy campaign overall. The Allies fully expected a giant tank charge after the Germans had followed the same strategy at Sicily and Salerno and they were ready for it.

aphid_licker posted:

Piloting a maritime recon plane must've been something. Months of staring at "idunno, could be an oil slick / sub periscope / wake" and then they use you to get a fix on a carrier group by sending you out and taking note of exactly where you disappear.
And your training involves making contact reports in the correct order, so that if a fighter kills you half way through your report we'll still have the most important bits of information.

gradenko_2000 posted:

Yeah I was thinking that even if that lucky torpedo hit to her rudder didn't happen, the Bismarck was too outnumbered and too trackable to really escape either way, even if it came down to a knock-down, drag-out fight
Yeah, it's one of those things where the RN only need to get lucky once. There were a million and one ways that the Bismarck could have been "unluckily" sunk in between hitting an air deployed mine in Kiel harbour and hitting and air deployed mine in Brest harbour and an air launched torpedo to the rudder was the one we got.

Cessna
Feb 20, 2013

KHABAHBLOOOM


Man, Oddball is pissed off.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe
I'll always believe those Ju-88s accidentally dropping their bombs on London prevented a UK/Germany armistice.

SimonCat
Aug 12, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
College Slice

Cessna posted:

Man, Oddball is pissed off.

It's a great movie because it's the earliest American war movie I know of that has soldiers being dirty and tired and pretty cynical about the whole affair. SGT Zack here shoots a NK POW in anger, leads a patrol in exchange for a box of cigars, lets a guy die by booby-trapped body, essentially to spite the LT, and spends most of the film calling the Nisei SGT "buddhahead," and calling the Koreans "gooks" until corrected by his young ward, "Short-Round," who was Spielberg's inspiration for the character in Temple of Doom.







Short-Round has a pretty grim story arc:







Fuller was branded a Communist sympathiser for including scenes that touched upon the internment of Japanese Americans during WWII:



This movie is definitely not The Sands of Iwo Jima There's nothing glamorous about it.

SimonCat
Aug 12, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
College Slice
Also, another cool quote from COL Taylor:

When General Taylor checked the surrender document, he noted that the place of surrender was written as the city "Elbogen, Sudetenland". Taylor struck out the location "Elbogen, Sudetenland," adding a note "does not exist," and wrote "Loket, Czechoslovakia" instead, changing its name back to before the Nazi invasion. This act brought him great respect in Czechoslovakia

HEY GUNS
Oct 11, 2012

FOPTIMUS PRIME

SimonCat posted:

Also, another cool quote from COL Taylor:

When General Taylor checked the surrender document, he noted that the place of surrender was written as the city "Elbogen, Sudetenland". Taylor struck out the location "Elbogen, Sudetenland," adding a note "does not exist," and wrote "Loket, Czechoslovakia" instead, changing its name back to before the Nazi invasion. This act brought him great respect in Czechoslovakia
german-speaking bohemians are a huge :can: tho

Epicurius
Apr 10, 2010
College Slice

HEY GUNS posted:

german-speaking bohemians are a huge :can: tho

Czech sympathy for German speaking Bohemians was very low at the end of the war for some unexplained reason.

HEY GUNS
Oct 11, 2012

FOPTIMUS PRIME

Epicurius posted:

Czech sympathy for German speaking Bohemians was very low at the end of the war for some unexplained reason.
oh yeah THAT i know, it's just that from the perspective of someone who studies the 17th century, saying that calling a Czech city by a German name was something the Nazis instituted is :can:

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Nebakenezzer
Sep 13, 2005

The Mote in God's Eye

aphid_licker posted:

Piloting a maritime recon plane must've been something. Months of staring at "idunno, could be an oil slick / sub periscope / wake" and then they use you to get a fix on a carrier group by sending you out and taking note of exactly where you disappear.

Just from shattered sword, the guys piloting the scouts are definitely trying to strike a balance between "able to usefully report" and "be alive"

Frankly maritime patrol and recon must have sucked generally, especially with no radar. You have a navigator who just has to dead reckon everything and won't know if he's done it right until they find the convoy/land, a bunch of dudes watching the featureless ocean, and pilots that are expected to learn things like drift based on ocean conditions.

C.M. Kruger posted:

At Tassafaronga, the New Orleans and Minneapolis were both hit at practically the same time by torpedoes. Minneapolis lost everything forwards of the first turret while New Orleans lost everything forwards of the second turret.




That's a whole lot of nautical "nope" right there

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