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Who do you want to be the 2020 Democratic Nominee?
This poll is closed.
Joe "the liberal who fights busing" Biden 27 1.40%
Bernie "please don't die" Sanders 1017 52.69%
Cory "charter schools" Booker 12 0.62%
Kirsten "wall street" Gillibrand 24 1.24%
Kamala "truancy queen" Harris 59 3.06%
Julian "who?" Castro 7 0.36%
Tulsi "gay panic" Gabbard 25 1.30%
Michael "crimes crimes crimes" Avenatti 22 1.14%
Sherrod "discount bernie" Brown 21 1.09%
Amy "horrible boss" Klobuchar 12 0.62%
Tammy "stands for america" Duckworth 48 2.49%
Beto "whataburger" O'Rourke 32 1.66%
Elizabeth "instagram beer" Warren 284 14.72%
Tom "impeach please" Steyer 4 0.21%
Michael "soda is the devil" Bloomberg 9 0.47%
Joseph Stalin 287 14.87%
Howard "coffee republican" Schultz 10 0.52%
Jay "nobody cares about climate change :(" Inslee 13 0.67%
Pete "gently caress the homeless" Butt Man 17 0.88%
Total: 1930 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Failed Imagineer posted:

It's a fair point, but let's not kid ourselves here - on election night 2020 Texas is going to go red again and everyone will feel like a huge dumbass for believing the myth of a purple Texas AGAIN

Yeah, we're at least another decade away. There's a trend, but 2020 is too soon. It'll probably be even harder for the Senate against anyone not named Ted Cruz.

POTUS
2000: R+21
04: +23
08: +11
12: +16
16: +9

Senate

Kay Bailey Hutchison

94: +23
00: +33
06: +26

Ted Cruz

12: +15
18: +3

Cornyn

96: +11
02: +12
08: +12
14: +28 (he faced some random dentist, not a serious challenger)

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Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

So you're suggesting that none of the questioners disclosed their affiliations because they all just forgot and CNN never asked, and furthermore that CNN has no ethical obligation to perform even the most :effort: due diligence like ask potential town hall attendees to disclose any official relationships with political parties or lobbying firms?

But you're not defending CNN. Right.

What? CNN absolutely has an obligation to perform due diligence, but that doesn't mean they did it. CNN doesn't do a lot of ethical poo poo they ought to! I'M NOT DEFENDING CNN.

I'm saying we have literally no idea how the identifier came to be. Maybe CNN did a detailed questionnaire and then cherry-picked which information they showed. Maybe the people didn't disclose their affiliations. Maybe CNN let them choose how they wanted to be identified. Maybe they didn't do any due diligence (this would 100% not surprise me fwiw). Maybe a student who is also an intern thinks of herself as a student first, which is a totally normal thing to do tbh. Who the gently caress knows?

My whole point is that there are so many obvious irrefutable ways in which CNN sucks, including a basic comparison of questions asked to different candidates, that it makes no sense to zero in on the angle where we don't know how it happened, it involves trying to dig up information on a private citizen, and also makes us all look creepy and weird?

drawkcab si eman ym
Jan 2, 2006

Harvard/Harris has Biden up 11 in the DNC Primary

Morning Consult has 51% of Biden supporters eager to support him while Sanders has 38% eager to support him.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Z. Autobahn posted:

What? CNN absolutely has an obligation to perform due diligence, but that doesn't mean they did it. CNN doesn't do a lot of ethical poo poo they ought to! I'M NOT DEFENDING CNN.

Ah I see what happened, we're talking past each other because we have different priorities. I had assumed that because you said it's not worth talking about what happened, that CNN must not have acted unethically, because to my mind a major journalistic institution acting unethically is always worthy of at the very least public comment and discussion.

So your position is, we don't know whether CNN was unethical or merely so incompetent that their incompetence was itself unethical, but when an institution is acting unethically no one should notice or discuss it?

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

Ah I see what happened, we're talking past each other because we have different priorities. I had assumed that because you said it's not worth talking about what happened, that CNN must not have acted unethically, because to my mind a major journalistic institution acting unethically is always worthy of at the very least public comment and discussion.

So your position is, we don't know whether CNN was unethical or merely so incompetent that their incompetence was itself unethical, but when an institution is acting unethically no one should notice or discuss it?

My entire point from the start has been "pick your battles". There are so many myriad ways in which CNN is obviously quantifiably unethical, like giving softballs to one candidate and tough ones to another, that we ought to focus on those and not "a student who is an intern identified as a student and not an intern which I found by scouring the internet for her and blasting her social media handles".

Gatts
Jan 2, 2001

Goodnight Moon

Nap Ghost

Fitzy Fitz posted:

pretend healthcare is Lockheed Martin and our health is a country full of brown people

Right, this isn’t hard but I think Nancy is a true product of the red scare-taking care of your country and citizens versus exploiting them for profit is communism propaganda era.

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

But Super Predator Lady still got more minority votes.

Son of Thunderbeast
Sep 21, 2002

VideoGameVet posted:

But Super Predator Lady still got more minority votes.

So what? Did we miss a Clinton announcement for 2020?

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Z. Autobahn posted:

My entire point from the start has been "pick your battles". There are so many myriad ways in which CNN is obviously quantifiably unethical, like giving softballs to one candidate and tough ones to another, that we ought to focus on those and not "a student who is an intern identified as a student and not an intern which I found by scouring the internet for her and blasting her social media handles".

How is that quantifiably unethical. CNN didn't choose those questions, they just organically bubbled up from the everyday citizens who attended CNN town halls, right? "The questions are unfair" is obviously just sore losers whining that the general public doesn't agree with them.

Of course if there were some way to prove that these town halls weren't a statistically representative cross-section of Ordinary America...

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 20:30 on Feb 28, 2019

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


If you work for a dirt bag lobbying firm then it’s open season on flaming you. Nobody has to work for these people and it is ethically unjustifiable.

So their social media gets blown up for a day or two, who cares? They can just briefly lock their accounts and then get back to normal in no time. It’s essentially a probation for being a terrible person.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

The Catholic Church was right to cover up unethical behavior, think of Cardinal Pell's twitter mentions

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

The Kingfish posted:

If you work for a dirt bag lobbying firm then it’s open season on flaming you. Nobody has to work for these people and it is ethically unjustifiable.

So their social media gets blown up for a day or two, who cares? They can just briefly lock their accounts and then get back to normal in no time. It’s essentially a probation for being a terrible person.

Yeah, this is honestly my view about it. Some social censure can just be part of the price you pay if you try to enter that sort of career, just like someone might rightfully face negative pressure if they tried to work in the tobacco industry or for a weapon's manufacturer.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

It's funny to see libs fishhook around to sound exactly like conservatives when it comes to defending unethical people on their team, "How dare Sarah Huckabee Sanders be attacked so hatefully just for doing her job!"

Verviticus
Mar 13, 2006

I'm just a total piece of shit and I'm not sure why I keep posting on this site. Christ, I have spent years with idiots giving me bad advice about online dating and haven't noticed that the thread I'm in selects for people that can't talk to people worth a damn.

Z. Autobahn posted:

My entire point from the start has been "pick your battles". There are so many myriad ways in which CNN is obviously quantifiably unethical, like giving softballs to one candidate and tough ones to another, that we ought to focus on those and not "a student who is an intern identified as a student and not an intern which I found by scouring the internet for her and blasting her social media handles".

people can do both

like im not going to personally look her up, i don't care enough, but now that someone's done it, it seems fine to talk about both. its not like we're talking about her daily schedule

Verviticus fucked around with this message at 20:49 on Feb 28, 2019

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

Son of Thunderbeast posted:

So what? Did we miss a Clinton announcement for 2020?

Please allow me to wallow in my bitterness over the 2016 primary campaign.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

These Town Halls are being presented as open meetings of the general public.

Complaining that the questions to Harris are softer than questions to Bernie is, essentially, accusing the entire public of being involved in a vast conspiracy to get Harris elected. It's considerably more insane and paranoid (and also completely nonsensical) to posit a vast 300 million person conspiracy, than just to point out "hey most of the questions at these supposedly public-driven events are coming from lobbyists and party operatives and here's the proof"

twodot
Aug 7, 2005

You are objectively correct that this person is dumb and has said dumb things

Z. Autobahn posted:

My entire point from the start has been "pick your battles". There are so many myriad ways in which CNN is obviously quantifiably unethical, like giving softballs to one candidate and tough ones to another, that we ought to focus on those and not "a student who is an intern identified as a student and not an intern which I found by scouring the internet for her and blasting her social media handles".
People can walk and chew gum, and if one reason they think CNN is bad is because CNN either misrepresented people appearing on their channel or allowed people to misrepresent themselves why would you bother to fight them about it? Pick your battles.

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

These Town Halls are being presented as open meetings of the general public.

Complaining that the questions to Harris are softer than questions to Bernie is, essentially, accusing the entire public of being involved in a vast conspiracy to get Harris elected. It's considerably more insane and paranoid (and also completely nonsensical) to posit a vast 300 million person conspiracy, than just to point out "hey most of the questions at these supposedly public-driven events are coming from lobbyists and party operatives and here's the proof"

Literally everyone knows CNN vets the questions beforehand.

Verus
Jun 3, 2011

AUT INVENIAM VIAM AUT FACIAM

Z. Autobahn posted:

Literally everyone knows CNN vets the questions beforehand.


Really, you think the public that has been purposefully undereducated and miseducated is equipped to deal with a coordinated propaganda machine? Most people can't even filter out advertising.

also, 'everyone knows!' is just a classic way of absolving someone from guilt.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Z. Autobahn posted:

Literally everyone knows CNN vets the questions beforehand.

That's not the same thing.

Vetting the questions for sanity "no asking if Gillibrand eats child hearts" and slanting the questions "no hardball questions for Harris" are two different things, and it's easier to make the argument that the latter is happening when you have proof that the audience is stacked with lobbyists and political operatives

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Sanders should be more open to tax credits for media companies.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005


Ah, gently caress off, Nancy.

quote:

“All I want is the goal of every American having access to health care,” Pelosi said. “You don’t get there by dismantling the Affordable Care Act.”

***

Pelosi noted that she supported a government-run “public option,” a smaller step than full-scale single-payer, that would be sold alongside private insurance on the ACA marketplaces. But she noted that the idea could not get through the Senate in 2009 and 2010 when ACA bill was passed.

Better things than $7,000/year deductibles aren't possible!

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

That's not the same thing.

Vetting the questions for sanity "no asking if Gillibrand eats child hearts" and slanting the questions "no hardball questions for Harris" are two different things, and it's easier to make the argument that the latter is happening when you have proof that the audience is stacked with lobbyists and political operatives

What are you talking about? Everyone prepares and presents their questions to the producers beforehand. CNN producers decide which ones get asked. The producers decide that Harris gets the softballs and Bernie gets the harder ones. This isn't complex?

KingNastidon
Jun 25, 2004
Sanders is going to continue getting more challenging questions. Partly due to media/party bias, sure, but largely because he's running on the most ambitious policy platform and the greatest departure from status quo thus likely drawing more questions and scrutiny.

Do you really think your average voters are feverishly watching every town hall a year before the election and drawing strong conclusions from them? Or are under the pretense that these screened questioners with the free time and interest to attend a town hall represent the full diversity of the american experience? As long as they're not professional political operatives opposed to the candidate who cares?

I don't think most people, right or wrong, operate on the belief that any random, individual lobbyist or cop or lockheed employee should have to make a full professional disclosure any more than a teacher or union rep or climate scientists should need to. They were likely asked something like "Who are you?" in context of how they think about and want to present themselves on TV and that's that.

Bernie got a couple challenging questions and did fine if not quite well. If this is an appropriate reaction to a fairly innocuous town hall, n-size=1 for MSM controlled events, uhhhh you're in for a world of pain (and identifying a whole lot of mortal enemies) the next 18 months. Sanders will win if people like his ideas and policies in spite of institutional barriers.

KingNastidon fucked around with this message at 21:41 on Feb 28, 2019

Malah
May 18, 2015

Please probe whoever dared post The loving Hill in this thread, tia

I'm not going to defend Nancy Pelosi (this isn't the right thread for that anyway), and her view on the matter is, frankly, irrelevant. She's not going to be speaker by the time we get single payer and universal coverage on the table together.

Anyway - it's nice of CNN to throw down their cards this early when they're not going to reach anyone who isn't extremely online and his campaign can move to counter them when they come back up.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Z. Autobahn posted:

What are you talking about? Everyone prepares and presents their questions to the producers beforehand. CNN producers decide which ones get asked. The producers decide that Harris gets the softballs and Bernie gets the harder ones. This isn't complex?

If you're agreeing that CNN only decides among the questions that are submitted, then you've conceded the argument to anyone who says "well nothing CNN can do if the public submitted a bunch of hardballs for Bernie and softballs for Kamala, how do you know what questions were submitted"

Unless of course there were some way to prove that the people whose submissions were selected weren't just a representative cross-section of the general public...

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

KingNastidon posted:

Sanders is going to continue getting more challenging questions. Partly due to media/party bias, sure, but largely because he's running on the most ambitious policy platform and the greatest departure from status quo thus likely drawing more questions and scrutiny.

Do you really think your average voters are feverishly watching every town hall a year before the election and drawing strong conclusions from them? Or are under the pretense that these screened questioners with the free time and interest to attend a town hall represent the full diversity of the american experience? As long as they're not professional political operatives opposed to the candidate who cares?

I don't think most people, right or wrong operate on the belief that any random, individual lobbyist or cop or lockheed employee should have to make a full professional disclosure any more than a teacher or union rep or climate scientists should need to. They were likely asked something like "Who are you?" in context of how they think about and want to present themselves on TV and that's that.

Bernie got a couple challenging questions and did fine if not quite well. If this is an appropriate reaction to a fairly innocuous town hall uhhhh you're in for a world of pain (and identifying a whole lot of mortal enemies) the next 18 months. Sanders will win if people like his ideas and policies in spite of institutional barriers.

and pointing out some of those institutional barriers are PR flacks trying to disguise themselves as "former biology teachers" is a useful tool to overcome them among the politically engaged.

it is important to remember, KingNastidon. people loving -hate- you. they despise you, and they despise your kind. they rejoice when they hear bad things have happened to marketing people, because you are (with some justification!) viewed as someone who profits off actively making the world a worse place.

a good sales strategy harnesses that, where available.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

KingNastidon posted:

Do you really think your average voters are feverishly watching every town hall a year before the election and drawing strong conclusions from them? Or are under the pretense that these screened questioners with the free time and interest to attend a town hall represent the full diversity of the american experience? As long as they're not professional political operatives opposed to the candidate who cares?


Obviously someone cares or is expected to care, or hiding their professional party and lobbyist affiliations wouldn't have been necessary.

Also lol at professional lobbyists being assumed to not have policy/candidate preferences just lmao

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

If you're agreeing that CNN only decides among the questions that are submitted, then you've conceded the argument to anyone who says "well nothing CNN can do if the public submitted a bunch of hardballs for Bernie and softballs for Kamala, how do you know what questions were submitted"

Unless of course there were some way to prove that the people whose submissions were selected weren't just a representative cross-section of the general public...

Do... do you think, like, 10 questions get submitted and then they just have to read those 10? Obviously a huge amount of different questions are submitted and they curate the list?

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

Malah posted:

Please probe whoever dared post The loving Hill in this thread, tia

I'm not going to defend Nancy Pelosi (this isn't the right thread for that anyway), and her view on the matter is, frankly, irrelevant. She's not going to be speaker by the time we get single payer and universal coverage on the table together.

Anyway - it's nice of CNN to throw down their cards this early when they're not going to reach anyone who isn't extremely online and his campaign can move to counter them when they come back up.

I don't really give a poo poo if she's going to be speaker then, having the current speaker now twice poo poo on major progressive policies that are winning issues and things the party should be pushing is bad. She's an idiot.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Z. Autobahn posted:

Do... do you think, like, 10 questions get submitted and then they just have to read those 10? Obviously a huge amount of different questions are submitted and they curate the list?

The counterargument would be that it's not CNN's job to provide false balance, maybe 90% of the questions for Bernie were hardballs and 90% of the questions for Harris were softballs so CNN was just respecting the priorities of the public.

I, personally, think "well even then CNN should elevate the tiny minority of pro-Bernie questions, and the tiny minority of anti-Harris questions into 50% of the runtime to provide false balance" is a worse argument that the situation was unfair than "the audience was stacked with lobbyists and professional political operatives pretending to be ordinary unaffiliated people and here's the proof"

E: Also, if what you say is true, and the huge number of submissions gave CNN ample opportunity to choose the most hostile questions for Bernie from the general public, then they wouldn't have had to use plants to get those questions in would they 😂

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 22:00 on Feb 28, 2019

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1101219608726593537

Lets make wild assertions from a poll of 240 Dems

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.


240 is roughly the population of NH so it's an encouraging result.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

You shouldn't make any assertions based on a single poll but 240 respondents is statistically just fine for state polling

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth
yea don't make massive statements based on ANY single poll but for a state like NH 240 is actually very firmly in the 'yea that's plenty fine' side.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


we're gonna loving win.

Turtlicious
Sep 17, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Guys he's JUST ASKING QUESTIONS, not DEFENDING SOMEONE, please don't GET THESE TWO CONFUSED. They are very powerful and different.

KingNastidon
Jun 25, 2004

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:

it is important to remember, KingNastidon. people loving -hate- you. they despise you, and they despise your kind. they rejoice when they hear bad things have happened to marketing people, because you are (with some justification!) viewed as someone who profits off actively making the world a worse place.

a good sales strategy harnesses that, where available.

Well good, hopefully Sanders follows your lead and demonizes individuals that fall under the very miniscule umbrella of "sales and marketing" among other typically apolitical professions. To the point of his most fervent supporters digging up personal information and targeting specific private individuals. Certainly the media or other candidates would be off base to point out that's a bit abnormal and creepy.

VitalSigns posted:

Obviously someone cares or is expected to care, or hiding their professional party and lobbyist affiliations wouldn't have been necessary.

Also lol at professional lobbyists being assumed to not have policy/candidate preferences just lmao

Again, I doubt this intern is intentionally hiding her affiliations. She probably moreso identifies as a student and hey, maybe will even take a full time job offer in a different field. Regardless, is it unfair for someone to ask a critical question if their professional or personal interests are potentially impacted by the candidate's policies? Would you feel Booker was wronged if he was asked about his beliefs on public education by a teacher?

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

It's amusing how you're constantly contradicting and talking over yourself Z Autobahn.

Up above you argued that maybe most of the audience were lobbyists and out-of-state party officials who all conveniently forgot to disclose this fact/weren't asked so it's not weird that they composed almost all of the selected questions for Bernie, now you're arguing that CNN had so many questions to choose from that they could engineer any result they wanted (so therefore the composition of professional politicos they ended up with was definitely weird).

If you have to constantly reverse yourself, isn't that a clue that your position is fundamentally unsound and you should just give up on this fight? "Pick your battles" one might say?

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Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

VitalSigns posted:

E: Also, if what you say is true, and the huge number of submissions gave CNN ample opportunity to choose the most hostile questions for Bernie from the general public, then they wouldn't have had to use plants to get those questions in would they 😂

They weren't plants, you loving goof troop. The pool of "people who live in DC and are going to go a CNN town hall" is a self-selecting group that is going to skew towards political insiders and folks involved in party politics. They were real people who went to a town hall and asked their questions. If your issue is "hey, why did tough questions get picked for Bernie and not for Harris?" then your issue is *rightly* with the CNN producers who pick the questions.

VitalSigns posted:

It's amusing how you're constantly contradicting and talking over yourself Z Autobahn.

Up above you argued that maybe most of the audience were lobbyists and out-of-state party officials who all conveniently forgot to disclose this fact/weren't asked so it's not weird that they composed almost all of the selected questions for Bernie, now you're arguing that CNN had so many questions to choose from that they could engineer any result they wanted (so therefore the composition of professional politicos they ended up with was definitely weird).

If you have to constantly reverse yourself, isn't that a clue that your position is fundamentally unsound and you should just give up on this fight? "Pick your battles" one might say?

This really isn't difficult.

1) A CNN town hall for a party primary in DC is going to be disproportionately attended by political insiders. This is true for all town halls.
2) Exactly *two* of them 'failed to disclose' their affiliation. One of those was a student who had the SHEER AUDACITY to identify as a "student" and not an intern, which is what almost all college students would do
3) CNN producers probably picked harder questions for Bernie

Z. Autobahn fucked around with this message at 22:19 on Feb 28, 2019

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