Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
Who will be #1 Pick?
DE Nick Bosa
DT Quinnen Williams
White Quarterback
Kicker...yeah...definitely the Kicker
View Results
 
  • Post
  • Reply
mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

El Gallinero Gros posted:

Say Bosa goes #1, like everyone assumes, is the smart pick Allen or Quinnen Williams for SF? They could use a another pass rusher but DL is a need too..

Isn't everyone assuming that Murray is going 1?

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Ches Neckbeard
Dec 3, 2005

You're all garbage, back up the truck BACK IT UP!

mcmagic posted:

Isn't everyone assuming that Murray is going 1?

Draft media are really trying to push it but Bosa is the top talent. It's Garrett and Kissing Titties all over again.

kiimo
Jul 24, 2003

I really don't think you can possibly go wrong choosing between Bosa, Allen and Williams. All three are immediate impacts.

El Gallinero Gros
Mar 17, 2010

mcmagic posted:

Isn't everyone assuming that Murray is going 1?

That's news to me, but if AZ wants to hand SF Bosa I won't complain

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president

kiimo posted:

I really don't think you can possibly go wrong choosing between Bosa, Allen and Williams. All three are immediate impacts.

These guys going 1-2-3 is worst case scenario for the raiders @ 4

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

Blitz7x posted:

These guys going 1-2-3 is worst case scenario for the raiders @ 4

If that's how it plays out do you think they'd take Devin White or maybe someone like DK Metcalf?

Ches Neckbeard
Dec 3, 2005

You're all garbage, back up the truck BACK IT UP!

wandler20 posted:

If that's how it plays out do you think they'd take Devin White or maybe someone like DK Metcalf?

Devin White or edge rusher would be my choice. DK is another draft media hype guy that has no business in the 1st half of the 1st.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin
If Murray isn't top 3 won't gruden draft him and jettison Carr?

Ches Neckbeard
Dec 3, 2005

You're all garbage, back up the truck BACK IT UP!

mastershakeman posted:

If Murray isn't top 3 won't gruden draft him and jettison Carr?

Draft defense and tank for Tua but we know Gruden wont do the smart thing.

kiimo
Jul 24, 2003

Blitz7x posted:

These guys going 1-2-3 is worst case scenario for the raiders @ 4

Passing on any of these guys and then taking a QB or DK Metcalf is extremely on-brand for the Raiders.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



kiimo posted:

Passing on any of these guys and then taking a QB or DK Metcalf is extremely on-brand for the Raiders.

Yeah, it's also been going around lately at just how... poor the 1st round WR's have been overall:

2014 was a great year, but outside of that, the hit rate is just awful.

pre:
Year	#			Rec	Yards	TD
2018	24	D.J. Moore	55	788	2
2018	26	Calvin Ridley	64	821	10

2017	5	Corey Davis	99	1266	4
2017	7	Mike Williams	54	759	10
2017	9	John Ross	21	210	7

2016	15	Corey Coleman	61	789	5
2016	21	Will Fuller	107	1561	13
2016	22	Josh Doctson	81	1100	8
2016	23	Laquon Treadwell	56	517	1

2015	4	Amari Cooper	278	3908	25
2015	7	Kevin White	25	285	0
2015	14	DeVante Parker	163	2217	9
2015	20	Nelson Agholor	185	2152	15
2015	26	Breshad Perriman	59	916	5
2015	29	Phillip Dorsett	95	1237	6

2014	4	Sammy Watkins	232	3571	28
2014	7	Mike Evans	395	6103	40
2014	12	Odell Beckham	390	5476	44
2014	20	Brandin Cooks	360	5147	32
2014	28	Kelvin Benjamin	209	3021	20

2013	8	Tavon Austin	202	1829	14
2013	27	DeAndre Hopkins	528	7437	47
2013	29	Cordarrelle Patterson	184	1872	10

2012	5	Justin Blackmon	93	1280	6
2012	13	Michael Floyd	266	3959	25
2012	20	Kendall Wright	339	3858	19
2012	30	A.J. Jenkins	17	223	0

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president
Al Davis has been dead for almost 8 years

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?

Play posted:

But everyone's doing it to a different extent and it's impossible to tell exactly how much. Some poor suckers might not be doing it at all!!

I would assume most guys that are serious about getting drafted probably get put through a pre-combine prep course/workout by their agents and if they don't I guess they just didn't want it bad enough

Metapod
Mar 18, 2012
Tua is worse than kyler and just as fragile

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president
Carr had an MVP caliber year in 2016, got hurt in 2017 and took nearly 60 sacks in 2018 while getting used to Grudens system and the worlds loving worst defense. Grabbing a QB instead of a blue chip defender would be monumentally stupid

Pron on VHS
Nov 14, 2005

Blood Clots
Sweat Dries
Bones Heal
Suck it Up and Keep Wrestling
I agree, the Raiders should keep starting Carr, for as long as possible

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president
He's not without fault

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

Ches Neckbeard posted:

Devin White or edge rusher would be my choice. DK is another draft media hype guy that has no business in the 1st half of the 1st.

I agree with you on DK but it's the Raiders and Gruden we're talking about here.

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?
The cap penalty for releasing Carr drops off next year, so it makes sense to at least keep and start him for one more season.

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president

DariusLikewise posted:

The cap penalty for releasing Carr drops off next year, so it makes sense to at least keep and start him for one more season.

Yup, this is truly Carr's make or break year.

BlindSite
Feb 8, 2009

Kalli posted:

Yeah, it's also been going around lately at just how... poor the 1st round WR's have been overall:

2014 was a great year, but outside of that, the hit rate is just awful.

pre:
Year	#			Rec	Yards	TD
2018	24	D.J. Moore	55	788	2
2018	26	Calvin Ridley	64	821	10

2017	5	Corey Davis	99	1266	4
2017	7	Mike Williams	54	759	10
2017	9	John Ross	21	210	7

2016	15	Corey Coleman	61	789	5
2016	21	Will Fuller	107	1561	13
2016	22	Josh Doctson	81	1100	8
2016	23	Laquon Treadwell	56	517	1

2015	4	Amari Cooper	278	3908	25
2015	7	Kevin White	25	285	0
2015	14	DeVante Parker	163	2217	9
2015	20	Nelson Agholor	185	2152	15
2015	26	Breshad Perriman	59	916	5
2015	29	Phillip Dorsett	95	1237	6

2014	4	Sammy Watkins	232	3571	28
2014	7	Mike Evans	395	6103	40
2014	12	Odell Beckham	390	5476	44
2014	20	Brandin Cooks	360	5147	32
2014	28	Kelvin Benjamin	209	3021	20

2013	8	Tavon Austin	202	1829	14
2013	27	DeAndre Hopkins	528	7437	47
2013	29	Cordarrelle Patterson	184	1872	10

2012	5	Justin Blackmon	93	1280	6
2012	13	Michael Floyd	266	3959	25
2012	20	Kendall Wright	339	3858	19
2012	30	A.J. Jenkins	17	223	0

Moore and Ridley both look the goods.

Chichevache
Feb 17, 2010

One of the funniest posters in GIP.

Just not intentionally.

BlindSite posted:

Moore and Ridley both look the goods.

Woof. Is AJ Jenkins buff yet?

sourdough
Apr 30, 2012

BlindSite posted:

Moore and Ridley both look the goods.

I'd argue Corey Davis, Mike Williams, and Fuller also all are quality so far. Neither Davis or Williams quite lived up to being top 7 picks so far, but solid starting WR2s at least for sure. I don't know about other positions, but a hit rate of like 50% or whatever of "first round WR becoming a long term NFL starter" doesn't seem catastrophic.

BlindSite
Feb 8, 2009

sourdough posted:

I'd argue Corey Davis, Mike Williams, and Fuller also all are quality so far. Neither Davis or Williams quite lived up to being top 7 picks so far, but solid starting WR2s at least for sure. I don't know about other positions, but a hit rate of like 50% or whatever of "first round WR becoming a long term NFL starter" doesn't seem catastrophic.

Iirc only linebackers and offensive lineman have a better first round hit rate than WRs.

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

Blitz7x posted:

These guys going 1-2-3 is worst case scenario for the raiders @ 4

There's no way that's gonna happen. At least 1 if not 2 QBs will likely be gone by then.

Blitz7x posted:

Carr had an MVP caliber year in 2016, got hurt in 2017 and took nearly 60 sacks in 2018 while getting used to Grudens system and the worlds loving worst defense. Grabbing a QB instead of a blue chip defender would be monumentally stupid

"Monumentally stupid" is exactly the phrase that comes to mind when I think about the Raiders. So I'm not gonna write off the possibility of this exact thing happening

Pron on VHS
Nov 14, 2005

Blood Clots
Sweat Dries
Bones Heal
Suck it Up and Keep Wrestling
Carr is a poor mans Alex Smith. Dink and dunk passer who is terrified of the pass rush and can’t make any plays outside of structure. Alex didn’t weep on the field though, even when his leg broke in half

Ches Neckbeard
Dec 3, 2005

You're all garbage, back up the truck BACK IT UP!

Play posted:

There's no way that's gonna happen. At least 1 if not 2 QBs will likely be gone by then.

There'd have to be a trade up and really all of them should stand.

1. Cardinals
2. 49er's
3. Jets

LiquidFriend
Apr 5, 2005

Blitz7x posted:

Carr had an MVP caliber year in 2016, got hurt in 2017 and took nearly 60 sacks in 2018 while getting used to Grudens system and the worlds loving worst defense. Grabbing a QB instead of a blue chip defender would be monumentally stupid
Well yes, but that's what makes it a move that Gruden is likely to do.

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president
https://twitter.com/JPFinlayNBCS/status/1104165856366551045?s=19

BlindSite
Feb 8, 2009

SHOAH NUFF posted:

Carr is a poor mans Alex Smith. Dink and dunk passer who is terrified of the pass rush and can’t make any plays outside of structure. Alex didn’t weep on the field though, even when his leg broke in half

He had the yips for a good chunk of last season but he came on toward the back end. He can definitely be a successful QB if he's given at least some form of aid from his supporting cast.

Nervous
Jan 25, 2005

Why, hello, my little slice of pecan pie.

Kalli posted:

Yeah, teams are in 11 personnel over 2/3rds of the time, and if you line up in a base defense against it, congrats you've got a linebacker on a WR and just gave up a 12 yard completion.

Here's a breakdown of how often offenses use each personnel grouping: https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/personnel-grouping-frequency.html

imagine having to play the 49ers then the rams the next week as a defensive coach.

Bigass Moth
Mar 6, 2004

I joined the #RXT REVOLUTION.
:boom:
he knows...
That 2016 WR class was so hyped up and they’ve all busted so badly except I guess Will Fuller.

a neat cape
Feb 22, 2007

Aw hunny, these came out GREAT!

mastershakeman posted:

If Murray isn't top 3 won't gruden draft him and jettison Carr?

Jon Gruden and Rookie QBs are like oil and water

Doltos
Dec 28, 2005

🤌🤌🤌
Woo boy being banned during the combine stunk cus theres a lot of misconceptions going on right now.

D.K. Metcalf - Everyone needs to go watch tape on him right now. He's quick and fast as gently caress. His 40 time looked exactly like how he runs in game. He's a bit of a chest catcher but his hands are stick'em. His three cone drill was a gently caress up but it's not indicative of who he is as a player. His feet are perfectly fine and I'm pretty sure people dogpiling on it are following the opinion of some bad draftniks.

Kyler Murray, Drew Lock, Haskins, et al - This is a super weak QB draft class it turns out. Haskins has a lot of work to do with throwing under pressure and pinpointing passes. Lock looked more impressive than him and might go ahead of him. Kyler Murray not throwing is a big deal. He's not a superstar QB and agents are feeding him bad advice right now. Any news of Kliff being obsessed with him seems like a total smoke screen. Also reiterated his height isn't the issue and all this nonsense about him decompressing his spine or whatever is taking away from the fact that he bulked the gently caress up and then refused to run drills. 205 isn't his playing weight.

O-line - Stuffed to the brim, almost as much as WRs. Not top heavy though but solid talent throughout. Jawaan Taylor came in with weight questions but it's been a while since I've seen a big man like him move like he does. Cody Ford and Chris Lindstrom might have to kick inside at guard but I like their versatility. Greg Little's gonna rise, I don't know why he's so low right now. Prototypical LT that ate up a ton of good pass rushers. Yodny Cajuste is gonna be a question mark. He has the build of a LT but he might end up on the strong side. Mitch Hyatt looked so much smaller than everyone else, that was weird.

Zedrick Woods and fellow workout warriors - Beware. This guy couldn't cover or tackle for poo poo at Mississippi. 40's are improving across the board every year because from the periods of their last bowl game til the combine anyone taking the draft seriously is running the 40 every day over and over again working on their get off, stride, and finish. 40 is the king maker.

Wide Receivers - There's gonna be like 10 drafted in the top 75. Probably more. Don't be surprised to see guys like Parris Campbell or Emmanuel Hill drop a bit. I feel like teams are wary of deep threat only guys because more and more teams are moving to double high safety. Also on the topic of busting round 1 WRs, once again go look up the bust rate of every other position and you'll see it's similar. Waiting to draft skill position players in the later rounds is a silly notion that comes up over and over again by goons who think you should only take linemen until the 5th round.

Linemen - They're really freaking good this year. Dexter Lawrence is dropping for no reason, same with Clelin Ferrell. Montez Sweat is a workout warrior but he's also awesome on the field. Great dip and pursuit, definitely translates the drills to game. Brian Burns stinks, don't drink the poison. He'll get stood up all day long in the NFL. Nick Bosa is the real #1 pick but he might compete with Josh Allen of all people, not Quinnen Williams, although this all seems like a preference thing. The only reason I'd put Williams over Bosa is versatility preference and Allen over Bosa if you want an insanely good edge rusher who can move around on the line too. Rashan Gary rising up again is a good thing, that guy has the best stick tackle in college football. He just absorbs anyone he targets.

LBs - Devin White and Devin Bush, both tackling machine LBs. Good combines should solidify their first round status. I'm glad Blake Cashman did well he deserves good things. Tiny, tiny hands though, that was a weird measurement I wasn't expecting. Same with Ben Burr-Kirven. He's another guy that looks undersized but plays with the heart of a lion if that lion is also good at football. David Long proved his status as a gap shooter, it'll be neat to watch a tiny man squirrel past NFL linemen. He's got some weird power and ability to drive olinemen too.

DBs - David Long (DB this time) had a good combine. Harbaugh raved about him a lot as a shutdown corner. Darius West was a guy who stood out watching Josh Allen film. Heat seeking missile in the box. Juan Thornhill is gonna be a first round prospect hopefully. I can't wait to watch this guy ballhawk in the pros his get up is nuts and he fits the stupid double high safety that all teams are running now.


I think this is a draft low on RBs and QBs so the draft media is going nuts right now since they all have no clue how the top 10 is gonna shake out. All this Kyler Murray talk is making me hate him as a prospect even though he's a really good prospect, just not nearly worth a #1 or even being the first QB off the board. Inversely I could see this mimic 2005 and have Kyler go #1 simply because no one else is worth it. Also Josh Rosen is twice the prospect he is and the Cardinals would be a bunch of idiots to trade him.

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?
I want to hear more on why you think Brian Burns "stinks".

Sad King Billy
Jan 27, 2006

Thats three of ours innit...to one of yours. You know mate I really think we ought to even up the average!
I think Kyler Murray is going to suffer due to his poor interviews. Then again there are so many smokescreens going around, it is hard to know what is true.

Amy Pole Her
Jun 17, 2002
He’s going to Arizona.

I’m a huge fan of Gary @ 13. No chance we see Dexter Lawrence imo he’s too talented to drop to 10.

Flikken
Oct 23, 2009

10,363 snaps and not a playoff win to show for it
I'm still not used to picking this late in the draft, I kind of want a Tackle at 17.

Amy Pole Her
Jun 17, 2002
Oh wow most mocks have Gary top 10 and Lawrence dropping?

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Ches Neckbeard
Dec 3, 2005

You're all garbage, back up the truck BACK IT UP!

Amy Pole Her posted:

Oh wow most mocks have Gary top 10 and Lawrence dropping?

Ed Oliver is the drop that keeps baffling me

Edit: dunno if Samuel Gold doing Jonah Williams got posted yet.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCvrHo-oelg

Ches Neckbeard fucked around with this message at 19:10 on Mar 9, 2019

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply