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thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth

Rust Martialis posted:

Which coup? The one by Chavez (that failed), the one *against* Chavez (that failed), or the one by Maduro (that has succeeded) opposed by the legitimate National Assembly? Go ahead and demonstrate your own "critical thinking" and enlighten us.


The one actively being agitated for by guaido and the US. What do you seek to achieve by presenting such disingenuous arguments?

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Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

Because if this was the case Telesur would be shouting it from the rooftops and someone in this thread would have said something by now. The fact this isn't happening suggests that the video is exactly what it's claimed to be: collectivos shooting at peaceful protestors.

Does anyone else find it pathetic that the pro-Maduro posters will happily wave off all the *uncounted* dead and wounded protestors to act all horrified that *one* person was killed by a group during a protest (under disputed circumstances) and that somehow this *one* death totally delegitimizes the entire opposition?

Of course nothing is troubling about torture or murder by the *state* for our heroes. They have no issues with state violence - for states they *like*.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

thatfatkid posted:

The one actively being agitated for by guaido and the US. What do you seek to achieve by presenting such disingenuous arguments?

Because it's not a coup. The National Assembly is literally following the Chavez-written constitution. It's really no different than when Nixon was impeached - and not a coup.

Ed: if you haven't, and from your repeated bouts of confusion you seem not to have, you really should read the vast amount of information in the first posts in this thread.

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 20:36 on Apr 1, 2019

thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth

GreyjoyBastard posted:

you can't prove the black guy was not in fact a thief as the mob accused him of :smug:

seriously, trying to defend random casual shooting at a protest was gross when it was one person making one driveby shitpost

Once again there is no proof in the video discussed that it was showing people shooting at protesters.

Rust Martialis posted:

Because it's not a coup. The National Assembly is literally following the Chavez-written constitution. It's really no different than when Nixon was impeached - and not a coup.

Except of course for the fact that guaido has just suddenly declared himself president and the US is assisting with Elliott Abrams as is his handler. Yep definitely not a coup.

thatfatkid fucked around with this message at 20:38 on Apr 1, 2019

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
I just came across this video, apparently from the San Martin area in western Caracas.

It shows a group of anti-government protesters (there's a handful of them blocking the road at the start of the clip) just as a coletivo rolls up to them. The coelctivos are on their motorcycles, and you can see that one of them is carrying a PSUV flag. From a quick glance at the footage it doesn't seem like any of the coletivos are visibly armed, but you can imagine that the people who were protesting probably didn't want to stick around to find out.

https://twitter.com/osmarycnn/status/1112759057985794050

As Labradoodle and others have pointed out, this kind of colectivo activity has to be understood within the context of Maduro calling on coletivos by name to take to the streets and "defend" the revolution.

Private Witt linked a RT article earlier talking about the "Peace Gangs" (Cuadrillas de Paz). Here's a clip of Diosdado Cabello with some colectivos as part of this initiative to get the "Peace Gangs" out onto the streets to protect Maduro:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nuU5z_K1YOg

quote:

Diosdado Cabello: Loyal, alwasy! Traitors, never! [repeated] Here we are, right in the middle of training for peace. Not only peace for the chavistas: peace for the opposition, and peace for those who don't like politics. It's our obligation to protect peace. Our people are organized, trained, alert and ready to defend peace. Today, we witnessed some extraordinary training by the integral defense popular units and the cuadrillas defensoras la paz. Those who are right here are the defenders of peace. Long live peace!

Chuck Boone fucked around with this message at 20:37 on Apr 1, 2019

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Irony Be My Shield posted:

How is a 'mostly bloodless internal revolt' a remotely plausible scenario when there are cells of heavily armed Maduro fanatics all over the country? That seems like a recipe for a brutal and prolonged civil war even if the military sides with Guiado (and it looks like it won't).

I think this is part of the reason there's so much confusion over colectivos - it completely contradicts the previous line we've given that a Venezuelan coup would be a clean affair that could never turn out like Iraq or Syria.

yeah the colectivos armados peace gangs present something of a problem for a grassroots solution

an electoral solution at this point might require international pressure, which isn't great for the future legitimacy of the government and stability of Venezuelan institutions, but it might be able to rein in the peace gangs without, uh, too much violence than exists right now, between state power and hopefully applying the current National Assembly amnesty to the militia shitheads

the military switching sides and couping the PSUV could obviously do those things, and obviously is also not great for legitimacy and stability

meanwhile yeah, the peace gangs are very likely to roll out and kill people if a popular revolt actually threatens to bring down the PSUV; otoh, after a government's in place (or it forces new elections that way) the normal solutions still apply

amnesty for the peace gangs' political murders and more entrepreneurial crimes, bribe their asses by confirming their control of the sort of stuff they're already getting, that sort of thing

Goatse James Bond fucked around with this message at 20:37 on Apr 1, 2019

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Rust Martialis posted:

Because it's not a coup. The National Assembly is literally following the Chavez-written constitution. It's really no different than when Nixon was impeached - and not a coup.

Well, I mean it's pretty different in that Nixon didn't create a parallel Congress, appoint military officers to key government positions, and pretend he couldn't be impeached by Congress.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

Warbadger posted:

Well, I mean it's pretty different in that Nixon didn't create a parallel Congress, appoint military officers to key government positions, and pretend he couldn't be impeached by Congress.

Oh THAT part is clearly a coup, by Maduro.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead
The best case is probably actually most of the peace gangs being not particularly sincere and instead just motivated by self-interest. If all they're really interested in is resources and not getting punished for their extracurricular crimes, those are things that can be resolved by a non-Maduro government; if the vast majority are actually die-hard defenders of socialism and the Bolivarian Revolution, that's a Problem if they decide that President Lopez or whoever is utterly unacceptable.

thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth

Chuck Boone posted:

I just came across this video, apparently from the San Martin area in western Caracas.

It shows a group of anti-government protesters (there's a handful of them blocking the road at the start of the clip) just as a coletivo rolls up to them. The coelctivos are on their motorcycles, and you can see that one of them is carrying a PSUV flag. From a quick glance at the footage it doesn't seem like any of the coletivos are visibly armed, but you can imagine that the people who were protesting probably didn't want to stick around to find out.

https://twitter.com/osmarycnn/status/1112759057985794050

As Labradoodle and others have pointed out, this kind of colectivo activity has to be understood within the context of Maduro calling on coletivos by name to take to the streets and "defend" the revolution.

Private Witt linked a RT article earlier talking about the "Peace Gangs" (Cuadrillas de Paz). Here's a clip of Diosdado Cabello with some colectivos as part of this initiative to get the "Peace Gangs" out onto the streets to protect Maduro:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nuU5z_K1YOg

I'm amazed that you can write so much about a video showing so little. Have you considered a career as a journslist for the NYT?

Sure none of the people in the video are armed, but motorbikes are scary!

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

thatfatkid posted:

I'm amazed that you can write so much about a video showing so little. Have you considered a career as a journslist for the NYT?

Sure none of the people in the video are armed, but motorbikes are scary!

So the fears of the protesters after all the Colectivo violence don't come into consideration?

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Furia posted:

I don’t think “the government should not kill civilians” constitutes “making the hunger worse”

Say colectivos are bad. Can you bring yourself to do that?

Colectivos are extremely good and should serve as a warning to people like you that you're supporting a civil war.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Rust Martialis posted:

Nope, sorry, not chasing those goalposts. Let's revisit your prior statement.

You said:


This was clearly untrue when you said it, and now you are trying to avoid admitting being caught in a simple error. Was it simple ignorance or a deliberate untruth on your part, or just carelessness?

At this point, even you have admitted that the facts are quite clear - that violence by colectivos happened without sanctions (you mentioned the prior coup, years before sanctions). An *honest* person would simply admit a mis-statement or error and move on, as has happened repeatedly on this thread when new facts and evidence emerge, by many posters. Continued failure to do so would demonstrate a fundamental dishonesty in your character.

What error? Venezuela has been under sanctions for ages. Sanctions have continued to make the situation worse and worsen violence. Address the things you snipped, coward.

Glazius
Jul 22, 2007

Hail all those who are able,
any mouse can,
any mouse will,
but the Guard prevail.

Clapping Larry
OP, I've got a question. What happens after?

Venezula's export and other infrastructure has been beat on by noted counterrevolutionary Mean Mr. Entropy for decades. Someone needs to fix it, and Venezuela's already in debt up to its eyeballs. Losing the state to foreign investment would be a terrible way forward.

What else is being considered?

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Judakel posted:

Colectivos are extremely good and should serve as a warning to people like you that you're supporting a civil war.

You seriously think that pro-government militias that SHOOT UNARMED PROTESTERS ARE GOOD!

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
The Supreme Court has just announced that it is initiating the process of removing Guaido's parliamentary immunity. The move comes after a request from the Constituent Assembly EDIT: Sorry, I got this wrong. It's the other way around. The Supreme Court has asked the Constituent Assembly to remove Guaido's parliamentary immunity.

It's hard to tell what the next step is here. If the government wanted to detain Guaido, it would have done it (and in fact, Guaido was briefly arrested in late January) whether or not he has diplomatic immunity.

I think that what we might be seeing is the government inching towards arresting Guaido by taking small steps to that end and gauging the response. Guaido's chief of staff was arrested in March, and I think that's part of the same process. The regime is probably trying to see what it can get away with, and if there really is a limit to what action it can take against Guaido.

Chuck Boone fucked around with this message at 21:24 on Apr 1, 2019

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

Judakel posted:

What error? Venezuela has been under sanctions for ages. Sanctions have continued to make the situation worse and worsen violence. Address the things you snipped, coward.

You said sanctions caused colectivo violence. It has been pointed out to you (and you have evidently agreed) that this is untrue. You continued refusal to correct your error clearly indicates you are arguing dishonestly.

Also, your use of insults is not helping your position, friend. I have given you multiple opportunities to admit your simple error, and you have refused. I'm not sure how that isn't itself deserving the epithet you so casually tossed at me. It really seems face-saving is more important to you than the truth.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Rust Martialis posted:

You said sanctions caused colectivo violence. It has been pointed out to you (and you have evidently agreed) that this is untrue. You continued refusal to correct your error clearly indicates you are arguing dishonestly.

Also, your use of insults is not helping your position, friend. I have given you multiple opportunities to admit your simple error, and you have refused. I'm not sure how that isn't itself deserving the epithet you so casually tossed at me. If seems face-saving is more important to you than the truth.

Yes, that is true. Sanctions cause colectivo violence. No, I do not agree that it is untrue. Why do you think I do? I don't give a gently caress if it helps my position, friend. You seem to be reading someone else's posts instead of mine, so I have no idea why you think I am trying to save face and from what?

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Judakel posted:

Colectivos are extremely good and should serve as a warning to people like you that you're supporting a civil war.

You're making a "why do you make me beat you" argument, in this case with civilian death. Reconsider.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

Judakel posted:

Yes, that is true. Sanctions cause colectivo violence. No, I do not agree that it is untrue. Why do you think I do? I don't give a gently caress if it helps my position, friend. You seem to be reading someone else's posts instead of mine, so I have no idea why you think I am trying to save face and from what?

You said "Don't sanction a country in the hopes of destabilizing it and you won't have to worry about collectivos." This is clearly untrue, as colectivos and colectivo violence predated sanctions - therefore even without sanctions, you still "have to worry about collectivos (sic)". Hence, you are wrong.

Why is it *so* hard for you to admit error? It really is a sign of a closed mind.

Anyhow, this has become a pointless derail. Apologies to all, I will stop.

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 21:33 on Apr 1, 2019

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
Sanctions cause Colectivos to murder unarmed protesters...

That is just excusing the murder of unarmed protesters by saying 'the sanctions made him do it!'.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial

Glazius posted:

OP, I've got a question. What happens after?

Venezula's export and other infrastructure has been beat on by noted counterrevolutionary Mean Mr. Entropy for decades. Someone needs to fix it, and Venezuela's already in debt up to its eyeballs. Losing the state to foreign investment would be a terrible way forward.

What else is being considered?

I'm not an economist so I'm not the best person to answer this question. I can tell you that Guaido's point-man on the economy is Ricardo Hausman, who has all kinds of connections to the IADB and the IMF/World Bank.

I also just saw this article pop up that I think you might be interested in.

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


Chuck Boone posted:

I'm not an economist so I'm not the best person to answer this question. I can tell you that Guaido's point-man on the economy is Ricardo Hausman, who has all kinds of connections to the IADB and the IMF/World Bank.

I also just saw this article pop up that I think you might be interested in.

The Kingfish posted:

https://twitter.com/nytopinion/status/1112742108958478339

Here's a cute little video about why the U.S. should institute regime change. Published by the NYT and presented by the daughter of Guaido's named representative to the IADB.

EDIT:
"hands off can actually mean 'blood on your hands'"

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Discendo Vox posted:

You're making a "why do you make me beat you" argument, in this case with civilian death. Reconsider.

You're literally advocating starving people. Reconsider.

Rust Martialis posted:

You said "Don't sanction a country in the hopes of destabilizing it and you won't have to worry about collectivos." This is clearly untrue, as colectivos and colectivo violence predated sanctions - therefore even without sanctions, you still "have to worry about collectivos (sic)". Hence, you are wrong.

Why is it *so* hard for you to admit error? It really is a sign of a closed mind.

Anyhow, this has become a pointless derail. Apologies to all, I will stop.

Do you see no difference between worsening violence and the mere inception of colectivos or are you simply pretending to be dumb? Don't run away. Answer the question, you coward.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
A Venezuelan wanting regime change in Venezuela is bad?

Glazius
Jul 22, 2007

Hail all those who are able,
any mouse can,
any mouse will,
but the Guard prevail.

Clapping Larry

Chuck Boone posted:

I'm not an economist so I'm not the best person to answer this question. I can tell you that Guaido's point-man on the economy is Ricardo Hausman, who has all kinds of connections to the IADB and the IMF/World Bank.

I also just saw this article pop up that I think you might be interested in.

Oh, huh. The US is considering just telling Venezuela's creditors to gently caress off. I would respect that if it came from an administration less eager to badmouth and betray literally anyone because Cheeto said so.

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Glazius posted:

Oh, huh. The US is considering just telling Venezuela's creditors to gently caress off. I would respect that if it came from an administration less eager to badmouth and betray literally anyone because Cheeto said so.

Its still a pretty great idea for how to deal with the mountains of debt secured by Venezuela's resources.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 6 days!)

Pharohman777 posted:

Its still a pretty great idea for how to deal with the mountains of debt secured by Venezuela's resources.

There is a concept of "odious debt".

Der Waffle Mous
Nov 27, 2009

In the grim future, there is only commerce.
I'm still pretty annoyed that the incident where the venezuelan military killed a bunch of indigenous people got collectively memory-holed in favor of the truck fire circus.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Der Waffle Mous posted:

I'm still pretty annoyed that the incident where the venezuelan military killed a bunch of indigenous people got collectively memory-holed in favor of the truck fire circus.

Well, the truck fire circus was boosted in order to promote a false narrative. So...

Glazius
Jul 22, 2007

Hail all those who are able,
any mouse can,
any mouse will,
but the Guard prevail.

Clapping Larry

Pharohman777 posted:

Its still a pretty great idea for how to deal with the mountains of debt secured by Venezuela's resources.

Yeah, no question, and working with Honduras to send aid and improve the conditions there to stem the flow of immigrants is way better than cutting it all off because they're a loser country of losers who never helped us. Guess how long after we signed the former Dumb Donald did the latter.

(4 days. About half a Scaramucci.)

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Pharohman777 posted:

A Venezuelan wanting regime change in Venezuela is bad?

yeah she's just an ordinary venezuelan. not a dishonest framing at all.

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

R. Guyovich posted:

yeah she's just an ordinary venezuelan. not a dishonest framing at all.

So is the complaint really that a politicians daughter got a op-ed in the New york times?

Is the complaint really just 'she's arguing for regime change, and anybody saying that is evil and bad and wrong'?

thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth

Pharohman777 posted:

So is the complaint really that a politicians daughter got a op-ed in the New york times?

Is the complaint really just 'she's arguing for regime change, and anybody saying that is evil and bad and wrong'?

A blatantly biased person with family connections to the Guaido camp is being presented as just a typical Venezuelan that supports the pro Guaido coup. Do you seriously not see how this is an issue?

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


They gave the no-nothing daughter of some suit in Guaido’s cabinet-in-exile space to do a cutesy pro-intervention video to get millennials on board with Abrams and friends’ machinations.

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Der Waffle Mous posted:

I'm still pretty annoyed that the incident where the venezuelan military killed a bunch of indigenous people got collectively memory-holed in favor of the truck fire circus.

Remember : Killing natives is A-OK when socialists do it, its only bad when the capitalists do it. Same thing with shooting anti-government protesters.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
I wonder what this failchild of a neoliberal economist has to say...

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


Judakel posted:

I wonder what this failchild of a neoliberal economist has to say...

Comedian. Writer. Venezuelan Youtube Person. Joanna Rants. Correspondent for @Netflix’s “Bill Nye Saves the World” Alien and Monster voices on @Disney. Weirdo.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Pharohman777 posted:

So is the complaint really that a politicians daughter got a op-ed in the New york times?

Is the complaint really just 'she's arguing for regime change, and anybody saying that is evil and bad and wrong'?

let me know when the times gives a prime opinion slot to someone who's anti-coup

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karthun
Nov 16, 2006

I forgot to post my food for USPOL Thanksgiving but that's okay too!

zapplez posted:

Remember : Killing natives is A-OK when socialists do it, its only bad when the capitalists do it. Same thing with shooting anti-government protesters.

Who is the socialist here? Maduro privitized so much of Venezuela that even the monopoly on the legitimate use of force is privitized.

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