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It is a mixed bag, if not moderately negative for them, but at the same time, it is a fair result for the AKP considering the state of the economy (which is really quite bad).
Ardennes fucked around with this message at 17:05 on Apr 2, 2019 |
# ? Apr 2, 2019 17:03 |
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# ? May 26, 2024 02:16 |
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Bouteflika has resigned. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-47795108
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 20:40 |
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Muffiner posted:Bouteflika has resigned. WHAT NOW?
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 21:18 |
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Muffiner posted:Bouteflika has resigned.
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 21:20 |
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Grouchio posted:WHAT. WHAT. WHAT.
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 21:28 |
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https://mobile.twitter.com/laseptiemewilay/status/1113142442654564352 Said is an rear end in a top hat who has been reported as Bouteflika's heir apparent for years.
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 22:12 |
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The ole switcharoo then.
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# ? Apr 2, 2019 23:28 |
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Middle East Thread: Bouteflika Out, Everything Is Great Forever
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# ? Apr 3, 2019 03:07 |
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https://twitter.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1113198719158165505
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# ? Apr 3, 2019 09:38 |
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some hope yet.
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# ? Apr 3, 2019 18:19 |
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It's a coup by a regime general. I'm skeptical, but I hope everything works out.
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# ? Apr 3, 2019 19:00 |
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Zurakara posted:It's a coup by a regime general. I'm skeptical, but I hope everything works out. Yeah it's hard to see the military replacing a living corpse with someone else as an actual win for the people. It's even harder to see the Algerian military willingly giving up power without fighting another bloody civil war. Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 19:21 on Apr 3, 2019 |
# ? Apr 3, 2019 19:15 |
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Libya seems to be kicking off again: https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1113829588298346496
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 17:54 |
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Sinteres posted:Libya seems to be kicking off again: Hopefully this doesn't result in full scale battles inside Tripoli, but instead will lead to negotiation. Haftar has been threatening this for years but was never capable of pulling it off. However he's just been steadily taking more and more territory and assets, improving his position, while the Tripoli based government just becomes more and more dysfunctional. My guess is he will back down before there's really large scale destructive fighting, but the Tripoli authority will give him new concessions. Nobody is really in a position to stop Haftar from taking western Libya apart piece by piece.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 18:18 |
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Squalid posted:Hopefully this doesn't result in full scale battles inside Tripoli, but instead will lead to negotiation. Haftar has been threatening this for years but was never capable of pulling it off. However he's just been steadily taking more and more territory and assets, improving his position, while the Tripoli based government just becomes more and more dysfunctional. My guess is he will back down before there's really large scale destructive fighting, but the Tripoli authority will give him new concessions. Nobody is really in a position to stop Haftar from taking western Libya apart piece by piece. I'm guessing a bunch of people are hoping he'll have another stroke and his supporters will splinter behind different factions. It's pretty wild for a 75+ year old general who almost died from a stroke last year to be the guy threatening to conquer the country.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 18:22 |
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https://www.politico.com/story/2019/04/04/house-rebukes-trump-with-vote-ending-us-support-for-yemen-war-1255866Andrew Desiderio posted:The House on Thursday approved a measure to cut off U.S. support for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen's bloody civil war, in yet another harsh rebuke of President Donald Trump's foreign policy.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 18:34 |
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Trying to follow what's happening in Libya and it seems like Haftar is really serious. His forces are reported to be just 17 miles west of Tripoli now. Apparently they have been advancing north today from the town of Gharyan south of Tripoli encountering little resistance. They have probably been aided by some local militias in the towns they have passed through, many of which have little reason to love the Tripoli government. If he tries to enter Tripoli the Misratans may be the only forces committed to standing their ground. The fact that forces loyal to Haftar have been able to advance so far seems like a really bad look for Serraj. His government has been riven by factional infighting and has proved ineffective and rudderless. If it can't do anything in response to this provocation it may just melt away into nothing without even putting up a fight. The Misratans are a serious force but I don't think they can control the Tripoli and the rest of the west all by themselves.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 22:05 |
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I thought Haftar was brain dead after a stroke
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 22:15 |
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Haftar whatever happens he seemed to have recovered, unsurprisingly he never released too many details. Of course he’s never exhibited particularly impressive mental faculties, but it turns out his foes are even stupider.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 22:21 |
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Haftar seems to have backed off of attacking Tripoli, and the rumor is that he had a greenlight from some Arab countries and France but the US and UK said lol no and put a stop to it. Obviously this sort of back room stuff can be unreliable, so it may be a while before we know the real story, but that's what the livemap has going on over the last few hours anyway.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 22:34 |
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Sounds like things in Libya are coming along nicely post-gaddafi.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 22:52 |
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thatfatkid posted:Sounds like things in Libya are coming along nicely post-gaddafi. Well, I mean under Gaddafi they had a country spanning civil war so I guess this would be an improvement.
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# ? Apr 4, 2019 23:41 |
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Conveniently ignoring a few key details to the civil war doesn't make the end result any less horrific. The NATO "no fly zone" coming into effect when govt forces were approaching Benghazi was just an inconsequential detail.
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 00:05 |
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Is the Petroleum Facilities Guard still a thing? I always enjoyed their straightforward name and mission statement.
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 00:08 |
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https://twitter.com/deyook/status/1113504531764133894?s=21
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 01:24 |
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thatfatkid posted:Conveniently ignoring a few key details to the civil war doesn't make the end result any less horrific. please don't try to relitigate it here
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 01:26 |
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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-fighting/taliban-storms-west-afghanistan-district-kills-dozens-idUSKCN1RH08Xquote:HERAT, Afghanistan (Reuters) - Hundreds of Taliban fighters stormed a district in Afghanistan’s western Badghis province, with both Afghan government forces and the insurgent group suffering dozens of casualties, provincial officials said. Another intense round of fighting near Bala Murghab.
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 08:10 |
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Today it looks like Haftar's forces are still moving toward Tripoli, so either the reports yesterday were wrong, he lied about backing down, or things changed. Edit: Now they're reported to be in control of Tripoli International Airport, though that's been disputed. Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 18:23 on Apr 5, 2019 |
# ? Apr 5, 2019 14:31 |
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Sinteres posted:Today it looks like Haftar's forces are still moving toward Tripoli, so either the reports yesterday were wrong, he lied about backing down, or things changed. Unless the US/NATO are willing to bomb them, why would they stop? Europe wants a strongman in charge who can be bribed not to allow any more migrant boats come from Libyan shores.
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# ? Apr 5, 2019 23:29 |
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I don't have a WSJ subscription so this'll have to do. U.S. Set To Designate Iran’s Revolutionary Guard As Terrorist Organization quote:U.S. media are reporting that the United States will soon designate Iran's hard-line Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) a foreign terrorist organization, which would be the first time Washingtion has given that label to the military unit of another country. Looking forward to us burning another trillion loving dollars in a third (fourth?) forever war.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 01:11 |
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Coldwar timewarp posted:Unless the US/NATO are willing to bomb them, why would they stop? There's a few reasons I can think of. Number 1 is money. Libya's oil wealth still flows through the national bank in Tripoli, and if he really pisses the US and other players off the money top could be shut off. Second is he might lose. Hiftar's LNA is basically just another militia and it's hard say if its even capable of taking Tripoli. If they want to occupy the city by force they'll have to face down the Misratans who are well trained and equipped thanks to their collaboration with the US in defeating IS in Sirte. Third is politics. Haftar wants position himself as the face of order and secular stability. Shelling Tripoli is going to be a real bad look. As much as he wants to be a dictator and strong man keeping himself in control requires maintaining delicate political relationships and getting lots of people killed could be a problem. The fourth reason is that he might not need to push further. The Tripoli government has proved to be a joke. The city is divided between many militias who often hate each other nearly as much as Haftar. Over the last few years the ideological motivations of many have faded and many have degenerated into glorified mafias, living through extortion and people smuggling. Haftar doesn't have to defeat these people in battle. Now that he's practically in Tripoli, he just has to offer them a better deal than Sirraj and they may defect. The Tripoli government has shown an amazing lack of initiative over the last two years. While Hiftir was occupying all of the oil producing regions, they were consumed with byzantine political drama. Now Haftar has marched right up to Tripoli and they barely budged to stop him. If he just waits a little longer they might just fall apart completely without him even needing to finish them off.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 03:53 |
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quote:In 2011, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on the three amid allegations that Soleimani, Abdollahi, and Shahlai were linked to a failed plot to assassinate Saudi Arabia's former ambassador to the United States, Adel Al-Jubeir. This was one of the most absurd episodes. It was a delusional, Iranian used car salesman in Texas who had no affiliations to like anyone trying to get explosives from a DEA informant he thought was in the Mexican cartels. https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/houston/article/How-a-plot-to-kill-Saudi-ambassador-goes-from-5997273.php https://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/13/us/iran-sees-terror-plot-accusation-as-diversion-from-wall-street-protests.html The fact that it's used as the basis for sanctions is just so drat goddamn stupid and American.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 06:13 |
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Wasn't there speculation that donny the boy had speculative links with the Imperial Guard through a property in uh... Kazakhstan I think it was. I'm on a tram and phone posting so can't look it up right now. I know Maddow did a piece on it. It's a building in the middle of a turnpike from memory. I'll look it up when I get home.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 08:10 |
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Cable Guy posted:Wasn't there speculation that donny the boy had speculative links with the Imperial Guard through a property in uh... Kazakhstan I think it was. Probably Azerbaijan, iirc there's some dude in close with the aliyevs and they scratch each others' backs in laundering public funds through poo poo like construction projects.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 08:30 |
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This IRGC FTO thing is going to blow up in our face spectacularly.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 10:21 |
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Squalid posted:There's a few reasons I can think of. Number 1 is money. Libya's oil wealth still flows through the national bank in Tripoli, and if he really pisses the US and other players off the money top could be shut off. That was a very well thought out post in response to a rather flippant one, thanks. I doubt that the US under Trump is likely to oppose Haftar in Libya, with bombs or otherwise. It’s basically one of the few coherent Trumpian foreign policy goals, to prop up friendly dictators as opposed to “globalist” entities like the GNA. He might lose is quite a reasonable point. If they manage to encounter even a somewhat effective city fighting defence, the outcome is not guaranteed. I think the Misratan Militias and others are probably felt in some way as an occupying force or as gangster like groups collecting protection money, meaning that at least they have little support on the ground. I don’t think those who support Haftar will be especially averse to civilian casualties in pursuit of their goals. I could be wrong, but it’s an Egyptian project on the logistics front, with Saudi/Gulf funding who is supporting him right? Absolute monarchies and a military dictatorship seem unlikely to stop support if they view it as a necessary cracking of eggs. I’m sort of running off a last I heard basis, feel free to correct me. I think Trumps foreign policy is a unique opportunity for Haftar, and those who support him, and they are seizing it. I for some reason think of the recent Indian ASAT test, which some speculate was done with the knowledge that this administration won’t push back on “escalations”, as it has shown in Syria with regards to Israel. The often toothless US response to these things now even goes without a customary scolding.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 14:46 |
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https://mobile.twitter.com/borzou/status/1114168571964346368 Big day for protests in Sudan as well. Volkerball fucked around with this message at 16:44 on Apr 6, 2019 |
# ? Apr 6, 2019 16:25 |
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https://twitter.com/IvankaTrump/status/1113786931358457856
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 16:52 |
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Volkerball posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/borzou/status/1114168571964346368 They know what happened in Egypt and don't want it, but I think they'd better be ready to fight.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 17:18 |
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# ? May 26, 2024 02:16 |
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I feel that a lot of these protests could be resolved if a Sunni Islamist state was established. It seems that in muslim-majority countries there is always a minority of Sunnis who are unhappy with the secular governments. Maybe when the Taliban finally take over Afghanistan again then that could become a Sunni Islamist state that receives many immigrants. Unlike ISIS, the Taliban at least seem to want to make a somewhat reasonable nation.
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# ? Apr 6, 2019 17:30 |