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Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Ruzihm posted:

So you don't agree with the arguments presented in the piece that the sanctions precluded a rapid solution to the hyperinflation?

Are you suggesting that the sanctions did not interfere with a solution or that they made controlling the hyperinflation more achievable during that period?

neither of us said either of those things

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Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.
I think saying the sanctions hurt people and made the economy worse is very different from attributing all negative outcomes to them. Are the general sanctions bad? Yes- that's not new. Is the article's actual claims and reasoning poo poo? Also yes.

To give a simple example, you could take a differential trajectory on major economic indicators for the periods before and after the 2017 sanctions and create a coefficient for specific domestic macroeconomic markers. That still wouldn't get you to ground-level outcomes like mortality, because you know what? The Maduro government is still corrupt and diverting resources! You don't get to ignore what the country's own government is doing with its economy!

This is making me take a closer look at CEPR and Weisbrot's previous endorsements of Chavez and Maduro. So far it's not a good look, though I'm having to dig past a layer of shittiness from places like the national review to get to his positions.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 22:09 on Apr 26, 2019

Ruzihm
Aug 11, 2010

Group up and push mid, proletariat!


What do you think about the article's actual claim and reasoning that the sanctions did preclude a policy that could have substantially addressed the hyperinflation issue? It's unclear if that's included in what you're calling 'poo poo' or not.

edit: the part I was replying to specifically got edited out but w/e

Ruzihm fucked around with this message at 22:13 on Apr 26, 2019

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

Discendo Vox posted:

You don't get to ignore what the country's own government is doing with its economy!

Who does "you" refer to and what does "ignore" mean in this post? Because it reads to me as some kind moral justification for the US government to do whatever it feels to the country of Venezuela.

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
Even if the sanctions hurt people, maduro is still an incompetent rear end in a top hat because he covered his ears and screamed that there was no humanitarian crisis and nothing was wrong for years as a refugee crisis occurred and charities were barred from operating in Venezuela until recently.

uninterrupted
Jun 20, 2011

zapplez posted:

Are you still doing that pathetic thing where you pretend any Venezuelans on the internet that want maduro gone must in fact be roleplayers?

You have a quote for this, or are you just gonna get mad at anyone who doesn't like Elliot Brain-bash or Elliot Brain-bash's friends?

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Kobayashi posted:

Who does "you" refer to and what does "ignore" mean in this post? Because it reads to me as some kind moral justification for the US government to do whatever it feels to the country of Venezuela.

Is it moral to for a nation to allow its banks to launder/process embezzled money? Or should steps be taken to freeze such assets until they can be returned to the people it was stolen from?

What if overseas assets were bought with stolen money? Then when money got short, the criminals tried to sell the assets to get the money back? Should a country allow this?

A guy comes by and pays you to store a painting. Later, someone else contacts you and claims he is the real owner of the painting. You think, based on the story both told you, that it's quite possible the second guy really does own the painting. Then the first guy shows up and demands the painting, which you think belongs to the second guy. Do you just shrug and hand it over? Do you have any ethical responsibility here?

uninterrupted
Jun 20, 2011

Rust Martialis posted:

Is it moral to for a nation to allow its banks to launder/process embezzled money? Or should steps be taken to freeze such assets until they can be returned to the people it was stolen from?

What if overseas assets were bought with stolen money? Then when money got short, the criminals tried to sell the assets to get the money back? Should a country allow this?

A guy comes by and pays you to store a painting. Later, someone else contacts you and claims he is the real owner of the painting. You think, based on the story both told you, that it's quite possible the second guy really does own the painting. Then the first guy shows up and demands the painting, which you think belongs to the second guy. Do you just shrug and hand it over? Do you have any ethical responsibility here?

It's obviously your moral obligation to starve both their kids and throw molotov cocktails into their houses.

Ruzihm
Aug 11, 2010

Group up and push mid, proletariat!


Rust Martialis posted:

Is it moral to for a nation to allow its banks to launder/process embezzled money? Or should steps be taken to freeze such assets until they can be returned to the people it was stolen from?

What if overseas assets were bought with stolen money? Then when money got short, the criminals tried to sell the assets to get the money back? Should a country allow this?

A guy comes by and pays you to store a painting. Later, someone else contacts you and claims he is the real owner of the painting. You think, based on the story both told you, that it's quite possible the second guy really does own the painting. Then the first guy shows up and demands the painting, which you think belongs to the second guy. Do you just shrug and hand it over? Do you have any ethical responsibility here?

the correct thing to do is to send un election observers despite what any political party or coalition wants you to do.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

uninterrupted posted:

It's obviously your moral obligation to starve both their kids and throw molotov cocktails into their houses.

I am interested to hear your explanation of how freezing the foreign assets of Venezuela's most crooked billionaires is actually throwing a molotov at a house.

Ruzihm posted:

the correct thing to do is to send un election observers despite what any political party or coalition wants you to do.

That's an interesting solution to embezzlement from the people of Venezuela you have there. Doesn't seem like that's an election inspector's wheelhouse?

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1121877904718168064

The stamp means big sanctions.

Ruzihm
Aug 11, 2010

Group up and push mid, proletariat!


Rust Martialis posted:

Is it moral to for a nation to allow its banks to launder/process embezzled money? Or should steps be taken to freeze such assets until they can be returned to the people it was stolen from?

What if overseas assets were bought with stolen money? Then when money got short, the criminals tried to sell the assets to get the money back? Should a country allow this?

A guy comes by and pays you to store a painting. Later, someone else contacts you and claims he is the real owner of the painting. You think, based on the story both told you, that it's quite possible the second guy really does own the painting. Then the first guy shows up and demands the painting, which you think belongs to the second guy. Do you just shrug and hand it over? Do you have any ethical responsibility here?

also, interesting how your analogy of sanctions leaves out the sanctions forbidding the trading of Venezuelan bonds in us markets :thunk:

edit: quoted the wrong post

Ruzihm fucked around with this message at 23:15 on Apr 26, 2019

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

uninterrupted posted:

You have a quote for this, or are you just gonna get mad at anyone who doesn't like Elliot Brain-bash or Elliot Brain-bash's friends?

What are you trying to say when you call the actual Venezuelans posting here "real Venezuelans"? What bullshit point are you trying to make with the quotation marks ? Why are you trying to claim they aren't actually from the country and aren't sincere ?

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

fishmech posted:

That's an interesting solution to embezzlement from the people of Venezuela you have there. Doesn't seem like that's an election inspector's wheelhouse?

Why do you think it is appropriate for the United States to impose its "solutions" on Venezuela in general, and what would lead you to trust the Trump administration to do so in particular?

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

Kobayashi posted:

Who does "you" refer to and what does "ignore" mean in this post? Because it reads to me as some kind moral justification for the US government to do whatever it feels to the country of Venezuela.

Then you should read the post again. "you" refers to the authors, and "ignore" refers to all causal sources of economic control, harm, or agency other than sanctions. This is a problem if you (again, referring to the authors) are trying to measure the effects of sanctions.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 00:28 on Apr 27, 2019

uninterrupted
Jun 20, 2011

zapplez posted:

What are you trying to say when you call the actual Venezuelans posting here "real Venezuelans"? What bullshit point are you trying to make with the quotation marks ? Why are you trying to claim they aren't actually from the country and aren't sincere ?

Quotation marks are used to indicate certain phrases are quoted from other people, in this case the wealthy Venezuelan expats who giddily cheered on the humanitarian crisis caused by the the trump administration and their hand-picked puppet, Guaido.

I assume the answer to my original question is "no"?

Also, quotes for the rest of your histrionic whining?

edit: i see why quotation marks confuse you, they're basically the opposite of your MO; using sockpuppets to argue with yourself.

uninterrupted fucked around with this message at 00:37 on Apr 27, 2019

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Pharohman777 posted:

Even if the sanctions hurt people, maduro is still an incompetent rear end in a top hat



So you are admitting now that the sanctions hurt people? That is kind of the whole discussion here.

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

uninterrupted posted:

Quotation marks are used to indicate certain phrases are quoted from other people, in this case the wealthy Venezuelan expats who giddily cheered on the humanitarian crisis caused by the the trump administration and their hand-picked puppet, Guaido.

I assume the answer to my original question is "no"?

Also, quotes for the rest of your histrionic whining?

edit: i see why quotation marks confuse you, they're basically the opposite of your MO; using sockpuppets to argue with yourself.

Using sockpuppets is pretty shameful. Being cool with mass starvation and corruption because the government used to be socialist and thats all you can identify with, pretty shameful.

Its easy to be firm with saying socialism can do no wrong when you live in a free country and you have never been hungry. You dumb gently caress.

420 Gank Mid
Dec 26, 2008

WARNING: This poster is a huge bitch!

Kobayashi posted:

Indefensible cruelty by the United States against the citizens of Venezuela, and people who oppose ending the sanctions are complicit.

It's amazing how setting up an economic blockade of an entire country could have knock-on effects like this, surely no one could ever have seen this coming!

uninterrupted
Jun 20, 2011

zapplez posted:

Using sockpuppets is pretty shameful. Being cool with mass starvation and corruption because the government used to be socialist and thats all you can identify with, pretty shameful.

Its easy to be firm with saying socialism can do no wrong when you live in a free country and you have never been hungry. You dumb gently caress.

*zapple throws his voice to the other side of the room>

"Yeah, you go get him zapple! Thanks for representing all us poor Venezuelans thirsty for Pragmatic Moderate Austerity Measures!"

*zapple stops throwing his voice across the room

"Why you're welcome. Feel free to subsist on rotten sewage water now that I've freed you from socialist concepts like 'potability' and 'toxicity'."

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

WampaLord posted:



So you are admitting now that the sanctions hurt people? That is kind of the whole discussion here.

Yeah, the sanctions hurt people, and maduro made it so much worse with his policies and screaming that nothing was wrong and denying aid.

Dunno how its goalpost shifting to acknowledge facts.

420 Gank Mid
Dec 26, 2008

WARNING: This poster is a huge bitch!

Pharohman777 posted:

Yeah, the sanctions hurt people, and maduro made it so much worse with his policies and screaming that nothing was wrong and denying aid.

Dunno how its goalpost shifting to acknowledge facts.

Venezuela has accepted aid from every country and international organization not actively coup'ing their government though.

If Pence and Guaido wanted that aid in Venezuela they could have just asked Red Cross to deliver it

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

420 Gank Mid posted:

Venezuela has accepted aid from every country and international organization not actively coup'ing their government though.

If Pence and Guaido wanted that aid in Venezuela they could have just asked Red Cross to deliver it

Again, this is a lie, and it's a lie we've already discussed in depth. From 2018:
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article199179509.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/diplomats-urge-venezuela-allow-humanitarian-aid-alleviate-crisis-n907056

https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/countries-urge-venezuela-accept-aid-rule-of-law-maduro-1.4734681

Hell, from 2016:
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/28/world/americas/venezuela-refuses-us-aid.html

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

420 Gank Mid posted:

Venezuela has accepted aid from every country and international organization not actively coup'ing their government though.

If Pence and Guaido wanted that aid in Venezuela they could have just asked Red Cross to deliver it

The standard response for years has been "We don't even need aid, everything is fine". Hell, that was the official response a few months ago during a mass exodus of millions of Venezuelans. But hey, imaging is more important than actually helping out your people.

Pharohman777
Jan 14, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
When the refugee crisis was just starting over 2 years ago, maduro and the PSUV were all saying there was nothing wrong, and refused all aid attempts.

Even as malnourished and sick Venezuelans fled to neighboring countries, Maduro was saying there was no humanitarian crisis, and refused charities access to the country.

Maduro made himself magnitudes worse than the sanctions just by deliberately refusing charity and aid offered as the sick and hungry fled his nation to look for food and medical treatment.

Maduro made a conscious decision to allow his people to starve and suffer when offered relief by aid organizations a few years ago.

He is a monster.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Kobayashi posted:

Why do you think it is appropriate for the United States to impose its "solutions" on Venezuela in general, and what would lead you to trust the Trump administration to do so in particular?

You're going to have to show me where Donald Trump ever ordered UN elections inspectors to go to Venezuela , if you're going to start building this insane strawman.

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

Pharohman777 posted:

Yeah, the sanctions hurt people, and maduro made it so much worse with his policies and screaming that nothing was wrong and denying aid.

Dunno how its goalpost shifting to acknowledge facts.

Well, at least we can agree that the sanctions should end immediately. :hf:

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

fishmech posted:

You're going to have to show me where Donald Trump ever ordered UN elections inspectors to go to Venezuela , if you're going to start building this insane strawman.

My apologies, I thought you were one of the posters who supported US sanctions against Venezuela.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Kobayashi posted:

My apologies, I thought you were one of the posters who supported US sanctions against Venezuela.

If you believe "the sanctions" consist of Donald Trump directing the UN to inspect elections in Venezuela, I think you really need to stop attempting to talk about the country.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.
Again, there are multiple different kinds of sanctions, with different effects.

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

fishmech posted:

If you believe "the sanctions" consist of Donald Trump directing the UN to inspect elections in Venezuela, I think you really need to stop attempting to talk about the country.

I categorically oppose all US sanctions against Venezuela, and agree the the latter half of your comment would be good US policy.

Surprise Giraffe
Apr 30, 2007
1 Lunar Road
Moon crater
The Moon

Kobayashi posted:

Who does "you" refer to and what does "ignore" mean in this post? Because it reads to me as some kind moral justification for the US government to do whatever it feels to the country of Venezuela.

This could be the last post in this thread. This post is perfect.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Kobayashi posted:

I categorically oppose all US sanctions against Venezuela, and agree the the latter half of your comment would be good US policy.

Well you're wrong to oppose the freezing of assets in billionaires' bank accounts which are located outside of Venezuela, which is most of the sanctions that exist! Hope this helps, and also you should lead by example if you truly believe in what you just wrote.

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Kobayashi posted:

I categorically oppose all US sanctions against Venezuela, and agree the the latter half of your comment would be good US policy.

I categorically oppose all presidents that let their people starve while they funnel all the countries wealth to their friends and family.Those presidents should immediately be removed from office. How do you stand on that policy?

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

fishmech posted:

Well you're wrong to oppose the freezing of assets in billionaires' bank accounts which are located outside of Venezuela, which is most of the sanctions that exist! Hope this helps, and also you should lead by example if you truly believe in what you just wrote.

zapplez posted:

I categorically oppose all presidents that let their people starve while they funnel all the countries wealth to their friends and family.Those presidents should immediately be removed from office. How do you stand on that policy?

In both of these posts, it's just assumed that is acceptable for the United States to judge the actions of another government (thread rules edit: Venezuela) and intervene as it sees fit. I reject that assumption.

420 Gank Mid
Dec 26, 2008

WARNING: This poster is a huge bitch!


How does venezuela refusing aid from nations trying to overthrow their government make what I said a lie exactly? Of course they would refuse US Aid.

The problem a lot of people like you have is in realizing that the USA is not the only other country in the world aid can come from.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNpR2mN5LdE

Throwing around words like "lie" when you yourself seem to have such a selective blindness when it comes to this issue is a bad look.


zapplez posted:

The standard response for years has been "We don't even need aid, everything is fine".
If this were true, whats on that plane in the video?

420 Gank Mid fucked around with this message at 03:11 on Apr 27, 2019

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

420 Gank Mid posted:

How does venezuela refusing aid from nations trying to overthrow their government make what I said a lie exactly? Of course they would refuse US Aid.

The problem a lot of people like you have is in realizing that the USA is not the only other country in the world aid can come from.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNpR2mN5LdE

Throwing around words like "lie" when you yourself seem to have such a selective blindness when it comes to this issue is a bad look.

Are you just trolling at this point? You do realize only a few months ago Maduro stated publicly he doesnt need AID FROM ANYONE because there is NO HUMANITARIAN CRISIS.

Shortly after he flew out a bunch of naive journalists and gave them guided tours of a supermarket well stocked in condiments. The twittersphere ate it up.

420 Gank Mid
Dec 26, 2008

WARNING: This poster is a huge bitch!

zapplez posted:

Are you just trolling at this point?
No, trolling would be asking if you forgot to log into your sockpuppet before posting this.

Pretending that Maduro is categorically refusing all aid is just ignoring reality.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Kobayashi posted:

In both of these posts, it's just assumed that is acceptable for the United States to judge the actions of another government (thread rules edit: Venezuela) and intervene as it sees fit. I reject that assumption.

There is literally nothing bold about the ongoing existence of international politics, much less that touching on Venezuela.

Why are you so insistent that Switzerland can't seize accounts they suspect of being tied to out-of-country criminals for instance?

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vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

420 Gank Mid posted:

No, trolling would be asking if you forgot to log into your sockpuppet before posting this.

Pretending that Maduro is categorically refusing all aid is just ignoring reality.

No one in this thread has said Maduro is currently refusing all aid. But he has a heinous track record of refusing aid, including very recently saying for a journalist they don't need any help because everything is fine. How do you not understand that is hosed up?

vincentpricesboner fucked around with this message at 03:25 on Apr 27, 2019

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