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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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uncop
Oct 23, 2010

sincx posted:

What Trump doesn't realize, and what I hope Xi and his gang of Game of Thrones-lovers realizes, is that if someone sells you something, takes your piece of paper with a number on it, and holds on to that piece of paper or uses it to trade with third parties, thats a really good thing. It means you got something of value in exchange for a piece of paper that you can print at any time.

And if they ask for something from you later with your piece of paper, you don't have to give them back as much because of inflation.

The inverse is true too. Consistent trade surpluses aren't necessarily a good thing.

Generally when a foreign country sells you something, you don't buy it with your piece of paper but their piece of paper that you exchange your piece of paper for first. And they will lend your piece of paper back to you until they want to buy something with it. These two factors are why free trade policy in practice separates countries into semi-permanent creditors and debtors based on trade surpluses and deficits, with only countries that become export powerhouses rising into the ranks of the creditors. Aiming for trade surpluses is entirely rational, and China being a surplus heavyweight is a big reason why it has quickly become a huge lender able to lend on better terms than its competitors and getting a long-term claim on a share of the production of its trade partners.

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Soy Division
Aug 12, 2004

I think his point is that the RMB can’t function as a reserve currency unless capital controls are lifted.

nigel thornberry
Jul 29, 2013

hopefully daddy xi reads c-spam. china could really benefit from this goon's currency advice

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

perhaps the strict rules on foreign capital are why china is doing well????????

uncop
Oct 23, 2010

deckgibson posted:

I think his point is that the RMB can’t function as a reserve currency unless capital controls are lifted.

And mine was that aiming for that is a tradeoff based on how stable your foothold in global markets is. Lifting capital controls means that Chinese capitalists become free to invest wherever they find the most profit, and it would suck for China if that wasn't China. Countries tend to start advocating for free trade policy once they consider their economies defensible from competitors because they are more productive (note: just in terms of making money out of money, no need to produce anything physically). China is a complex case because its absolute size and some highly developed pockets make it look like it's in that position, while the rest of the country actually drags the average down to something like 1/3 or 1/4 of US productivity, totally dependent on either protectionism or ruthless labor exploitation. And labor unrest becomes exponentially more potent as it grows from personal, to enterprise, to local, to regional, to national scale, China can only handle that 996 stuff because it happens in special zones and circumstances to kids of peasants so those superexploited people have as hard as possible time uniting into a force to be reckoned with.

While being a reserve currency lets one run a surplus without the normal interest rate or exchange rate risks, surpluses risk negative feedback loop of depriving the domestic economy of productive investment needed to become more competitive. If you can just fart out money without risk, and your country produces below average cars while your neighbor produces great cars, you are going to end up with great cars but producing even more below average cars. Investment money goes to where it's most profitable, and because everyone's drowning in money, profit isn't in exports, it's in investment assets. I would argue that the USA has been going down this path for a long time, it's propped up by a bunch of extremely successful sectors but a lot more are in ruins due to the nature of being on top.

tino
Jun 4, 2018

by Smythe
Nothing else can be reserve currency until Euro become more important and dollar stop being the default currency for oil.

genericnick
Dec 26, 2012

To be a reserve currency you have to run silly deficits. Where are the reserves supposed to come from otherwise?

Top City Homo
Oct 15, 2014


Ramrod XTreme

sincx posted:

There's one thing that China can do that would both severely hamper the effects of US sanctions and dramatically boost its own international image:

Abolish capital controls and make the RMB fully convertible. This will allow China and its partners to by pass the existing, US-controlled financial system and do an end-run around much of the US sanctions regime.

But Winnie the Cuck and his minions are way too scared to do it, fearing uncontrolled capital in/outflows. But if Xi really wants China to lead even regionally, he has to let the RMB go free.

source your quotes

uncop
Oct 23, 2010

genericnick posted:

To be a reserve currency you have to run silly deficits. Where are the reserves supposed to come from otherwise?

If you count the central bank as part of the state sector, but that’s not how any country measures deficits, so deficits that actually show up on balance sheets need to explained through a different mechanism.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

To be a reserve currency you also need to be vulnerable to speculation, which is a hard sell for a country like China which is still developing to parity with the First World.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

There's also the issue that China's banks are notoriously closed off and don't give records out, which they would have to change if they want to try to become a reserve currency or even try to float their currency.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Mantis42 posted:

Market socialism, especially when it exists as an island within Capitalism, is still subject to the malign influence of Capitalist value and thus can become a race to the bottom as different firms seek to outcompete one another. Regulations help set a minimum standard of worker protection.

Under normal circumstances I would agree however huawei is on the frontlines of combat vs US economic imperialism during period of protracted people's war. If on long march during luding bridge crossing red army sentries suddenly declare "I have already fired at capitalist reactionary forces for 8 hours so I'm going to stop now" said sentries would rightful consigned to firing squad asap. Huawei workers realize every line of code written is another stake driven into the coffin of capitalism. Thus exceptions must be made to defend socialism, defend marxist ideology, defend leninist ideology, defend china, defend chinese working class prosperity, defend communist party, and defend chinese advancement in productive forces.

JuulPodSaveAmerica
Aug 29, 2012
If Xi wants China to be a regional leader he has to surrender control to the IMF and enact austerity.

Trust me, I earned my certification.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

China makes arrests, shuts down rogue chemical factories that spewed banned ozone-depleting gas

quote:

May 23, 2019
8:14 PM EDT

Rogue chemical plants have been targeted in a Chinese government crackdown on the discharge of illegal gases.

The authorities are believed to have launched a nationwide operation after it was revealed large amounts of ozone-depleting gases were being released in north-eastern China.

The action includes arrests and the closure of at least two illicit facilities producing banned chemical CFC-11, used in the production of expanding foams for the building and insulation industries.

“The government has followed up on the companies we identified in 2018,” said Clare Perry of EIA International, the environmental organisation which raised the alarm last year.

“It has undertaken a nationwide enforcement effort, including raising the penalties for using CFC-11, and has shut down at least two CFC-11 production sites.”

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/business/status/1132802069612642306

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

I'm the guy in the comments claiming "we" built China with the UK

e:
depicted: western philanthropists building China

Mantis42 has issued a correction as of 01:44 on May 27, 2019

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

the century of humiliation really did build modern China if you think about it :thunk:

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991


key bit of info buried in the story:

quote:

(China also slaps on import duties of 44% and a domestic sales tax of 36.5%.)

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/KoenSwinkels/status/1132838201645780992

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

R. Guyovich posted:

key bit of info buried in the story:

thank you. culture is not policy and western media drives me mad with this poo poo

Modest Mao
Feb 11, 2011

by Cyrano4747

There's literally no way this is true, even though America would totally do that

There's over a million international students, you think the FBI makes visits to over 300,000 teenagers?

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Modest Mao posted:

There's literally no way this is true, even though America would totally do that

There's over a million international students, you think the FBI makes visits to over 300,000 teenagers?
yeah the original source cites a survey that said 1/3 of university staff surveyed reported that FBI popped up to inquire about international students, which is of course a very different number

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

The CIA is personally stalking each and every Chinese citizen in between setting up thousands of foreign organizations and politicial parties.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

I fully believe the FBI does call universities just to make sure anyone on a visa isn't taking plane lessons or buying fertilizer though.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
broke: gangstalking

woke: Fedstalking

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

yeah the original source cites a survey that said 1/3 of university staff surveyed reported that FBI popped up to inquire about international students, which is of course a very different number

that's only like 1/1,000th the number implied, within a couple orders of magnitude

LimburgLimbo
Feb 10, 2008

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

yeah the original source cites a survey that said 1/3 of university staff surveyed reported that FBI popped up to inquire about international students, which is of course a very different number

i say swears online posted:

that's only like 1/1,000th the number implied, within a couple orders of magnitude

Moreover does it say that they ask specifically about Chinese students? Also I wonder at all the other areas the FBI could be involved in for fairly routine interactions with uni staff.

Also wonder what these dudes think of the reports that China's internal security has paid some friendly visits to the family of Chinese exchange students who have publicly criticized China. Or that Chinese student groups are monitoring the activity of Chinese students in the US.

(Also happy to hear of any counterpoints to the above that I've read in Western media)

Lambert
Apr 15, 2018

by Fluffdaddy
Fallen Rib

LimburgLimbo posted:

Also wonder what these dudes think of the reports that China's internal security has paid some friendly visits to the family of Chinese exchange students who have publicly criticized China. Or that Chinese student groups are monitoring the activity of Chinese students in the US.

I think this is whataboutism.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

LimburgLimbo posted:

Moreover does it say that they ask specifically about Chinese students? Also I wonder at all the other areas the FBI could be involved in for fairly routine interactions with uni staff.

Also wonder what these dudes think of the reports that China's internal security has paid some friendly visits to the family of Chinese exchange students who have publicly criticized China. Or that Chinese student groups are monitoring the activity of Chinese students in the US.

(Also happy to hear of any counterpoints to the above that I've read in Western media)

there's a lot of accusing your enemy of the things you're doing in the former but in the case of the latter has it been definitely proven there's coordination between student groups and the government? it's not ridiculous to think that chinese students disliking criticism of their country might dislike it because they dislike it.

LimburgLimbo
Feb 10, 2008

Lambert posted:

I think this is whataboutism.

Oh absolutely in a sense, but it's also, from my understanding, the Chinese government very literally doing the exact thing that those tweeters are accusing the US gov't of doing; spying on Chinese students for political reasons. It's not whataboutism in the sense that I'm bringing up *completely unrelated bad thing done by someone else* just to muddy the waters.

R. Guyovich posted:

there's a lot of accusing your enemy of the things you're doing in the former but in the case of the latter has it been definitely proven there's coordination between student groups and the government? it's not ridiculous to think that chinese students disliking criticism of their country might dislike it because they dislike it.

Articles I recall seeing suggested very specifically that there was coordination/it was gov't run, but I don't have them in front of me and can't search and summarize right now as I am (ironically?) going to be late for my Mandarin lessons, but I'll look later at the specifics if someone doesn't beat me to it. I'm interested if there's counterpoints/a good breakdown of why the articles are untrue or misleading, though it would seem like par for the course for the CCP security apparatus to do something along those lines.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

LimburgLimbo posted:

Oh absolutely in a sense, but it's also, from my understanding, the Chinese government very literally doing the exact thing that those tweeters are accusing the US gov't of doing; spying on Chinese students for political reasons. It's not whataboutism in the sense that I'm bringing up *completely unrelated bad thing done by someone else* just to muddy the waters.


The hypocrisy is rich because the FBI function as a secret police, which is something you'll never get any of the liberals who handwring about fred hampton et. al's assassinations to admit.

get that OUT of my face
Feb 10, 2007

literally nobody in this thread thinks the US government is good and does good things (except hampiss), but some people itt simultaneously think that hey, the chinese government ain't all that it's cracked up to be either

whataboutism is useless for that reason

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

get that OUT of my face posted:

literally nobody in this thread thinks the US government is good and does good things (except hampiss), but some people itt simultaneously think that hey, the chinese government ain't all that it's cracked up to be either

whataboutism is useless for that reason

Ccp is betrayer of revolution and now completely composed of capitalist roaders hth

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

get that OUT of my face posted:

literally nobody in this thread thinks the US government is good and does good things (except hampiss), but some people itt simultaneously think that hey, the chinese government ain't all that it's cracked up to be either

The original topic is about Americans whipping up another red scare and yellow peril, to which white guys in east Asia will say "but what about..."

EasternBronze
Jul 19, 2011

I registered for the Selective Service! I'm also racist as fuck!
:downsbravo:
Don't forget to ignore me!
Sir, this is the China thread.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

the NYPD was spying on Muslims around the country and posters ITT are skeptical that the FBI is trying to keep tabs on Chinese students.

Bro Dad
Mar 26, 2010


bob dobbs is dead posted:

Ccp is betrayer of revolution and now completely composed of capitalist roaders hth

dengists believe theyre gonna dramatically reveal theyre actually communists like that old simpsons joke but serious

Modest Mao
Feb 11, 2011

by Cyrano4747

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

the NYPD was spying on Muslims around the country and posters ITT are skeptical that the FBI is trying to keep tabs on Chinese students.

they probably do in fields like nuclear physics and other sensitive areas. probably not art students tho

in other words, I doubt it's specifically a racist anti-chinese thing, more US hegemony in certain fields thing, if it's happening

this is just speculation, the US government is often surprisingly racist so

GoutPatrol
Oct 17, 2009

*Stupid Babby*

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

the NYPD was spying on Muslims around the country and posters ITT are skeptical that the FBI is trying to keep tabs on Chinese students.

Correct, they are watching all or nothing. The FBI does no half measures

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tino
Jun 4, 2018

by Smythe
FBI is better at infiltrating Nation of Islam than at the Confucius Institute. Cause the Febs are too racist to hire Chinese.

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