Who do you wish to win the Democratic primaries? This poll is closed. |
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Joe Biden, the Inappropriate Toucher | 18 | 1.46% | |
Bernie Sanders, the Hand Flailer | 665 | 54.11% | |
Elizabeth Warren, the Plan Maker | 319 | 25.96% | |
Kamala Harris, the Cop Lord | 26 | 2.12% | |
Cory Booker, the Super Hero Wannabe | 5 | 0.41% | |
Julian Castro, the Twin | 5 | 0.41% | |
Kirsten Gillibrand, the Franken Killer | 5 | 0.41% | |
Pete Buttigieg, the Troop Sociopath | 17 | 1.38% | |
Robert Francis O'Rourke, the Fake Latino | 3 | 0.24% | |
Jay Inslee, the Climate Alarmist | 8 | 0.65% | |
Marianne Williamson, the Crystal Queen | 86 | 7.00% | |
Tulsi Gabbard, the Muslim Hater | 23 | 1.87% | |
Andrew Yang, the $1000 Fool | 32 | 2.60% | |
Eric Swalwell, the Insurance Wife Guy | 2 | 0.16% | |
Amy Klobuchar, the Comb Enthusiast | 1 | 0.08% | |
Bill de Blasio, the NYPD Most Hated | 4 | 0.33% | |
Tim Ryan, the Dope Face | 3 | 0.24% | |
John Hickenlooper, the Also Ran | 7 | 0.57% | |
Total: | 1229 votes |
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LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got https://twitter.com/latimes/status/1157370312675213317 The Glumslinger fucked around with this message at 20:25 on Aug 2, 2019 |
# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:23 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 21:22 |
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HootTheOwl posted:Advertising works. Russian bot farms are free advertising. When the election is decided by a tiny fraction of people everything becomes meaningful. The main issue with this sort of logic is that the amount of actual money spent on these bot efforts was relatively small. It isn't impossible that they employed these bots extremely effectively, such that even a relatively minor operation was able to have a big impact. But your default assumption should be that it probably had an impact relative to the money invested in it and its overall footprint on the internet (which is insignificant compared with that of "regular" US media and corporations). Also, the "election was close, therefore everything is meaningful" logic is bad because it doesn't give us any useful information about how to act in the future. It's like saying "this election was lost by one vote, therefore it is vitally important that we ensure Jim Smith of Idaho votes for the Democratic candidate in future elections." Basically, it leads to the bad conclusion that we should emphasize everything because everything could hypothetically matter. Regardless of whether the election ends up close, the fact that the most meaningful and influential factors deserve the most focus remains true.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:24 |
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Ytlaya posted:
It's because he grew up with him and knows him personally. I know a lot of people on this forum believe that emotions, family, friends, etc. have no meaning but that's not how human beings work. It ain't rocket science. Charlz Guybon fucked around with this message at 20:32 on Aug 2, 2019 |
# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:25 |
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Charlz Guybon posted:I know a lot of people om this forum believe that emotions, family, friends, etc. have no meaning but that's not human beings work. It ain't rocket science. very true. a half-naked indian and jim morrison appeared to me in a series of dreams and that's why i support williamson
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:30 |
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crazy cloud posted:Lol that the celebrity poster you get probated for criticizing itt just blew through with a "personally i think putin murdered seth rich to frame abuela" take, just amazing, amazing finally, someone brave enough to admit that putin only taught hillary clinton spirit cooking to trick her into ritualistically splitting open seth rich's physical body to birth the homunculus pete buttigeig. and thank the double turncoat podesta for twisting the babushka magic to ultimately manifest the avatar who will forge the sword of neoliberalism from the wreckage of ten thousand homeless tents and finally silence the horrifying wailing of bernie sanders save our sons, mayor pete save our sons
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:33 |
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:
I keep telling you guys, polls don't matter, votes matter. Bernie supporters are gonna vote
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:34 |
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Charlz Guybon posted:It's because he grew up with him and knows him personally. Maybe I missed something, but I thought he just went to the same high school as him. And even if he was acquaintances with him...it's still dumb to be like "I trust that this guy is good, despite his actions, because I knew him when we were teenagers (as a person who is now in their late 30s)." It's okay for other people to be like "that is a bad and unreasonable opinion you have there about a person who is seeking the power to control the life and death of millions of people and has already caused harm to many in his capacity as mayor."
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:36 |
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Pembroke Fuse posted:Russia's support for various political factions and parties has tended to be far-right, both in Europe and the US. They're not going to help Bernie win, and the belief that they're some kind of anti-imperialist paragon is mind-boggling when they're visibly a far-right capitalist state. That's not entirely true; Yanukovych, while a kleptocrat, was hardly far-right, particularly compared to large swathes of the coalition that ended up replacing him. The Kremlin's agenda in the West is to spread chaos and disrupt the neoliberal agenda (albeit for different ends than what you or I are aiming for).
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:38 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got This is much better. It shows the significant support for Harris in Detroit for example.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:40 |
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Chilichimp posted:I'm sure if you tried, you could get your whole head in that sand. so you have proof that russia is interfering in the 2020 primaries right now? cause this is the thread about the 2020 dem primary, not for theorycrafting about putin's insidious influence
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:42 |
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https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1157360699783483393?s=20
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:45 |
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LinYutang posted:This is much better. It shows the significant support for Harris in Detroit for example. No, it actually doesn't. Are you thinking of Chicago?
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:47 |
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I think this is a reasonably good breakdown (coming from a pro-establishment site) of why Biden's the front runner:Talking Points Memo posted:Obama Looms over the Primary in Invisible Ways I would argue that this is why Bernie is the best candidate - he has done more in less time to tarnish Obama's legacy and refute his theory of politics than anyone else except Trump himself - but it also explains why he faces such an uphill climb in a Democratic primary.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:48 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got Syracuse and it's surrounding areas are exactly what I expected: almost entirely for Bernie, with the area around the airport and attached air Force Base for Pete and the one neighborhood of people with money Liz
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:49 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got This map is legit amazing. I looked over the areas of my state where I'm familiar with the demographics and it really confirms a lot of what I expected.. Butti gets the boigie centrists. Warren gets the bougie more left leaning. Harris gets the republican leaning areas with a white population and large minority population that has been oppressed for decades. Biden gets the republican leaning areas with a little white population and large minority population that has been oppressed for decades. Sanders gets everything else. Every area that doesn't make life absolute poo poo (so people remain ignorant of political options b/c they got to spend all day getting rent), goes Sanders. The worst the the media is doing (and they know what they are doing) is keeping the currently oppressed areas in the dark that there is even an alternative to lovely establishment dem grift. I like trying to find counties where a succ candidate has raised only $1
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:52 |
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Helsing posted:I think this is a reasonably good breakdown (coming from a pro-establishment site) of why Biden's the front runner: I don't disagree overall. I think Bernie has done a good job this time around of threading a difficult needle as well, though, ie:: "Obama is good. A lot of the things that happened under Obama weren't good." He and other Dems need to keep separating Biden from Obama's legacy; I think they've already started doing so. Booker certainly seemed to be of this mindset at his debate. The mantra needs to be, "I know Barack Obama, Mr. VP. You are no Barack Obama."
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 20:59 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got this map is tremendously ugly though
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:05 |
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:the dude saying seth rich was murdered by putin and is stalking random people on the street for being Russian SockPuppets accusing someone of being a conspiracy theorist gently caress off. You're deliberately misrepresenting Uglycat to make them sound insane. Uglycat noted that there were trolls stirring up trouble on South Bend twitter, facebook pages, and other social media spaces. So Uglycat took photographs of every citizen of South Bend to develop a comprehensive database. Those trolls, saboteurs and ne'erdowells whose profile pics didn't match any of the faces in the database, were thus outed as Russian sockpuppet accounts. Not, like, literal androids or whatever, out walking around.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:09 |
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Charlz Guybon posted:It's because he grew up with him and knows him personally. it's fine and normal to factor those things into your political beliefs and decisions. but making extremely long posts that boil down to nothing but those things doesnt make a lot lf sense in a forum focused around debating and discussing, imo
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:11 |
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I’ve mentioned Congressman Horsford in the past because he’s in my region, but more importantly a big powerful union easily pushed him to the top over every progressive group endorsing his opponents. https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1157302058501804032 Horsford’s union buddies are probably still mad that Obama didn’t let them “double dip” and get tax credits for their plans that were too loaded up with benefits to qualify for them. So now you’ll maybe get a public option or nothing. I swear that unions will be the biggest opposition to ever getting a single payer system in America. gently caress em.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:12 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got Thanks for making my see my place in a sea of Biden so deep I could barely read major street names. How much do I have to give Bernie to make myself feel safe again?
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:12 |
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Gyges posted:Thanks for making my see my place in a sea of Biden so deep I could barely read major street names. How much do I have to give Bernie to make myself feel safe again? I'm apparently surrounded by Buttigieg donors but I think that's the result of his husband coming here and gladhanding during Pride.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:16 |
Most of my area is Bernie, but the gated communities and such are all for Buttigieg What a mystery.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:29 |
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Helsing posted:I think this is a reasonably good breakdown (coming from a pro-establishment site) of why Biden's the front runner: this is pure drivel sanders' message didn't require anyone to "recant their enthusiasm for obama", whatever the gently caress that's supposed to mean. lots of people became disillusioned with the promise of his candidacy all on their own after he took office and repeatedly showed himself to be an ineffective centrist more concerned with appeasing the same republicans calling him a commie muslim kenyan monkey every day than advocating for things democratic voters wanted. he lost 4 million votes between 2008 and 2012 because of this
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:29 |
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That's a VERY good voting base for not only Bernie, but the American Left movement in general. Remember how liberals kept saying that even the Democrats in the rural areas would never vote for someone who is on the POC inner city team?
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:35 |
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The Muppets On PCP posted:
Surely you realize this is not a mainstream position within the Democratic primary electorate. In the context of the Democratic primary most voters still like Obama and consider him the best President of their lifetimes. If you accept the basic premise of Bernie's argument that the country requires a political revolution to move forward then Obama is arguably one of the worst Presidents in American history. He took the best / last chance the country had to make a hard pivot and used his substantial power and influence to make absolutely sure nothing would fundamentally change, and he probably doomed the human species in the process. Plenty of Bernie supporters are in varying degrees of denial about this but it's a hard to avoid conclusion if you take Sanders' own rhetoric at face value.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:42 |
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https://twitter.com/FlyingWithSara/status/1157294576593514497?s=20 https://twitter.com/FlyingWithSara/status/1157294890356826117?s=20 they're playing my song..
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:46 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got Eugene, Oregon and nearly all of the surrounding area is heavily Sanders, which makes sense given that his rally in 2016 was massive.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 21:54 |
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The Glumslinger posted:LA Times did a better version of the donation map, breaking it down by ZIP code, and showing how much each candidate got Since I am in Atlanta for the DSA convention, I decided to look at how the area breaks down (my own home area is far less interesting) and I think it is a very good summary of the race so far: Donations: Race/Ethnicity: Income: So Biden dominates the very rich, very white area inside the perimater to the northeast. Buttgieg dominates the new money area immediately to the east of that. Warren dominates the Decatur area, which looking at the contrast by income is a rapidly gentrifying area becoming mostly white area. Bernie dominates the Emory area, the Georgia Tech area, the lower income, inner city mostly African American area and the Northeast, heavily Hispanic area. Harris dominates the mostly African American middle class area suburbs to the southwest. But because of the very nature of his base, the areas that Bernie wins contribute relatively little. So he "wins" zip codes 30310 and 30341 with about 3k in donations from each. Meanwhile Harris "wins" 30331 with 26k in donations, Biden "wins" 30327 with 36k in donations, and Warren "wins" 30030.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:02 |
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joepinetree posted:Since I am in Atlanta for the DSA convention, I decided to look at how the area breaks down (my own home area is far less interesting) and I think it is a very good summary of the race so far: All of your images 404'd for me. Also everyone, I know I post 'all my friends love not-bernie and it's strange to hear that people in the whole DO like him' but that's for real true. Seeing the donation map made me feel a whole lot better. Regardless of the polls and even the outcome of the primary, it shows me that way more people than I thought, have opinions I agree with. edit: I can click the images and they 404, but I just changed my preference in SA to 'show images' and now they load.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:16 |
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Helsing posted:I think this is a reasonably good breakdown (coming from a pro-establishment site) of why Biden's the front runner: A lot of that, to me, seems to be unsupported assertions based on Marshall's personal opinion, as well as a number of cases of conflating different things because he's not really familiar with the arguments being made and apparently isn't paying much attention when his "friend" attempts to explain them to him. There's a lot of individual claims in that article that really just don't make any sense and are certainly too specific to be anything more than his own personal feelings. And a lot of it is just plain incoherent because he's mixing stuff up so much. For an example of dodgy unsupported assertions, he claims that only "Democratic partisans" thought that Obama wasn't partisan enough and relied too heavily on the expectation of GOP good faith and cooperation. That's presumably based on the liberal establishment myth that all non-Democrats are right-wingers, but it doesn't really make any sense if you stop and think about it. I can't think of anyone except dedicated GOPers who loved the years of partisan gridlock while Obama obsessed over bipartisan cooperation. Similarly, he explicitly mentions Obama's attempt to slash Medicare and Social Security as part of a "grand bargain" on "entitlement reform", but appears to think that this was just fine on a policy level and that the only problem was minor strategy mistakes in his particular approach to it. And claiming that Warren has support from a broader chunk of the Dem electorate than Sanders seems to fly in direct contradiction to all available evidence. As for conflating things, the more I read it, the more I think this is the part that's really crucial to his entire piece. At first, he says that people think Obama's policies were great, even if they think were a number of "basic strategic questions" about his approach and "a lot of particulars" about his management of individual programs. But later on, he's flat-out asserting that people think "Obama did a pretty good job", and all talk of mistakes and poor approaches evaporate from his mind. He dismisses criticisms of Obama's conciliatory approach toward the GOP as the sole premise of "Democratic partisans", suggesting that he's focusing more on independents or moderates rather than diehard Dems, but in the rest of the article he talks exclusively about Democrats and the Dem electorate with no other mentions of independents. And the core premise of his whole argument - that Warren treats Obama with reverence while Sanders requires all supporters to surrender their good feelings about Obama at the door - is outright false in the first place. Warren has publicly called out Obama by name in her condemnations of Democratic centrism, openly accusing him of being out of touch with the American people. Even during his presidency, she often clashed with the administration, such as loudly accusing the Obama White House of throwing families under the bus to protect bankers. She's stopped personally calling out Obama for his awful policies since the official launch of her presidential campaign, but all it takes is a simple Google search to find that Warren was an open opponent of many of Obama's policies. The premise of Marshall's article may seem to fit well into the media's spin on Bernie and Warren, but it doesn't line up very well with reality. If you ask me, it's nothing more than the product of a brain that's a little mushy from too many decades spent in the Washington media bubble.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:23 |
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Main Paineframe posted:If you ask me, it's nothing more than the product of a brain that's a little mushy from too many decades spent in the Washington media bubble. marshall got the brainworms real bad during 2016 along with charlie pierce
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:25 |
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Reverend Dr posted:This map is legit amazing. I looked over the areas of my state where I'm familiar with the demographics and it really confirms a lot of what I expected.. Butti gets the boigie centrists. Warren gets the bougie more left leaning. Harris gets the republican leaning areas with a white population and large minority population that has been oppressed for decades. Biden gets the republican leaning areas with a little white population and large minority population that has been oppressed for decades. Sanders gets everything else. Every area that doesn't make life absolute poo poo (so people remain ignorant of political options b/c they got to spend all day getting rent), goes Sanders. The worst the the media is doing (and they know what they are doing) is keeping the currently oppressed areas in the dark that there is even an alternative to lovely establishment dem grift. Yeah, it's really interesting. In Memphis (where I live) it seems like Sanders leads in all the diverse-but-not-super-poor* parts of the city. The heavily black/poor segments lean Harris, but have almost no money coming out of them so it's almost more accurate to evaluate them as just "no donations" (like, I'm talking $500 and $300 for two separate zip codes representing like a third of the city's area). The expensive parts like East Memphis or Germantown) are Biden. My area interestingly seems like the most Warren-heavy place. Honestly not sure why that is, though Warren doesn't have a big lead here. I should suddenly donate $2000 to Sanders and turn my zip code green. * this kinda ranges from lower-middle class (like my friend's neighborhood where homes go for like $70-90k) to midtown which I think is kinda middle-class? Not sure what incomes are like there.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:28 |
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"Oh hey these maps are cool, let me see how my area breaks down--" *is in Texas* "oh... yeah..."
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:38 |
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Why do Texans like Beto so much? I mean...he loving LOST!?
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:53 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Why do Texans like Beto so much? I mean...he loving LOST!? I mean, clearly they don't like him that much...
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:54 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Why do Texans like Beto so much? I mean...he loving LOST!? it turns out offering people a hope for something better is a hell of a drug Beto was in a position to be that guy in Texas. unfortunately, literally nowhere else.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:55 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Why do Texans like Beto so much? I mean...he loving LOST!? And name recognition plus the contacts/mailing lists/general campaign infrastructure still being spun up and running just gives him a huge leg up here.
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 22:58 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Why do Texans like Beto so much? I mean...he loving LOST!? name recognition and he DID come close to beating the dude we all hate. Most of us here were really hoping he'd stay in Texas and work on seats because of that popularity even with his loss BUT WELP, THANKS FRANCIS
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 23:05 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 21:22 |
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I hate a lot of the dem candidates but I'll genuinely never forgive Beto for eating his own hype and skateboarding out of Texas to try to run for a cabinet spot with President Warren. At least when Wendy bounced she had gotten her rear end beat embarrassingly badly. We had hope because of Beto
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# ? Aug 2, 2019 23:07 |