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Happy Thread
Jul 10, 2005

by Fluffdaddy
Plaster Town Cop
I watched that Richard Wolff interview about Chinese Socialism. He pointed out that China had been an economy dependent on exports, until when the US market crashed out (which time? 2000? 2008?) they decided that was dangerous and so to fix that they created a huge domestic market for all their products by raising wages.

Uh, how did China do that? What was the mechanism of raising wages? Was it literally passing minimum wage laws onto all the regions? Was it by the semi-"make-work" projects he talked about to build tons of extra housing that won't be needed for decades? How else does a country go about raising wages for everyone 4 to 5 times, on extremely short notice (especially if it was in response to 2008)?

What he said about extra housing matches what I saw the couple times I visited; every single urban block seems like it's under construction simultaneously. It also casts the Chinese investment in US real estate in a new light. When Chinese investors invest in new Chinese real estate, they are helping the working class, because that's who the vacant housing is eventually meant for, but in the US the vacant urban housing they're buying up was exclusively built for the purpose of creating artificial housing scarcity to fuedalistically rule over the working class; bulldozing public housing buildings that can hold hundreds of people to sell luxury condos at much greater cost for just dozens of inhabitants.

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Tiler Kiwi
Feb 26, 2011

MiddleOne posted:

I love them successfully gambling that no one would ever stomach to eat more than 500 dollars worth of their terrible food.

id actually gamble that the heads of the company know its unsustainable and that they'll just liquidate everything and flee after giving themselves huge bonuses for increasing quarterly profits

Happy Thread
Jul 10, 2005

by Fluffdaddy
Plaster Town Cop
Also my wife just pointed out to me that a huge number of people work for the Chinese government compared to the US because they have actual public works, so they could at least move up the average by raising wages on that portion of their workers.

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
theyre selling only 50 lifetime pasta passes. theyll lose money on them in exchange for buzz which makes them an ad

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


< 26k

the bitcoin of weed
Nov 1, 2014

Dumb Lowtax posted:

I watched that Richard Wolff interview about Chinese Socialism. He pointed out that China had been an economy dependent on exports, until when the US market crashed out (which time? 2000? 2008?) they decided that was dangerous and so to fix that they created a huge domestic market for all their products by raising wages.

Uh, how did China do that? What was the mechanism of raising wages? Was it literally passing minimum wage laws onto all the regions? Was it by the semi-"make-work" projects he talked about to build tons of extra housing that won't be needed for decades? How else does a country go about raising wages for everyone 4 to 5 times, on extremely short notice (especially if it was in response to 2008)?

Dumb Lowtax posted:

Also my wife just pointed out to me that a huge number of people work for the Chinese government compared to the US because they have actual public works, so they could at least move up the average by raising wages on that portion of their workers.

turns out when most of your domestic economy is directly controlled by the state you can just do stuff like this without having to worry about quarterly returns or Big Number because it makes your entire actual economy better at the cost of a few accounting tricks

Happy Thread
Jul 10, 2005

by Fluffdaddy
Plaster Town Cop
Didn't all the new skyscrapers start popping up in China around 2008 or before? I guess that wasn't connected to the US recession then, because Wolff was talking more about things that benefit the worker, and skyscrapers are not one of them (even though the upper part of the Chinese economy was probably booming enough for skyscrapers well before the US recession hit)?

\/\/\/ I'm talking about timing though, pre 2008 -- how much of the modern Chinese worker's rise was connected to the party's response to the US recession like Wolff says, versus how much had already been happening before the US recession hit?

Happy Thread fucked around with this message at 19:45 on Aug 12, 2019

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Dumb Lowtax posted:

Didn't all the new skyscrapers start popping up in China around 2008 or before? I guess that wasn't connected to the US recession then, because Wolff was talking more about things that benefit the worker, and skyscrapers are not one of them (even though the upper part of the Chinese economy was probably booming enough for skyscrapers well before the US recession hit)?

Being employed building stuff is good for construction workers. Also the workers that produce the raw materials.

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

Dow doing that thing where it takes a dive on monday and then it claws back up the rest of the week? Getti g pretty sick of this poo poo. Ready for the wheels to come off. Been facing to bloodshed so long I don't remember how to face anywhere else

wilderthanmild
Jun 21, 2010

Posting shit




Grimey Drawer

Over Easy posted:

Dow doing that thing where it takes a dive on monday and then it claws back up the rest of the week? Getti g pretty sick of this poo poo. Ready for the wheels to come off. Been facing to bloodshed so long I don't remember how to face anywhere else

I mean, it finds a lower resting place each week it feels.

The day of reckoning will be in October as is tradition. Then Brexit will punch what's left the world economy in the gut.

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

In response to the Great Recession the CCP had to fulfill the promise of stability and increasing prosperity to the Chinese people so they set lending targets for their banking system which was directed into the real economy while also telling regional parties to develop and diversify their local economic areas meaning as export led factories were shuttered as global trade stopped there was adequate guaranteed capital and labour free within China to redirect and re-educate millions of people into new, more advanced economic activity with the political motivation to make it happen.

This was absolutely a response to ensure internal stability but it was also part of a longer term strategy to cultivate the worlds largest middle class and so become the global consumer market it is today, with all the soft power and economic clout that provides rather than just the global factory it was.

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

MiddleOne posted:

If I hear one more lawyer bring up the Laffer curve in a political argument I'm going to throw an economics book at someone.

The funniest thing about the laffer curve is that even taking it at 100% face value it gets into diminishing returns and even losses very quickly. Like the Reagan tax cuts from a top marginal of 70 to 50 are a 30% loss in revenue*, then from 50 to 30 is a 40% loss and so on. Surely we're past the maximum on the curve by now!

* obviously not gross revenue just the chunk of revenue granted by the highest margin but you get the math in general

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/dril/status/1077066806114668545




from thread

https://twitter.com/jaredcrubin/status/1160643962677239808

Zeno-25
Dec 5, 2009

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Pancakes posted:

Upon reviewing the docket, these people are crackpots abusing the system to avoid utility shut offs. They’ve never gotten a discharge in any of their cases. One time all they had to do was take a second credit counseling class, which is often free or at worst $25, and never took it. There’s a pro se help desk for people filing bankruptcy, these people are just refusing to make use of it.

Sounds like a rational approach to being stuck in a rigged capitalist system. Goodspeeed you crackpots, may you never pay any of your bills. gently caress that bullshit

Ditocoaf
Jun 1, 2011

It's like Number is trying to cross the 26,000 line as many times as it can.

Pancakes
May 21, 2001

Crypto-Rump Roast

Ditocoaf posted:

It's like Number is trying to cross the 26,000 line as many times as it can.

That Simpsons Australia/America scene and we’re all waiting for someone to punch the number in the face and make it stop.

Pick
Jul 19, 2009
Nap Ghost
Don't go so far back around that everything an impoverished person does is 11th dimensional chess

wilderthanmild
Jun 21, 2010

Posting shit




Grimey Drawer
Does China have any real incentive to make a deal with Trump? They don't really need to wait out the whole US economy in this trade war, just Trump's presidency. Prolonging or even escalating the trade war probably results in him out on his rear end and his opponent will likely make ending the trade war a point of their platform.

I think they'd likely only make a deal before the election if Trump offered them a lopsided deal just so he could tweet about "winning' the trade war.

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

MiddleOne posted:

I'm halfway convinced that econ101 is just some psy-op to misinform as many people as possible about how economics works. Particularly law and business students since they are the ones most likely to never get to delve any deeper.
all of neoclassical economics, the predominant western economic school, is a psyop

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

Rex-Goliath posted:

it's really disappointing because the radical shift in thinking required to accomplish what he lays out, while very possible, will require our leaders across the world to actually grow a spine and stand the gently caress up. i think he deliberately doesn't mention how incredibly difficult it will be to pull off when so much of the world is now effectively hostage to the right wing insanity machine for the sake of focusing on what our goal and focus should be. he also sort of deliberately doesn't mention the 'we have to get this done in 12-15 years' and that this shift will take multiple decades if we're being optimistic are at odds with each other but again- what other choice do we have
the koch bros, zuckerberg, bill gates, jeff bezos, the walton family, murdoch, etc. are the leaders of the world and i have bad news for you about thinking they will have a spine to stand up to themselves on issues like wealth inequality, economic instability, or climate change

these leaders whose profits aren't directly dependent on climate change worsening have had literal decades at this point to do something with alarmist warning and them annually going to self-aggrandizing meetings like davos show clearly where their priorities lie

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

like, they had to crush classical economics and decry its foundations as naive or debunked b/c the claims and the implications were very troubling for capitalists, often with prominent classical economists themselves heavily criticizing certain rentier capitalist activities, so they could fund and create a neoclassical school

RIP Syndrome
Feb 24, 2016

Rated PG-34 posted:

we talked a bit itt about the decoupling of energy consumption from economic growth being touted by neoclassical econ idiots. this article is a good distillation by some physicist of why it's all bullshit and capitalism will doom us all

https://monthlyreview.org/2019/06/01/energy-economic-growth-and-ecological-crisis/

Pro read.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



comedyblissoption posted:

like, they had to crush classical economics and decry its foundations as naive or debunked b/c the claims and the implications were very troubling for capitalists, often with prominent classical economists themselves heavily criticizing certain rentier capitalist activities, so they could fund and create a neoclassical school

yeah even the chud turbo capitalists back in the day were like, "slaves and colonies yeah that's great, that's infinite growth forever for ya, just you know make sure you don't allow the creation of indolent rent seekers because that will literally destroy the whole thing"

Marx gave credit where credit is due to Smith for this but his overriding point that rent seeking is literally the entire foundational premise in the first place meant that obviously he was right once again

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
is there an orb color for this

https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1161011251847335936

poty fucked around with this message at 21:35 on Aug 12, 2019

skooma512
Feb 8, 2012

You couldn't grok my race car, but you dug the roadside blur.

wilderthanmild posted:

Does China have any real incentive to make a deal with Trump? They don't really need to wait out the whole US economy in this trade war, just Trump's presidency. Prolonging or even escalating the trade war probably results in him out on his rear end and his opponent will likely make ending the trade war a point of their platform.

I think they'd likely only make a deal before the election if Trump offered them a lopsided deal just so he could tweet about "winning' the trade war.

Nope. Unlike the US they have a population that still remembers a lower standard of living, has no pesky elections, and suppresses the hell out of them as a matter of course.

The US has a lot more to lose going toe to toe with them. Sure, our standard of living has been gradually getting worse, but we won't abide a sudden drop like that. We pride ourselves on an illusion of prosperity and hate when that's pierced. That would cost Trump the election, at which point China can negotiate favorable terms with someone more reasonable.

golden bubble
Jun 3, 2011

yospos

StashAugustine posted:

The funniest thing about the laffer curve is that even taking it at 100% face value it gets into diminishing returns and even losses very quickly. Like the Reagan tax cuts from a top marginal of 70 to 50 are a 30% loss in revenue*, then from 50 to 30 is a 40% loss and so on. Surely we're past the maximum on the curve by now!

* obviously not gross revenue just the chunk of revenue granted by the highest margin but you get the math in general

I can't seem to find the plot right now, but as a descriptive model, the Laffer curve is very accurate for the US economy during the 60s-early 70s, passably accurate for the US economy from the late 70s to late 80s, and laughably useless for the US economy from the 90s to today. At the very moment of it's triumph, it became worthless.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014



lmao the kirchners were just mild social democrats. capitalists arent even willing to accept that.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

lmao the kirchners were just mild social democrats. capitalists arent even willing to accept that.

the crash and capital strike when Bernie wins is gonna be incredible

ikanreed
Sep 25, 2009

I honestly I have no idea who cannibal[SIC] is and I do not know why I should know.

syq dude, just syq!

golden bubble posted:

I can't seem to find the plot right now, but as a descriptive model, the Laffer curve is very accurate for the US economy during the 60s-early 70s, passably accurate for the US economy from the late 70s to late 80s, and laughably useless for the US economy from the 90s to today. At the very moment of it's triumph, it became worthless.

Ha no.

Cause there's one thing laffer never admitted.

If one rich person hits the entirely hypothetical 99% tax bracket and gives up,plenty of competitors would step up and sell to meet product demand in whatever field that was.


There's even a bit economic incentive to beat the competition for monopoly power even if brackets got above 100%.

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

golden bubble posted:

I can't seem to find the plot right now, but as a descriptive model, the Laffer curve is very accurate for the US economy during the 60s-early 70s, passably accurate for the US economy from the late 70s to late 80s, and laughably useless for the US economy from the 90s to today. At the very moment of it's triumph, it became worthless.
just because there may have been a drop in nominal tax rates or actual tax rates coinciding with increased tax revenue does not mean that the US was on the right side of the laffer curve in the 60s-70s

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014




lol

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017



Hahaha

Lmao

Yes

YES

TAKE MY POWER BERNIE, crash the loving markets 15 months from now

Karl Barks
Jan 21, 1981


maybe part of the problem was their stock market sextupled in 3 years

Jel Shaker
Apr 19, 2003


looks like a return to the mean

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

nice

Tulip
Jun 3, 2008

yeah thats pretty good


Epic High Five posted:

yeah even the chud turbo capitalists back in the day were like, "slaves and colonies yeah that's great, that's infinite growth forever for ya, just you know make sure you don't allow the creation of indolent rent seekers because that will literally destroy the whole thing"

Marx gave credit where credit is due to Smith for this but his overriding point that rent seeking is literally the entire foundational premise in the first place meant that obviously he was right once again

I mean the fundamental difference between Smith and Marx is that Marx figured the laborers would get so pissed off they'd revolt and Smith figured the whole thing would freeze into hyper feudalism.

Nuclearmonkee
Jun 10, 2009


Tulip posted:

I mean the fundamental difference between Smith and Marx is that Marx figured the laborers would get so pissed off they'd revolt and Smith figured the whole thing would freeze into hyper feudalism.

If you have a bootlicker society like the US the Smith outcome seems pretty likely rn

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


https://twitter.com/DLBiller/status/1160881161809408000

hmm

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


there are warning signs flashing everywhere but whatever number dont care

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Kitfox88
Aug 21, 2007

Anybody lose their glasses?

poty posted:

https://twitter.com/SamRo/status/1160960399975550976

im p hungry at the moment and id go for it tbh

I love pasta soup and bread so honestly if I had 500 bucks I might have gone for this :saddowns:

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