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Accretionist posted:Dorian's still pretty wide it's actually physically wide too, in addition to the probability of where it will travel so the east coast of Florida should still buckle the gently caress up for king tide + storm surge and a shitload of rain
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Aug 31, 2019 20:23
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PostNouveau posted:Looks like a pretty good result. gently caress nerve-wracking if you're living there right in the path of it like "Well, they say it'll turn north ..." if it actually does shift north like that still gonna suck for the florida coast because it's basically a cat2/3 storm parking itself in one spot for the better part of a day
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Aug 31, 2019 20:24
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The Muppets On PCP posted:if it actually does shift north like that still gonna suck for the florida coast because it's basically a cat2/3 storm parking itself in one spot for the better part of a day Still beats it making landfall no?
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Aug 31, 2019 20:27
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PostNouveau posted:Still beats it making landfall no? it's just a different brand of suffering, imo Florence hosed up the Carolinas but good even though it barely made landfall as an official hurricane (I think it was down to cat1) and frankly everything further inland than I dunno Leland was just down to the hilarious and terrifying amount of water deposited
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Aug 31, 2019 20:32
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PostNouveau posted:Still beats it making landfall no? Better for wind damage, not so better for flooding
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Aug 31, 2019 20:33
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Crazycryodude posted:Better for wind damage, not so better for flooding Ah
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Aug 31, 2019 20:34
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What about where it's projected to hit land, will it just be weak enough to not be a big issue by then?
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Aug 31, 2019 20:39
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CODChimera posted:What about where it's projected to hit land, will it just be weak enough to not be a big issue by then? as long as the center of the wind field is out over open water down there it's going to remain a strong storm because the water is just so god drat warm however the rainfall total projections for Florida have been SEVERELY curtailed in the last 24 hours so that is some good*^ news
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Aug 31, 2019 20:51
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*in an accelerationist voice* is it good tho
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Aug 31, 2019 21:04
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Stairmaster posted:*in an accelerationist voice* is it good tho sadly it doesn’t look like we’ll get chaos and blood at the mar a lago
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Aug 31, 2019 21:13
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There's still a substantial chance florida takes a direct hit, a ton of model runs show it hitting florida and the high pressure ridge that they thought would steer it suddenly north seems weaker than was expected
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Aug 31, 2019 21:13
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Stop cheering for it to make landfall you loving weirdos
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Aug 31, 2019 21:21
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Perry Mason Jar posted:Stop cheering for it to make landfall you loving weirdos gives u a cat 5 wedgie
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Aug 31, 2019 21:22
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Accretionist posted:Dorian's still pretty wide thats the margin of error on the path of the center of the storm, not the impacted area.
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Aug 31, 2019 21:23
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Herstory Begins Now posted:There's still a substantial chance florida takes a direct hit, a ton of model runs show it hitting florida and the high pressure ridge that they thought would steer it suddenly north seems weaker than was expected yeah the thing with hurricane forecasts is anything beyond about 72 hours is basically an educated guess hence the dramatic shift in projected direction only one or two of the spaghetti models called for a few days ago. even like thursday the consensus still had it tracking slightly to the south toward palm beach
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Aug 31, 2019 21:25
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hopefully it missed florida, circles around the atlantic for a few months, and slams right into the UK on no deal brexit day
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Aug 31, 2019 21:25
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nycs only hurricane protection put in place after sandy was a handful of sandbag blockades so i hope it comes here and owns us for being really stupid
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Aug 31, 2019 21:34
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:hopefully it missed florida, circles around the atlantic for a few months, and slams right into the UK on no deal brexit day 
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Aug 31, 2019 21:39
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:hopefully it missed florida, circles around the atlantic for a few months, and slams right into the UK on no deal brexit day is this what brexit means?
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Aug 31, 2019 21:56
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Perry Mason Jar posted:Stop cheering for it to make landfall you loving weirdos no I’m an accelerationist
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Aug 31, 2019 22:01
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I hope it makes landfall and only kills bougie fucks
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Aug 31, 2019 22:12
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https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1167903654793240577?s=19
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Aug 31, 2019 22:22
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nice
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Aug 31, 2019 22:23
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Rated PG-34 posted:I hope it makes landfall and only kills bougie fucks They have the means to evacuate and the resources to absorb the property damage. They won't get hosed only the poor as always will
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Aug 31, 2019 22:24
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See this is the real problem shaping up lmao
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Aug 31, 2019 22:29
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that rainfall model isn't setup for tropical cyclones. Still crazy seeing it put out 100+ inches https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1049347970460606466
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Aug 31, 2019 22:32
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here's a gif of the last 3 GFS runs at the same forecast hour mar-a-lago ain't in the clear yet lol
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Aug 31, 2019 22:53
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the latest ICON, btw, which is a garbage model but happened to be the only one to predict this storm missing PR to the east, looks like this which is a  level of destruction that i can barely in good conscience write a 'lol' aboutbut also lol
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Aug 31, 2019 22:57
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lol
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Aug 31, 2019 22:58
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euro also shows it doing the mar a lago dip, apparently the ridge in the atlantic is looking quite a bit stronger than people expected
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Aug 31, 2019 23:02
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also lol
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Aug 31, 2019 23:02
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apparently nasa/nooa hasn't been able to get as much direct data on the storm from their flights because two of the planes they sent in yesterday got their windshields cracked by the storm and had to turn back lol.
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Aug 31, 2019 23:21
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This is a bunch of good info that probably is parsable by non weather nerds https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hue3IzgkVRA
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Aug 31, 2019 23:25
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Herstory Begins Now posted:This is a bunch of good info that probably is parsable by non weather nerds tl;dr is "don't stop panicking"
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Aug 31, 2019 23:37
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pancake rabbit posted:the latest ICON, btw, which is a garbage model anyone willing to toxx for this?
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Sep 1, 2019 00:05
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AHHHHHHHH https://twitter.com/business/status/1167177622561939466
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Sep 1, 2019 00:11
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lmao
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Sep 1, 2019 00:12
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I just don't want to lose power and lose the food in my fridge. lmao
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Sep 1, 2019 00:20
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Stairmaster posted:apparently nasa/nooa hasn't been able to get as much direct data on the storm from their flights because two of the planes they sent in yesterday got their windshields cracked by the storm and had to turn back lol. outstanding
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Sep 1, 2019 00:26
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| # ? May 30, 2024 14:55 |
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Category 6 when
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