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Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


https://twitter.com/OsitaNwanevu/status/1172535347277905920

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Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Office Pig posted:

You wouldn’t get the impression of a commitment from what’s given in this article, and if her idea of single-payer is the plan posted on her site that vaguely promises as much while leaving mental healthcare to private wolves, the answer is a resounding ‘no’.

I get the impression that Warren just doesn't really know what she's talking about when the topic of healthcare is discussed (which in terms of her hypothetical presidency likely translates to "she would pass something approved by industry/think tanks"). She's just extremely vague and sometimes self-contradictory on the topic. To increase my confidence that she actually supports the bill in question, I would at least want to see specific references to it being single-payer and involving zero cost at point of service.

Any sane person should respond with deep skepticism when a politician isn't specific on something like this, and Warren doesn't have the sort of background that should make people default to a generous interpretation of her words (with the possible exception of the topic of banking regulation, where she has some actual history to speak of). The fact that Warren almost never talks about specifics of the actual Medicare for All bill (and just uses the term like it's some vague goal) should be a huge red flag. I don't think she's maliciously trying to trick people or anything, but I get the impression she just kinda means well but is personally ignorant and will likely have the instinct to trust authorities like industry and think tanks (which is one of the bigger differences between her and Sanders - she still functions as part of the "Democratic establishment," which encompasses all the organizations, think tanks, etc that guide Democratic strategy and policy).

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007
My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

DaveWoo
Aug 14, 2004

Fun Shoe
Top story on CNN.com right now:

Evrart Claire
Jan 11, 2008

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

Regardless of what she really believes, she's tacking right on rhetoric and making compromises compared to Bernie's plans before the fight even begins.

AsInHowe
Jan 11, 2007

red winged angel

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

This is true. Also,

https://twitter.com/johnlevenstein/status/1172545868441931776

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

DaveWoo posted:

Top story on CNN.com right now:



lmao at the media punishing this guy for the only good political thing he's done.

Chilichimp
Oct 24, 2006

TIE Adv xWampa

It wamp, and it stomp

Grimey Drawer

DaveWoo posted:

Top story on CNN.com right now:



As if the republican candidate wouldn't have done this if Beto hadn't done this?

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love

DaveWoo posted:

Top story on CNN.com right now:



Well they're right.

nearly killed em!
Aug 5, 2011

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

My hunch is that the "capitalist to my bones" lady who is leaving handwritten notes in Chuck Schumer's lunch is being intentionally obscure because if she said what she really thinks about health insurance she'd lose a ton of support immediately and not so she can avoid the socialist label Bernie gave himself 40 years ago.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

So by "hunch" you mean "something I've decided to believe with no evidence"

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

Klob isn't a choice in this post-debate poll even in the second tweet that featured the lower-tier candidates

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1172350407445831680

zetamind2000 fucked around with this message at 17:49 on Sep 13, 2019

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007

kidkissinger posted:

So by "hunch" you mean "something I've decided to believe with no evidence"

Yes. Something literally all of us do all day on this website.

Meatball
Mar 2, 2003

That's a Spicy Meatball

Pillbug

gohmak posted:

Well they're right.

The Republicans weren't going to wait for a Democrat to say something like this before they called dems gun grabbers.

If beto didnt say anything, the Republicans would just make it up.

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love

Meatball posted:

The Republicans weren't going to wait for a Democrat to say something like this before they called dems gun grabbers.

If beto didnt say anything, the Republicans would just make it up.

but they don't have to make it up because he said it.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Mahoning posted:

Yes. Something literally all of us do all day on this website.

idk, i'd say that claiming a politician secretly supports something when they've shown publicly that they really don't is different than most assumptions people here make

edit:

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007

kidkissinger posted:

idk, i'd say that claiming a politician secretly supports something when they've shown publicly that they really don't is different than most assumptions people here make

She said last night in an interview that she supports Bernie's M4A bill and that she doesn't have a competing plan because its not about who comes up with plans first.

Call me crazy for using that as my basis for her silently supporting M4A until something "better" comes along.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

Mahoning posted:

Yes. Something literally all of us do all day on this website.

Doubting the sincerity of a candidate who won’t shy away from money given by the people she says she wants to regulate while having hush meetings with the Clintons and their machine has a bit more meat than a “hunch” that relies upon what’s in someone’s heart of hearts.

Meatball
Mar 2, 2003

That's a Spicy Meatball

Pillbug

gohmak posted:

but they don't have to make it up because he said it.

Theres functionally no difference between a dem saying it and the Republicans making it up. The dem base wont listen and the Republican base isnt even in this reality.

Plus since hes not going to win the primary it could be spun as "yeah we aren't doing that, that's one of the reasons beto lost" though I'd agree it would be different if beto had a chance of taking the nomination.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Office Pig posted:

Doubting the sincerity of a candidate who won’t shy away from money given by the people she says she wants to regulate while having hush meetings with the Clintons and their machine has a bit more meat than a “hunch” that relies upon what’s in someone’s heart of hearts.

also while putting out plans that are at odds with M4A, such as her mental healthcare plan

Phone
Jul 30, 2005

親子丼をほしい。

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

are you channeling Robbie Mook and doing the 2019 version of not campaigning in Michigan and Wisconsin is a tactically brilliant move?

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007

kidkissinger posted:

also while putting out plans that are at odds with M4A, such as her mental healthcare plan

You do realize that Medicare for All is a 4 year rollout (even in a best case scenario) and that Behavioral Health Coverage Transparency Act would help millions of people during the transition period, don't you?

Phone posted:

are you channeling Robbie Mook and doing the 2019 version of not campaigning in Michigan and Wisconsin is a tactically brilliant move?

I'm not defending that as a good strategy. In fact, I'm saying it is bad and saying she is two-faced for hedging her bets. I'm not sure how this turned into me being an Elizabeth Warren shill.

Phone
Jul 30, 2005

親子丼をほしい。

Mahoning posted:

You do realize that Medicare for All is a 4 year rollout (even in a best case scenario) and that Behavioral Health Coverage Transparency Act would help millions of people during the transition period, don't you?

Yeah that’s right, give me that good stuff. Gimme that showing up to the $15 an hour minimum wage debate arguing that $12.50 is more realistic.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Ytlaya posted:

I get the impression that Warren just doesn't really know what she's talking about when the topic of healthcare is discussed (which in terms of her hypothetical presidency likely translates to "she would pass something approved by industry/think tanks"). She's just extremely vague and sometimes self-contradictory on the topic. To increase my confidence that she actually supports the bill in question, I would at least want to see specific references to it being single-payer and involving zero cost at point of service.

Any sane person should respond with deep skepticism when a politician isn't specific on something like this, and Warren doesn't have the sort of background that should make people default to a generous interpretation of her words (with the possible exception of the topic of banking regulation, where she has some actual history to speak of). The fact that Warren almost never talks about specifics of the actual Medicare for All bill (and just uses the term like it's some vague goal) should be a huge red flag. I don't think she's maliciously trying to trick people or anything, but I get the impression she just kinda means well but is personally ignorant and will likely have the instinct to trust authorities like industry and think tanks (which is one of the bigger differences between her and Sanders - she still functions as part of the "Democratic establishment," which encompasses all the organizations, think tanks, etc that guide Democratic strategy and policy).

This sounds plausible to me, but it leaves an important deeper question unanswered: if she doesn't know what she's talking about when it comes to healthcare, then why doesn't she?

She doesn't have a background in climate policy either, but that hasn't stopped her from issuing a detailed climate plan. As the wonkish "I have a plan for everything" candidate, presumably she either read up on the subject until she understood it, or she consulted experts and advocates to learn about it and formulate a plan with their help. Similarly, she went from not knowing a drat thing about Native issues to offering a decent Native American policy within a couple of months. Why wouldn't she do the same for healthcare?

The most obvious answer is the same reason that she didn't bone up on Native issues during her years in politics until it finally blew up in her face. Which was because she didn't really care, and just went along with the political flow without really caring what the details turn out as. Medicare For All is popular, so she's signaling her support for it as a general buzzword, but she's clearly not too set in what the details will be.

skylined!
Apr 6, 2012

THE DEM DEFENDER HAS LOGGED ON

DaveWoo posted:

Top story on CNN.com right now:



Cilizza is loving brain cancer made sentient.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Mahoning posted:

You do realize that Medicare for All is a 4 year rollout (even in a best case scenario) and that Behavioral Health Coverage Transparency Act would help millions of people during the transition period, don't you?

This is a huge indictment of Warren as the candidate with "plans" since she never ever mentions this plan you're proposing.

If BHCTA was intended to be only a stop-gap as an element of a larger plan, it is sure a shame that Warren refuses to release a healthcare plan and instead forces people like you to guess what she intents.

Phone
Jul 30, 2005

親子丼をほしい。
Fundamentally it’s easy to not care about the details when you actually don’t care at all.

For all of the plans and brilliant 9th dimensional chess, she clearly doesn’t care because giving the answer “we can figure it out in post” is kicking the ball down the road. What are you going to do? Call her bluff? We all know how that worked out with Guantanamo.

temple
Jul 29, 2006

I have actual skeletons in my closet

Mahoning posted:

My hunch is that Warren actually does support M4A, specifically Bernie's bill (she said this last night), but is afraid to say it too loudly, lest she receive the full brunt of the "she's a socialist!" criticism that Bernie is receiving. And of course she is leaving open the possibility that she can change to something "better" (worse, actually!) down the line to appeal to more moderates.

If she's afraid to say it then she's afraid to do it.

ihatepants
Nov 5, 2011

Let the burning of pants commence. These things drive me nuts.



Mahoning posted:

She said last night in an interview that she supports Bernie's M4A bill and that she doesn't have a competing plan because its not about who comes up with plans first.

Call me crazy for using that as my basis for her silently supporting M4A until something "better" comes along.

To add to your point,

quote:

Ady Barkan: You are a supporter of a medicare for all single payer system that makes the private insurance industry irrelevant and phases everybody into medicare. Why is that approach better than the others on the table?

Warren: I think of this as about our values. Healthcare is a basic human right. What we're trying to do is make sure everyone is covered at the lowest possible cost. And that's Medicare For All. Look at the business model of giant insurance companies. Taking in as much money as you can in premiums and pay out as little as possible in healthcare coverage. Last year they sucked $23 billion out of the healthcare industry. $23 billion in profits and how do they earn every dollar of those profits? By saying no, by having people fill out forms, by having people get on the phone and have to argue, by raising co-pays. The republicans did a big study. They really wanted to prove how medicare for all would be. And what they ended up proving was that medicare for all is a less expensive system than our current conglomeration of medicare, private insurance and people without coverage at all.

Ady Barkan: And the only way to reduce the administrative and billing costs is to move to a single payer system?

Warren: Yes, I think that's right.

This exchange makes it sound like she's in favor getting rid of private insurance companies and adopting single-payer.

https://twitter.com/AdyBarkan/status/1171402259437162497?s=20

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

This is a huge indictment of Warren as the candidate with "plans" since she never ever mentions this plan you're proposing.

If BHCTA was intended to be only a stop-gap as an element of a larger plan, it is sure a shame that Warren refuses to release a healthcare plan and instead forces people like you to guess what she intents.

I completely agree. After I saw that interview with her last night I am wondering what on earth she is thinking by not saying "I support Bernie Sanders' Medicare for All bill. Full Stop. We agree on that even if we disagree on other things." But there is this SUPER weird thing where not only do Sanders and Warren refuse to attack each other, they barely even acknowledge or engage each other. Like both campaigns have refused to disagree OR AGREE with each other to try to gain support on their own and keep away from the "these two are the same" takes that still seem to come from the lovely centrist Dems.

I just don't understand Warren's campaign at all and disagree with the conventional wisdom out there that says she is running the best campaign.

The best strategy I think I can come up with that would explain her campaign's actions or lack thereof is that she is being as vanilla as possible while spitting out wonky "I've got a plan for that poo poo" to run out the clock until either Bernie or Biden are eliminated and will shift her position to gather up either the centrist or progressive wings based on whoever bows out.

To be clear: I think this strategy is bad and makes her bad. Bad.

temple posted:

If she's afraid to say it then she's afraid to do it.

I agree. Me (poorly) explaining her actions/motivations is not me endorsing those actions or motivations. Stop acting like I'm supporting or defending her.

Mahoning fucked around with this message at 18:12 on Sep 13, 2019

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Mahoning posted:

But there is this SUPER weird thing where not only do Sanders and Warren refuse to attack each other, they barely even acknowledge or engage each other. Like both campaigns have refused to disagree OR AGREE with each other to try to gain support on their own and keep away from the "these two are the same" takes that still seem to come from the lovely centrist Dems.

I don't think it's that weird. They knew going in that escaping a Biden or Harris presidency would be difficult, and they almost assuredly agreed to non-aggression before the campaign even started. I'd be willing to bet they also have an agreement to endorse one another should one of them drop out. They don't want to appear as Team Bernie+Warren though because their politics genuinely differ, and they are playing to different demographics. It's not super helpful for either of them to appear to be the two-headed communist giant or whatever.

Phone
Jul 30, 2005

親子丼をほしい。

Mahoning posted:

To be clear: I think this strategy is bad and makes her bad. Bad.


I agree. Me (poorly) explaining her actions/motivations is not me endorsing those actions or motivations. Stop acting like I'm supporting or defending her.

Then stop saying poo poo like “I believe in Warren’s kokoro (translator’s note: ‘heart’) that she is going to implement Bernie’s m4a proposal”.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

ihatepants posted:

To add to your point,


This exchange makes it sound like she's in favor getting rid of private insurance companies and adopting single-payer.

https://twitter.com/AdyBarkan/status/1171402259437162497?s=20

Yet it falls short of a commitment to action for the sake of nodding in agreement to a nice idea she can easily find a ‘path’ to M4A that can packaged as any number if incremental reforms. Extolling the benefits is one thing but it’s not really a guarantee that it would remain a priority after securing any more power within a party she has already chosen to temper her image with.

Mahoning
Feb 3, 2007

Phone posted:

Then stop saying poo poo like “I believe in Warren’s kokoro (translator’s note: ‘heart’) that she is going to implement Bernie’s m4a proposal”.

I didn't say that, I said she supports it quietly (her own interviews back this up. one is posted on this very page, go check!) but for some strange reason (ie. she is planning on NOT supporting it at some point) doesn't really bring it up that often or place it prominently on her webpage.

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything


skylined! posted:

Cilizza is loving brain cancer made sentient.

That's far too kind. Brain cancers hold Republicans to account.

Ague Proof fucked around with this message at 18:33 on Sep 13, 2019

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Mahoning posted:

I didn't say that, I said she supports it quietly (her own interviews back this up. one is posted on this very page, go check!) but for some strange reason (ie. she is planning on NOT supporting it at some point) doesn't really bring it up that often or place it prominently on her webpage.

I suspect it's because she thinks either A) there's no way anything eliminating private insurance passes so promising it is a bad idea, or B) because finance is clearly her priority she think she won't have any remaining political capital for a second fight with a major industry after her flagship stuff goes through. I think that's a poor and overly cautious attitude but I don't think it's coming from a position of 'she secretly hates healthcare'.

MSDOS KAPITAL
Jun 25, 2018





Chilichimp posted:

oh just die already

can someone tell me why the senator who lost with a moderate message in a wave election year is on the stage whining about moderate voters, please?
the dems are a waste Chilichimp

Shbobdb
Dec 16, 2010

by Reene

fool_of_sound posted:

I don't think it's that weird. They knew going in that escaping a Biden or Harris presidency would be difficult, and they almost assuredly agreed to non-aggression before the campaign even started. I'd be willing to bet they also have an agreement to endorse one another should one of them drop out. They don't want to appear as Team Bernie+Warren though because their politics genuinely differ, and they are playing to different demographics. It's not super helpful for either of them to appear to be the two-headed communist giant or whatever.

It's also a good rope-a-dope strategy that helps them both out. Bernie takes heat for being too far left thereby making Warren look more palatable, especially to the media class. Bernie gets to be Bernie, Warren gets a nice bump. Together they push the Overton window left.

The Warren campaign needs Bernie since he acts as a shield for them, giving them legitimacy. The Bernie campaign needs Warren because she forces the media to actually discuss policy, so it doesn't become a succdem coronation. Having to actually, you know, talk about issues is what made the Harris and Beto campaigns collapse and it's prevented the Buttman from gaining traction beyond "hip new face". So the establishment has defaulted to Biden as the great hope while hedging with Warren.

If the Biden campaign implodes, Warren will start differentiating herself from Bernie much more starkly to appeal to moderates.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf
Well, I made a tweet about Biden having a lovely debate and the responses were interesting



:wtf:

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mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

The Glumslinger posted:

Well, I made a tweet about Biden having a lovely debate and the responses were interesting



:wtf:

I gotta think that's somebody takin the piss.

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