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I think I'm going to be very glad that I live in a fortress Plaid Cymru constituency. All the national parties pretty much put up a token candidate, mail out the bare minimum of election flyers, and maybe stick up a few placards if they're feeling particularly energetic. I commiserate with those of you who have to spend the next 6 weeks wading through a snowdrift of flyers every morning to get to the front door or hide behind the sofa from the 72nd doorknock of the day. Edit: Proto-dinosaur pic. Soylent Yellow fucked around with this message at 23:04 on Oct 29, 2019 |
# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:27 |
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# ? Jun 13, 2024 06:50 |
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CoolCab posted:waffles are SWEET YOU FUCKS THEY'RE NOT loving POTATOES WHAT IS WRFONG WITH YOUR HELL NATION same
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:27 |
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goddamnedtwisto posted:I think that one's before my time, but a rapidly-escalating war on Whatsapp was eventually ended by me dropping the Um Bongo advert into it. fluppet posted:I want a trio and i want one now Mrenda posted:My world (kitchen) was changed when I found out you could do waffles in the toaster. Basically, I had to stop buying waffles lest I turn into one (from eating so many.) namesake posted:Yo if you're like this person here and really think your local seat is unwinnable, don't forget to check this website:
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:27 |
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My election prediction is that on December 13 I definitely will not go back and edit this post so that it looks like I predicted the result
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:28 |
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Ms Adequate posted:Wee John's prediction is straight nicked from mine!! I'd take this result, burning hatred of the lib dems aside.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:28 |
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MSDOS KAPITAL posted:So y'all are going to do the election when the kids are out of town? They're in other towns.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:29 |
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Also just out of curiosity, I remember people saying that GE 2017 really helped put a lot of funding and grassroots into Labour with Momentum, is there much evidence of there being increased activism out there or enough donation and support to have a really hard campaign? I've been bombarded by so much negative labour news but the increased groundwork by labour activists always sticks in my mind as the potential deciding factor of this election.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:29 |
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Beefeater1980 posted:BXP splits their vote by just existing, just as LDs split both Labour and Tory votes. If you have any access to social networks that include other people able to postal vote then sound out that they'll be Labour and then help them make their votes too. If you have the vote then I think you can give up to £500 from abroad. Edit: Splits the vote just by existing eh fine somewhat but in Lib-Lab marginals you want to go hard against BXP; Farage is a thatcherite that wants to sell the NHS, a BXP vote is functionally a lib dem vote in those seats Vitamin P fucked around with this message at 22:36 on Oct 29, 2019 |
# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:30 |
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https://twitter.com/Conservatives/status/1189281037702090752 Johnson kicks off the Tory social media campaign by retweeting this, which kinda doesn't acknowledge that an election is even happening?
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:30 |
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jabby posted:Johnson kicks off the Tory social media campaign by retweeting this, which kinda doesn't acknowledge that an election is even happening? I mean voting for it to definitely happen is a form of "moving closer", yes technically
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:31 |
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Is the GE definitely happening in December then? I'm so confused! (Packing for the removals arriving at 8am tomorrow morning so not concentrating!)
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:35 |
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Angepain posted:I mean voting for it to definitely happen is a form of "moving closer", yes technically Labour: Let's gently caress them up. *awesome video* Tories: Today parliament voted to move a bit closer to possibly supporting my plan to perhaps have an election in December. https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1189277437324079104
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:35 |
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Angepain posted:My election prediction is that on December 13 I definitely will not go back and edit this post so that it looks like I predicted the result the trick is to call both in separate posts, then once you know the result amend the other. protip.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:36 |
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Ikwaylx posted:Also just out of curiosity, I remember people saying that GE 2017 really helped put a lot of funding and grassroots into Labour with Momentum, is there much evidence of there being increased activism out there or enough donation and support to have a really hard campaign? Labour is still a gigantic party, subs and donations from members to back them up as activists is totally viable, there's also the platforms already set up like: https://mynearestmarginal.com/ Which appears to have crashed in the 5 minutes since I posted it so I'm guessing it's rather popular! The greatest worry is how good the manifesto is and honestly dropping the freedom of movement and abolish eton stuff is going to really frustrate a lot of people when it happens but hopefully there's enough vision there to keep everything rolling.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:36 |
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Jaeluni Asjil posted:Is the GE definitely happening in December then? I'm so confused! (Packing for the removals arriving at 8am tomorrow morning so not concentrating!) 12 Dec assuming it passes the Lords and royal assent and so forth, so basically yes. I'm struggling with enthusiasm to be honest. I know assuming I don't have a job by then I'll go out and do what i can, but... This is going to be make or break for another generation at least in this country. It's so important and aaaaaaaaaaaa
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:39 |
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So when does the "BBC has to pretend to not be biased" period start? I know several people whose opinion is essentially "Labour is useless because they never do anything do they" because, you know, they're not in government and nobody reports on what they're doing otherwise unless it's negative.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:41 |
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Finally did something long overdue Let's do this thing
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:42 |
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And I thought nothing could beat 2015 and 2017 for total unpredictability. There is just about no way to guess at how this election might go based on national swing. Brexit has absolutely murdered national swing and dropped it in the ground and pissed on its grave. Plugging two almost-indistinguishable sets of numbers into a popular calculation website: (Both sets are from ComRes; the Con-up set is from 11-12 September and the Lab-up set is from 26-28 July; selected because the numbers are almost identical.) Calculator: http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/swingometer/uk-parliament Con 29 Lab 30 LD 16 UKIP 1 GRN 5 BXP 15: Labour biggest party, 47 short of a majority (and the SNP bloc right on the edge of pushing them over the line), Lab 279 vs Tory 268, LD 29. Con 30 Lab 29 LD 17 UKIP 1 GRN 4 BXP 13: Conservatives biggest party, 41 short (and can't get there with Liberal help), Con 285 Lab 262 LD 29. The most red-favourable recent poll (ComRes 33-29-18), in this calculator, spits out Con 308 Lab 241 LD 30 - the Tories are 18 short and the Liberals will get them there. And that's before we consider things like how we've been seeing wildly divergent results with polls coming out on each other's heels and a difference of up to 10% between polls taken in the same or overlapping sampling periods; at times, they've been totally outside each other's margin of error. Nobody has any loving idea at all what is actually going on; and nobody is going to have any loving idea at all until 10pm on election night; and if you're going to be skeptical about the results of any one exit poll in the last 20 years, make it this one.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:43 |
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The main problem as far as I can see is the really important details are just beyond the average voter, or at least ones I interact with. Maybe that will work in Labour's favour but then I see my Tory/Leave voting in laws cheering Boris and slagging off Corbyn when the news comes on despite the fact neither of them has a pension beyond the state pension and are both dependent on the NHS with their post age 60 health conditions
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:44 |
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jabby posted:https://twitter.com/Conservatives/status/1189281037702090752 Labour, attempting further delay to the election by asking for it three days before the Tories want it.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:45 |
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Steve2911 posted:They're in other towns.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:47 |
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theres already a GE thread up
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:47 |
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Bacon Terrorist posted:The main problem as far as I can see is the really important details are just beyond the average voter, or at least ones I interact with. Maybe that will work in Labour's favour but then I see my Tory/Leave voting in laws cheering Boris and slagging off Corbyn when the news comes on despite the fact neither of them has a pension beyond the state pension and are both dependent on the NHS with their post age 60 health conditions Sounds like 'billions of pounds more for the NHS that won't get creamed off by private companies' seems like the sort of thing they might like. Good thing that's Labour policy eh? MSDOS KAPITAL posted:Yeah, where they can't vote, right? Depends where they've registered themselves and where'll they'll be on the day. Getting that sorted out is a serious thing for the left now.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:47 |
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Labour should win on policy. Labour ALWAYS should win on policy, because its policies are always better for the voting public than the Tories' and the LIb Dems'. Even the ones in Tory heartlands. Whether the policies are good is largely immaterial.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:49 |
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kecske posted:theres already a GE thread up Featuring an actual good OP by the Flappy One. He even remembered to include "Pissflaps" as an option on the poll.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:50 |
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So I've heard a lot of people say that now that an actual election is on, a bunch of regulations kick in that should prevent the reactionary press from being so nakedly pro-Tory. Is there a summary of what those regulations actually are?
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:52 |
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Why haven't I seen this before? From 2017. Good Zepp sound track https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpSIzx0Ta0Y
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:53 |
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I feel like it still counts as a UK politics thread for the purpose of his banishment, even if he is the OP
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:53 |
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kecske posted:theres already a GE thread up going into thread, seeing the OP
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:53 |
Vitamin P posted:If you have any access to social networks that include other people able to postal vote then sound out that they'll be Labour and then help them make their votes too. Yes, I’m still on the electoral register. Made a donation.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:53 |
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It's actually weird how absent the Tory social media response is, while Corbyn's video surges past 400k views. Have they been blindsided yet again by an election they called?
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:54 |
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gently caress you guys, I'm starting my own UK politics thread, with blackjack and hookers!
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:55 |
Angepain posted:I feel like it still counts as a UK politics thread for the purpose of his banishment, even if he is the OP
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:55 |
jabby posted:It's actually weird how absent the Tory social media response is, while Corbyn's video surges past 400k views.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:55 |
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Good start for the Tories lolquote:The home secretary’s chief of staff was escorted out of a bar in parliament
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:57 |
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Ikwaylx posted:I remember when the 2017 election was called and I was pretty despondent because I was certain Labour were hosed at the time, but then they managed to turn it around with their leaked manifesto and policies that actually resonated with people. I really hope that Corbyn can pull that off again and this time work towards an even better electoral result. That's not a unique feeling, everyone that knocked on doors or help street stalls for labour felt the same thing, it was quixotic but we believed in it so did it anyway. And then it turns out it wasn't quixotic, instead we caused a massive political upset because 1. the ideas and policies are loving legit and have cut-through, given the choice people don't want their lives to be poo poo and 2. the establishment media apparatus represents literally no-one, its power exercising itself continuously in an extremely shallow way, it's omni-present but it's wafer thin and just one face-to-face interaction from someone like you can be more meaningful than them, no matter how much money they spend. And yeah I do remember when we all actively noped out on that loving transformers comic hope is a lie meme that was a good day.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 22:58 |
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jBrereton posted:PREVENT rear end posting yes, i would like to prevent the rear end from posting
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 23:00 |
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PittTheElder posted:So I've heard a lot of people say that now that an actual election is on, a bunch of regulations kick in that should prevent the reactionary press from being so nakedly pro-Tory. Is there a summary of what those regulations actually are? Guidance for broadcasters are here: https://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv-radio-and-on-demand/broadcast-codes/broadcast-code/section-six-elections-referendums There's also restrictions on government activity called purdah which has a guide released each time by the looks of it: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/election-guidance-for-civil-servants
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 23:01 |
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xtothez posted:
https://momentum.nationbuilder.com/donate Well some poor sod in Africa is starving this month, because the charity budget has gone to Labour. Best of luck and solidarity to everyone who's going to be contributing by going out door knocking.
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 23:02 |
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# ? Jun 13, 2024 06:50 |
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jabby posted:https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1189276879292960768 Is there a mistake in this video? “Fox hunting ban = gone/blocked”, as a Labour victory?
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# ? Oct 29, 2019 23:03 |