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TACD posted:I know you guys are into polls and all but you ever though about trying some real hardcore speculation? I guarantee it'll gently caress you up. but i thought number was going up? edit: 153 used to mean "I adore you" in text messaging in ye olden days of sms messaging. Do good, british goons. 153 double nine fucked around with this message at 20:00 on Dec 10, 2019 |
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Dec 10, 2019 19:56
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I'm extremely happy about another hung parliament and another election maybe in the middle of next year.
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Dec 10, 2019 19:56
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TACD posted:I know you guys are into polls and all but you ever though about trying some real hardcore speculation? I guarantee it'll gently caress you up. Oh my god it's the Swinson surge! 
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Dec 10, 2019 19:58
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i don’t like liberals tbqh
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Dec 10, 2019 19:58
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TACD posted:I know you guys are into polls and all but you ever though about trying some real hardcore speculation? I guarantee it'll gently caress you up. Those private polls led them to bet extremely heavily on Remain in the hours before the polls closed. Also the most likely thing to cause medium-term sterling volatility is largeish Tory majority allowing Boris to Hindenburg us into a no-deal Brexit.
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Dec 10, 2019 19:59
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Those private polls led them to bet extremely heavily on Remain in the hours before the polls closed. Also the most likely thing to cause medium-term sterling volatility is largeish Tory majority allowing Boris to Hindenburg us into a no-deal Brexit. If you believe labour spending would cause heavy inflation, wouldn't that cause volatility?
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Dec 10, 2019 20:00
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TheRat posted:If you believe labour spending would cause heavy inflation, wouldn't that cause volatility? Nah, you'd just short the pound. Volatility hedging suggests they have no loving clue what sterling is going to be doing.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:02
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Cant help but get a bit emotional watching that, good video.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:02
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TheRat posted:If you believe labour spending would cause heavy inflation, wouldn't that cause volatility? Inflation is deader than disco m8
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Dec 10, 2019 20:04
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Hung parliament could cause volatility too
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Dec 10, 2019 20:07
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OwlFancier posted:And I hate them, I hate them so utterly and absolutely, if I could snap my fingers and make every last one of them drop dead tomorrow I would do it in a heartbeat, and build a better world on their carcasses. Same OP. I think this is becoming a more common feeling than you think, even if people won't admit it. I'm relatively mentally healthy so for the most part I keep myself sane with stupid dark humour, but just occasionally something cuts through and I find myself on the verge of tears - and I know exactly who to blame. I'm not yelling at people on the street or fighting people, and while I do drink too much it doesn't get in the way of my work or relationships. I'm outwardly very polite and normal and I would kill every single one of them with my bare hands if it was in my power and not illegal MI5 of course lol . I would happily watch a Tory bleed out on the street without a shred of emotion but satisfaction. I can't begin to describe the sheer hate I feel towards them. I recognise that this is not a healthy way to be, but it's inevitable, and if more than me and you feel like that - and they do - there's only so long the floodgates can hold.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:08
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What's this with the Guido Fawkes leak today? Is there any legitimacy to that?
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Dec 10, 2019 20:09
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Evening folks! As most of you should be aware by now, the podcast crew is running an alternative election night stream so you don't feel like you're alone in laughing at Laura K as her world dissolves around her. The details are in the OP, but it'll be at http://twitch.tv/praxiscast from 21:30 on Thursday night until either we're content we know how it's going, or nobody is sober enough to continue the stream. TONIGHT at 8 there will be a meeting about the livestream to try and gauge how many people we'll have on, plan out some stuff and take ideas from any of you that might want to get involved, so join us on the discord (link in OP) from 8! BONUS We'll also be doing a watchalong of Labour: The Summer That Changed Everything aka, The melts kick themselves in the dicks repeatedly. Join us! 
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Dec 10, 2019 20:10
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Chuka Umana posted:What's this with the Guido Fawkes leak today? Is there any legitimacy to that? Legitimacy to what? It's a recording of Ashworth talking to a tory activist friend.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:11
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TACD posted:I know you guys are into polls and all but you ever though about trying some real hardcore speculation? I guarantee it'll gently caress you up. While not directly my job, this has been talked about by the people who do it for a little while, so in no particular order A) Neither a hung parliament (uncertainty) nor a Tory minority (brexit catastrophe) offer anything good for the city, which is both risk and uncertainty averse B) End of year wind down often sees drops as people stop work for their 2-3 week vacations and close out their open trades, this also sees a dip around now, which rarely gets reported because nothing happens around now, and who the hell does an election in Mid-December C) Gremlin invasion is a yearly event, people want to shut off their liabilities before they take over the offices.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:11
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I don't know how else to feel, every aspect of this society is telling me that it isn't for me. I'm just here to work and prop up everyone else. I'm not here to be a part of it. And I'd feel less insulted if they weren't so loving patronizing about it. If they didn't pretend like it was otherwise. It's one enormous insult made up of a thousand mindless platitudes.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:12
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Those private polls led them to bet extremely heavily on Remain in the hours before the polls closed. Also the most likely thing to cause medium-term sterling volatility is largeish Tory majority allowing Boris to Hindenburg us into a no-deal Brexit. Hmm, Financial Times has been writing though that sterling always ticks up a bit recently whenever it seems that conservatives will get a majority. Apparently because of the ensuing "stability" as in "at least something will get done for sure" or I dunno
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Dec 10, 2019 20:12
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zhar posted:Hung parliament could cause volatility too This is it, I think this is what the market movement is about. The polls have tightened up so it's not an unreasonable assumption for us plebs to make either. Indicators of either a Tory or a Labour majority would not really suggest volatility because I think a lot of Brexit/NDB anxiety is already baked into the market because it's been going on for so long. Extended uncertainty is what investors hate (outside of jam socialism).
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Dec 10, 2019 20:14
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Those private polls led them to bet extremely heavily on Remain in the hours before the polls closed. Also the most likely thing to cause medium-term sterling volatility is largeish Tory majority allowing Boris to Hindenburg us into a no-deal Brexit. To be precise. There were private polls that did not say this, and in the final day indicated a leave win, and Farage et al pushed the opposite, including his infamous 'not quite a surrender' interview, which caused the markets to shift, and people who had shorted the pound, some of which had links to Farage, made a killing. There has been no significant investigation on this, as would (well idealistically) have happened in the US, because the Tories have shut down all investigation they can into any irregularities with Brexit, even with our, and foreign, security and intelligence services have reported significant irregularities and manipulation. Something, something the party is all that matters.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:19
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I have received a leaflet from the Social Democratic Party in Edinburgh South West. It's SNP, and likely to stay that way (terf-tastic!) Mev Brown seems to think Brexit will solve everything. Here is the text from the leaflet, with my annotations: Part 1 I work in the homeless sector*. I am passionate about tackling the housing crisis, homelessness and rough sleeping. Recent figures show that as many as 500,000 Scottish adults 18 to 65 live with their parents**. Analysis shows there is a 50% chance that you do, or you know somebody that does***. I want every fellow citizen to have a home to call their own. I know we can never solve the housing crisis while members of the European Union****. But I estimate that housing waiting lists can be halved within 5-10 years of a clean Brexit and ended within 10-15 years*****. Vote for me and you are voting to end Scotland's housing crisis! *Little more detail please. Do you help them or harm them? **Ah, the homeless who live in homes (by this I mean that he moved on very swiftly from homelessness platitudes with no proposal to help people living on the streets) ***Excellent analysis, Mev ****Show your working *****This seems a little unambitious given that Labour will be ending homelessness immediately. And I'm pretty sure the only way you could do it is by tagging along with Labour's policies. I reckon I'll vote Labour. Part 2 Some people stick in your mind. I remember talking to a teenage lass* who wasn't having much luck getting her first job as a barmaid. I knew one of the bars she mentioned and went along**. Yes, they had a new barmaid. Graduate, great English, well-travelled, good chat. It was obvious why she got the job. But my thoughts were with that teenager***. *Do you now **Did you now ***Were they now Part 3 After Brexit, fellow citizens will get first chance at new jobs*. School leavers and new grads will be the biggest winners*. If somebody is not up to the task, then fair play, foreign citizens could then apply*. But, this is why I campaigned for Brexit, this is where my political priority, my loyalty is. Vote for Mev Brown, STANDING UP FOR OUR SCHOOL LEAVERS & NEW GRADUATES**! *Will they now **Will you now Braggart fucked around with this message at 20:43 on Dec 10, 2019 |
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Dec 10, 2019 20:24
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TACD posted:I know you guys are into polls and all but you ever though about trying some real hardcore speculation? I guarantee it'll gently caress you up. This is obviously the Corbyn Crash by Christmas that the egg was going on about this morning. quote:We can win in Wycombe. We can unseat Steve Baker. We can put Jeremy Corbyn in Number 10. But we can only do that with your help on Thursday 12th December. Get Out and loving Help us Win This comms have gone out from the local CLP. They're expecting scores of volunteers. Not dozens, scores, so many that they have to run two different offices just to sort out the goddamn parking nightmare! Get hype, 
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Dec 10, 2019 20:26
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Every time I log into Discord I get angry and confused because there are so many channels. Why does just the UK Goons Discord need like 20 different channels organised into three separate categories?  I mean I will definitely be there on Thursday but I'll also be in the one IRC channel that's worked fine for us all these years thank you very much. Don't see why you young'uns got to make everything all fancy and flashy with your GIFs and emotes and whatnot.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:28
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TACD posted:Every time I log into Discord I get angry and confused because there are so many channels. Why does just the UK Goons Discord need like 20 different channels organised into three separate categories? There'll be a twitch chat too grandad
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Dec 10, 2019 20:30
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TACD posted:Every time I log into Discord I get angry and confused because there are so many channels. Why does just the UK Goons Discord need like 20 different channels organised into three separate categories? To seperate chocolate orange chat from pokemon chat from NSFW memes and podcast shenanigans.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:30
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Allison Pearson blocked the editor of the Yorkshire post, the newspaper who released the LGI child story, without any significant interaction. Just because he'd tagged her in his factual post about the work they did to fact check before going to print: https://twitter.com/JayMitchinson/status/1204399824788963332
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Dec 10, 2019 20:33
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Braggart posted:**Ah, the homeless who live in homes Just to address this one point, there's a difference between being homeless (including "functionally homeless"), living in temporary accommodation, and rough sleeping, and only that last group don't live in homes. People trapped with their parents because they can't even afford a rental deposit let alone a mortgage, families with not enough bedrooms, and people sofa-surfing with friends are all still homeless, just obviously at varying degrees of priority for housing.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:34
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Sanitary Naptime posted:There'll be a twitch chat too grandad Voice group chat. We need 30 people yelling over each other
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Dec 10, 2019 20:34
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Just to address this one point, there's a difference between being homeless (including "functionally homeless"), living in temporary accommodation, and rough sleeping, and only that last group don't live in homes. People trapped with their parents because they can't even afford a rental deposit let alone a mortgage, families with not enough bedrooms, and people sofa-surfing with friends are all still homeless, just obviously at varying degrees of priority for housing. Yes, I'm aware. It was just a strange segue from platitudes about the homeless to "and here's how I'm going to help you" as the meat of that point. My meaning was that it's much, much broader than people who fall into the category of being homeless, and the first part felt like a sop with no actual proposal to deal with it. Nothing about homelessness charities? Braggart fucked around with this message at 20:38 on Dec 10, 2019 |
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Dec 10, 2019 20:36
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Here’s a nice distraction from Tory hell world.   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khLbg_uAhcI So next year we are getting a new Half Life, the RE3 remake, and hopefully a Corbyn government. Stay positive folks.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:36
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https://www.theguardian.com/comment...obox=1576005624 holy moly
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Dec 10, 2019 20:36
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Does the Guardian even have any influence anymore?
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Dec 10, 2019 20:38
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Chuka Umana posted:Voice group chat. We need 30 people yelling over each other With discord, anything is possible. e: lmao that guardian bit
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Dec 10, 2019 20:38
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Ok I guess global warming is fine because hell just froze over.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:38
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Glad you noticed, Guardian.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:39
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The Guardian, despite the melts, will always endorse Labour. The problem is, they also keep the melts.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:40
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well naturally, the libdems and TIG-CUK hosed it its funny they still can't endorse them full throatedly, do other people remember how like literally every single issue corbyn labour stands for is something the guardian was calling for right up until it was a possibility?
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Dec 10, 2019 20:40
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Same poo poo as before, their coverage is borderline libel but at the last second he's the only hope against the Tories while they utterly fail to pull their weight in the fight.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:41
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The funniest part of the Ashworth story is that all the centrist melts lost their poo poo when Pidcock said she could never be friends with a Tory, and now his Tory friend has completely betrayed him for a few hours of negative press about Labour.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:41
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josh04 posted:The Guardian, despite the melts, will always endorse Labour. The problem is, they also keep the melts. Did they last election?
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Dec 10, 2019 20:41
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TACD posted:Every time I log into Discord I get angry and confused because there are so many channels. Why does just the UK Goons Discord need like 20 different channels organised into three separate categories? If will all certainly spend election night posting because watching on TV means phone posting and I cannae be arsed getting a discord or IRC app for Android coz it'll mean deleting something I use.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:42
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