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jaete
Jun 21, 2009


Nap Ghost

Beefeater1980 posted:

I think that’s right: Labour can’t be the party of the provincial working class, the metropolitan working class and cosmopolitan social liberals all at the same time without watering down, and if it has to sacrifice one of those groups IMO it should be the last one.

Can't be for all these; why not? Honest question

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CGI Stardust
Nov 7, 2010


Brexit is but a door,
election time is but a window.

I'll be back
I think a problem with activists on social media generally was sampling - people posting about canvassing etc were likely heavily from Labour-held areas because that's where the largest activist base exists, which means perspectives from, say, the North East (or, for me, South West rural, not that it was going to go Labour anyway) are outliers and seen as not representative, so when we run into person after person undecided because they don't like the leadership it doesn't have resonance with the group, which then leads to not posting those experiences

Also at that point everything was probably hosed anyway due to the general environment and leadership decisions, so not like it matters - it would have been useful to have these perspectives from the doorstep a year ago, 9 months ago, 6 months ago, regularly checking to see what's getting through and what's an issue

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

Pesmerga posted:

But then there was a certain selectiveness in what aspects of conference he’d take on board, like the stuff on immigration.


I’d be tempted to vote for Angela Rayner, I think RLB would be seen too much as a continuity candidate. Although the well is so throughly poisoned by the antisemitism debate and John Mann deciding to be an external wrecker than I’m not sure how any leader can respond.

Edit and again I think it shows the dangers of triangulation when you hold yourself as not being that kind of operator. Too lexity for many in the cities or with friends and family impacted, too remainy for the nationalist contingent.

I think currently I'd be happy with RLB, Rayner or Butler, but I've not done much digging beyond initial impressions yet.

ronya posted:

there probably should be a thread that is a safe space for people who are actually suicidal if they have to contemplate the possibility of being defeated

what's funny is that c-spam ukpol is also a rabbithole of its very special kind - tons of US tankies

Thanks for proving my Robokeynes point. There is a space between suicidal and ultra enlightened emotionless politics and some people like being in that emotional space (especially during a GE where a lot of this thread was volunteering) . I know that thr concept of emotions might be difficult for you sometimes but I hope you'll look it up in the dictionary or something.

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

jaete posted:

Can't be for all these; why not? Honest question

They want different things and even if they want the same things they need to be messaged to in a different way.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

jaete posted:

Can't be for all these; why not? Honest question

let's call it "faith, flag, and country" questions...

Azza Bamboo
Apr 7, 2018


THUNDERDOME LOSER 2021
I think the leadership should make RLB appear to be the continuity candidate as much as possible. It'd be to cruelly offer her as a sacrifice, burn her as an effigy to all that was hated about this campaign.

Then slide in a leftist candidate who can address the concerns of snobbery, elitism and university socialism.

The risk with Rayner is not that the press get nasty about her background. That'd be a mistake. The risk is that they construct a narrative in which the Labour party is accused of using her story to characterise the voters the party is trying to reach. Such a narrative allows the press to both criticise her background and tout her views as being elitist even with her background.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
Also if we have a constituency based system, have that actually mean something. The amount of people telling me that the only time they ever saw their MP or that they seemed to engage with their constituents was around election time. That combined with failings of local government (both related to corruption and to the collapse of their resources and ability to provide) meant that there was already antipathy built in to relations with Labour regardless of Corbyn. The policies didn’t resonate either - a lot more needs to be done to change the mindset regarding public expenditure, as the general discourse of ‘just free stuff but who will pay for it’ and ‘fantasy economics’ were also not uncommon.

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

Azza Bamboo posted:

I think the leadership should make RLB appear to be the continuity candidate as much as possible. It'd be to cruelly offer her as a sacrifice, burn her as an effigy to all that was hated about this campaign.

Then slide in a leftist candidate who can address the concerns of snobbery, elitism and university socialism.

The risk with Rayner is not that the press get nasty about her background. That'd be a mistake. The risk is that they construct a narrative in which the Labour party is accused of using her story to characterise the voters the party is trying to reach. Such a narrative allows the press to both criticise her background and tout her views as being elitist even with her background.

Every leader with a leftist policy platform is gonna get smeared. I think smearing Rayner for her background is a mistake for the media like you said, more likely they'll go for the Corbyn association because she was on his front bench. I think the second narrative you mentioned being taken with Rayner would be hard to pull off, to be honest. It relies on there being a large segment of people who look down on everyone who isn't as successful as them while still considering themselves the true "working class"... Oh.

CGI Stardust
Nov 7, 2010


Brexit is but a door,
election time is but a window.

I'll be back

Azza Bamboo posted:

The risk with Rayner is not that the press get nasty about her background. That'd be a mistake. The risk is that they construct a narrative in which the Labour party is accused of using her story to characterise the voters the party is trying to reach. Such a narrative allows the press to both criticise her background and tout her views as being elitist even with her background.
oh god. have you considered writing for the Telegraph or for Spiked, because this is exactly what they'll do

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
Or get someone who can triangulate and bullshit with the best of them, who looks like the sort of centrist that the papers might accept, who then comes out with a rabid socialist agenda after the election.

Rakosi
May 5, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
NO-QUARTERMASTER


From the river (of Palestinian blood) to the sea (of Palestinian tears)
The smart thing to do would be to elect an acting leader to oversee a root rethink of the party; spending time repairing wounds and disentangling the party from problematic future media snipes like antisemitism. Boris has 5 years now, so Labour can spend several months purging itself of political baggage that will politically harm future leaders if inherited. Less idealism, more pragmatism. If you want to put the majority of the blame of Corbyn's unpopularity onto the media (which I disagree with), you need to spend time being seen as 'fixing' all of its issues with Labour.

Momentum, like a too frisky dog, needs to be taken to the vet and have its balls cut off so it doesn't ruin Labour's public image by humping the leg of the next leader when the electorate comes a-peekin'.

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese
The reason people itt had so much hope about this election was because of how dramatically Labour beat the odds in 2017. A lot of people were riding on repeating that experience this year which obviously didn't work out, but plenty of people who are crowing about the left being wrong in 2019 absolutely ate poo poo in 2017.

As for the problems of Corbyn being leader again he was 2 and half years from the biggest gain in Labour vote since 1945 and beloved by the membership. There was never an opportunity to replace him, especially as that would have given the right the chance to get back in.

Also people who are saying we need a Blair more than we need a Tory government are missing that fact that Blairism and lovely New Labour mismanagement are why voters in places like Blyth Valley and Bolsover have been slipping to the Tories for years - it just so happens 2019 was the point they flipped.

Antinumeric
Nov 27, 2010

BoxGiraffe

Rakosi posted:

^ exactly the arrogance of opinion that leaves you all scratching your heads about how Corbyn could've lost.

Okay, that's just slapfighting so let me explain, and you all can show me that you can engage in good faith with people who don't agree with you as someone just said.


I agree. Socialism is the place where data takes you. It, however, has nothing to do with intelligence. Is it intelligent to stick with a leader who was consistently polling as historically unpopular? Is it intelligent to treat the electorate as if they're idiots by stuffing full a manifesto with ideas that so plainly came across as random bribes? Is it intelligent to deflect all criticisms as sourced in external third party corruption and propaganda, ignoring many people who had very good rational and/or emotional reasons for not supporting Corbyn's Labour? Is it intelligent to not realise that an unelectable idea is fundamentally indistinguishable from no idea at all, regardless of how moral the intention of it was?

The reason why I sometimes have used "university student politicians" as a derogatory in this thread is not because those activists don't do their research or don't know what they're talking about, it's because their lack of experience in or denial of the way the real world works shreds confidence in their pragmatism. Momentum and Corbyn have gifted Boris 5 years, and many people are very and fairly angry when they see the same people blaming Lib Dems for splitting key votes, or blaming it on a racist electorate, as if they have no capacity for introspection at all. You don't choose your electorate, they choose you. You don't have a socialist electorate yet, so stop trying to elect socialists. The noble and ideological struggle that Momentum activists fantasise about is going to end with many more Tory governments and deaths before it finally works, a generation from now.

The best you can hope for going forward is reverting to a kind of Labour you would all no doubt be disgusted in, and sneaking one or two key Socialist agendas, gradually, into each queen's speech, whilst letting the Blairites do their best at not being Tories. That's if you haven't already fostered a hard left Labour base that would abandon the party and split off if that were to happen; then syphon votes from Labour ala other minority parties while the toffs can't believe their luck over how many pigs they get to gently caress.

Go local, at the council level. That is the way forward for socialism in the UK.

This is amazing and covers all my thoughts.

I'm curious why Corbyn hasn't resigned. Is there a reason beyond "maximum influence to pick my successor"

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese

Pesmerga posted:

Or get someone who can triangulate and bullshit with the best of them, who looks like the sort of centrist that the papers might accept, who then comes out with a rabid socialist agenda after the election.

This is literally what a bunch of people on the left thought Blair was, until he didn't do the second part. Fool me once etc.

Antinumeric
Nov 27, 2010

BoxGiraffe

MikeCrotch posted:

The reason people itt had so much hope about this election was because of how dramatically Labour beat the odds in 2017. A lot of people were riding on repeating that experience this year which obviously didn't work out, but plenty of people who are crowing about the left being wrong in 2019 absolutely ate poo poo in 2017.

As for the problems of Corbyn being leader again he was 2 and half years from the biggest gain in Labour vote since 1945 and beloved by the membership. There was never an opportunity to replace him, especially as that would have given the right the chance to get back in.

Also people who are saying we need a Blair more than we need a Tory government are missing that fact that Blairism and lovely New Labour mismanagement are why voters in places like Blyth Valley and Bolsover have been slipping to the Tories for years - it just so happens 2019 was the point they flipped.

How did they beat the odds? They lost against May. A woman with the charisma of an animate turd. After 7? Years of Tory rule

Antinumeric
Nov 27, 2010

BoxGiraffe
2017 was not a victory. Labour lost. How the gently caress can you call it a victory?

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

MikeCrotch posted:

This is literally what a bunch of people on the left thought Blair was, until he didn't do the second part. Fool me once etc.

I know, which means that the position of whoever takes over this mess is going to be absolutely Sisyphean, unless they’re (as states above) dedicated to just fixing a lot of the shot going wrong at the moment in the party, who then stands down for someone relatively free of any of the baggage either Blairite or Corbyn shadow cabinet based.

joedevola
Sep 11, 2004

worst song, played on ugliest guitar
Boris Johnson set to move forward with anti-BDS law

here we.... here we.......... here we fuckin go

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

MikeCrotch posted:

This is literally what a bunch of people on the left thought Blair was, until he didn't do the second part. Fool me once etc.

Yeah, there's an issue about getting people in who don't have a leftist past and espouse neoliberal ideas and then expecting them to enact leftist policies.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
And with it looking like labour whichever wing takes over is going to beat that anti-immigration drum hard, I’m not feeling particularly great about any of it.

CGI Stardust
Nov 7, 2010


Brexit is but a door,
election time is but a window.

I'll be back

Pesmerga posted:

Also if we have a constituency based system, have that actually mean something. The amount of people telling me that the only time they ever saw their MP or that they seemed to engage with their constituents was around election time. That combined with failings of local government (both related to corruption and to the collapse of their resources and ability to provide) meant that there was already antipathy built in to relations with Labour regardless of Corbyn. The policies didn’t resonate either - a lot more needs to be done to change the mindset regarding public expenditure, as the general discourse of ‘just free stuff but who will pay for it’ and ‘fantasy economics’ were also not uncommon.
Yep, got this one too. From an external point of view, how does it look to have your MP and a hundred activists descend on your neighbourhood for an election period and only for that election period, requesting your votes for a party that never engages with your material concerns? It needs to be an ongoing process between party and community, not at a high level, but constant evidence that politics is happening and this party is trying to help you.

Kassad
Nov 12, 2005

It's about time.

Antinumeric posted:

I'm curious why Corbyn hasn't resigned. Is there a reason beyond "maximum influence to pick my successor"

Walking away whistling right after losing a vote is more a Tory thing.

Rakosi
May 5, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
NO-QUARTERMASTER


From the river (of Palestinian blood) to the sea (of Palestinian tears)

Miftan posted:

Yeah, there's an issue about getting people in who don't have a leftist past and espouse neoliberal ideas and then expecting them to enact leftist policies.

If 'getting in' means getting them into Downing Street then that should be the primary concern of Labour voters. You have to decide where your priorities lie.

Stopping Tories > Socialism = Labour Government.

Socialism > Stopping Tories = Tory Government.

By all means put pressure on the Labour leader to sneak a few socialist agendas into each Queen's Speech as a powerful interparty bloc, ala the ERG, but get Downing Street first.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Asking who the next Labour leader should be is the wrong question right now. What Labour needs to do is find their version of Lord Ashcroft to produce their version of Smell the coffee and then digest that for a bit. The real question is who that person should be.

learnincurve
May 15, 2014

Smoosh
I’m convinced one of the main differences between 2017 and now is that a woman was in charge of the Tory party. Firstly it was easier to spin her as Maggie 2, and secondly the Venn diagram of racist fuckwaffles and misogynists is a circle.

learnincurve
May 15, 2014

Smoosh
For the seventy billionth time. There is no deputy leader right now, and party rules state there has to be a deputy for the leader to resign. Without one there needs to be the full leadership election before he can go.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
A reinvented socialism might not be a bad idea either. Something that focuses on the challenge of the 21st century in terms of environment, automation and sustainability rather than appealing to industrialism and/or traditional workers in the age of precarity would probably help. Which would require going beyond suddenly blasting people with ‘HEY, FREE INTERNET!’ in a manifesto a few weeks before the election for a continuing discussion on what the economy should look like, how services should run, and a constant ground game that shows how communities can work.

Walton Simons
May 16, 2010

ELECTRONIC OLD MEN RUNNING THE WORLD
I came on here to whine about the rail service in the UK but this distracted me. I have no idea why my homepage suggested this article to me but Peter Hitchens is attacking the Johnson government for being too left wing :psyduck:

quote:

The Conservatives have now replaced Blairite New Labour as the main Left-wing party in the country. This is great for everyone who loves the Blair programme of fervent, intolerant political correctness, a continuing war on what’s left of the married family, useless egalitarian state schools and gigantic public spending and borrowing.

I know he's been suuuuuper right wing for ages but this is just beyond parody.

Not quoted: they're namby pamby greenies for not depending 100% on coal for power generation.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
"cosmopolitan social liberals" is slippery... if you wind back to the old Labour right, its grip on the old Labour right trade unions was because it channelled those in the "working class" Labour who regarded the Bennites as loony-left middle-class metropolitan liberals who want to betray the UK to the Soviets, wouldn't know a hard day's work if it hit them with a hammer, the culprits behind the permissive society, &c. The old Labour right was as different from New Labour as the modern Momentum faction is as different from the old Militant grouping...

this "working class" group doesn't really exist any more, at least not in the numbers it once did. The industrial demographics of the north are too different. Nobody on the "new new left" actually has a plan to bring the jobs of the old trifecta back (roles that are masculine, dangerous, and in close-knit teams); we can natter on about the new green jobs but even if the numbers can be made to work out (currently they do not), it still wouldn't generate the same kind of community that would underpin a cradle-to-grave social base

this doesn't mean "the left is dead", but rather that the left is going to undergo some intellectual innovation to justify why, in Marxist/etc terms of one's choice, actually its metropolitan squeezed-middle core is the actual working class. Demographic changes are really hard to consciously alter, it's much easier for ideologies to evolve themselves to fit

Tarnop
Nov 25, 2013

Pull me out

Antinumeric posted:

This is amazing and covers all my thoughts.

Echo chamber: smashed

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

Rakosi posted:

If 'getting in' means getting them into Downing Street then that should be the primary concern of Labour voters. You have to decide where your priorities lie.

Stopping Tories > Socialism = Labour Government.

Socialism > Stopping Tories = Tory Government.

By all means put pressure on the Labour leader to sneak a few socialist agendas into each Queen's Speech as a powerful interparty bloc, ala the ERG, but get Downing Street first.

Stopping the tories in the short term with Blair is what got us the tories now, so it's not quite that simple, unfortunately.

Pesmerga posted:

A reinvented socialism might not be a bad idea either. Something that focuses on the challenge of the 21st century in terms of environment, automation and sustainability rather than appealing to industrialism and/or traditional workers in the age of precarity would probably help. Which would require going beyond suddenly blasting people with ‘HEY, FREE INTERNET!’ in a manifesto a few weeks before the election for a continuing discussion on what the economy should look like, how services should run, and a constant ground game that shows how communities can work.

I think that's been happening a bit over the last 2 years but we definitely need to ratchet it up. 20th century socialism doesn't work today.

CGI Stardust
Nov 7, 2010


Brexit is but a door,
election time is but a window.

I'll be back
Labour Party as the party of immaterial production / reproduction seems to be one of the lines

Tarnop
Nov 25, 2013

Pull me out

MikeCrotch posted:

This is literally what a bunch of people on the left thought Blair was, until he didn't do the second part. Fool me once etc.

His government also has a higher death toll than the last 9 years of Tories, so it's hardly the damage limitation exercise some present it as

Beefeater1980
Sep 12, 2008

My God, it's full of Horatios!






jaete posted:

Can't be for all these; why not? Honest question

They’re all different groups who want different things and don’t like each other much. Humans are tribal, we tend to abandon groups that we feel aren’t about our specific group exclusively any more.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Alchenar posted:

Asking who the next Labour leader should be is the wrong question right now. What Labour needs to do is find their version of Lord Ashcroft to produce their version of Smell the coffee and then digest that for a bit. The real question is who that person should be.

there's a lot of people on the party left (who have control of all the relevant committees now) who are convinced that focus grouping and polling are Blairite lies that don't work, that chase a Tory framing ever rightward instead of leading the people left. There are also folks who think it works just as well as ever and just needs a left-winger to interpret its results in a good-faith-to-the-left manner

part of Andrew Fisher's despair was that the electioneering apparatus was just stonewalling the results of focus grouping and polling...

Blair/Cameron were both leaderships in a period where there was unshakeable faith in the efficacy of polling to deduce the truth from the fog, or at least better than any other way of separating just-so stories from reality. But that's not true on the left today, there's no way for a particularly focused/funded white paper to transform the party this way, I would think. Fabian has no shortage of such papers if one wants to look

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Why are we letting Rakosi, noted racist and his bootlicking oval office here:

Antinumeric posted:

This is amazing and covers all my thoughts.

post in this thread as if they aren't popping in from their own echo chamber that uses the n-word liberally to claim that we're the real echo chamber.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Pesmerga posted:

A reinvented socialism might not be a bad idea either. Something that focuses on the challenge of the 21st century in terms of environment, automation and sustainability rather than appealing to industrialism and/or traditional workers in the age of precarity would probably help. Which would require going beyond suddenly blasting people with ‘HEY, FREE INTERNET!’ in a manifesto a few weeks before the election for a continuing discussion on what the economy should look like, how services should run, and a constant ground game that shows how communities can work.

Universalism requires massive bungs to the middle class at the opportunity cost of spending on the working class. One of the big conversations that needs to happen is whether Labour is still committed to that or needs to step back to a more traditional focus on redistribution.

Apraxin
Feb 22, 2006

General-Admiral

Antinumeric posted:

How did they beat the odds? They lost against May. A woman with the charisma of an animate turd. After 7? Years of Tory rule
Because after months of saying she wouldn't call an election, she called an election on the back of some good council results and a series of polls that said she had a 20 point poll lead and was the most popular PM in living memory. She literally got to choose the most advantageous moment to do it, with the expectation it would give her a 100 seat majority to Crush the Saboteurs. Then despite the polls right up to election day predicting at least an 8 point lead and solid Tory majority, the result was only a 2% difference between the two main parties and Labour gained 30 seats, with their vote share up by 10% on 2015 and a significant percentage of voters who'd left for the Lib Dems or UKIP returning to the fold. If 20k votes out of 32m went the other way, we'd have had a coalition or Labour minority government.

A lot of media articles and some posts here from the last few days come off like they were written on June 7th 2017 with the expectation Corbyn was going to be destroyed by May - he was too left, he never stood a chance, the whole project was doomed from the start, this is what happens if you embrace standard soc dems policies RADICAL MARXISM instead of sensible moderation! ...and the last election where Labour gained massively against all conventional wisdom is either not mentioned or handwaved away because it wasn't an outright majority or a smaller gain than 1997.

Edit: like, yes, we've got a lot to learn from this time around and a lot of preparation to do for next time, but the exact same was true of the Tories 18 months ago, and I didn't see them throwing the core party overboard in an appeal to Centrism.

Apraxin fucked around with this message at 10:16 on Dec 16, 2019

Rakosi
May 5, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
NO-QUARTERMASTER


From the river (of Palestinian blood) to the sea (of Palestinian tears)

Miftan posted:

Stopping the tories in the short term with Blair is what got us the tories now, so it's not quite that simple, unfortunately.

Specific, isolable events like the Iraq War, not general Blair-ness, lead to that. Illegal wars are not an intrinsic quality of Blairism/Centrism and I don't for one second buy this argument for why its not a good idea to try a proven winning formula again, when Labour has just been totally crushed running on the left.

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NewMars
Mar 10, 2013
If getting into downing street means mimicking the tories then what exactly is the point? The goal here is to stop people being murdered and if your way of doing that is to... promise half-assed versions of the policy that kills them, then there is, I think, a disconnect between your approach and your goals. Not to mention that triangulating towards the center (I. E. the right) did not help the Lib dems or anyone else this time and kick-started the whole decade of tory rule in the first place back with New Labour. The right have the knack of making people want their policy, but every time a leftist proposal comes up there's always this impulse to cut it down and make it "acceptable" (that is, worthless). That never works out, it just leads to a defanged implementation that is immediately undone by the next government. So I say: why can't we make people want a policy that helps them? Lots of people already want it, even if it is slightly (in relative terms) less than the opposite, so why not go for more and go for broke?

Ideals of a world where you don't have to fear starving to death or being killed for the profit of industry did not begin with Corbyn and will not die with him. There is no need to cut away the point of your policy to make it "presentable" or "reasonable." Instead what you do is that you act as if it self-evidently is. You don't have to be ignorant to be confident in what you want to do. Self-assurance will turn a radical idea into "common sense." It has in the past, after all. Familiarity helps as well: they've been going after the NHS for years, they couldn't undo it in a day, because it's what people know. That's why we have to stick around. It doesn't take long for the new radical wave to be the established antidote to the authority in charge. Socialism has a foot in the door among the Labour party, don't let it be pushed out now or watered down.

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